Why this kind of unreasonable prediction?

[yhiaali3]

Why are you surprised by this man's prediction when the man with the highest IQ in the world predicts Bitcoin will reach $220,000 by the end of the year?😆

YoungHoon Kim, widely promoted as the “world’s smartest man” with a claimed IQ of 276, has predicted that Bitcoin could hit $220,000 within the next 45 days.

He made the bold call on November 16 in response to a Grok AI projection that Bitcoin might reach $175,000 by year-end, arguing the rally could unfold much faster as BTC trades around $95,400.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/world-smartest-man-forecasts-bitcoin-140654468.html

He made this statement about a month ago, and Bitcoin still hasn't even reached $90,000. So how can these people expect it to rise to $200,000? It's just foolish prediction.

[armanda90]

Usually the most influence person predicting will make many people follow and interested to buy bitcoin how Bitmex exchange founder Arthur Hayes predicted bitcoin will hit $200k few months later. Many people nowadays realize about top people predicting and not easily to accept it because easy to manipulate and make people buy but in other side most of them will sell bitcoin. Actually predicting bitcoin will raise $200k just left three months later before March 2026 almost difficult current bitcoin still dump under $90k and really need 100% above for bitcoin break out to reach with Arthur Hayes prediction.
Nowadays many people become predictor of bitcoin price and not all them predicting are true, you can accept it but don't forget own analyst about possibility bitcoin will break out or not, however raise to $200k without four months later bit difficult as usual bitcoin after high recovery always has correction moment.

[ancafe]

To me I think this kind of prediction is unreasonable.

It's a prediction and the results are bound to change and be forever inaccurate. That's how speculative assets work, as they're difficult to predict accurately. What's a little confusing is that the people making the predictions are highly knowledgeable in crypto, so the analysis they use to make them should be much better. Their predictions might be correct, but not for now, as we might see slight discrepancies in their predictions in the future. This is understandable, as almost no one can accurately predict Bitcoin's price, as it's a highly speculative asset.

[Zadicar]

Usually the most influence person predicting will make many people follow and interested to buy bitcoin how Bitmex exchange founder Arthur Hayes predicted bitcoin will hit $200k few months later. Many people nowadays realize about top people predicting and not easily to accept it because easy to manipulate and make people buy but in other side most of them will sell bitcoin. Actually predicting bitcoin will raise $200k just left three months later before March 2026 almost difficult current bitcoin still dump under $90k and really need 100% above for bitcoin break out to reach with Arthur Hayes prediction.
Nowadays many people become predictor of bitcoin price and not all them predicting are true, you can accept it but don't forget own analyst about possibility bitcoin will break out or not, however raise to $200k without four months later bit difficult as usual bitcoin after high recovery always has correction moment.

Influential figures predicting big numbers always move attention whether people like it or not. When someone with a strong reputation makes a bold call it naturally attracts followers and fresh buying interest. At the same time it also creates an opportunity for others to distribute into that optimism. That dual effect is why such predictions feel powerful but also dangerous. They shape sentiment more than they shape reality.

A target like 200k within a few months requires extraordinary conditions. It would need sustained inflows strong macro support and near zero resistance along the way. With Bitcoin struggling below 90k the distance to that level is not just numerical it is structural. Doubling in such a short window would mean ignoring normal market behavior. Historically Bitcoin rarely moves in straight lines after major highs. Corrections consolidation and exhaustion are part of the process.

[hyudien]

Bro, we've seen such absurd predictions before, and even more absurd ones, but that's the reality of predicting crypto assets. Such absurdities aren't necessarily wrong, considering that crypto is a volatile asset, where explosive growth and rapid multiplication are not impossible, including for Bitcoin. Let the famous figures predict as they please, and they usually target their loyal followers, but caution is still important, especially for short-term investors.

[Ever-young]

This type of prediction sometimes what I see is that most of them already know the amount can’t be achieved, but they still choose to predict it that way, maybe if they see bitcoin price reaching 150k or above not up to the predicted $200k they will have to shift the number a bit higher to create some sort of believe on holders which might make them to push their expectations a bit higher while the real target is below the mentioned amount.

