If the war breaks out in Europe, what happens to Bitcoin?

[Crypto Library]

I always wondered if the threat from US such as taking Greenland member of NATO by another NATO country will break Europe in pieces and it will definetely shake the markets, what are the bets? I know a lot people say best investment will be gold, but you wont be able to escape country with golden bars possibly but with crypto you can just with hardware wallet or software wallet. I am considering to trade these markets either long gold short term but long term long Bitcoin what is your take?

I don't think such a big disaster is going to happen now because Europe has taken a strong position against the USA on Greenland. At this stage, we have seen that Europe has also canceled financial deals with America, initially bringing Donald Trump to the weakest position from his previous position on Greenland. And now I don't think Donald Trump will go and forcefully take over Greenland.
And if it can be done, perhaps Donald Trump himself has guessed the outcome. I personally think that if Donald Trump goes too far with Greenland, there is a possibility that World War III will start, just as we saw Hitler do in World War II. However, there is nothing to be too concerned about with Bitcoin. It is natural that after the bull season, there will be a bear season. However, if there is a major global economic recession, since the crypto market is currently part of it, the effect it will have is also natural.

[aylabadia05]

I always wondered if the threat from US such as taking Greenland member of NATO by another NATO country will break Europe in pieces and it will definetely shake the markets, what are the bets? I know a lot people say best investment will be gold, but you wont be able to escape country with golden bars possibly but with crypto you can just with hardware wallet or software wallet. I am considering to trade these markets either long gold short term but long term long Bitcoin what is your take?

Market prices will decline. This applies to all markets.
Chaos will ensue and people will try to save their assets. Physical assets other than gold may not be salvageable due to the destructive explosion. Even the gold owned by the people there will be difficult to save. Those who store their assets in Bitcoin may be saved because they only need to retrieve their seed phrase and related information to access their Bitcoin wallet. Another possibility is that if the internet is completely shut down, they will not panic because once they are able to save themselves, they will be able to access their Bitcoin when they are outside of Europe.
This may seem like a very basic assumption, but that is what I think.

[Woodie]

From some of the discussions I have read bordering around Bitcoin and wars, some users have noted that whenever the USA or these countries currently dealing with some kind of conflict, price of Bitcoin sometimes goes up almost like the same thing that happened to the price per barrel of Oil which was almost like manipulation of these markets.. so in a way, the war could be done to push an agenda beyond land disputes.

[justinlamode]

I do not believe that war is going to break out in Europe among NATO members, the level of hate between these nations have not gotten to a point that war will break out. What we are seeing as tension will be settle diplomatically. There will be show of strength for sure but they will know when to settle because NATO cannot afford to be divided at this point and if Europe lose the support of the US, no one can predict what Russia will do because US is still a deterrent to Russia.

[yhiaali3]

As long as Trump remains in the White House, the chances of war breaking out exist not only in Europe but throughout the world, and a third world war is not out of the question.

In any case, in such difficult circumstances, people used to turn to gold and other precious assets. Today, Bitcoin has become one of the best of these precious assets.

Personally, I prefer to diversify my choices between gold and Bitcoin because, in the event of a third world war and a complete internet and power outage, it might be difficult to access my Bitcoin wallet.

The way Trump is handling the Security of the World is with Diplomacy, Trump have set up a World Peace Board, I don’t think if he is interested in causing a war he wouldn’t be interested in setting up a Peace Board, Trump is mostly interested in bringing peace to the world he has ended 8 wars and he is very enthusiastic about ending the Russia and Ukraine war, I understand he is very concerned about taking Greenland but not in a ugly way of fighting over it, he wants it to be given to him, because if America doesn’t take it, Russia and China would be ready to take it, and Trump needs to protect the Arctics, The White House isn’t ready to create any war. However I understand that if a war should breakout most people will be mostly interested in taking their bitcoin for gold, considering that they might not have access to their bitcoin online and they can see there gold and silver physically, because of internet and power outages like you have mentioned that would be a challenge to hold bitcoin, if a war happens.

You truly believe that Trump is a dove of peace seeking to bring peace to the world?
Do you consider arresting Maduro, bombing Iran, and raising tariffs on China by more than 100% to be diplomacy?! Is this Trump's diplomacy, the one that he claims is "primarily concerned with achieving world peace"?

