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Author Topic: The ultimate battle royale for BTC price prediction | sponsored by 🌐 Bridgoro  (Read 7270 times)
Halab (OP)
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I find your lack of faith in BTC disturbing.


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January 12, 2026, 01:24:15 PM
Merited by LoyceV (12), n0nce (12), klarki (11), TryNinja (5), cryptofrka (5), Vispilio (5), icopress (5), paid2 (4), Pmalek (3), JayJuanGee (1), mv1986 (1), GazetaBitcoin (1), Peanutswar (1), promise444c5 (1), ESG (1)
 #1




A masked man with a distorted voice has a message for you :


Dear Bitcointalker
 
You don't know me, just call me The Game Master. I have traveled all around the world looking for people willing to participate in a little game, and I have often been told that this forum is the home to the most audacious, courageous people, ready to do almost anything to win few satoshis.
 
What I have to offer is a battle royale where only the last survivor will win the big prize. All you have to do is correctly predict the price of Bitcoin over several rounds. But it's not about being the best predictor or trader, just about being better than the worst participant. Simple, right ? Oh, and by the way, there might be some surprises. Good ones and sometimes... bad ones. I make the rules.
 
Do you have the nerve to sign up ? If so, see with my assistant, Halab, below for explanations and technical details.

Feel free to spread this news !




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 CCECASH 
Halab (OP)
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I find your lack of faith in BTC disturbing.


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January 12, 2026, 01:24:24 PM
Last edit: March 10, 2026, 11:52:05 AM by Halab
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)
 #2

Hello everyone.

So here are a few explanations :
 
What is this game all about ?
It's a BTC price prediction contest, but longer and more chaotic, because it's a battle royale.
There will be several rounds, and some rounds will have additional rules to spice things up.

Do I have to pay anything to participate in this game?
It's free.
 
What's the prize ?
Thanks to the generosity of Bridgoro.com, the winner will win 4 mBTC.
There will be only one winner.
 
When does it start ?
Be ready at the beginning of February.
 
How long will it last ?
I can't organize short contests, but this one shouldn't last a year (at least I hope not).
The duration will depend on the number of participants. The more of us there are, the longer it will be.
 
Who can participate ?
Anyone as long as you have reached the Member rank.
You must have received 5 merits between the last 120 days and just before this post.
You must not have any legitimate negative feedback from a DT member (I will decide whether or not a feedback is legitimate).
No multi-accounts, thank you.
Registration end date: 31/01/2026 11:59pm (Paris time).
 
How does it work ?
At the start of the game, you have 2 lifes.
If you are really good, you can have up to 3 lifes.
If you lose all your lifes (or even if you have 0.5 lifes left), you are eliminated from the game.
 
If you predicted the closest price to the deadline, you will win the equivalent of half a life that can be purchased in the cash shop.
 
If you predicted the price furthest from the deadline, you will lose a life.
 
In case of a tie, there is no tiebreaker.
 
How does a round work ?
A round normally lasts around 5 days.
 
Day 0: Announcement of the thread closing date and the date by which the BTC price must be predicted. Announcement of any additional rules.
 
Period during which participants make their predictions.
Period during which purchases in the cash shop are possible.
 
Day 3: Thread closed. Participants' predictions recorded and summarized. Thread reopened.

Period during which purchases in the cash shop are not possible.
 
Day 5: End of the round. Announcement of the results. And a new round begins.
 
Depending on my availability, the length of each period may vary slightly.
I will set up countdown timers so that you have the most accurate information regarding deadlines.
 
How is the BTC price determined for a round ?
The price that will determine the round is the one shown on the CoinGecko website, the closing price. Pay attention to your time zone. I believe that for Paris time, the closing time appears at 1 AM (Day+1). For US time, it should be 6 PM. For Asia, it should be early morning (D+1).
 
