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Author Topic: Portuguese League - Liga Portugal 2025/26  (Read 4654 times)
Pumared
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December 29, 2025, 06:09:39 PM
 #561

Benfica will be travelling to an important away fixture this week. Under the management of José Mourinho, Benfica will be keen to continue their winning streak. With their recent rise in form, they seem to have shaken off their poor run. They are the favourites against Braga, but the Braga away game will not be easy for them. Although Benfica has a clear advantage in matches between the two teams, Braga will push them hard until the final whistle.
Sporting Lisbon will face Rio Ave at home. They will not want to slip up in their home game this week, as Benfica travel to Braga, so I expect a clear victory from them. Rio Ave are not a team that causes them problems, and Sporting have had a clear advantage in their recent encounters.

Regarding the Braga vs Benfica match, I see it as a draw. Braga could lose, but at home they don't usually lose, they only draw. And Benfica isn't that good away from home, and as we know, playing at home makes a difference, and Braga is putting up a good fight. So, at least pre-match, I would predict a draw.

I ended up not updating, but this reading was very good. It's very important that you consider draws in your bets; they're rarely discussed. And remember that playing at home is very strong for teams in all situations in the standings. This analysis yielded a very interesting odd for me.

 
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December 29, 2025, 06:17:54 PM
 #562

If you had placed a multi-game bet on Benfica to draw or win + Sporting to win + Porto to win, you would have gotten a decent odd like I did. Luckily, Benfica didn't lose; they drew, but it was a game where they struggled a lot. Honestly, it was disappointing to watch, but at least Benfica didn't ruin my bet. Sporting is winning and has already scored 2 goals. I see that I'm going to get all 3 games right. As a Benfica fan, I didn't like how they were dominated by Braga; their squad is very weak.

But Benfica's second half was very good. What's hard to understand is why they didn't play like that from the start. The third goal, which was disallowed, was a bit strangely disallowed.

Now, the gap to the leaders is wider. Nothing is lost, but it's become much more difficult.

Braga played quite impressively, I didn't think they could do that and this match ended with a draw, however this match was held in Braga therefore Braga could play better, 2-2 is a difficult score to accept.

The gap is getting bigger for Benfica to get to the top, even though they haven't experienced a defeat like Porto, Benfica has had too many matches end in a draw which means they don't have many points.

 
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December 29, 2025, 08:09:44 PM
 #563

I didn't bet on this game  Sad
And mind you, I even said twice here in this thread that this game was very likely to end in a draw, but I ended up not betting
If I had bet, Benfica would have lost, hehehehe


Benfica is still undefeated, but they are now 7 points behind Porto, with one more game to play, and the gap could reach 10 points when Porto plays against AVS SAD

In Benfica's defense, this game is not easy, against Braga at home
And as I also said, Braga has improved a lot in the national league, as they had started poorly
In this season, Porto leading from front, and they are going to be ahead of their opponent with good difference of points, this could be big success for them while Sporting CP is having the best attack but due to early loses, now they are settled for second spot with possible 5 points difference.

League is going to enter in second phase with most chances if any big team having of any injury issues, they are going to be staying without any problem. Benfica is doing good job but Sporting CP is also having good depth which will allow them to stay ahead of them. Braga is also improving, but they are already lost their chance for top spot, this is going to be definite problem for them.

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December 29, 2025, 09:40:38 PM
 #564

Porto are playing very comfortably against AVS, a match in which they have established clear superiority. They are leading 1–0 with Samu’s goal in the 48th minute, but they need at least one more goal to secure the win.

If the match ends with a Porto victory, the point difference with their closest rival will increase to 5, which would be a big advantage in the title race. There are about 30 minutes left in the match, so we’ll see if the score changes.

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December 29, 2025, 11:53:49 PM
 #565

... I go with a draw or Benfica victory myself.

It's a safe bet in my opinion

The only problem is the odds, 1.26 only, but I think it's easy to win this one
...
If Braga win I'll be surprised

If you had placed a multi-game bet on Benfica to draw or win + Sporting to win + Porto to win, you would have gotten a decent odd like I did. Luckily, Benfica didn't lose; they drew, but it was a game where they struggled a lot. Honestly, it was disappointing to watch, but at least Benfica didn't ruin my bet. Sporting is winning and has already scored 2 goals. I see that I'm going to get all 3 games right. As a Benfica fan, I didn't like how they were dominated by Braga; their squad is very weak.