Does Trump really need to protect the Arctic? Or does he need the rich resources of Greenland, even though Greenlanders are resentful of Trump's attempts, with many feeling disrespected by his efforts to buy or control their land?

[SquallLeonhart]

There is a war in Europe. Russia and Ukraine is a war in Europe no matter how many of the lands Russia has is considered in Asia. Ukraine is a European nation and we have seen a lot of damaging stuff economically in Europe because of it. Between tariffs, bans, gas deals broken, Russian accounts suspended and many more, we have seen this be an issue for Europe and that is the war we are going to see.

What other type of war do you expect, like nukes on France or something, of course that's not going to happen. Tens of thousands of people die every month from both sides and that is considered a war, there are lands where nobody lives and only military is attacking each other and this is financially a burden for all of Europe.

[Bitcoin_people]

I always wondered if the threat from US such as taking Greenland member of NATO by another NATO country will break Europe in pieces and it will definetely shake the markets, what are the bets? I know a lot people say best investment will be gold, but you wont be able to escape country with golden bars possibly but with crypto you can just with hardware wallet or software wallet. I am considering to trade these markets either long gold short term but long term long Bitcoin what is your take?

If such a war breaks out between Europe and America, then of course there is a possibility of Europe being torn apart. And it will have an impact on the market, it is natural, although people think that gold will be the best investment option if there is a war. I agree with you because gold will not be a good investment at all. If a war starts in a country, then if you want to escape from that country, it will not be possible to escape with gold. In that case, if that investment is made in Bitcoin, it is very easy to transfer from one country to another through a device. So if there is a war in a country, then I think that investing in Bitcoin is the most important thing to keep yourself financially stable. When there is a war, most people will convert their money into Bitcoin and then the value of Bitcoin will increase further because as the demand for Bitcoin increases, its value will also change a lot.

[SirLancelot]

"War" as in military shooting at each other with guns, tanks, drones, missiles etc etc will not happen between USA and EU, that is way too primitive for such large nations. What we may see however is USA take it by force, and that would be military, but there won't be any military response by EU, they just won't do it.

What will happen however is that all of USA markets will be banned to sell stuff to Europe, every single one, no cars, no electronics, no drugs, nothing, instead they will buy from other nations. That will destroy American companies, and that is why economical warfare is more likely result. There are not that many companies in the USA where it is not possible to find alternative in some other nation.

[colinistheman]

The way Trump is handling the Security of the World is with Diplomacy, Trump have set up a World Peace Board, I don’t think if he is interested in causing a war he wouldn’t be interested in setting up a Peace Board, Trump is mostly interested in bringing peace to the world he has ended 8 wars and he is very enthusiastic about ending the Russia and Ukraine war, I understand he is very concerned about taking Greenland but not in a ugly way of fighting over it, he wants it to be given to him, because if America doesn’t take it, Russia and China would be ready to take it, and Trump needs to protect the Arctics, The White House isn’t ready to create any war. However I understand that if a war should breakout most people will be mostly interested in taking their bitcoin for gold, considering that they might not have access to their bitcoin online and they can see there gold and silver physically, because of internet and power outages like you have mentioned that would be a challenge to hold bitcoin, if a war happens.

You truly believe that Trump is a dove of peace seeking to bring peace to the world?
Do you consider arresting Maduro, bombing Iran, and raising tariffs on China by more than 100% to be diplomacy?! Is this Trump's diplomacy, the one that he claims is "primarily concerned with achieving world peace"?

Does Trump really need to protect the Arctic? Or does he need the rich resources of Greenland, even though Greenlanders are resentful of Trump's attempts, with many feeling disrespected by his efforts to buy or control their land?

In fact, many people believe that Trump's arrest of Maduro, bombing of Iran, and increased tariffs on China were necessary action. They see what Trump is doing as similar to the role of an international policeman. The reason is that they believe those countries deserve to be punished, even though they do not really understand what's happening inside those countries. All they knew was the information provided by Western media.

This is a tactic that the US has used successfully for decade and remain effective today. They bully, pressure, even invade and plunder other nation, yet they try to convince many that they are messengers of peace and maintainer of world order.

