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Author Topic: Bitcoin in the next decade  (Read 4441 times)
Finebone
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February 02, 2026, 04:08:24 PM
 #421

It is needless for people to attach a specific big expectations of profits to a fixed time as the future of bitcoin is not set in stone. No one knows what bitcoin will look like in the next cycle.

People should not act surprised if they reach their intended target year and still don't see that big profit they imagined, and if perhaps something like that happen the next thing they start do is to blame the whales, the government or bad timing.

People have to accept this uncertainty even if they don't want to and invest will only the money that can afforded to be lose.
Too much expectations can be problematic sometimes, and it's what we should try to avoid in other not to be disappointed. Even though we are all big fan of Bitcoin, we should try to speak the truth to ourselves, because in Bitcoin investment nothing is certain, and it's as risky as every other investment out there.
We are only here believing and investing in it because overtime it has proven to be reliable on the longer run, and since it still has a lot of potential ahead, so we are likely betting that it future is bright, that's why investing what we can afford to lose is way more better for our mental health and emotions, so that suicide will never be an option if Bitcoin didn't goes as planned.

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February 02, 2026, 07:19:27 PM
 #422

It is needless for people to attach a specific big expectations of profits to a fixed time as the future of bitcoin is not set in stone. No one knows what bitcoin will look like in the next cycle.

People should not act surprised if they reach their intended target year and still don't see that big profit they imagined, and if perhaps something like that happen the next thing they start do is to blame the whales, the government or bad timing.

People have to accept this uncertainty even if they don't want to and invest will only the money that can afforded to be lose.
Too much expectations can be problematic sometimes, and it's what we should try to avoid in other not to be disappointed. Even though we are all big fan of Bitcoin, we should try to speak the truth to ourselves, because in Bitcoin investment nothing is certain, and it's as risky as every other investment out there.
We are only here believing and investing in it because overtime it has proven to be reliable on the longer run, and since it still has a lot of potential ahead, so we are likely betting that it future is bright, that's why investing what we can afford to lose is way more better for our mental health and emotions, so that suicide will never be an option if Bitcoin didn't goes as planned.
Though, profits isn't guaranteed but bitcoin asymmetric bet looks promising than any other asset in future because bitcoin is still in her early stage and the population of people that have adopted bitcoin is still relatively very low compared to the world population which is adoption will continue increasing overtime.

Of course, when it comes to bitcoin investment or any investment, you should only use what you can afford to lose to enable you nurture and grow the investment overtime. It's same with bitcoin even though, it's considered to be a speculative asset. When you use what you can afford to lose, you will be able to hodli for long and limit the risk and if bitcoin price didn't perform as expected, it wouldn't affect you financially. This is why when investing, increasing your income and having other asset or business is good.

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February 02, 2026, 07:35:59 PM
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 #423

There is nothing wrong having an investment timeline but I would say that expectations should be lower as not to be disappointed if it happens that your investment is not in profits or not as in profits that you wanted your investment to be within your expected investment timeline, no one knows for sure or certain about what will become of bitcoin at whatever timeline of an investor , there should be a different between hitting your investment timeline and time of which you could consider selling some portion of your Bitcoin because you can hit your investment timeline and might not likely want to sell because of the level of profits that you are.
it is needless for people to attach a specific big expectations of profits to a fixed time as the future of bitcoin is not set in stone. No one knows what bitcoin will look like in the next cycle.

People should not act surprised if they reach their intended target year and still don't see that big profit they imagined, and if perhaps something like that happen the next thing they start do is to blame the whales, the government or bad timing.

People have to accept this uncertainty even if they don't want to and invest will only the money that can afforded to be lose.
Yes it is wrong to be anticipating a huge profit or certain amounts of profit within a given timeframe However all investors should have a target as per the amount of bitcoin they plan to accumulate within a given timeline even if they failed to land at that exact amount of bitcoin before that timeline. An investor can always make adjustments if it happens they were unable to reach there investment goal before the anticipated timeline. I believe having a timeline will encourage consistent in buying of bitcoin and it will make an investor to be focus in other to be able to achieve there goals. But if they are not able to there is always room for adjustment.

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Today at 06:49:56 AM
 #424

The fact of the matter seems to be that any guy who had attempted to invests into bitcoin at a reasonable level (something like 10% of his income) could have had invested somewhere around his annual income into bitcoin over around 9.5 years and been in a position of had invested around a whole years of his income, which currently would result in the potential to have gotten to a position of having enough bitcoin or perhaps even more than enough bitcoin... and yeah sometimes it can be difficult to ongoingly, persistently, consistently and even regularly be putting some thing like 10% of a guys income into bitcoin.  

