BTC Sentiment Poll for 2026

[arwin100]

I consider this positive news because it's a small confirmation that the price is likely to go up now, not down. It has something to rely on. However, if we hit resistance, it would most likely lead to a decline.

Let's see what happens with the daily candlestick.

Mid August we entered a new range for the sideways market. It is between $75k and $85k approximately (the two white horizontal lines in the chart below). It went above it for a little while but wasn't able to gain a momentum to turn into a bigger rise so now we are coming back down to the bottom level of that range.

That $75k - $85k price seems to be the new battleground since mid august. It seems that lots of buyers tries to see if the momentum is sustainable.

But without solid support the market fells and that's actually what we are seeing nowadays.

The real interesting factor to see if we could see Bitcoin to hold at $75k if the price drop again at that range. Because if it happens maybe that's great deciding factor for possible next movement on the price of Bitcoin.

[pooya87]

The second negative event is Anthropic's IPO, also in November, which will lead to a loss of liquidity for Bitcoin.

It is going to be an interesting thing to watch. So far they are referring to it as "ridiculous" and it is ridiculous and I've to believe that AI in general is in a massive bubble right now. The companies are losing money (more like hemorrhaging money) so it is interesting to see how much longer they can keep this up and how it will affect other markets.

[LuckyCrypto777]

2) In general, I don't see any negative events that could lead to dumping a price of BTC in October, unless it occurs as a correction for organic growth in the future.
But in terms of fundamental analysis, the US midterm elections aren't until November, and that's was an event when the decline began in all previous cycles (four years).

The second negative event is Anthropic's IPO, also in November, which will lead to a loss of liquidity for Bitcoin.

But October seems to be empty for such events.

Well, there are still some negative points this month, considering BTC has already fallen below $81k today, which is a bad sign. Judging by the chart, the uptrend line that began back in mid-August has been broken to the downside. Although there's still a long way to go until the end of October, it looks like we may see another "Downtober" instead of the much-anticipated "Uptober."

The current $700 million in outflows from Bitcoin ETFs over the last two days makes your scenario possible if it continues.

The second negative event is Anthropic's IPO, also in November, which will lead to a loss of liquidity for Bitcoin.

It is going to be an interesting thing to watch. So far they are referring to it as "ridiculous" and it is ridiculous and I've to believe that AI in general is in a massive bubble right now. The companies are losing money (more like hemorrhaging money) so it is interesting to see how much longer they can keep this up and how it will affect other markets.

I do not know if there is any "efficiency ratio of invested money in corporations." But if it exists, then it tends to zero in AI giants.
IPO... Why else do they need money?

But we know that speculators will still try to invest there. And you know what I thought: if they quickly exit these AI investments, it will show us that they, like us, see a bubble and are wary of it. And that money will return to Bitcoin.

By the way, there are reports that AI analysts are already developing a scenario for what will happen if the bubble bursts. The timeframe is 6-12 months.

AI analysts aren't just modeling worst-case scenarios, they're also racing to educate members of Congress. Tech giants understand that getting tough legislation through Washington right now is impossible. But their main goal is to formulate the bills and rules of the game in advance, which American authorities will inevitably turn to immediately after the first major disaster.

[tokeweed]

Oh damn...  The market is getting a little bit more interesting again.  I should've made a monthly sentiment poll for October with the same question I asked last month.    It might have caught most of everybody offside again.  Lolol.

But yeah, I got lazy and thought a monthly sentiment poll won't be needed anymore since the market is starting to trend up and the vibes are improving.  Looks like I might be wrong.

[SatsPH]

Oh damn...  The market is getting a little bit more interesting again.  I should've made a monthly sentiment poll for October with the same question I asked last month.    It might have caught most of everybody offside again.  Lolol.

But yeah, I got lazy and thought a monthly sentiment poll won't be needed anymore since the market is starting to trend up and the vibes are improving.  Looks like I might be wrong.

Yeah, not sure what happens, when we really thought that we are out of the bear market, suddenly the market is not moving on the direction that we wanted to see. Just a few days ago, we are in the brink of hitting $85k again, but now it goes down to $81k.

I guess we should really be too confident and relax this month. Who knows, we might see it breaking down again and then the market going into the negative after a couple of months ending with green candle.

[yudi09]

Oh damn...  The market is getting a little bit more interesting again.  I should've made a monthly sentiment poll for October with the same question I asked last month.    It might have caught most of everybody offside again.  Lolol.

But yeah, I got lazy and thought a monthly sentiment poll won't be needed anymore since the market is starting to trend up and the vibes are improving.  Looks like I might be wrong.

I was actually waiting for your October poll, but it never came. Still, that’s okay—even though the monthly polls always spark interesting discussions with various speculations about how the results are presented. Whether the market goes up or down is another aspect that’s fascinating to hear about.