[pooya87]

Bitcoin is proven to be a safe haven that investors buy for long term storage, but unfortunately in the short term we've seen it react negatively to global tensions. The recent drop was exactly because of that, people just tend to panic sell at times like that which brings the price down.

So if the ongoing war in Europe expands more than this, we may see another drop in bitcoin but only in short term (like 2022). Then the price would recover and continue going up even though that war continues (like from 2022 till 2026 where price kept going up despite the ongoing proxy war between NATO and Russia).

[cocadalcan]

Bitcoin is proven to be a safe haven that investors buy for long term storage, but unfortunately in the short term we've seen it react negatively to global tensions. The recent drop was exactly because of that, people just tend to panic sell at times like that which brings the price down.

So if the ongoing war in Europe expands more than this, we may see another drop in bitcoin but only in short term (like 2022). Then the price would recover and continue going up even though that war continues (like from 2022 till 2026 where price kept going up despite the ongoing proxy war between NATO and Russia).

This had recently proven that Bitcoin price had risen to $97k. It was thought that it would break the ATH again. At that moment, the selling pressure on Bitcoin increased and the price decreased. The ongoing tension over Greenland is like a war game. The EU is giving strong warnings on the Greenland issue but the key to control lies with Trump. Ultimately its sure that no country will engage in a conflict with Trump. Especially not with EU countries. Preparations for a war in the Middle East are progressing strongly. Iran is preparing to repel any attack and US warships are floating in the Mediterranean and are preparing for a possible attack on Iran.

If an attack occurs, there may be some negative impact on the price of oil. Since a long term war between the US and Israel against Iran is unlikely the potential for negative risks to the price of Bitcoin is low.

[pooya87]

Preparations for a war in the Middle East are progressing strongly. Iran is preparing to repel any attack and US warships are floating in the Mediterranean and are preparing for a possible attack on Iran.

That is most likely a psychological warfare carried out by the US regime that is getting desperate every day that passes and Trump failures pile on.

From a military perspective, NATO's main power is air-force and then navy after that; that means their capabilities are significantly degraded in winter where the weather and sea are terrible. So if they wanted to carry out any kind of aggression toward Iran, they'd do it in Summer like last time (June 13). Although I dare say, even that is unlikely considering last time they tried it, Iran retaliated hard and bombed the NATO-Zionist-Takfiri Axis positions for 13 days with over 600 ballistic missiles, hundreds of drones and cruise missiles to the point where Trump who had started the aggression started begging for a ceasefire after the ~5th day!
On the other hand, Iran's retaliatory capabilities are not degraded with weather as much as NATO's are...

Also as a rule of thumb, if the US regime wanted to carry out any kind of strike they would never announce it beforehand. But most importantly when it comes to Iran they would never deploy their carrier groups anywhere close to Iran (basically nowhere close to 2000 km from Iranian soil or its allies like Yemen) because they are literally the easiest things to sink and sinking something like an aircraft carrier that costs like $20 billion with 5000 personnel (eg. Ford (CVN-78), with aircrafts on board) in a blinking of an eye would be categorized as a massive Shock and Awe operation that would push US military to fall apart instantly.

If an attack occurs, there may be some negative impact on the price of oil.

Definitely. Back in June 2025, even though Iran decided not to expand the tensions horizontally we saw oil price rise roughly 10%. In the next round, Iran will not be so kind as June 2025 and will start neutralizing US military bases that are located in oil rich Arab dictatorships, specially across the Persian Gulf which means at least 21 million barrels of oil per day will be removed from global markets that would devastate the global economy. And that's assuming Iran would not expand the war to the US soil and for example decides to delete Texas from the maps (~5 million barrels per day).

But even the psychological warfare has had its impact on the markets, oil is up 18% if I'm not mistaken already in January and the sell pressure on bitcoin has been rising which is one of the reasons for the recent declines.

[Dave1]

Bitcoin is proven to be a safe haven that investors buy for long term storage, but unfortunately in the short term we've seen it react negatively to global tensions. The recent drop was exactly because of that, people just tend to panic sell at times like that which brings the price down.

