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Author Topic: Strait of Hormuz now open?  (Read 623 times)
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March 18, 2026, 10:53:52 AM
 #61

The only problem is they keep doing the opposite of what they are announcing on their press statement like they will not attack ship that doesn’t passed the strait yet they start bombing trap oil ship.

It’s still too risky to follow this announcement considering there’s potential mines planted on the sea especially on the narrow part of the Strait of Hormuz.
Here is a video from watcherguru showing ships traffic movement in the Strait of Hormuz in the last 24 hours  from when Iran announces that it has been opened to every country apart from the US, Israel and their allies.

There has been no news of ships attacks and if there was any of that then it cannot be a neutral country's ship according to the condition of opening the Strait.

If you are a neutral country then you might go and take the risk, but if you are very vocal that you are part of the allies then better not to take it, for sure Iran have their intel and before you can come close they'll take their shot and leave your tanker down, for those who already get the chance lucky for them as they may buy some to survive while for those who can't it will keep the increase till the last drops.

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March 18, 2026, 11:41:46 AM
 #62

The only problem is they keep doing the opposite of what they are announcing on their press statement like they will not attack ship that doesn’t passed the strait yet they start bombing trap oil ship.

It’s still too risky to follow this announcement considering there’s potential mines planted on the sea especially on the narrow part of the Strait of Hormuz.
Here is a video from watcherguru showing ships traffic movement in the Strait of Hormuz in the last 24 hours  from when Iran announces that it has been opened to every country apart from the US, Israel and their allies.

There has been no news of ships attacks and if there was any of that then it cannot be a neutral country's ship according to the condition of opening the Strait.

If you are a neutral country then you might go and take the risk, but if you are very vocal that you are part of the allies then better not to take it, for sure Iran have their intel and before you can come close they'll take their shot and leave your tanker down, for those who already get the chance lucky for them as they may buy some to survive while for those who can't it will keep the increase till the last drops.

Here are the list, not sure though if this is confirmed or not, so take everything with a grain of salt.



https://x.com/IRAN_urgent/status/2033955565789966343

If it is true then good for those who are the ally of Iran or at least neutral. But in any case, the US and Israel will still want to control this straight and so with that, the conflict will still continue despite what the US predicted that this is over or might only takes 4 weeks for them to finish Iran.

 
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March 18, 2026, 02:08:34 PM
 #63

If you are a neutral country then you might go and take the risk, but if you are very vocal that you are part of the allies then better not to take it, for sure Iran have their intel and before you can come close they'll take their shot and leave your tanker down, for those who already get the chance lucky for them as they may buy some to survive while for those who can't it will keep the increase till the last drops.

Here are the list, not sure though if this is confirmed or not, so take everything with a grain of salt.



https://x.com/IRAN_urgent/status/2033955565789966343

If it is true then good for those who are the ally of Iran or at least neutral. But in any case, the US and Israel will still want to control this straight and so with that, the conflict will still continue despite what the US predicted that this is over or might only takes 4 weeks for them to finish Iran.
From the list of countries mentioned above we can conclude that Iran has not officially closed the Strait of Hormuz. However, Iran strictly regulates shipping traffic because it has the authority to prohibit ships from enemy countries or those supporting aggression, particularly the US, Israel, Europe and their allies. However, Iran has allowed several countries to pass through after direct coordination. This is because Iran makes exceptions for neutral countries or political allies.

In practice this Iranian strategy has further angered the US and Israel as Iran's oil traffic to its allies is still operating relatively normally. While there is currently no 100% complete official list the countries on this list can be considered the safest for now as they are permitted. However, this situation is highly dynamic as the ongoing war could change at any time. Iran has implemented a clever strategy to weaken its opponents. The US itself is even inviting European countries to send warships to accompany oil shipments but many countries have refused. Perhaps many European countries are now beginning to realize that they don't want to be directly involved in this war especially since they are still deeply angered by the American president's indiscriminate tariff hikes a few months ago.

