Bitcoin speculation thread for January 2026

[PostQuantumBTC]

I am happy to see Bitcoin price is back to $90k although I have a big doubt that can back to $100k this January 2026. But if this situation still continue and many good news coming, that may push the price to increases and back to $100k or more.

Bitcoin is still finding it hard to go above $90000, the price has falling like $200 below $90000 right now.

But DCA will still good because our target is a long time. We don't think much the price moving because we just focus to our DCA.

This is a very easy layman's method that can be used to buy bitcoin. I have used it before and I make money from it, this is the reason I will also like people to always try it.

[DanWalker]

People kinda getting used to macroeconomic instability and geopolitical instability already. The last time Trump announced inflation the market just moved a little, such a stark contrast if we compare it to the first time Trump announced the tariffs.
The so called japan carry trade dump that people are so worried about turns out to have little effect as well. I think market is more resilient than you think it is and there won't be such massive dump to be frank.

Hopefully what you said is true, that people have kind of gotten used to economic and geopolitical instability. Because of the unusually high prices of precious metals like gold and silver, or the AI bubble has inflated to the point that experts keep issuing warnings. I am concerned that the economy will face significant challenges in 2026, potentially even leading to a global recession. And as we all know, bitcoin has never performed well in an unstable economy.

[SamReomo]

The bullish candles are no more and most we see are bearish candles, thus I believe if such thing continues then we'll see more bearish candles and see Bitcoin's price dropping to $70k to $75k range. I'm not sure if that super cycle will take place or not but I'm pretty sure that it might be the end of current bull run if we see another major dip that might take Bitcoin back to $75k.

[Cityhunter34]

Looking at Bitcoin performance today, I think there is a little shift in what I was expecting for Bitcoin judging from how slow it was in the month of December. If the market continues in this green stage this week, then we might likely see January not go as low as below what we crossed into 2025 with. Maybe we might actually reclaim and hold our ground on the $90k level this January.

Yes, there's a little increase in Bitcoin and there's a high possiblity that Bitcoin would get to k100 this month. Month of December was totally slow for Bitcoin it was just within k87, k88 which many people where panicking about their investment but right now Bitcoin is close to k90 and above, which is a big sign that we should expect more than that before January, already before this time I know that Bitcoin would increase so I'm still looking forward for more.

[yudi09]

What I think is that bitcoin price might later fall this month from what I saw on monthly candles. What do you people think? I might be wrong.

Experiencing an increase from the opening price on January 1. If we start from the opening price on January 1, January 2026 will see an increase, but not a significant one. The increase I am referring to will remain at $90k and will not reach $95k, so Bitcoin's monthly return data will be green in January 2026.

Although it will good to DCA this year and prepare for 2027.

Implementing DCA for longer-term preparation. I am not preparing for January 2027; it could extend to 2028 if I am able to do so.

[Jegileman]

The bullish candles are no more and most we see are bearish candles, thus I believe if such thing continues then we'll see more bearish candles and see Bitcoin's price dropping to $70k to $75k range. I'm not sure if that super cycle will take place or not but I'm pretty sure that it might be the end of current bull run if we see another major dip that might take Bitcoin back to $75k.

Bitcoin movement have been hovering around $80-$90K, and there is no significant effect on the market trying to increase in price anymore. It seems that the momentum that is keeping the market in a more bullish state is over and we will just have to accept that the market will be facing its bearish trend henceforth. We have had a great bull run, so if Bitcoin cannot have another super cycle, then we should be okay with whatever the market has for us now. There is a more probability of a bear run happening now than a bull run. 

[Orpichukwu]

The bullish candles are no more and most we see are bearish candles, thus I believe if such thing continues then we'll see more bearish candles and see Bitcoin's price dropping to $70k to $75k range. I'm not sure if that super cycle will take place or not but I'm pretty sure that it might be the end of current bull run if we see another major dip that might take Bitcoin back to $75k.

Anything that pushes Bitcoin to below $80,000, then we should be sure to see it go down to $75k, which is the predicted starting point of a bear market, and a bear is inevitable this year since Bitcoin managed to survive all the hits last year and maintain a price between $80k and $90k. Now many are predicting it will continue on a bullish trend this new year, but I'm not seeing that last long.

[bbc.reporter]

The Donald's attack on Venezuela and the extraction of Maduro was very good because he has done this on Saturday hehehhe. This implies there will be less dumps and panic on the market.

If the Donald has done this similar to what he has done on Iran, we might witness a big dump on the stock market and this will also cause a big dump on bitcoin.



The U.S. carried out a "large scale" strike against Venezuela and its President Nicolas Maduro, Donald Trump announced early Saturday morning. Maduro and his wife, Trump continued, were captured and flown out of the country.

Crypto prices took a modest hit around 2 a.m. ET on reports of military operations in Venezuela, with bitcoin dipping about 0.5% to $89,300. At press time, just shy of 9 a.m. ET, BTC had returned to just below $90,000.