So if the ongoing war in Europe expands more than this, we may see another drop in bitcoin but only in short term (like 2022). Then the price would recover and continue going up even though that war continues (like from 2022 till 2026 where price kept going up despite the ongoing proxy war between NATO and Russia).

And with that, we already have another looming war in the Middle East, US and Israel vs Iran. So it doesn't look very good for Bitcoin market as in short term, this will definitely have a impact to the price, couple that with the imminent bearish market coming in.

So let's see if deep, or what will be the lowest lows if a war break out not just in Europe, but in the Middle East as well. For sure it might not be good for us as this geo-politics will bring chaos right after the start and then might linger for a few months before it settled down. Current price is ~$89k.

[Jobbe]

Hmm...i think panic would trigger people to sell off very quickly. and Bitcoin would be very volatile. because people (investors)would go for safe havens. it can happen in two ways tho.

--- probably the war and conflict might affect the banking systems in negative ways. and if it does, people can hold on to Bitcoin as an alternative to preserve and move their money. permit me to use the Ukraine - Russia conflict back in 2022 as an illustration. back then, a lot of people really went for Bitcoin as their preferred choice for monetary transactions. (in both countries).

---Also, there is every tendency of Bitcoin reducing in its values. people are wired to always panic whenever they're faced with such conflicts. and if such people own Bitcoin, they can easily panic - sell.
while most persons might prefer cash or something else,instead of Bitcoin. so it all depends:
* do the banks still function the way they're supposed to?
* is the war (conflict) really that bad?
* can we still mine? (for miners).

Going back to the illustration I gave, using Ukraine and Russia.
yes..when the conflict started, Bitcoin's price went down badly. and most people taught it would crash totally. but it didn't..money people were still using it to send, donate and save money. so Bitcoin can either go up or drop down.. depending on how the war affects the people their money and the banks.

Definitely. Back in June 2025, even though Iran decided not to expand the tensions horizontally we saw oil price rise roughly 10%. In the next round, Iran will not be so kind as June 2025 and will start neutralizing US military bases that are located in oil rich Arab dictatorships, specially across the Persian Gulf which means at least 21 million barrels of oil per day will be removed from global markets that would devastate the global economy. And that's assuming Iran would not expand the war to the US soil and for example decides to delete Texas from the maps (~5 million barrels per day).

But even the psychological warfare has had its impact on the markets, oil is up 18% if I'm not mistaken already in January and the sell pressure on bitcoin has been rising which is one of the reasons for the recent declines.

you made an interesting point about geopolitical risks and the oil markets. yes we've all seen Bitcoin value drop as the prices in oil rise and tensions increase geopolitically. Bitcoin always acts more like tech assets and stocks when conflict threatens. because when most people become worried about crisis concerning the economy, they easily dump assets that are volatile in nature.despite the fact that Bitcoin is referred to as 'digital Gold' by most people, doesn't mean it is like or functions like an actual Gold.
people have more trust in Gold than in Bitcoin. why?..it all still centers on Bitcoin being very volatile.

if Bitcoin was truly safe and reliable like actual Gold, people would still choose it despite any crisis facing them.or conflict.

[Muba20]

I always wondered if the threat from US such as taking Greenland member of NATO by another NATO country will break Europe in pieces and it will definetely shake the markets, what are the bets? I know a lot people say best investment will be gold, but you wont be able to escape country with golden bars possibly but with crypto you can just with hardware wallet or software wallet. I am considering to trade these markets either long gold short term but long term long Bitcoin what is your take?

If a war breaks out, people will be more concerned about their own safety and then they will worry about their wealth. If for some reason such a war breaks out in Europe, it certainly does not seem to be good for the world. Although it is true that at that time there will be a lot of investment in Bitcoin and due to this, the price of Bitcoin will also go to a high level. But as a Bitcoin investor, I am never interested in the price of Bitcoin increasing in such a situation. I believe that people are holding Bitcoin every day and considering the various benefits worldwide, the demand for Bitcoin is increasing, which will have a big impact on its price. Bitcoin will run at its own pace, it doesn't matter what the world situation is. There is no point in trying to artificially drive it. Bitcoin is getting more expensive over time and this trend will continue in the future.

