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Author Topic: ✅ b1eXch.to 🏁🏎️🏁 F1 MADNESS 🏁🏎️🏁 Discussion Thread!  (Read 9494 times)
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KTChampions
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August 26, 2026, 02:07:46 PM
 #781

It seems to me that a safety car can equally well improve or worsen a driver's position, and starting from the back rows, even in an ideal case, means minus about a minute. Antonelli is undoubtedly good, but Russell, with such a handicap, is unlikely to lose to him, plus McLaren and Ferrari. I think, given the accidents and other force majeure, Antonelli will finish 5th or 6th.
What do you think of Antonelli's outright win odds of 1.25 this season? It looks solid. Plus you only have to wait a little over 3 months.

That is 25% profitability over your stake which is not a lot considering he will start this race probably in the back of the grid, we also saw that Mercedes heavily suffered with the hard tire so most probably they will go with the soft tire or medium to attack in the beginning stages of the race yet this does not guarantee overtakes will happen really soon. I think if Antonelli had an odd of 1.5 or more which means 50% or more profitability of your stake it would look good. Personally I will fancy Lando Norris to win the Championship by putting little money into him as he should be well over 10 as odds to win the Championship. So about 20 dollars for more than 200 should be a good choice rather than risking 200 for 250 with Antonelli, anyway do not listen to me, not a great winner in bets although in pools I usually end up winning something  Grin.

Norris is priced roughly where you want him to be:

Antonelli, Andrea Kimi - 1.28

Norris, Lando - 9.00

Russell, George - 13.00

Hamilton, Lewis - 13.00

Leclerc, Charles - 26.00

It seems to me that 25-30% is a good compensation for a "reliable" outcome, I like this bet because it is not Kimi vs. the Main Competitor, but Kimi vs. randomness. Like, if suddenly they are all equalized, the advantage he already has will be decisive. And it is obvious that the penalty in Italy is already taken into account in these coefficients, if Kimi somehow performs successfully there, his odds will change for the better, and if not, they will remain more or less the same.

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darxiaomi (OP)
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August 26, 2026, 03:13:57 PM
 #782

Well guys since is wednesday i just updated the spreadsheet of the leaderboard with the last race results for each user, not so much changes just a exchange position in the second and third spot and our leader opening alittle bit more the gap in front, aside of that i feel like the rest of the pack is now more closer to each other and most of the users are still in the fight for everything.

Maybe im the only one with just a few more guys deep in the relegation zone hahaha.

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August 26, 2026, 05:54:34 PM
 #783

Yes very nice to see anohter new user win a round in this contest, i like to see the prize spread between the users and not seeing always the same winners, plus he is a old folk so is even better.

The best would be for me to win this every week.

My average points per round when I thoroughly investigated my picks was 31. Blind picking in the last 4 rounds amounts to an average of 39.
This basically means I'm 25% more successful when going fully random Grin

I had one blind pick 3 rounds ago that scored me the highest points ever, and that made me think like you now. But the last 2 rounds were seriously so bad now the average is below that of my 'normal investigation' picks.

My highest score this season was actually the race I started doing picks without research (I did have a pattern). The following one was brutal, but the last few have all been set to a certain pattern, and I feel like I am doing better. Go figure. Just trying to locate a Golden Ratio-ish selection Wink

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August 27, 2026, 03:12:51 PM
 #784

After the first half of the season, I am already almost 100 points behind. Congratulations to jayce, who has managed to create a small gap between himself and the competitor currently in second place. However, the season is still far from over. Fortunately, I am only 15 points behind the tenth position. Nevertheless, I will need more luck in the upcoming races if I am to close the gap, regain valuable points and move up the standings before the end of the season. This gives me plenty of motivation to keep pushing and make the most of every remaining opportunity.

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August 27, 2026, 07:52:34 PM
 #785

After the first half of the season, I am already almost 100 points behind. Congratulations to jayce, who has managed to create a small gap between himself and the competitor currently in second place. However, the season is still far from over. Fortunately, I am only 15 points behind the tenth position. Nevertheless, I will need more luck in the upcoming races if I am to close the gap, regain valuable points and move up the standings before the end of the season. This gives me plenty of motivation to keep pushing and make the most of every remaining opportunity.

Everyone is still in the race for anything in these remaining last 10 races. We don't know what it will happen but one thing I know for sure is no one will pick Antonelli in Tier 1 and it will be a different battle this time. Also the other tiers I think we need to change as McLaren is definitely not in the second tier anymore. Let's see if we have these changes which can add up to the randomness of our choices and make the Championship even more beautiful, like Norris said, I hope Mercedes get a double disqualification like us in Vegas last year and from there everything can be possible if we manage to win the majority of these remaining races.