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March 18, 2026, 03:10:30 PM
 #64

Currently, we are seeing a global oil crisis in the chaos of the conflict between the United States and Israel with Iran. Most countries in the world are unable to import oil through the Strait of Hormuz, although it is currently relaxed and open to every country. But the United States and Israel are prohibited from taking oil from the Strait, although this is currently creating more chaos around the world. Currently, there are many oil crises in the world market, which have put many countries in despair. There is a possibility of more damage due to this war. However, due to the recent assassination of Iran's supreme leader, they are getting more excited about the war and are not allowing oil to be imported, which is increasing the price of oil in the world market. If this war is prolonged, then of course there will be more oil crises worldwide and more chaos will be created, and the oil market will rise even higher.

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March 18, 2026, 03:20:02 PM
 #65

I am surprised that Iran has managed to keep it's own against the United States of America. Perhaps all this was fore-planned in order to manipulate the market and to profit from that? I cannot understand why the US would attack Iran now. Nothing has changed, has it? So why now?

Strait of Hormuz is a bluff, I doubt that Iran would willingly attack Nato members (except the ones leading the aggression act again Iran - in other words, the US).

The countries that are allowed to pass will probably strike a deal with buffer countries that will circumvent the whole thing. Geopolitics as usual.

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March 18, 2026, 10:23:58 PM
 #66

The only problem is they keep doing the opposite of what they are announcing on their press statement like they will not attack ship that doesn’t passed the strait yet they start bombing trap oil ship.

It’s still too risky to follow this announcement considering there’s potential mines planted on the sea especially on the narrow part of the Strait of Hormuz.
Here is a video from watcherguru showing ships traffic movement in the Strait of Hormuz in the last 24 hours  from when Iran announces that it has been opened to every country apart from the US, Israel and their allies.

There has been no news of ships attacks and if there was any of that then it cannot be a neutral country's ship according to the condition of opening the Strait.

If you are a neutral country then you might go and take the risk, but if you are very vocal that you are part of the allies then better not to take it, for sure Iran have their intel and before you can come close they'll take their shot and leave your tanker down, for those who already get the chance lucky for them as they may buy some to survive while for those who can't it will keep the increase till the last drops.
That is the cost of war it affects principal and passive entities. It will be foolish  of the countries in Iran list of attack to make an attempt to cross their vessels  undercover of other neutral countries that have been slow to sail through. Iran would not hesitate to nuke them in other to send a strong warning to the rest of them on the other side. Oil prices will continue to loom with fewer countries making it through the Strait in middle of high demands.

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March 18, 2026, 11:11:40 PM
 #67

Currently, we are seeing a global oil crisis in the chaos of the conflict between the United States and Israel with Iran. Most countries in the world are unable to import oil through the Strait of Hormuz, although it is currently relaxed and open to every country. But the United States and Israel are prohibited from taking oil from the Strait, although this is currently creating more chaos around the world. Currently, there are many oil crises in the world market, which have put many countries in despair. There is a possibility of more damage due to this war. However, due to the recent assassination of Iran's supreme leader, they are getting more excited about the war and are not allowing oil to be imported, which is increasing the price of oil in the world market. If this war is prolonged, then of course there will be more oil crises worldwide and more chaos will be created, and the oil market will rise even higher.

Strait of Hormuz isn't open to anyone and even if it's open, I doubt if countries will allow their ships to pass through. At first, when I analyze the situations of Iran, I didn't thought it was that deep until after some research I knew it was deep than the way we assumed. You see this strait of Hormuz thing, no company or government will sail through their ship because Donald Trump says so, the risk of passing through a danger zone might not be worth it, what if Iran decided to fire if they pass through?