We’re already halfway through October, and the market hasn’t shown much of a downward trend. But as for 2026, we’re very close to the end of the year. If you were to plot a price chart for these 10 months of 2026, the line would certainly trend more upward than downward. Do you see that?

[tokeweed]

^  Yeah I'm gonna do one for November.  And since there's only a couple of months left for the year, I already got an idea what to ask in the poll and I think it's gonna be fun for you guys...    And remember, the polls aren't for predicting stuff and getting them right.  It's for how you really feel about the market when you're making the vote.  It's the sentiment that counts more as it sparks more discussions and arguments. 

More fun. 

[arwin100]

Oh damn...  The market is getting a little bit more interesting again.  I should've made a monthly sentiment poll for October with the same question I asked last month.    It might have caught most of everybody offside again.  Lolol.

But yeah, I got lazy and thought a monthly sentiment poll won't be needed anymore since the market is starting to trend up and the vibes are improving.  Looks like I might be wrong.

Yeah, not sure what happens, when we really thought that we are out of the bear market, suddenly the market is not moving on the direction that we wanted to see. Just a few days ago, we are in the brink of hitting $85k again, but now it goes down to $81k.

I guess we should really be too confident and relax this month. Who knows, we might see it breaking down again and then the market going into the negative after a couple of months ending with green candle.

Well that how it moves nowadays, then it seems that bullish runs became short live and Bitcoin back on its stable state.

I believe after seeing those decent jumps happened last month, many think that it could finally hit the $90k price target. Many people actually talks about this situation to happen before. But market have other plans and Bitcoin seems love to stay at his current figure. 

Don't know if we can expect some green lines next month, but have good feeling in that month maybe we could see Bitcoin finally reached that price again.

[Swordsoffreedom]

Oh damn...  The market is getting a little bit more interesting again.  I should've made a monthly sentiment poll for October with the same question I asked last month.    It might have caught most of everybody offside again.  Lolol.

But yeah, I got lazy and thought a monthly sentiment poll won't be needed anymore since the market is starting to trend up and the vibes are improving.  Looks like I might be wrong.

Yeah, not sure what happens, when we really thought that we are out of the bear market, suddenly the market is not moving on the direction that we wanted to see. Just a few days ago, we are in the brink of hitting $85k again, but now it goes down to $81k.

I guess we should really be too confident and relax this month. Who knows, we might see it breaking down again and then the market going into the negative after a couple of months ending with green candle.

Market does not move the way we want it to. We are the ones who have to adapt to the market, not the other way around.

As investors , we should always have plan for different scenarios instead of betting on one outcome and hoping it'll play out the way we want . But sadly , that is what most of us do, and that's why we keep getting disappointed whenever the market turns against  us .

Hope isn't a strategy in investing, yet plenty of us are doing just that, lol.

[Zaka1221]

Market does not move the way we want it to. We are the ones who have to adapt to the market, not the other way around.

As investors , we should always have plan for different scenarios instead of betting on one outcome and hoping it'll play out the way we want . But sadly , that is what most of us do, and that's why we keep getting disappointed whenever the market turns against  us .

Hope isn't a strategy in investing, yet plenty of us are doing just that, lol.

The market is always on a level where it's never been easy to predict its movement. Geopolitics is playing its role because just because of this energy crisis is increasing, and people are also facing many problems that are having an impact on the bitcoin price.
Even though the price is still on a good level, there are high costs to stay on this level with sentiments that are positive, which means it could have a good increase in the long run.
 Investors always need to have their strategy, which never hurts their funds and also gives them relief because it's always important that the market never stay on a level where we want to show, but it's clearly looking good. I am expecting it's going to have a positive outcome in the near future.

[dwyane36]

We’re already halfway through October, and the market hasn’t shown much of a downward trend. But as for 2026, we’re very close to the end of the year. If you were to plot a price chart for these 10 months of 2026, the line would certainly trend more upward than downward. Do you see that?

It may be insignificant for now, but a downward trend is still evident in October. The monthly candle is still in the red zone. And although a correction after several months of growth is quite normal, I wouldn't rule out the possibility that the second half of October could bring increased volatility and, consequently, a deeper correction.

[BluebloodCXVI]

We’re already halfway through October, and the market hasn’t shown much of a downward trend. But as for 2026, we’re very close to the end of the year. If you were to plot a price chart for these 10 months of 2026, the line would certainly trend more upward than downward. Do you see that?

It may be insignificant for now, but a downward trend is still evident in October. The monthly candle is still in the red zone. And although a correction after several months of growth is quite normal, I wouldn't rule out the possibility that the second half of October could bring increased volatility and, consequently, a deeper correction.