[Franctoshi]

I have posted before that I did not like the direction people are thinking for bitcoin during something like that, but they prefer to sell their bitcoin in such time. Which means bitcoin might fall for a short period of time but the price will later increase as usual.

But gold at the time like that will increase.

Although, at the end, bitcoin price will increase, get to all-time high. That does not change the fact that it is also a store of value but I do not like how it might first fall within short period of time and later increase.

It is worth knowing that the chance EU will fight United States is low.

FUD of course, people would want to prefer to hold some cash during the time when a war just breaks out, then when they might have seen the strength of the war, they now get to realize that they even need to buy in such a situation like war where government have access to freeze their funds or anything that may happen to their money. We all saw the important role that Bitcoin played during when Russian invasion of Ukraine war got started, afterward many people started doing donations through Bitcoin.

[JeffBrad12]

From some of the discussions I have read bordering around Bitcoin and wars, some users have noted that whenever the USA or these countries currently dealing with some kind of conflict, price of Bitcoin sometimes goes up almost like the same thing that happened to the price per barrel of Oil which was almost like manipulation of these markets.. so in a way, the war could be done to push an agenda beyond land disputes.

Is that really true though, Trump trying to grab greenland ended up in bearish sentiment for the market and gradual decline, now Trump is trying to grab Iran and the price dumped again once more, conflict brings more bearish sentiment than the good ones and it shows.

War breaking out means people reallocating asset to the one that they think better in time of crisis such as gold where people around the world agreed to be main store of value.

[Woodie]

From some of the discussions I have read bordering around Bitcoin and wars, some users have noted that whenever the USA or these countries currently dealing with some kind of conflict, price of Bitcoin sometimes goes up almost like the same thing that happened to the price per barrel of Oil which was almost like manipulation of these markets.. so in a way, the war could be done to push an agenda beyond land disputes.

Is that really true though, Trump trying to grab greenland ended up in bearish sentiment for the market and gradual decline, now Trump is trying to grab Iran and the price dumped again once more, conflict brings more bearish sentiment than the good ones and it shows.

For Greenland I feel it's a bit of bullying, arm twisting and the price of Bitcoin tanking could be a protest vote.. And already we have other internal issues on his table like ICE shooting/protests and World cup around the corner with all these extra immigration hurdles being placed... honestly it's a handful for Trump at the moment and the world is protesting that's for sure!!

War breaking out means people reallocating asset to the one that they think better in time of crisis such as gold where people around the world agreed to be main store of value.

You could be right, but ATM no concrete reason pointing to the reason for the bearishness..

[Lida93]

Bitcoin is proven to be a safe haven that investors buy for long term storage, but unfortunately in the short term we've seen it react negatively to global tensions. The recent drop was exactly because of that, people just tend to panic sell at times like that which brings the price down.

So if the ongoing war in Europe expands more than this, we may see another drop in bitcoin but only in short term (like 2022). Then the price would recover and continue going up even though that war continues (like from 2022 till 2026 where price kept going up despite the ongoing proxy war between NATO and Russia).

Why a lot of people still panic sell their bitcoin in any given economic-cum-geopolicial tension is due to the fact that they still conceive bitcoin for a short term risk-on-asset where a market reaction to global tension leading to price decline causes fear in them than flashes of opportunity to buy bitcoin at a reduced price value just as the long term investor minded bitcoiner would think it.

The market would always stabilise after a short response, a thing of common sense to note for those that have being here for long with lots of experience. For instance, let view the market as humans who for sure would react with fear upon a rising conflict and wars and in the course of time adapt to the situation to survive. Bitcoin market price always has bounce up in performance in the long term for sure.

[Uhwuchukwu53]

Looking at how war news affect Bitcoin just as Ukraine, Russia, isreal and others, as people are afraid the market will drop sell or panic that makes the market dip, I believe Bitcoin will still drop, but it's usual but that is wrong perception of holder of Bitcoin as those things are mere not a determinant on how Bitcoin operation  as per the dip is to be determined. There's no doubt that the price will drop but for a good investor or holder of Bitcoin it's even the best time to accumulate more as those will panic will make the market easy for those who is looking for means to get hold of Bitcoin.