Read in full https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/01/03/bitcoin-dips-but-quickly-recovers-as-venezuela-s-maduro-captured

[Iranus]

The Donald's attack on Venezuela and the extraction of Maduro was very good because he has done this on Saturday hehehhe. This implies there will be less dumps and panic on the market.

If the Donald has done this similar to what he has done on Iran, we might witness a big dump on the stock market and this will also cause a big dump on bitcoin.

As far as I recall, in the past, even when news related to the trade war was released over the weekend, Bitcoin experienced significant volatility. But surprisingly, hours have passed since news broke about the US invasion of Venezuela, yet the entire market seem largely unconcerned. However, it is still too early to conclude that the market will not be affected because today is not only the weekend but the New Year holiday period has not yet fully ended. At the very least, we need to wait until the beginning of the week when global stock market reopen.

Political and economic instability has never been good for bitcoin and speculative asset. Indeed, it is truly concerning for what is about to unfold.

I had expected Bitcoin to recover to $100k this month, but perhaps I need to reconsider.

[Awaklara]

For the first week of this month, it seems that Bitcoin tends to move upwards. But we have seen similar movements before at the end of last year. And currently, it seems the movement pattern will remain the same. Bitcoin is approaching $92k, which I think will be the highest price for the first week of January. It might still increase, but there could also be a small correction. Throughout January, Bitcoin will probably stay around the $90k range.

[LogitechMouse]

---
What I think is that bitcoin price might later fall this month from what I saw on monthly candles. What do you people think? I might be wrong.

Although it will good to DCA this year and prepare for 2027.

That's what I predicted as well, but looking at the market, it seems like the market is going up gradually.
Price is at $91,000 currently, and there's a chance that it might stay above $90,000 for quite some time.

While I still believe though that the market will enter the TRUE bear market this year, I still expect that we might still be seeing some pumps or gradual increase in the price of Bitcoin and other altcoins in the upcoming weeks. I just don't know when the bear market will start this year, or who knows. We might not even see it happening this year, and if that happens, that's the first time that the 4-year cycle has been broke. It's good to DCA this year ONLY if we will be seeing gradual downwards movement, but right now, we don't see any signs that the market is going down still, but it's the opposite.

Whatever the case is, I hope that all are ready to buy some altcoins or even Bitcoin when the accumulation phase comes. When it will happen? We don't know, but just be ready.

[AbuBhakar]

The Donald's attack on Venezuela and the extraction of Maduro was very good because he has done this on Saturday hehehhe. This implies there will be less dumps and panic on the market.

If the Donald has done this similar to what he has done on Iran, we might witness a big dump on the stock market and this will also cause a big dump on bitcoin.

As far as I recall, in the past, even when news related to the trade war was released over the weekend, Bitcoin experienced significant volatility. But surprisingly, hours have passed since news broke about the US invasion of Venezuela, yet the entire market seem largely unconcerned. However, it is still too early to conclude that the market will not be affected because today is not only the weekend but the New Year holiday period has not yet fully ended. At the very least, we need to wait until the beginning of the week when global stock market reopen.

Political and economic instability has never been good for bitcoin and speculative asset. Indeed, it is truly concerning for what is about to unfold.

I had expected Bitcoin to recover to $100k this month, but perhaps I need to reconsider.

Stock market was closed during weekends so traders on stocks can’t react on the news so same with Bitcoin that it shouldn’t be affected. The scenario now is different since institutional traders was already involved on Bitcoin market so they are also considering the movement of the stocks before they start making a move on Bitcoin market.

Let’s see how the market will react tomorrow when the trading was open on stock market.

Bitcoin price seems pump after the news since some people might think that there will be a negative impact on stocks.

[Lida93]

Although it will good to DCA this year and prepare for 2027.

I had much optimism in the last quarter of 2025 that bitcoin price might rise again above $100k before the year closes, but then my speculation didn't materialize, hence I have taken this year 2026 to be a year of another opportunity to accumulate more bitcoins in our wallets and therefore how price falls shouldn't be a thing of worrying but should be use in buying at a good low price towards when bitcoin price would start rising again in the coming year ahead.

[dezoel]

For the first week of this month, it seems that Bitcoin tends to move upwards. But we have seen similar movements before at the end of last year. And currently, it seems the movement pattern will remain the same. Bitcoin is approaching $92k, which I think will be the highest price for the first week of January. It might still increase, but there could also be a small correction. Throughout January, Bitcoin will probably stay around the $90k range.

So, are you saying that this is only the fragments of last year? If that so, then this increase we are witnessing now won't last a long time. The weekend is almost ending and when I check the price now, we dropped $1k. So you can be right there that $92k seem to be the highest this week and then by Monday and onwards, the price will start or continue on deteriorating.

