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Author Topic: Global Tensions in 2026  (Read 747 times)
Iranus
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April 18, 2026, 06:16:29 AM
 #61


This is just the beginning of the year so why the rush? We are just in April and people have already started panic about the price of bitcoin and want to use the war between two countries to make an argument excuse, anywho who is panic because the price drop and he thinks the war is the cause if it did not know anything about bitcoin, I don’t think war have anything to do with bitcoin price because bitcoin is not something that no any country can control that will make the price drop.

Bitcoin price can rise and go down at any time because that is the nature of bitcoin and also unpredicted investment, no one knows what will happen tomorrow, the price can rise and go down any time, maybe we will be surprised with at the end of the year as the same way people don’t know expect the price to rise in 2025 and I believe if we trust what we invest on we will never panic because war can not affect anything concerning bitcoin.



War and geopolitical instability are not related to or directly affect bitcoin. However, bitcoin is only one part of the economy, and its price depend on the flow of money and investor sentiment...and unfortunately, the war is directly impacting investor sentiment, cash flow, and the entire economy. This mean that Bitcoin is not immune to the effects of war.

The Bitcoin network is decentralized, but its price is determined by the flow of money in the economy. It is not as independent as you might think.

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April 18, 2026, 11:54:12 AM
 #62

Even though predicting Bitcoin is one thing that is hard to predict in terms of price, I believe that Bitcoin is likely reach hundred thousand dollars this year.If you check the price of Bitcoin has started to retrace back after the US vs Iran tensions which slightly impacted on the price negatively. There is a forward movement and it's likely to continue until the price gets to a hundred thousand dollars.

It's true that Bitcoin is starting to recover, but if you look closely, you will see that the stock and Bitcoin are moving in line with development in the war. It appears that both Bitcoin and stocks rose when the conflict reached a ceasefire agreement, as well as when Iran announced the opening of the strait.

This means that if a peace agreement is not reached and the situation continues to escalate. Bitcoin is likely to continue facing downward pressure.

I think that this war is even helping Bitcoin in disguise because, currently there are talk about Iran willing to accept Bitcoin instead of the dollar for their oil. If this types of moves comes to pass it will greatly make the price of Bitcoin to appreciate on the long run.

Specifically, they use bitcoin as a method of payment for fees charged to ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz. However, the situation in the strait remains not very feasible as the US blocks all ships from Iranian ports, including those that have already paid fees to Iran.
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April 18, 2026, 03:03:21 PM
 #63

In 2024, when the war between Iran and Israel broke out, Bitcoin had a downward impact, falling by 7%. And then Bitcoin sales increased, and the price fell. In April 2024, due to the attack on Iran, it fell from $67,000 to $61,000. In March 2026, when the market calmed down, the price of Bitcoin rose to 73.
Do you think Bitcoin will reach $100,000 in 2026?

We have seen that the price of Bitcoin has been increasing continuously since 2024 and it has subsequently reached its highest ATH. Although we have seen a lot of decline in the price of Bitcoin at the moment, according to the current market situation, we can confirm that the bear market may be over. When there was a conflict between Iran and Israel, the Bitcoin market fell a little but not much, it later increased again. However, the price of Bitcoin that we see in 2026 and the war between Iran and the United States did not have much impact on the Bitcoin market. Although we can already see that the price of Bitcoin increased rapidly after the ceasefire, it touched $78k. However, we can expect that the price of Bitcoin will definitely touch $100k in 2026, we will see this again, there is a high possibility of a bull run in the Bitcoin market currently.

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April 19, 2026, 10:59:12 AM
 #64

It's true that Bitcoin is starting to recover, but if you look closely, you will see that the stock and Bitcoin are moving in line with development in the war. It appears that both Bitcoin and stocks rose when the conflict reached a ceasefire agreement, as well as when Iran announced the opening of the strait.

This means that if a peace agreement is not reached and the situation continues to escalate. Bitcoin is likely to continue facing downward pressure.
This is why it's not going to be a permanent situation. We should not really be expecting anything to change at the moment because the war is still going on. As long as the war is still going on, any ceasefire would just make the prices temporarily go up but that is it, nothing more than that. This is why I do not have the full trust into this.