How does the cash shop work ?
In addition to the lifes you can gain or lose, you can earn virtual money that can be used to buy bonus/malus in the cash shop (see below).
Once you have enough money to buy a bonus/malus, simply mention it in a post and the effect will be applied immediately. The money is, of course, deducted from your virtual cash balance.
 
How to make your prediction?
Once the round is open, simply post the BTC price you think it will reach at the end of the round.
 
Since I can't monitor every post and every prediction, you are allowed to edit your prediction. But be careful, once the thread is locked, it will be too late.
If you miss a round, you automatically lose a life (too bad if it was your last one).
 
Is this game right for me ?
Because of the chaotic rules, the cash shop, and the potential interaction with other players, your experience with the game may lead to frustration and vexation. If you can't handle these feelings, please don't sign up. Seriously.
If your participation creates drama, I will not accept you into my future games.
And I reserve the right to exclude you from this contest with or without warning. In all circumstances, please stay fair-play.
 
Tips and tricks :
Sometimes you will need quick answers, so don't hesitate to use the forum's internal tools (watch or notify) or external notification tools (TryNinja or LoyceV, etc...).
Dont't forget to set your local time zone (Profile > Look and Layout Preferences > Time Offset > Auto detect).

PS :
Yes, the Game Master is a complete asshole, but don't take his words seriously. He's just here for the show. No, I am not schizophrenic Smiley.
Thanks to Icopress and Bidgoro for sponsoring this game. I hope you enjoy it.

If you have any questions, please do not hesitate to ask.
 
Inspirations: This post, Battle Royale (the movie), Squid Game, Zerator's ZLAN (a large multi-game LAN organized by a french streamer with sometimes unpredictable rules). The werewolves of miller's hollow.
Image of the Game Master generated by AI because I have no artistic talent.

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 CCECASH 
Halab (OP)
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I find your lack of faith in BTC disturbing.


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January 12, 2026, 01:24:31 PM
Last edit: March 27, 2026, 01:30:21 PM by Halab
 #3

Cash shop OPEN  

Rewards : 50BTC for the best predictor of a round
 
100BTC : +1 extra life (max 3).
50BTC: 1 cancellation of penalties imposed by another player.
75BTC: 0.75% bonus on your next prediction.
50BTC: 0.50% bonus on your next prediction.
20BTC: 0.25% bonus on your next prediction.
50BTC: 0.75% malus on another player's next prediction.
25BTC: 0.50% malus on another player's next prediction.
10BTC: 0.25% malus on another player's next prediction.
40BTC: The selected player (it could be yourself) must make 2 predictions in the next round (500$ minimum difference). The best prediction will be considered.
30BTC: The selected player must make 2 predictions in the next round (500$ minimum difference). The worst prediction will be considered.

Purchases in the cash shop are only possible during the prediction period (start of the round => topic lock).

NEW : Before you are eliminated (during a prediction period), you can trade an item you own for BTC. The item will be transferred to the buyer.

Maybe more to come.
Just to be clear, BTC earned in this game are purely virtual (except for the final reward).



A brief explanation of bonus/malus :

For example, if you have a 3% bonus, you predict that the price of BTC will be 100 000$.
If the price at the end of the round is 110 000, your final prediction will be 100,000$ + 3% = 103 000$.
If the price at the end of the round is 90 000, your final prediction will be 100 000$ - 3% = 97 000$.
If the price at the end of the round is 101 000, your final prediction will be 101 000$.

The same rule applies to malus. Your final prediction will be X% away from the price reached by BTC at the end of the round.

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 CCECASH 
Halab (OP)
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I find your lack of faith in BTC disturbing.