Well done. I already warned that Benfica should not be trusted in that game and a potential draw may occur which was the case. Many goals were scored in that match and Braga flipped the score at some point but couldn't hold it for a long time.
For the other top teams, there was no surprise. Gil Vicente in the other hand continued its bad performance and here we go with another bad result. Four draws in a row is not promising at all.

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joker_josue (OP)
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December 30, 2025, 07:45:50 AM
 #566

After the main matches of the round were played, we saw that everything went more or less as expected. Porto and Sporting won, and Benfica and Braga drew with each other.

There are still two games to be played in this round, but they will only be played in January.

Here are the results:

MATCH DAY 16 - RESULTS:
Famalicão 2-3 Amadora
Estoril Praia 4-1 Alverca
Casa Pia 0-0 Vitória SC
Arouca 2-2 Gil Vicente
Braga 2-2 SL Benfica
Sporting CP 4-0 Rio Ave
Porto 2-0 AVS

 
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December 30, 2025, 12:23:00 PM
 #567

We will end the year with Porto in first place, with a comfortable 5-point lead over Sporting and an even bigger 10-point lead over Benfica
We still have 20 games to play, with 60 points in dispute

At this point, it seems that Benfica will not be able to compete for the title if they continue playing this way

Do you think Benfica will sign any more expensive players during the 2026 transfer window?

 
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Pumared
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December 30, 2025, 01:25:46 PM
 #568

We will end the year with Porto in first place, with a comfortable 5-point lead over Sporting and an even bigger 10-point lead over Benfica
We still have 20 games to play, with 60 points in dispute

At this point, it seems that Benfica will not be able to compete for the title if they continue playing this way

Do you think Benfica will sign any more expensive players during the 2026 transfer window?


With 60 points still up for grabs, a lot can still happen, especially when we're talking about a 5-point "advantage." That's settled in two rounds, I don't think it's a huge advantage, even more so with so much still to come. And Benfica should change something, so that might help somewhat. I think it's unlikely they won't make changes to the current situation; it shouldn't be anything major, but something should happen.

 
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December 30, 2025, 01:45:51 PM
 #569

Porto are playing very comfortably against AVS, a match in which they have established clear superiority. They are leading 1–0 with Samu’s goal in the 48th minute, but they need at least one more goal to secure the win.

If the match ends with a Porto victory, the point difference with their closest rival will increase to 5, which would be a big advantage in the title race. There are about 30 minutes left in the match, so we’ll see if the score changes.
Porto showed their superiority by beating AVS 2-0, the match was very difficult for AVS, they didn't have many opportunities to score goals, and only had the opportunity to get the ball to Porto's final defense, and their gap is now 5 points with Sporting CP, Samu Aghehowa was the goal scorer in this match and his name entered third place in the standings top score after this match with 11 goals scored.

Porto's competition since the start of the season has been very good in the Portuguese league, it looks like this season Porto has the potential to win the league and will win a Champions League ticket next season.

 
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December 30, 2025, 04:23:34 PM
 #570

We will end the year with Porto in first place, with a comfortable 5-point lead over Sporting and an even bigger 10-point lead over Benfica
We still have 20 games to play, with 60 points in dispute

At this point, it seems that Benfica will not be able to compete for the title if they continue playing this way

Do you think Benfica will sign any more expensive players during the 2026 transfer window?

Porto looks set to win the title this season due to their outstanding performance. Furthermore, Porto haven't lost a game yet. It doesn't appear Benfica will be signing any more players during the January transfer window, as there have been no rumors of Benfica signing any players. However, even if Banfica do bring in quality players, they likely won't win the league title this season, given their significant points gap and Porto's excellent form, It would be difficult for Benfica to catch them.
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January 01, 2026, 08:28:14 PM
 #571

Porto are playing very comfortably against AVS, a match in which they have established clear superiority. They are leading 1–0 with Samu’s goal in the 48th minute, but they need at least one more goal to secure the win.

If the match ends with a Porto victory, the point difference with their closest rival will increase to 5, which would be a big advantage in the title race. There are about 30 minutes left in the match, so we’ll see if the score changes.
Porto showed their superiority by beating AVS 2-0, the match was very difficult for AVS, they didn't have many opportunities to score goals, and only had the opportunity to get the ball to Porto's final defense, and their gap is now 5 points with Sporting CP, Samu Aghehowa was the goal scorer in this match and his name entered third place in the standings top score after this match with 11 goals scored.