Surely 10% of your income would have had been reasonable, yet still you would have had needed to be in a position that at least 10%, and perhaps even closer to 20% of your income could be considered as discretionary income.. which yeah, sometimes can be a challenge.
That is why no amount of investment should be underestimated, here it is clear that by continuing to invest in small amounts, at some point the amount of that investment becomes much more. I think that no matter how little money we earn, if we set aside 10% of that money for investment, it will not be much pressure for us and if we can invest this 10% continuously for eight years or 9 years or 10 years, then the amount of money we can earn per year is almost equal to the amount of money we can earn per year, but Bitcoin will accumulate over this long period.

Suppose someone earns 20 thousand dollars in a year and he sets aside 10% of his income and invests it continuously and he keeps his investment for nine or 10 years, but after these nine or 10 years, his investment amount will be about twenty thousand dollars, that is, it is very high. If the investor did not invest his 10%, then this 10% money would have been spent on some other thing, due to which this support would not have been created later.
Sure it may be quite reasonable that folks begin their Bitcoin accumulation with 10% rather than waiting for a huge sum to start, but then along the way, it would seem more reasonable also that folks don't just remain stuck in one particular point, they should apply some level of flexibility by increasing the amount to a higher percentage. I know too well that it may quite be very bad for folks to overstretch their financial limits, that is why I suggest that folks should try getting some other source of income and if necessary, cut down some unnecessary expenses so as to increase influx of cash, from which the investor can use to strengthen his discretionary income for investment...

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Today at 07:55:38 AM
 #425

Hopefully for your own good, you figure out a position size that allows you to prepare for 10 years from now and perhaps longer (to the extent that you don't have age and/or healthy issues that would not allow you to prepare that far into the future).

Since you have been registered here since September 2016 (9.5 years), perhaps you have already figured out some way to take some kind of a reasonable and meaningful position in bitcoin - whether you are still building that position or if you believe you reached a status of having enough or more than enough bitcoin.  

We surely cannot go back in time for guys who might have had been around bitcoin for decent amounts of time and who may have had not been building a decent and/or reasonable bitcoin position based on their own skepticisms of bitcoin or their other views about investing into bitcoin as compared with other places that you could choose to put your time, energy and value.
There are many people who have known about Bitcoin for eight or 10 years but have not invested in it yet. The only reason for their lack of investment is not that they do not have money but the most important reason is that they may have been waiting all the time and could not dare to start investing. Those who have already missed this opportunity are certainly regretting it now but they should not waste time in the future but should prepare for the future by using the lessons they have learned from the past. If investors take investment decisions considering their income status, expenses, health or other aspects and if they ensure that investing a certain amount of money in Bitcoin continuously will not feel pressured for them then they can plan and start investing accordingly and if they invest with such a plan then their investment will definitely last long.

People do not necessarily learn from their past mistakes, and many continue to make the same mistake which revolves around their being too late.. So the solution seems to be to get started rather than continuing to think about it without acting.

The fact of the matter seems to be that any guy who had attempted to invests into bitcoin at a reasonable level (something like 10% of his income) could have had invested somewhere around his annual income into bitcoin over around 9.5 years and been in a position of had invested around a whole years of his income, which currently would result in the potential to have gotten to a position of having enough bitcoin or perhaps even more than enough bitcoin... and yeah sometimes it can be difficult to ongoingly, persistently, consistently and even regularly be putting some thing like 10% of a guys income into bitcoin.  

Surely 10% of your income would have had been reasonable, yet still you would have had needed to be in a position that at least 10%, and perhaps even closer to 20% of your income could be considered as discretionary income.. which yeah, sometimes can be a challenge.
That is why no amount of investment should be underestimated, here it is clear that by continuing to invest in small amounts, at some point the amount of that investment becomes much more. I think that no matter how little money we earn, if we set aside 10% of that money for investment, it will not be much pressure for us and if we can invest this 10% continuously for eight years or 9 years or 10 years, then the amount of money we can earn per year is almost equal to the amount of money we can earn per year, but Bitcoin will accumulate over this long period.

Suppose someone earns 20 thousand dollars in a year and he sets aside 10% of his income and invests it continuously and he keeps his investment for nine or 10 years, but after these nine or 10 years, his investment amount will be about twenty thousand dollars, that is, it is very high. If the investor did not invest his 10%, then this 10% money would have been spent on some other thing, due to which this support would not have been created later.

10% is a relatively modest target investment amount that many people can figure out ways to meet such levels, unless they really have low discretionary funds, then they would need to adjust downwardly as a way to account for their low discretionary fund levels.