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January 12, 2026, 01:24:37 PM
Last edit: April 16, 2026, 05:50:17 AM by Halab
Merited by Danydee (1)
 #4

List of participants :

   Name      Life(s)      BTC      Comment   
   cryptofrka            20         
   ESG               50         
   examplens               30         
   Hypnotizer               25   Duel card
   Leahized         ♥♥      97   Hunter's card
   LoyceV         ♥♥      75      
   Pmalek               0         
   xLays                    68   Last Will card
                        

Eliminated :
   Name   
Mr. Magkaisa    
Danydee    
GazetaBitcoin   
Doan9269  
promise444c5

Missing in action :      
Name   
notblox1      
Woodie       
Ambatman
memehunter       
philipma1957
mv1986
Becassine
TryNinja
BABY SHOES
LogitechMouse
      

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 CCECASH 
Halab (OP)
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January 12, 2026, 01:24:50 PM
Last edit: April 19, 2026, 03:20:11 PM by Halab
 #5

Registration is now open !

End of registration : https://www.tickcounter.com/countdown/9145951/my-countdown



Logs :

Round 1: Warm-up
Winner : LogitechMouse => +50BTC
Last : Becassine => -1 life  
Did not participate : Ambatman, memehunter, mv1986, philipma1957 : -1 life
Withdrawal : notblox1, Woodie => MIA

Round 2 : The blockchain-lottery
Winner : TryNinja => +50BTC      
Last : Mr. Magkaisa => -1 life
Did not participate : Ambatman, memehunter, philipma1957 => MIA

Round 3 : The round of love
Winner : LoyceV => +50BTC
Last : xLays => -1 life
Bonus for round 4 : Mr. Magkaisa : 0.5%
Malus for round 4 : examplens : 0.5%
Did not participate : mv1986 => MIA

Round 4 : Quad Damage activated !
Winner : xLays => +50BTC
Last : cryptofrka => -1 life
examplens : 0.75% malus for R5
LogitechMouse : 0.50% malus for R5
ESG : 0.25% malus for R5
Did not participate : Hypnotizer and TryNinja : -1 life

Round 5 : The not so boring round provided by xLays
xLays paid 50BTC to give a 0.50% malus to Becassine and cryptofrka   (+10BTC refunded)
Winner : Leahized => +50BTC    
Last : Mr. Magkaisa => Eliminated
DNP : BABY SHOES, Danydee => -1 life. Becassine, TryNinja => MIA

Round 6 : The poisoned malus
10BTC given to cryptofrka for his big balls.
Winner : GazetaBitcoin => +50BTC
cryptofrka : 1.25% p.malus
BABY SHOES : 1% p.malus
Doan9269 : 0.75% p.malus

Round 7 : The double prediction round
Winner : Leahized => +25BTC + owner of the Hunter's card
Last : Doan9269 => -1 life
The cash shop will be closed ~24 hours after the results of round 7 are announced and until the end of round 8.
DNP : GazetaBitcoin and LogitechMouse => -1 life
cryptofrka : 1% p.malus
BABY SHOES : 0.75% p.malus
Doan9269 : 0.50% p.malus

Round 8 : The round of the last will
Winner : xLays => +50BTC + owner of the card of the last will
Last : promise444c5
DNP : BABY SHOES and LogitechMouse => -1 life => MIA
cryptofrka : 0.75% p.malus
Doan9269 : 0.25% p.malus

Round 9 : The great rebalancing
Winner : Hypnotizer
Last : Danydee => -1 life => Eliminated
cryptofrka : 0.50% p.malus
Doan9269 : 0% p.malus

Round 10 : The blind round
xLays paid 12BTC to give a 0.50% malus to LoyceV
LoyceV paid 15BTC to make xLays 2 predictions
Winner : Hypnotizer => +50BTC
Last : ESG => -1 life
cryptofrka : 0.25% p.malus

Round 11 :The long risky round
Winner : Hypnotizer => +25BTC + owner of the Duel Card
Last : GazetaBitcoin => -1 life => Eliminated
cryptofrka : => 0% p.malus => +10BTC
ESG : +20BTC
LoyceV : +15BTC      
Leahized : +10BTC  

Round 12 : It's for a friend
Winner : Leahized => +50BTC
Last : Pmalek => -1 life

Round 13 : The distribution of Hypnotizer
Winner : LoyceV => +50BTC
Last : Hypnotizer => -1 life

Round 14 : The Bloody round
Protected : Hypnotizer
Winner : xLays => +50BTC
Last : promise444c5, Doan9269 => -1 life
DNP : examplens => -1 life

Round 15 : The Bloody round strikes back
Protected : cryptofrka
Winner :
Last :


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LoyceV
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January 12, 2026, 02:12:25 PM
Merited by philipma1957 (1)
 #6

I'll join specificially for the frustration and vexation!