Porto's competition since the start of the season has been very good in the Portuguese league, it looks like this season Porto has the potential to win the league and will win a Champions League ticket next season.

I understand your point of view, but Porto didn't show superiority in this match. AVS is last in the table, and if Porto really wants to win, they need to be superior, especially in these kinds of games. I see it as an obligation, so much so that the odds already indicated it. To say that Porto performed well, I think is wrong because in this type of match they should win 5-0. And against big teams, they should win 2-0. Either they have this mentality or they will lose at some point and everything will fall apart.

By the way, happy new year to everyone! May this year bring us more bets and more winnings!

 
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January 02, 2026, 09:12:37 AM
 #572

New year, new journey. Let's see how the teams start this new year.

All three main teams shouldn't have difficult games. The Gil Vicente vs. Sporting match is one of the most interesting of the round, where we can see what the sensation of the season will be capable of.

MATCH DAY 17:
02.01 18:45 Gil Vicente vs Sporting CP
02.01 20:45 Vitória SC vs CD Nacional
03.01 15:30 Tondela vs Arouca
03.01 18:00 SL Benfica vs Estoril Praia
03.01 18:00 Amadora vs Braga
03.01 20:30 AVS vs Moreirense
04.01 15:30 Rio Ave vs Casa Pia
04.01 18:00 Santa Clara vs Porto
04.01 20:30 Alverca vs Famalicão
Info: day.month. time (UTC)

 
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January 02, 2026, 03:17:13 PM
 #573

New year, new journey. Let's see how the teams start this new year.

All three main teams shouldn't have difficult games. The Gil Vicente vs. Sporting match is one of the most interesting of the round, where we can see what the sensation of the season will be capable of.

MATCH DAY 17:
02.01 18:45 Gil Vicente vs Sporting CP

03.01 18:00 Amadora vs Braga

03.01 20:30 AVS vs Moreirense

04.01 15:30 Rio Ave vs Casa Pia

04.01 18:00 Santa Clara vs Porto

This match between Gil Vicente and Sporting doesn't have much to predict beforehand. Sporting has won 7 times away from home, drawn only once, and hasn't lost any. Gil Vicente has won 4, drawn 1, and lost 2. Gil has scored 9 goals at home and Sporting 19 away. Sporting is likely to win this match.

Regarding Amadora vs Braga, I believe it will be a draw or a Braga victory. However, there's a chance of a draw or a Braga victory, and since the team isn't looking very promising, I'd go with a draw or a victory to guarantee something.

About AVS vs Moreirense, Moreirense has a significant advantage; AVS has conceded over 40 goals at home. They just need to play correctly and they'll win.

Rio Ave vs Casa Pia has a high chance of a draw, but I won't bet on this match. But if you want, you can bet on a small margin.

And Porto wins.

 
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January 02, 2026, 04:22:02 PM
 #574

I see victory for the top sides looking at the opposition that Benfica, Sporting Lisbon, Porto and Braga Will be playing they don't look look like teams that will pose any serious challenge to these top sides. Porto , Braga sporting should easily get all three points even if they are playing at away, I will be disappointed for any of these top sides that will drop points this weekend because the opposition that will be coming up against them are actually weak.
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January 02, 2026, 04:34:38 PM
 #575

Porto and Benfica still haven’t lost a single game in the league, even though 16 rounds have already been played. I wonder if they’ll lose at least once before the end of the season Roll Eyes In this round, they’ll most likely stay unbeaten — Santa Clara and Estoril don’t really look like teams that can beat the league leaders. But Sporting could have a tough time in round 17. Gil Vicente are sitting in fourth place and they’re very strong at home. Cool

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January 02, 2026, 06:39:11 PM
 #576

I see victory for the top sides looking at the opposition that Benfica, Sporting Lisbon, Porto and Braga Will be playing they don't look look like teams that will pose any serious challenge to these top sides. Porto , Braga sporting should easily get all three points even if they are playing at away, I will be disappointed for any of these top sides that will drop points this weekend because the opposition that will be coming up against them are actually weak.

I wouldn't put too much faith in Braga; there's a chance of a draw, given the history of both teams, both at home and away. So it's best to analyze the game itself; pre-match analysis is still very uncertain. If Braga were a team that consistently wins games and doesn't draw or lose, there wouldn't be this doubt in this type of match against weaker teams.