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August 28, 2026, 04:53:48 AM
 #786

After the first half of the season, I am already almost 100 points behind. Congratulations to jayce, who has managed to create a small gap between himself and the competitor currently in second place. However, the season is still far from over. Fortunately, I am only 15 points behind the tenth position. Nevertheless, I will need more luck in the upcoming races if I am to close the gap, regain valuable points and move up the standings before the end of the season. This gives me plenty of motivation to keep pushing and make the most of every remaining opportunity.
Thanks Koal-84. I was so close to get my very first yellow cap in the last GP, but my buddy notblox1 with his bold choice on Alonso claimed that. Congrats notblox1! And good luck to you Koal-84!

 
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slaman29
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August 28, 2026, 09:49:54 AM
 #787

I had one blind pick 3 rounds ago that scored me the highest points ever, and that made me think like you now. But the last 2 rounds were seriously so bad now the average is below that of my 'normal investigation' picks.

My highest score this season was actually the race I started doing picks without research (I did have a pattern). The following one was brutal, but the last few have all been set to a certain pattern, and I feel like I am doing better. Go figure. Just trying to locate a Golden Ratio-ish selection Wink
[/quote]

What is the pattern you're doing? For me for a while it was to pick Constructor rather than driver but then that required 'research' as well as I can never remember apart from a few who is driving for who lol

Kimi should be a bad pick for next round then again, everybody above could also do badly at Monza who knows?

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darxiaomi (OP)
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August 28, 2026, 11:56:30 AM
 #788

Kimi should be a bad pick for next round then again, everybody above could also do badly at Monza who knows?

I know thanks to his nickname, Kimi we forgot about one thing which is..... he is italian so he is gonna be in his home race, so despite being in a UK/German team like Mercedes he is italian so the will to win is gonna be high for him and for Ferrari as a team.



Despite we are not giving good things from the teams for our contest, since no team has changed position since the start, i feel like in the top ones we at least can see some fight at top.

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August 29, 2026, 02:52:28 PM
 #789

Despite we are not giving good things from the teams for our contest, since no team has changed position since the start, i feel like in the top ones we at least can see some fight at top.

I have a really big feeling this could be the first season where a big lead can be cut even with 11 races to go (but if it is less because of the war then this is a smaller chance) simply because teams can totally change the cars at several points.

You might be right about Kimi, I totally forgot he is Italian  Cheesy

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Jinetics1111
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August 31, 2026, 05:37:49 PM
 #790

With Monza ahead of us we approach another new race and another opportunity to move up the standings still stuck in the basement right now, but that can all change after this race we shall see what kind of strategy to deploy this time around and it won't be the Ferrari kind Grin Grin Grin Gotta try and finish in the top 10 so gotta be ahead of the curve and try some risky moves to do so anyways can't wait for the Gp Sunday. Grin Grin Grin Grin
darbitmobilerecovery
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September 01, 2026, 11:22:11 AM
 #791

With Monza ahead of us we approach another new race and another opportunity to move up the standings still stuck in the basement right now, but that can all change after this race we shall see what kind of strategy to deploy this time around and it won't be the Ferrari kind Grin Grin Grin Gotta try and finish in the top 10 so gotta be ahead of the curve and try some risky moves to do so anyways can't wait for the Gp Sunday. Grin Grin Grin Grin

I can imagine a lot of users picking Ferrari just because theya re italian and they can do good in their home race, plus Ferrari right now seems solid compared to other seasons and somehow even Hamilton find the pace in this car.

I hope we can have a beatifull race with at least 7 drivers involved in the fight for the win, the two Mercedes, the two McClaren and the two Ferrari drivers, plus Max which i dont know how much he can do with this actual RB.

Im gonna made the post with the submission form for the new round later today or tomorrow in the worst case.Stay tuned.

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swogerino
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September 01, 2026, 11:28:06 AM
 #792

With Monza ahead of us we approach another new race and another opportunity to move up the standings still stuck in the basement right now, but that can all change after this race we shall see what kind of strategy to deploy this time around and it won't be the Ferrari kind Grin Grin Grin Gotta try and finish in the top 10 so gotta be ahead of the curve and try some risky moves to do so anyways can't wait for the Gp Sunday. Grin Grin Grin Grin

I can imagine a lot of users picking Ferrari just because theya re italian and they can do good in their home race, plus Ferrari right now seems solid compared to other seasons and somehow even Hamilton find the pace in this car.

I hope we can have a beatifull race with at least 7 drivers involved in the fight for the win, the two Mercedes, the two McClaren and the two Ferrari drivers, plus Max which i dont know how much he can do with this actual RB.

Im gonna made the post with the submission form for the new round later today or tomorrow in the worst case.Stay tuned.