I guess that is also considered as a small correction at first but time after time a correction can be felt in Bitcoin, this is because it is volatile. I still believe that a true correction should only occur after we hit a good pump. A correction can also be natural and not because people also sell when there is a pump.

[skarais]

~~~

I had much optimism in the last quarter of 2025 that bitcoin price might rise again above $100k before the year closes, but then my speculation didn't materialize, hence I have taken this year 2026 to be a year of another opportunity to accumulate more bitcoins in our wallets and therefore how price falls shouldn't be a thing of worrying but should be use in buying at a good low price towards when bitcoin price would start rising again in the coming year ahead.

There were many wrong predictions throughout the end of 2025, especially if they thought bitcoin would surpass $100k. We never got bitcoin to touch that price last December, but there's still a possibility that it could hit in early 2026. 2026 may not be the best year for the crypto market, including bitcoin, but we never know what will happen. Many people say this will be a bearish year for bitcoin, but anything can happen, but some people definitely hope this year will be even better than the previous one.

[salad daging]

Although it will good to DCA this year and prepare for 2027.

Many predict this year bitcoin will go down because the bullish phase is almost over although nothing is certain, the decline and stagnant prices indicate bitcoin will go down slowly.

Starting DCA now until 2027 will be more profitable, meaning that if it is true that bitcoin is in a downward phase, the average price bought with a good DCA strategy will get a lot of satoshi.

According to the data in X that is shared, halving will be estimated in April 2028, meaning that our accumulation time is still long from now on.

[GreatArkansas]

Although it will good to DCA this year and prepare for 2027.

Many predict this year bitcoin will go down because the bullish phase is almost over although nothing is certain, the decline and stagnant prices indicate bitcoin will go down slowly.

Starting DCA now until 2027 will be more profitable, meaning that if it is true that bitcoin is in a downward phase, the average price bought with a good DCA strategy will get a lot of satoshi.

According to the data in X that is shared, halving will be estimated in April 2028, meaning that our accumulation time is still long from now on.

You still can't guarantee that even if we start doing DCA now, like what if the price falls later this year? So for me, nothing is wrong with DCA, especially since we are already in sideways, that's super fine. What's another good thing is we will have long term perspective where even you start DCA anytime, and your plan is to hold long term, that is way more better.

[Swordsoffreedom]

I had much optimism in the last quarter of 2025 that bitcoin price might rise again above $100k before the year closes, but then my speculation didn't materialize, hence I have taken this year 2026 to be a year of another opportunity to accumulate more bitcoins in our wallets and therefore how price falls shouldn't be a thing of worrying but should be use in buying at a good low price towards when bitcoin price would start rising again in the coming year ahead.

Not just you, we're all optimistic and believe Bitcoin will return to $100k before the end of this year. But things didn't turn out as we expected.

That could be why, in topics about the bitcoin trend survey, the majority indicate that the market will decline this year. It seems like everyone has completely lost faith and no longer wants to place too much hope in the market, including me. Instead of discussing when to take profits, most people plan to continue holding and buy more.

However, do you think there will be any surprises? What I mean is the market always moves against the expectations of the majority. When the crowd is overly excited and expects the market to rise, the market usually falls. Conversely, most people are currently waiting for a bear market, which is more likely to lead to a sudden price increase. Is that possible?

[Barikui1]

Although it will good to DCA this year and prepare for 2027.

I had much optimism in the last quarter of 2025 that bitcoin price might rise again above $100k before the year closes, but then my speculation didn't materialize, hence I have taken this year 2026 to be a year of another opportunity to accumulate more bitcoins in our wallets and therefore how price falls shouldn't be a thing of worrying but should be use in buying at a good low price towards when bitcoin price would start rising again in the coming year ahead.

Honestly speaking, I never expected Bitcoin to climb above the $100k mark anytime soon because if you look at the chart and the price movement on the monthly timeframe, it's very obvious that it's not done retesting $84k and $78k support level, so till it's done retesting those point, Bitcoin might never cross above $96k mark.
As for this year 2026, I really don't know what the future holds because no one can predict perfectly well on how the future of Bitcoin might plays out, but one thing I know is that since Bitcoin is an asset that appreciates in value overtime, the reasonable thing we should be doing is to buy and accumulate it now that the market is down, in a few years time from now, we are going to thankful to ourselves that we took the right steps now that it's still very cheap.

[Furball808]

Although it will good to DCA this year and prepare for 2027.

I had much optimism in the last quarter of 2025 that bitcoin price might rise again above $100k before the year closes, but then my speculation didn't materialize, hence I have taken this year 2026 to be a year of another opportunity to accumulate more bitcoins in our wallets and therefore how price falls shouldn't be a thing of worrying but should be use in buying at a good low price towards when bitcoin price would start rising again in the coming year ahead.

Bitcoin is already over $90k. As per coingecko, it’s $92,645 right now. Will it continue its momentum like this? If so, I am sure lots would say they regret not buying when bitcoin was down at $80k few weeks ago.