Iran Ambassador says he was in the middle of negotiations with the US and the US out of no where sent missile to Iran, they had alot on the table for the united state to take so everyone can go peace as they were willing to freely drop the nuclear weapon materials but this was abused by the US. Now, they don't have the cards again. Even the US Navy will not run to strait of Hormuz because it's unsafe for people ship to pass, they can go but the potential loss to such region will take years to recover.

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March 18, 2026, 11:24:43 PM
 #68

Here are the list, not sure though if this is confirmed or not, so take everything with a grain of salt.



https://x.com/IRAN_urgent/status/2033955565789966343

If it is true then good for those who are the ally of Iran or at least neutral.
This is good if it's true. They're now allowing specific countries to pass through the Strait again. But I think the condition is to pay them in china's currency because they're an ally of it.

But in any case, the US and Israel will still want to control this straight and so with that, the conflict will still continue despite what the US predicted that this is over or might only takes 4 weeks for them to finish Iran.
Trump says that he wants it open for free and there will be any conditions at all. Now that's the interesting part and we'll see on how this will end up. But I am just happy to see that there are vessels now allowed to pass there because the economic impact of this war globally is really being felt by citizens like us.

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March 19, 2026, 05:05:38 AM
 #69

Here are the list, not sure though if this is confirmed or not, so take everything with a grain of salt.



https://x.com/IRAN_urgent/status/2033955565789966343

If it is true then good for those who are the ally of Iran or at least neutral. But in any case, the US and Israel will still want to control this straight and so with that, the conflict will still continue despite what the US predicted that this is over or might only takes 4 weeks for them to finish Iran.
There are too many misinformation in X from people farming engagement to get paid that I actually don't even believe these tweets.
Back then it was India who is said to be given free pass to the strait of hormuz and now all these countries. Honestly, confusing as heck if we are following all the news unable to distinguish real info to fake ones.

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March 19, 2026, 05:19:20 AM
 #70

The focus shifted from Ukraine long time ago. Since the war between Israel and Hamas, that was when attention moved out from the Russian-Ukraine war. The US is a strong ally and a provider of military aid to Israel since they are their major partner in the Middle East even though they are Non-NATO ally so it is understandable why the US always show quick response to help Israel in times of war. Ukraine was long left to their own fate in the war between them and Russia.
No, attention hasn't shifted. That's not true. While the US and Israel are fighting Iran, the EU has approved a new $90 billion aid package for Ukraine. And what about Trump? He's completely refused to fulfill his direct obligations under the Budapest Treaty, blaming everything on Europe. He's a piece of shit who doesn't understand the consequences of his decisions. He thinks he can get away with it, but he won't. He will answer for everything in full. That time is just around the corner. Many Americans are against him. Even his base has reconsidered his policies, which he understands very little about.

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March 19, 2026, 06:23:32 PM
 #71

Not yet, I am sure there have been attempts as we have seen, but it is not open in the sense that we have seen ships moving around freely like it used to. This is why it's quite tough for us to see something that would get bigger and more troublesome on the long run.

I think it's clear that we are going to face a lot of trouble with this strait for the upcoming weeks or maybe even a few months but it will be not a long story forever and eventually something will be done. Maybe it will open up, or maybe we will get an alternative, so it won't be an issue for long still how the countries which are using this strait going to survive in short term is a big question right now. Trump is the modern age Hitler for for reasons.

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March 19, 2026, 06:40:43 PM
 #72

Here are the list, not sure though if this is confirmed or not, so take everything with a grain of salt.



https://x.com/IRAN_urgent/status/2033955565789966343

If it is true then good for those who are the ally of Iran or at least neutral. But in any case, the US and Israel will still want to control this straight and so with that, the conflict will still continue despite what the US predicted that this is over or might only takes 4 weeks for them to finish Iran.
There are too many misinformation in X from people farming engagement to get paid that I actually don't even believe these tweets.
Back then it was India who is said to be given free pass to the strait of hormuz and now all these countries. Honestly, confusing as heck if we are following all the news unable to distinguish real info to fake ones.