One thing is sure, Monza is never a boring race no matter what happens to each of us in our picks of the pool. This track heavily suits McLaren now known for their even better top speed than Mercedes and there are like very few low speed corners here where McLaren suffers actually so I would again bet on Lando Norris to win here. I don't think of the pool anymore and just enjoy racing because what is meant to be is going to happen (yeah I have become philosophic lately  Grin).


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September 01, 2026, 01:43:44 PM
 #793

I can imagine a lot of users picking Ferrari just because theya re italian and they can do good in their home race, plus Ferrari right now seems solid compared to other seasons and somehow even Hamilton find the pace in this car.

I hope we can have a beatifull race with at least 7 drivers involved in the fight for the win, the two Mercedes, the two McClaren and the two Ferrari drivers, plus Max which i dont know how much he can do with this actual RB.

Im gonna made the post with the submission form for the new round later today or tomorrow in the worst case.Stay tuned.

I see your point, especially since Ferrari seems much stronger than in previous seasons, and even Hamilton appears to have found some pace in the car. However, I can’t imagine many people picking Ferrari just because it’s their home Grand Prix. Their stronger downforce could put them at a disadvantage on such a high speed track.

Hopefully, we’ll see an exciting race with Mercedes, McLaren, Ferrari and Max all fighting at the front. But, I think Mercedes and McLaren have the advantage.

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September 01, 2026, 04:35:55 PM
 #794

Well guys here is the new round, is gonna be an amazing race in Monza as always in that track, that is a super fun track not only for us to see it but if you have racing in that track in a simulator is also super fun and one of the best when you are not so good at it.

This time since we dont know yet who is gonna be the second driver of RB and who is gonna be in Racing Bulls i left it as RB second driver (whatever he is) and the same for the Racing Bulls.


ROUND 13 ITALY GP [DEADLINE START OF QUALY]



Code:
mv1986
FinneysTrueVision
crwth
Slissy
Strongkored
cryptofrka
notblox1
Koal-84
vivekdhyani1
LTU_btc
KTChampions
slaman29
famososMuertos
buwaytress
Jinetics1111
B1g4udge
jayce
Improved
swogerino
Saint-loup
nil_krokodil
doggywin

As always let me know if something is not working properly.

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September 01, 2026, 10:23:00 PM
 #795

With Monza ahead of us we approach another new race and another opportunity to move up the standings still stuck in the basement right now, but that can all change after this race we shall see what kind of strategy to deploy this time around and it won't be the Ferrari kind Grin Grin Grin Gotta try and finish in the top 10 so gotta be ahead of the curve and try some risky moves to do so anyways can't wait for the Gp Sunday. Grin Grin Grin Grin

I can imagine a lot of users picking Ferrari just because theya re italian and they can do good in their home race, plus Ferrari right now seems solid compared to other seasons and somehow even Hamilton find the pace in this car.

I hope we can have a beatifull race with at least 7 drivers involved in the fight for the win, the two Mercedes, the two McClaren and the two Ferrari drivers, plus Max which i dont know how much he can do with this actual RB.

Im gonna made the post with the submission form for the new round later today or tomorrow in the worst case.Stay tuned.

I have never been paying much attention to what the home advantage looks like in Formula 1. I understand how it can make a huge difference in all kinds of sports where the audience is closely involved and is relatively close and perceivable for players. In handball, basketball, I get it. But is it that much of a factor in formula 1? Does anybody know about data whether drivers tend to win more likely than others when driving in their home country?

I don't really see how as it is so much about technology and the driver focus is probably much less on the audience than it is in most other sports. In tennis you can't just get out another, technologically more advanced racket. Only you can step up your game. In F! there isn't much you can do when you sit in a shitty car.

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September 02, 2026, 05:07:19 AM
 #796

As always, thanks for the tag. I couldn't get on the podium at the Dutch Grand Prix, but I'm close. I'm preparing for Italy in the best way possible; this time I'm going to put in some practice; sorry, I mean look at the practices.

I'm in 15th place in our internal pool, and that made me wonder which F1 team corresponds to that position. So I thought, let's do our homework and map out all the competitors.