On the other hand, if you were to be starting from the beginning right now to establish your bitcoin stash, then you may well need to try to  to invest closer to 20% of your annual income into bitcoin, which it can be more difficult for some guys to get to high enough discretionary levels, so ultimately you have to work with what you got.. yet again, it can be hard to know the circumstances of anyone, including that each person surely has to account for their discretionary income in terms of figuring out how aggressive they are able to be in their bitcoin accumulation and to get their bitcoin to a place of having enough or more than enough.
If someone wants to start investing now, he must first be sure of his monthly income and total expenses. Apart from expenses, he must be sure of how much money he has left. If he sees that he has 20% or a little more money left, then he can start his continuous investment phase with 10% or 15%.

If the remaining money is 20% or 25% and from there he can start with 10% or 15%, then I think it will definitely not be a pressure for him. That is why there will be no pressure because even after investing, he will have some money left.

There is no free lunch, so we cannot proclaim to know what is pressure or not for any other person other than ourselves. A person has to figure out his balance and take action to invest in bitcoin. If he cannot motivate himself to invest in bitcoin, then he will have to live with the consequences of not having had invested.

sure it is reasonable to spend half or even 3/4 of your discretionary funds for investing, yet those are still discretionary choices.. and so if we look at discretionary funds we see that they can be allocated to investing, saving and/or consumption.. so maybe it would be good to start with 1/3 of the discretionary funds being allocated for each of those three categories... and yeah, if there are some reasons to allocate more in one direction or another then those adjustments could be made.

Investors are advised to be stress-free because if they consider investment to be a pressure, they will not be able to move very far with that pressure.

I think management is more important in investment, in real experience I have seen people who earn relatively more money but they do not understand the proper management of that money, that is, when money comes to them, they spend it unplanned, as a result of which they face financial crisis at the end of the month, similarly I have seen people with low income who follow a lot of plans and they set aside money for savings at the end of the month. So with proper management and if there is an investment plan, then it is definitely possible for an investor to invest consistently with 10% and 15% at the end of the month and this investment can be made long-term.

I actually do not want to interfere with anyone's investment strategy, there are many who invest aggressively, now if those who have the ability do it aggressively, then it is not a problem. Whether investors invest aggressively or invest slowly, they can continue their investment for a long time without stress.

There are some aspects of life that can have stress, so sure, maybe it is possible to avoid stress, yet I am not sure if everyone has the same goal in that way... even though they might try to set their investment and/cashflow management systems up in such way to provide them some balance so that they minimize how emotional that they might get about their investment and/or any other aspects of their cashflow management at any given time.

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Today at 08:18:58 AM
 #426

Hopefully for your own good, you figure out a position size that allows you to prepare for 10 years from now and perhaps longer (to the extent that you don't have age and/or healthy issues that would not allow you to prepare that far into the future).

Since you have been registered here since September 2016 (9.5 years), perhaps you have already figured out some way to take some kind of a reasonable and meaningful position in bitcoin - whether you are still building that position or if you believe you reached a status of having enough or more than enough bitcoin.  

We surely cannot go back in time for guys who might have had been around bitcoin for decent amounts of time and who may have had not been building a decent and/or reasonable bitcoin position based on their own skepticisms of bitcoin or their other views about investing into bitcoin as compared with other places that you could choose to put your time, energy and value.
There are many people who have known about Bitcoin for eight or 10 years but have not invested in it yet. The only reason for their lack of investment is not that they do not have money but the most important reason is that they may have been waiting all the time and could not dare to start investing. Those who have already missed this opportunity are certainly regretting it now but they should not waste time in the future but should prepare for the future by using the lessons they have learned from the past. If investors take investment decisions considering their income status, expenses, health or other aspects and if they ensure that investing a certain amount of money in Bitcoin continuously will not feel pressured for them then they can plan and start investing accordingly and if they invest with such a plan then their investment will definitely last long.

People do not necessarily learn from their past mistakes, and many continue to make the same mistake which revolves around their being too late.. So the solution seems to be to get started rather than continuing to think about it without acting.

As my teacher in Uni said - " It's not bad to make mistakes. It's bad not to learn from them afterward".

 Cool

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Today at 08:21:58 AM
 #427

After the final "bloody" days of January, Bitcoin ended the month in the red, marking its fourth consecutive "red" month. This is a rare occurrence for digital gold, which typically declines for three months.