But it's not about being the best predictor or trader, just about being better than the worst participant. Simple, right ?
I'm usually hopelessly bullish, so this isn't as simple as you make it sound Tongue

Cash shop  

Rewards : 50$ for the best predictor of a round
May I suggest to turn the virtual money into Bitcoin (50BTC), to stay in line with forum rules and to increase the frustration for not being real?

¡uʍop ǝpᴉsdn pɐǝɥ ɹnoʎ ɥʇᴉʍ ʎuunɟ ʞool no⅄
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January 12, 2026, 04:01:17 PM
 #7


Who can participate ?
Anyone as long as you have reached the Member rank.
You must have received 5 merits between the last 120 days and just before this post.

I am really good. Please give 3 lives.

doggywin, the one and only

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January 12, 2026, 04:32:02 PM
 #8

-If I can, I'd like to participate.

🎱🎱🎱
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January 12, 2026, 06:39:19 PM
 #9

I’m in

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January 12, 2026, 11:28:10 PM
 #10

BTC prediction battle royale? Sounds great Grin

Joining as well Smiley

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January 13, 2026, 12:17:36 AM
 #11

(?)
-awaiting details about this part... lol....
 Cheesy

Cash shop  
-  -- ---    ---       ---   --  -- -
  - -   ---  --   ---   ----   
-  -  --   -  ---  .... of penalties imposed by another player.   
-  --  ---  ----   ----   -   ---   ---   --- -
   "         '      ''          '             ''         ''
   '  "    "        "           "             "          "
.  .......
Maybe more to come.
Just to be clear, BTC earned in this game are purely virtual (except for the final reward).
...~...

🎱🎱🎱
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January 13, 2026, 05:32:28 AM
 #12

Do I just have to say I'm in?

Because I'm in. Grin

 
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January 13, 2026, 05:36:21 AM
 #13

Count me in.

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January 13, 2026, 08:55:20 AM
 #14

Am in

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January 13, 2026, 09:27:05 AM
 #15

I'm in.

Add my name to the participants list.

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January 13, 2026, 12:15:00 PM
 #16

Hey Halab, I also want to participate.

I have to confess, I am a bit confused by the rules, but I hope things will get con-fused at some point Smiley

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mv1986
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January 13, 2026, 01:12:07 PM
 #17

Hey Halab,

sounds fun, I am in!

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January 14, 2026, 09:12:00 AM
 #18

I would like to frustrate myself and everyone else. I will play.

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January 14, 2026, 09:18:42 AM
 #19

To increase the frustration: how about allowing new participants to join with just 1 life during the game, as long as nobody has lost more than 1 life?

¡uʍop ǝpᴉsdn pɐǝɥ ɹnoʎ ɥʇᴉʍ ʎuunɟ ʞool no⅄
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I find your lack of faith in BTC disturbing.


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January 14, 2026, 10:13:43 AM
Last edit: February 06, 2026, 03:38:42 PM by Halab
 #20

To increase the frustration: how about allowing new participants to join with just 1 life during the game, as long as nobody has lost more than 1 life?

You mean once the game has started ? The problem, spoiler alert, is that after the first round, someone will lose a life.
For your idea to work, we would need to start with three lifes, but that would make the game longer.
Let's keep it "simple" for now Smiley. We will discuss about it at the end of this game. This game is the first version, and I hope there will be others (I am considering a two-player version in the future).

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