If we want economy to recover for good and do a lot better then we should start to look for a way for this war to end completely. And it doesn't really require a lot, we just need USA to leave, if they leave, eventually Iran will just stop too and everything will go back to normal. All we just need is USA not to attack another nation, that's it, stop Israel and USA and you will be fine.
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April 20, 2026, 09:50:16 PM
 #65

Global tension right now is oil prices. Shortage of oil has become problem due to blockage of Strait of Hormuz. This less availability of oil disturbed the economy of almost half of the world. How much instability in one country affect the economy of whole world. Every country emphasizing on negotiation or stress on table talk to resolve the problem. Every passing day is a new threat of oil and its priced. Every country on daily basis make lot effort in passing of oil tankers just to  stabilize the economy, that's become challenging. Nobody know when and how this issue will be resolved. Untill then we have to live under pressurize economy. Although diplomatic steps are being taken but still situation is not clear or its uncertain.

 
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April 20, 2026, 11:25:49 PM
 #66

There will always be a global tension even what year it is, it will not matter who are the ones in charge, as long as we have geopolitics, it will never be erased. Even allied countries will fight on something about nothing, just to prove who is dominant,  it is already in human nature that we want conquer everything, even if we have everything that everyone is envious of, it is in the psyche of man that he wll probe himself, it is in the ego, ones you have something you will want more.
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April 20, 2026, 11:44:43 PM
 #67

It's free to think that Bitcoin will still reach $100k for this year and so, why would I think no? I believe it can.
But based on what's happening, we've got another series of bad negotiations again for US and Iran.
Attacks on the vessels are happening and soon, the counter attacks will be done again.
I'm not sure what has happened there and what made the USA attacked Iran's vessel. There has to be a reason for that attack.

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April 21, 2026, 01:44:25 PM
Last edit: April 21, 2026, 02:46:50 PM by Minor Miner
 #68

It's free to think that Bitcoin will still reach $100k for this year and so, why would I think no? I believe it can.


But the problem is, just because we believe and expect Bitcoin to reach $100k this year does not mean the market will move according to our expectation.

The market does not care about our thoughts or desires. It only reacts to money flows, news, and crowd psychology. But unfortunately, all of that is beyond our control.


But based on what's happening, we've got another series of bad negotiations again for US and Iran.
Attacks on the vessels are happening and soon, the counter attacks will be done again.
I'm not sure what has happened there and what made the USA attacked Iran's vessel. There has to be a reason for that attack.

A more accurate question is why would the United States attack Iran, and what right they had to do so.

The United States has disregarded international law and brazenly invaded and murdered thousands of Iranians. Why are you surprised that they attacked Iranian ship?
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April 21, 2026, 01:46:56 PM
 #69

Bitcoin already crossed 100k USD once and it will do so again.

Currently we are in the correction from the all time high. I dont think the wars are having too much of an impact, rather back in 2017-18 the hacks led to much bigger drops than what is seen today and a hack vs a war, the second one should be carrying more tension.

Hence buy bitcoin at the lower price whenever it drops, dont worry about the ongoing situation.

 
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April 21, 2026, 01:51:20 PM
 #70

It's free to think that Bitcoin will still reach $100k for this year and so, why would I think no? I believe it can.


But the problem is, just because we believe and expect Bitcoin to reach $100k this year does not mean the market will move according to our expectation.
The thing is that regardless of our speculative skills, it's very possible that a 6 month to come speculation might not come out in the way we think it would and most times, our speculation is going to be too sentimental and not one that's either fact based or that follows reality.

By the end of 2026, all bitcoin enthusiast has one speculation in mind and that's to see bitcoin breaking the previous ATH. If it doesn't, investors will still remain invested but it's just that it's going to lead to more defending from enthusiast while anti bitcoin person will think they are very much relevant. At the end, it's only time that will tell wether or not bitcoin will get to a certain price at a certain time.

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April 21, 2026, 03:17:01 PM
 #71

It's free to think that Bitcoin will still reach $100k for this year and so, why would I think no? I believe it can.
But the problem is, just because we believe and expect Bitcoin to reach $100k this year does not mean the market will move according to our expectation.

The market does not care about our thoughts or desires. It only reacts to money flows, news, and crowd psychology. But unfortunately, all of that is beyond our control.
It's always been moving unexpectedly. And we have that kind of expectation but we knew it that it might come along with what we're thinking.
That's why set a plan for every time we're in this situation and IMO the best plan is to do non stop DCA if have some money to spare with.

But based on what's happening, we've got another series of bad negotiations again for US and Iran.
Attacks on the vessels are happening and soon, the counter attacks will be done again.
I'm not sure what has happened there and what made the USA attacked Iran's vessel. There has to be a reason for that attack.