Madness
Position
NameF1 DriverTeam
1jayceKimi AntonelliMercedes
2KTChampionsGeorge RussellMercedes
3ImprovedLewis HamiltonFerrari
4LTU_btcLando NorrisMcLaren
5swogerinoCharles LeclercFerrari
6cryptofrkaMax VerstappenRed Bull
7StrongkoredOscar PiastriMcLaren
8B1g4udgeIsack HadjarRed Bull
9notblox1Liam LawsonRacing Bulls
10Jinetics1111Pierre GaslyAlpine
11Saint-loupArvid LindbladRacing Bulls
12FinneysTrueVisionFranco ColapintoAlpine
13crwthOliver BearmanHaas
14buwaytressGabriel BortoletoAudi
15fMNico HülkenbergAudi
16vivekdhyani1Carlos SainzWilliams
17Koal-84Alexander AlbonWilliams
18mv1986Esteban OconHaas
19slaman29Fernando AlonsoAston Martin
20darxiaomiYuki TsunodaRacing Bulls
21nil_krokodilLance StrollAston Martin

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September 02, 2026, 07:06:40 AM
 #797

As always, thanks for the tag. I couldn't get on the podium at the Dutch Grand Prix, but I'm close. I'm preparing for Italy in the best way possible; this time I'm going to put in some practice; sorry, I mean look at the practices.

I'm in 15th place in our internal pool, and that made me wonder which F1 team corresponds to that position. So I thought, let's do our homework and map out all the competitors.


Madness
Position
NameF1 DriverTeam
1jayceKimi AntonelliMercedes
2KTChampionsGeorge RussellMercedes
3ImprovedLewis HamiltonFerrari
4LTU_btcLando NorrisMcLaren
5swogerinoCharles LeclercFerrari
6cryptofrkaMax VerstappenRed Bull
7StrongkoredOscar PiastriMcLaren
8B1g4udgeIsack HadjarRed Bull
9notblox1Liam LawsonRacing Bulls
10Jinetics1111Pierre GaslyAlpine
11Saint-loupArvid LindbladRacing Bulls
12FinneysTrueVisionFranco ColapintoAlpine
13crwthOliver BearmanHaas
14buwaytressGabriel BortoletoAudi
15fMNico HülkenbergAudi
16vivekdhyani1Carlos SainzWilliams
17Koal-84Alexander AlbonWilliams
18mv1986Esteban OconHaas
19slaman29Fernando AlonsoAston Martin
20darxiaomiYuki TsunodaRacing Bulls
21nil_krokodilLance StrollAston Martin

Looking at the data always is helpful, I mean even when you don't do well in the pool chances are very high you will not receive a penalty because you found nothing, you will find at least a tier for sure. As for you being in 15th place it does not mean you don't have chances to win big as in the races remaining now it will be a lottery as I predict many of them to have at least some rain of course excluding Bahrain and those Arab races if they are going to be held anyway.


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September 02, 2026, 11:01:13 AM
 #798

I'm Fernando Alonso, wow, would never have imagined this guy to fall down so far the order, either it shows me how old I am or it shows me I really thought too highly of some drivers.

To be even behind some guy like Lindblad, well, I have to say, I need to refresh my mind about who is good and top at F1 and who is washed.

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darbitmobilerecovery
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September 02, 2026, 12:09:48 PM
 #799

I have never been paying much attention to what the home advantage looks like in Formula 1. I understand how it can make a huge difference in all kinds of sports where the audience is closely involved and is relatively close and perceivable for players. In handball, basketball, I get it. But is it that much of a factor in formula 1? Does anybody know about data whether drivers tend to win more likely than others when driving in their home country?

I don't really see how as it is so much about technology and the driver focus is probably much less on the audience than it is in most other sports. In tennis you can't just get out another, technologically more advanced racket. Only you can step up your game. In F! there isn't much you can do when you sit in a shitty car.

Well is a strange case because it only help the home driver and team in a  mental sense, he puts more energy into it because they want to win in their home, in some cases they also know much better the track but with today rules that is not longer possible because you cant train on it plus everyone can make it in the simulator, but in the past the local can know much better his track since he train there and knows every turn and how to take it.

As always, thanks for the tag. I couldn't get on the podium at the Dutch Grand Prix, but I'm close. I'm preparing for Italy in the best way possible; this time I'm going to put in some practice; sorry, I mean look at the practices.

I'm in 15th place in our internal pool, and that made me wonder which F1 team corresponds to that position. So I thought, let's do our homework and map out all the competitors.


No man, no way, i cant believe im Yuki Tsunoda, what kind of nightmare is this one. I think is one of the worst drivers in the line up. Maybe im one of the worst in the competition also  Grin Cheesy

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buwaytress
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A swap that needs a hand? zeto.cash@proton.me


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September 02, 2026, 05:47:29 PM
 #800

No man, no way, i cant believe im Yuki Tsunoda, what kind of nightmare is this one. I think is one of the worst drivers in the line up. Maybe im one of the worst in the competition also  Grin Cheesy

I'm... Bartoleto. Hands up right here, I have no idea who he is other than a name I recognise from F1. If there were some trivia asking which team he drove for, I'd lose (unless I could I suppose, eliminate Mclaren and Mercedes, and someone smack me if he actually drives for them).

At least Yuki's got a bit of character, or maybe I'm racist and just like Japanese athletes. Oh wait, I am racist.

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