I agree to that, we can't determine what's is true from what is for engagement though if there's some countries who can use or pass on it that's going to be good as the need is globally, it helps for those countries who can deal with it while for those who don't have the access the price hike will continue till this war is over, we can only hope that there's a better solution to stop it and renew all the services back to everyone.

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March 19, 2026, 09:20:44 PM
 #73

I agree to that, we can't determine what's is true from what is for engagement though if there's some countries who can use or pass on it that's going to be good as the need is globally, it helps for those countries who can deal with it while for those who don't have the access the price hike will continue till this war is over, we can only hope that there's a better solution to stop it and renew all the services back to everyone.
Content creators are exploiting this situation to go viral so they can monetize it and now it's difficult to discern its authenticity if we're not careful. For example, we heard that the Israeli Prime Minister died from an attack by Iran, but this news has now been directly confirmed as false. Likewise, regarding which countries will gain access to the strait, some media outlets have claimed that Iran is willing to open the route if the yuan used for transactions is not affiliated with the US or Israel.

Public confusion is exacerbated by some content that has no basis in fact and we hope this situation ends so it doesn't impact the global economy which could have a worse impact. For countries that do not have any resources, it may be quite problematic when this war continues because the need for oil supplies is increasingly scarce and expensive.

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March 19, 2026, 09:34:05 PM
 #74

Here are the list, not sure though if this is confirmed or not, so take everything with a grain of salt.



https://x.com/IRAN_urgent/status/2033955565789966343

If it is true then good for those who are the ally of Iran or at least neutral. But in any case, the US and Israel will still want to control this straight and so with that, the conflict will still continue despite what the US predicted that this is over or might only takes 4 weeks for them to finish Iran.
It is not yet known whether this is true or not because the X account from which it was posted is not an official Iranian account. Various types of false news are being spread around the world through various media outlets which are completely fake. So until we get any official news, we cannot believe them. I was recently hearing that India has been able to bring in a large amount of oil but I have not found any official news so far. Since the Strait of Hormuz became friendly, there have been many problems with oil and gas all over the world. However, Iran is not going towards a compromise in any way, Iran has become more aggressive since the loss of their Supreme Leader Ayatollah Al-Khameni.

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March 19, 2026, 09:50:35 PM
 #75

Not yet, I am sure there have been attempts as we have seen, but it is not open in the sense that we have seen ships moving around freely like it used to. This is why it's quite tough for us to see something that would get bigger and more troublesome on the long run.
Yeah, that's also what I think about it. No clear signs that the ships are passing there freely even if they have announced it and there's a fee for every passage of it. The recent attack of Iran to Qatar's largest gas hub is a clear sign that they're not going to allow it yet. Because if they would just allow it then most of the ones waiting for them to pass will eventually pass. Or does the media play this information and they don't want to say the real thing? it's hard to rely on news for these matters when they're also hiding the truth.

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March 20, 2026, 03:35:51 PM
 #76

Key facts about the Strait of Hormuz:
Market share: ~20% of global oil consumption and about 20% of global LNG exports.
Volumes: About 15–20 million barrels of oil per day (as of early 2026).
Major suppliers: Saudi Arabia, Iraq, UAE, Iran, Kuwait.
Destination: Primarily Asia (China, India, Japan, South Korea).

In summary, if we set aside the panic and hysteria being whipped up by some media outlets—the situation is certainly not the most positive, but it is not fatal either. The 20% figure may turn out to be an overestimate. 20%, not 50 or 75. Especially since oil is already being routed around the Strait of Hormuz. Moreover, the threat to the Strait of Hormuz won’t last very long. A temporary inconvenience—I agree. A critical situation—no.