A more accurate question is why would the United States attack Iran, and what right they had to do so.

The United States has disregarded international law and brazenly invaded and murdered thousands of Iranians. Why are you surprised that they attacked Iranian ship?
I'm not sure if this is valid or not, it's said that Iran attacked and Indian vessel first and that made US to fire an Iranian vessel.
While it makes sense not to be surprised with whatever action they do, but there has to be a reason for each act they do.

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April 24, 2026, 03:58:23 PM
 #72

War is not something that ends in a day, even if you stop killing people all together, starting from today, it takes time to recover from that. And now that Iran knows that Hormoz is very vital for USA, they know that they can use it for strongarming any deals. USA has to figure out a way to go around that strait, and make sure that they build something that would allow USA to use Oman, or Saudis or any other place, to make sure that it can be done.

Otherwise it is not going to work well for anyone at all, it will not be good and it will end up with a bad life. That is how you are dealing with at the moment, and if USA can do that eventually, the future of Iran will be a lot worse without a doubt because they won't have Hormoz to negotiate anymore.
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April 24, 2026, 04:19:47 PM
 #73

War is not something that ends in a day, even if you stop killing people all together, starting from today, it takes time to recover from that. And now that Iran knows that Hormoz is very vital for USA, they know that they can use it for strongarming any deals. USA has to figure out a way to go around that strait, and make sure that they build something that would allow USA to use Oman, or Saudis or any other place, to make sure that it can be done.

In the past, wars were quite big and small. In the past, wars were fought to gain the entire country, but now wars are started over some small things. The war fought in 1896 ended in 48 minutes, which was the shortest war. At this time, Iran is fighting a war to increase its freedom and power and it will not let America put pressure on it in any way. Because if such pressure is put on Iran, Iran cannot lose to America in any way in its entire life and this is the opportunity for it to either die at the hands of America or fight with all its might for its right. Nothing will happen in this way because the entire border of the Strait of Hormuz belongs to Iran and the border that also belongs to Saudi Arabia and Oman is not theirs but Iran's, which is why it is its right.

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April 24, 2026, 09:06:25 PM
 #74

War is not something that ends in a day, even if you stop killing people all together, starting from today, it takes time to recover from that. And now that Iran knows that Hormoz is very vital for USA, they know that they can use it for strongarming any deals. USA has to figure out a way to go around that strait, and make sure that they build something that would allow USA to use Oman, or Saudis or any other place, to make sure that it can be done.

Otherwise it is not going to work well for anyone at all, it will not be good and it will end up with a bad life. That is how you are dealing with at the moment, and if USA can do that eventually, the future of Iran will be a lot worse without a doubt because they won't have Hormoz to negotiate anymore.
Yes the strait of Hormuz is irans strategic fighting point as they know it is the only route through which US imported products can get to the country so iran will work towards securing it. There is one thing about war and it is once a nation is stronger than the other, the weaker one has nothing to do. That is what I see that will happen to iran very soon, its irans plan to use that strait of Hormuz as a key dialogue point to make US come to agreement to all there terms and conditions but because US is far stronger than them, they can never do anything if the US decides to take over the strait of Hormuz.

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April 25, 2026, 03:39:49 PM
 #75

Yes the strait of Hormuz is irans strategic fighting point as they know it is the only route through which US imported products can get to the country so iran will work towards securing it. There is one thing about war and it is once a nation is stronger than the other, the weaker one has nothing to do. That is what I see that will happen to iran very soon, its irans plan to use that strait of Hormuz as a key dialogue point to make US come to agreement to all there terms and conditions but because US is far stronger than them, they can never do anything if the US decides to take over the strait of Hormuz.

Which products imported into the United States must pass through the Strait of Hormuz? The United States is not dependent on the Strait of Hormuz, and the majority of oil supplies from the Middle East are primarily exported to Asia.
However, the United States would be indirectly affected if this sea route were closed. Because that would reduce global supply, driving oil prices higher. Rising global energy prices will put pressure on the US economy.

Iran's goal in closing the strait is to pressure the world to condemn the United States, forcing them to end this senseless act of aggression. Meanwhile, the US strategy of blockading the strait is aimed at Iranian oil tankers. Because oil is their main source of income, and once the revenue used to sustain the war is disrupted, Iran will have to make concession


Iran will not be able to win outright due to the vast disparity in military strength. However, they succeeded in preventing the United States from achieving its goals and inflicting unintended damage on the United States.
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