Looking back to 2013, there have been only a couple of exceptions:

- In 2014, from July to November, Bitcoin fell for four months in a row, from approximately $660 to $350.
This was a consequence of the Mt. Gox collapse, increased scrutiny of cryptocurrency companies by US authorities, and a correction after the price reached $1,100.

- In 2018, from August to February 2019, the decline lasted a record six months (the only such case; even five has never happened). The arrival of a true crypto winter.
 The fall from 7700 to 3400, Bitcoin folded 55%. This was actually part of a larger decline from 20k.
Reasons: the ICO crash, of course, regulators, FUD.

Currently: Bitcoin is falling from $126,199 and has already reached $74,600.
And we already assumed this was a strong level, and that's where it stopped.


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Today at 08:26:51 AM
 #428

^ If it falls up to 50-60K i wouldn't mind it at all. Imagine the eventual rebound on such digits.. Then again, I already see the topics of the Bull and the Bear and the confidence slowllyyyy slipping away especially from the weak hands, so maybe such a deep bottom is not needed  Grin

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Today at 08:36:50 AM
 #429

It would be appreciated if your views are given without being influenced by others considered reputable
I want to understand what people individually feel about this. Thank you.



Okay you can take it as a pessimistic POV but ever since the interest by government and institutions I feel we are losing on decentralization and privacy.
Don't get me wrong, I love to see Bitcoin price rising and adoptions but it's like the reason is rising is flawed. People joining for sometime now are only in it for the potential price increase and care nothing about a decentralized system.

It's subtle but it's happening, checked X during the exch shutdown and I saw many branding people that push for privacy as scammers. They were the majority.

We thought with all this news and mainstream many could learn about Bitcoin but no they barely know a thing.
We are compromising and giving excuse that it wouldn't get worse like the rise of KYC compliant exchanges or ETF approvals. But compromise is the first step before full acceptance.

Humans are political animals as they say, as long as there are group of people there must be politics. I'm sure this isn't different in the developers community.

Would government fold their hands and not try to make devs push a protocol that would favour them? I doubt, I understand we have miners and full nodes for checks and the open source process and peer review make covert protocol changes difficult. But we can't deny that Dev still have some influence (I used them as example since they are smaller in numbers).


I know we survived without government support and can survive without it but What are your thoughts on the direction we heading?



I completely agree with you, new investors care only about profit and thus they are investing in bitcoin hoping for price rise.

This is not new , it has been observed in things like silver and gold also. Like recently, silver showed like 5x growth in 2 years but if you follow recent news it is now dropping every day by 20-30%. Whenever, the people are investing something for future gains instead of real value in that thing, it will crash sooner or later.
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Today at 09:33:56 AM
 #430

It would be appreciated if your views are given without being influenced by others considered reputable
I want to understand what people individually feel about this. Thank you.



Okay you can take it as a pessimistic POV but ever since the interest by government and institutions I feel we are losing on decentralization and privacy.
Don't get me wrong, I love to see Bitcoin price rising and adoptions but it's like the reason is rising is flawed. People joining for sometime now are only in it for the potential price increase and care nothing about a decentralized system.

It's subtle but it's happening, checked X during the exch shutdown and I saw many branding people that push for privacy as scammers. They were the majority.

We thought with all this news and mainstream many could learn about Bitcoin but no they barely know a thing.
We are compromising and giving excuse that it wouldn't get worse like the rise of KYC compliant exchanges or ETF approvals. But compromise is the first step before full acceptance.

Humans are political animals as they say, as long as there are group of people there must be politics. I'm sure this isn't different in the developers community.

Would government fold their hands and not try to make devs push a protocol that would favour them? I doubt, I understand we have miners and full nodes for checks and the open source process and peer review make covert protocol changes difficult. But we can't deny that Dev still have some influence (I used them as example since they are smaller in numbers).


I know we survived without government support and can survive without it but What are your thoughts on the direction we heading?



I completely agree with you, new investors care only about profit and thus they are investing in bitcoin hoping for price rise.

This is not new , it has been observed in things like silver and gold also. Like recently, silver showed like 5x growth in 2 years but if you follow recent news it is now dropping every day by 20-30%. Whenever, the people are investing something for future gains instead of real value in that thing, it will crash sooner or later.

If people intention is to look for quick gains on their investments, this usually creates a bubble which later on immediately burst. Also it does not mean the asset experience a price crash meaning it will go to no value. Silver and gold experience this then eventually it goes up then still hold its value because of its utility also with its scarcity in nature.

Those hype going for short term might cause problems to them, also we could see on situation happen to gold and silver that short term investment with these good asset also including Bitcoin will not really give them best result. Much better if they aim for long term because they can escape having big pressure brought by those sudden events.

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