[Out of mind]

Currently, people are speculating and predicting Bitcoin. Many people make predictions in various ways to express their feelings. We have seen that the market reached its highest level in 2025 and from here, people's confidence in Bitcoin has increased even more. There are many who have invested in Bitcoin and are preparing to hold it for a long time, they often predict that the market will increase further. Those who invest for a long time and are big holders never think about the market falling, but they think about the market height. I think most people think that the market will enter a higher level towards 2026.
Everyone thinks that the market will give a positive signal in the new year, but we can see that many are indicating $123k, but we cannot yet say exactly at what level the market will enter. However, I think those who are making predictions cannot do so irrationally, none of us can say when and in which direction the market will enter. So I think those who are giving positive signals about the market may be moving towards the new year and introducing a higher view of the price of Bitcoin.

[348Judah]

When we are more conversant with most of these social media platforms and do follow some of the public figures and influencers, we are going to see some of their various opinions they are suggesting about the market, not even when you come across the crypto enthusiasts that often speculate on the market or the so called analyst, everyone on the media space are just giving their various opinions on what they feels about the market and we are only encouraged not to trust or be too dependent on them all, we have to work things out for our self and be more involved actively by doing our own research.

[Die_empty]

Why are you surprised by this man's prediction when the man with the highest IQ in the world predicts Bitcoin will reach $220,000 by the end of the year?😆

YoungHoon Kim, widely promoted as the “world’s smartest man” with a claimed IQ of 276, has predicted that Bitcoin could hit $220,000 within the next 45 days.

He made the bold call on November 16 in response to a Grok AI projection that Bitcoin might reach $175,000 by year-end, arguing the rally could unfold much faster as BTC trades around $95,400.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/world-smartest-man-forecasts-bitcoin-140654468.html

He made this statement about a month ago, and Bitcoin still hasn't even reached $90,000. So how can these people expect it to rise to $200,000? It's just foolish prediction.

I remember there was a thread that discussed the prediction of the self-acclaimed "world's smartest man." World's Highest IQ Record Holder says Bitcoin will hit $220,000 in the next 45d .

They are fortunate that giving fake predictions is not a criminal offense . I guess people would have been careful with their analysis and predictions if there was a punishment for giving out these outragous predictions. 

[GeorgeJohn]

The beauty of Bitcoin price speculations is that everybody is entitled to their own opinions and understandings but nobody controls the market on a solid bases. Maybe Arthur Hayes, plans to accumulate Bitcoin massively in March, next year which might cause an upward trend but the question is for how long and will it affect price to skyrocket to $200k? He's probably being emotional for obvious reasons like most of us who expected November and December to be very bullish, we thought that we would have seen ATH between $150k and $200k by now. From the look of things presently I'm not bullish that Bitcoin can reach $200k by March next year but let us watch and see.

Do not give speculation of Bitcoin 100% assurance, many that speculate about the price of Bitcoin does have what it takes to study the market charts of Bitcoin and comprehend it, some does not even make a research and they brought a result, so that should give us the temerity not be every speculation....The speculation of Arthur Hayes is not a good analysis of Bitcoin, because many people research about Bitcoin price is pointing that the price of Bitcoin soon downgrade in values, come 2026, And such results has come from so many speculators....do not believe anyone until you conduct your personal research about Bitcoin, before you compare the ratios.

[SquallLeonhart]

Why Bitcoin Billionaire Arthur Hayes Expects BTC to Hit $200K by March
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-bitcoin-billionaire-arthur-hayes-165050397.html

He meant March of 2026 which is 3 months away.

The time frame that he included must be unreasonable but not the price level in my opinion as well. Yeah, there are lot of possibility still available for bitcoin to be testing 200k level in 2026 but expecting that to happen in next 3 months itself sounding really unreasonable and when we are not touching the $100K level again, any prediction for a new ATH sounding like unreasonable for most of the people here, I agree.

By believing into the bitcoin adapting governments and those big corporates, I am also hopeful about the continuation of bull market in the new year as well because these corporates will never be ready to suffer another bear market with their huge investment in bitcoin. So, we can expect a slow and steady bullish  market in 2026 which may be taking us toward $150k to $200k as well.

[STT]

Its reasonable to him because he has the luxury of not having to care if the scenario doesnt play out, he has time and money to wait for years if need be and either way its a win from his end.
  The unreasonable part is the time limit he places, 3 months is nothing much.  If we came back then and BTC had just gone sideways mostly I wouldnt be exceptionally surprised, it would only be a repeat.

To predict an over double gain in the price he must have better reasoning and at least some fair projection based off the chart, without that its just guessing.  We might as well be talking roulette wheel bets, sure it could happen or not but that not new or useful info.