Why this kind of unreasonable prediction?

[yhiaali3]

Why are you surprised by this man's prediction when the man with the highest IQ in the world predicts Bitcoin will reach $220,000 by the end of the year?😆

YoungHoon Kim, widely promoted as the “world’s smartest man” with a claimed IQ of 276, has predicted that Bitcoin could hit $220,000 within the next 45 days.

He made the bold call on November 16 in response to a Grok AI projection that Bitcoin might reach $175,000 by year-end, arguing the rally could unfold much faster as BTC trades around $95,400.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/world-smartest-man-forecasts-bitcoin-140654468.html

He made this statement about a month ago, and Bitcoin still hasn't even reached $90,000. So how can these people expect it to rise to $200,000? It's just foolish prediction.

[armanda90]

Usually the most influence person predicting will make many people follow and interested to buy bitcoin how Bitmex exchange founder Arthur Hayes predicted bitcoin will hit $200k few months later. Many people nowadays realize about top people predicting and not easily to accept it because easy to manipulate and make people buy but in other side most of them will sell bitcoin. Actually predicting bitcoin will raise $200k just left three months later before March 2026 almost difficult current bitcoin still dump under $90k and really need 100% above for bitcoin break out to reach with Arthur Hayes prediction.
Nowadays many people become predictor of bitcoin price and not all them predicting are true, you can accept it but don't forget own analyst about possibility bitcoin will break out or not, however raise to $200k without four months later bit difficult as usual bitcoin after high recovery always has correction moment.

[ancafe]

To me I think this kind of prediction is unreasonable.

It's a prediction and the results are bound to change and be forever inaccurate. That's how speculative assets work, as they're difficult to predict accurately. What's a little confusing is that the people making the predictions are highly knowledgeable in crypto, so the analysis they use to make them should be much better. Their predictions might be correct, but not for now, as we might see slight discrepancies in their predictions in the future. This is understandable, as almost no one can accurately predict Bitcoin's price, as it's a highly speculative asset.

[Zadicar]

Usually the most influence person predicting will make many people follow and interested to buy bitcoin how Bitmex exchange founder Arthur Hayes predicted bitcoin will hit $200k few months later. Many people nowadays realize about top people predicting and not easily to accept it because easy to manipulate and make people buy but in other side most of them will sell bitcoin. Actually predicting bitcoin will raise $200k just left three months later before March 2026 almost difficult current bitcoin still dump under $90k and really need 100% above for bitcoin break out to reach with Arthur Hayes prediction.
Nowadays many people become predictor of bitcoin price and not all them predicting are true, you can accept it but don't forget own analyst about possibility bitcoin will break out or not, however raise to $200k without four months later bit difficult as usual bitcoin after high recovery always has correction moment.

Influential figures predicting big numbers always move attention whether people like it or not. When someone with a strong reputation makes a bold call it naturally attracts followers and fresh buying interest. At the same time it also creates an opportunity for others to distribute into that optimism. That dual effect is why such predictions feel powerful but also dangerous. They shape sentiment more than they shape reality.

A target like 200k within a few months requires extraordinary conditions. It would need sustained inflows strong macro support and near zero resistance along the way. With Bitcoin struggling below 90k the distance to that level is not just numerical it is structural. Doubling in such a short window would mean ignoring normal market behavior. Historically Bitcoin rarely moves in straight lines after major highs. Corrections consolidation and exhaustion are part of the process.

[hyudien]

Bro, we've seen such absurd predictions before, and even more absurd ones, but that's the reality of predicting crypto assets. Such absurdities aren't necessarily wrong, considering that crypto is a volatile asset, where explosive growth and rapid multiplication are not impossible, including for Bitcoin. Let the famous figures predict as they please, and they usually target their loyal followers, but caution is still important, especially for short-term investors.

[Ever-young]

This type of prediction sometimes what I see is that most of them already know the amount can’t be achieved, but they still choose to predict it that way, maybe if they see bitcoin price reaching 150k or above not up to the predicted $200k they will have to shift the number a bit higher to create some sort of believe on holders which might make them to push their expectations a bit higher while the real target is below the mentioned amount.

[Out of mind]

Currently, people are speculating and predicting Bitcoin. Many people make predictions in various ways to express their feelings. We have seen that the market reached its highest level in 2025 and from here, people's confidence in Bitcoin has increased even more. There are many who have invested in Bitcoin and are preparing to hold it for a long time, they often predict that the market will increase further. Those who invest for a long time and are big holders never think about the market falling, but they think about the market height. I think most people think that the market will enter a higher level towards 2026.
Everyone thinks that the market will give a positive signal in the new year, but we can see that many are indicating $123k, but we cannot yet say exactly at what level the market will enter. However, I think those who are making predictions cannot do so irrationally, none of us can say when and in which direction the market will enter. So I think those who are giving positive signals about the market may be moving towards the new year and introducing a higher view of the price of Bitcoin.