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March 20, 2026, 03:54:53 PM
 #77

Key facts about the Strait of Hormuz:
Market share: ~20% of global oil consumption and about 20% of global LNG exports.
Volumes: About 15–20 million barrels of oil per day (as of early 2026).
Major suppliers: Saudi Arabia, Iraq, UAE, Iran, Kuwait.
Destination: Primarily Asia (China, India, Japan, South Korea).

In summary, if we set aside the panic and hysteria being whipped up by some media outlets—the situation is certainly not the most positive, but it is not fatal either. The 20% figure may turn out to be an overestimate. 20%, not 50 or 75. Especially since oil is already being routed around the Strait of Hormuz. Moreover, the threat to the Strait of Hormuz won’t last very long. A temporary inconvenience—I agree. A critical situation—no.

Thank you so much for this information because i was about to ask why the Strait of Hormuz is so important to the US when it's only ''20% of global oil consumption and about 20% of global LNG exports'' as you stated. I don't really understand why the Strait of Hormuz has caused so much tension globally when it contributes less than 1/4 of global oil, what happened to the other channels with which oil is distributed all over the world. Something that is not supposed to cause a tension because i understand that Iran is just doing this to annoy the US but in reality, it is not problematic at all except someone will educate me more about the influence of the Strait of Hormuz to global economy.

R


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March 20, 2026, 04:07:36 PM
 #78

Key facts about the Strait of Hormuz:
Market share: ~20% of global oil consumption and about 20% of global LNG exports.
Volumes: About 15–20 million barrels of oil per day (as of early 2026).
Major suppliers: Saudi Arabia, Iraq, UAE, Iran, Kuwait.
Destination: Primarily Asia (China, India, Japan, South Korea).
Include also our country, the Philippines. Our country's dependence to oil import is almost all of it close to 100%.

In summary, if we set aside the panic and hysteria being whipped up by some media outlets—the situation is certainly not the most positive, but it is not fatal either. The 20% figure may turn out to be an overestimate. 20%, not 50 or 75. Especially since oil is already being routed around the Strait of Hormuz. Moreover, the threat to the Strait of Hormuz won’t last very long. A temporary inconvenience—I agree. A critical situation—no.
This is what I am trying to understand. If the oil supply from the Middle East is around 20% then there's still the 80% of it that can help the other countries that are reliant to the ME's crude oil. But even with that, we're badly affected and we have no idea how long the stock of our biggest gas companies still have left in their tankers.


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March 20, 2026, 05:20:27 PM
 #79

But will it really be successful? Can they really pass through the strait with this chaos ongoing?

It doesn't sound unusual in a trade war. Iran is also doing it for a reason, not without reason.
Iran is aware of the power it holds in the Strait of Hormuz, which is why they can issue an ultimatum like the one reported.

If the party not allowed to enter forces its way in, the risk is being sunk. That's the biggest risk, and it will continue.

R


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March 20, 2026, 08:44:14 PM
 #80

Key facts about the Strait of Hormuz:
Market share: ~20% of global oil consumption and about 20% of global LNG exports.
Volumes: About 15–20 million barrels of oil per day (as of early 2026).
Major suppliers: Saudi Arabia, Iraq, UAE, Iran, Kuwait.
Destination: Primarily Asia (China, India, Japan, South Korea).

In summary, if we set aside the panic and hysteria being whipped up by some media outlets—the situation is certainly not the most positive, but it is not fatal either. The 20% figure may turn out to be an overestimate. 20%, not 50 or 75. Especially since oil is already being routed around the Strait of Hormuz. Moreover, the threat to the Strait of Hormuz won’t last very long. A temporary inconvenience—I agree. A critical situation—no.


I don't know about others but India consumes like 80% of their oil from this route so if things aren't back normal then it's fucked for sure. Already, restaurants are closing in many parts due to the government stopping the supply for commercial that means domestic can get for a little longer but this will affect the daily lives of many such as owners of the restaurants to the last line employees there. Wrold is not yet prepared for the alternative energy so this is a serious issue for some than others.

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