Well after the whole long stretch of low volatility gains that happened in the last few weeks, this kinda fade doesn’t really come to me as a surprise.
As a matter of fact i think that the second half of this month still looks pretty much vulnerable, and if volatility happens to pick up from here, the pull back may just easily extend further before any real stabilization in the market can show up.

[Just Say]

Yeah, not sure what happens, when we really thought that we are out of the bear market, suddenly the market is not moving on the direction that we wanted to see. Just a few days ago, we are in the brink of hitting $85k again, but now it goes down to $81k.

I guess we should really be too confident and relax this month. Who knows, we might see it breaking down again and then the market going into the negative after a couple of months ending with green candle.

Bitcoin price is stuck in a downtrend but we are already halfway through October and yet the Bitcoin market is showing no signs of bullish influence. Even before the start of October, many speculated that it was historically positive for Bitcoin because according to history, the price of Bitcoin has increased a lot in this month in previous years as well.

A few weeks ago the price of Bitcoin was on the verge of reaching close to 90k dollars but today it is seen that the price of this currency has dropped to 81k dollars. Originally, US wholesale inflation came in much higher than expected on October 15, and we feel that Bitcoin prices have fallen sharply this October as a continuation of selling pressure throughout the week.

[STT]

Half the volume in the initial sell is just leverage unwinding, I wouldn't put too much faith in that unless it proves consistent.  Much of the trading is back and forth like waves, it doesn't mean its advancing anywhere especially even while moving.

   We do see today the BTC price will close below the 50 day average and also its the end of a weekly bar which I suppose helps to seal the deal and retain some of the bearish action into the next cycle of trading during the trading week.

   We broke above the 200 day average mid August and have not looked back since, if its going lower it might be we need to visit lost friends at such a juncture.
  Annual average is closer and would be a lighter sell, so that's the first downside target about 77 to 76k.   The bullish end to the year is meeting mid August prices here and finding support.
  More bearish rout to end 2026 is a full respite from the good fight to rest in the region of 200 day simple moving average.

[Dave1]

The second negative event is Anthropic's IPO, also in November, which will lead to a loss of liquidity for Bitcoin.

It is going to be an interesting thing to watch. So far they are referring to it as "ridiculous" and it is ridiculous and I've to believe that AI in general is in a massive bubble right now. The companies are losing money (more like hemorrhaging money) so it is interesting to see how much longer they can keep this up and how it will affect other markets.

I think those companies that are leaving Bitcoin or crypto market in general and putting their money on AI might sacrifice a lot of their potential returns on Bitcoin. But we can't blame them as AI is a hype and as you have said, a bubble that we have seen before and it could be similar to the dot com bubble of the 2000.

And after the market has settled down and the it died down, everyone is still going to go to Bitcoin. And it just gets me thinking that this could be the next catalyst for the next bull run 2028/29 when companies realize that they have made a mistakes selling their Bitcoin to AI as they will have to FOMO again before the bull run hits us and recording another all time high. And that is the ironic part.

[dwyane36]

A few weeks ago the price of Bitcoin was on the verge of reaching close to 90k dollars but today it is seen that the price of this currency has dropped to 81k dollars. Originally, US wholesale inflation came in much higher than expected on October 15, and we feel that Bitcoin prices have fallen sharply this October as a continuation of selling pressure throughout the week.

Well, just the other day, the BTC price dipped even below $80k, but only for a moment. Fortunately, this time the bulls were able to defend that level, and the price has bounced back up slightly for now. But the question is, will it last? As you correctly pointed out, there's still selling pressure there, while the BTC price is still just below the downtrend line that began in early October.

[DanWalker]

I think those companies that are leaving Bitcoin or crypto market in general and putting their money on AI might sacrifice a lot of their potential returns on Bitcoin. But we can't blame them as AI is a hype and as you have said, a bubble that we have seen before and it could be similar to the dot com bubble of the 2000.

And after the market has settled down and the it died down, everyone is still going to go to Bitcoin. And it just gets me thinking that this could be the next catalyst for the next bull run 2028/29 when companies realize that they have made a mistakes selling their Bitcoin to AI as they will have to FOMO again before the bull run hits us and recording another all time high. And that is the ironic part.

I agree AI is hyped up to some extent. But I wouldn't rush to call it another dotcom bubble. Since AI has already proven its real value through plenty of product and app people actually use everyday.

I also wouldn't  jump to the  conclusion that companies  selling BTC for AI  are gonna  regret it or  lose money. Nobody knows how the  future plays out, and those companies might  have way more  investing  experience and research firepower than we do.  So we shouldn't be too quick to judge them just because they do not share our investment approach .

And if the AI bubble does burst, do you really think that money will rotate into Bitcoin? I don't buy that.