 
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January 02, 2026, 09:10:47 PM
 #577

Porto are playing very comfortably against AVS, a match in which they have established clear superiority. They are leading 1–0 with Samu’s goal in the 48th minute, but they need at least one more goal to secure the win.

If the match ends with a Porto victory, the point difference with their closest rival will increase to 5, which would be a big advantage in the title race. There are about 30 minutes left in the match, so we’ll see if the score changes.
Porto showed their superiority by beating AVS 2-0, the match was very difficult for AVS, they didn't have many opportunities to score goals, and only had the opportunity to get the ball to Porto's final defense, and their gap is now 5 points with Sporting CP, Samu Aghehowa was the goal scorer in this match and his name entered third place in the standings top score after this match with 11 goals scored.

Porto's competition since the start of the season has been very good in the Portuguese league, it looks like this season Porto has the potential to win the league and will win a Champions League ticket next season.

I understand your point of view, but Porto didn't show superiority in this match. AVS is last in the table, and if Porto really wants to win, they need to be superior, especially in these kinds of games. I see it as an obligation, so much so that the odds already indicated it. To say that Porto performed well, I think is wrong because in this type of match they should win 5-0. And against big teams, they should win 2-0. Either they have this mentality or they will lose at some point and everything will fall apart.

By the way, happy new year to everyone! May this year bring us more bets and more winnings!

It often happens to the top team when dealing with teams that are at the bottom of the standings, like they are more relaxed and compete about only spending time winning and still not releasing their full strength, using players who were previously reserved, increasing the flying hours of their reserves, matches like this are used to rotate players and core players are rested or they are given little time.

Just now Sporting CP had a draw with Gil Vicente, this was Sporting CP's fault and the player Goncalo who got a red card and after the red card Gil Vicente managed to equalize with a score of 1-1, they further expanded Porto's victory at the top if Porto won another match with Santa Clara.

 
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January 02, 2026, 11:38:57 PM
 #578

Guys, want to share with you good Youtube channel about Portuguese football. There is not that much content about this league in English, especially when it comes to smaller teams outside big 3:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=735LeLZfvyA

Just now Sporting CP had a draw with Gil Vicente, this was Sporting CP's fault and the player Goncalo who got a red card and after the red card Gil Vicente managed to equalize with a score of 1-1, they further expanded Porto's victory at the top if Porto won another match with Santa Clara.
Red card was big factor, but it's important to mention that even before red card Gil Vicente played good game and draw is deserved result. Didn't expected this from Gil Vicente because recently they're not playing good at all. This draw with Sporting is their 7th game in a row without a win. Though, they lost only once from these 7 games.

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January 03, 2026, 05:39:06 PM
 #579

Porto and Benfica still haven’t lost a single game in the league, even though 16 rounds have already been played. I wonder if they’ll lose at least once before the end of the season Roll Eyes In this round, they’ll most likely stay unbeaten — Santa Clara and Estoril don’t really look like teams that can beat the league leaders. But Sporting could have a tough time in round 17. Gil Vicente are sitting in fourth place and they’re very strong at home. Cool

you were right, Sporting really had a tough game and lost 2 points at the end of the match. Inacio from Sporting got red card at 79th minute and 8 minutes later Carlos Eduardo scored an equalizer. now Porto are 4 points away and have chances to extend the lead. and Benfica have a good chance to cut the gap from Sporting to 3 points because Estoril have little chance to take away points from them.

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January 03, 2026, 05:46:50 PM
 #580

Porto and Benfica still haven’t lost a single game in the league, even though 16 rounds have already been played. I wonder if they’ll lose at least once before the end of the season Roll Eyes In this round, they’ll most likely stay unbeaten — Santa Clara and Estoril don’t really look like teams that can beat the league leaders. But Sporting could have a tough time in round 17. Gil Vicente are sitting in fourth place and they’re very strong at home. Cool

Gil Vicente are really surprisingly good this season. They are a fighter for top 4 obviously. But still they could have lost against Sporting at home in fact. They owe this point to the red card Sporting got later in the game...

Benfica are also unbeaten yeah. However they have 6 draws. I don't see them as a serious title contender for now. The gap with the leader is huge, 10 PTS. I don't think Mourinho is as good as Farioli now. He is just a coach who can't keep up with modern era in football.

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OFFICIAL PARTNERSHIP
SOUTHAMPTON FC
FAZE CLAN
SSC NAPOLI
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