Strait of Hormuz now open?

[Ryu_Ar1]

Currently, the world's energy supply is in disarray due to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. The two-week ceasefire should be good news for the global investment climate, as there is an agreement to reopen shipping lanes in Hormuz. But they still choose to attack and refuse to withdraw from the war. The plastics industry is currently experiencing significant growth. I sincerely hope that peace will soon be achieved so that the Strait of Hormuz can be safely passed through, and the world economy will slowly recover. Open war on a large scale is not a solution; it will only worsen the situation. After the war, there will certainly be a disaster, namely famine.

For now the Strait of Hormuz has been opened and any ship can sail but it must be in accordance with the conditions put forward by Iran because currently they are quite strict to implement a toll payment system with the currency they choose (which is definitely not USD) because even though the ceasefire occurred but they still do not want petrodollars.

For the plastic problem in my country, I also feel the impact (in addition to oil) because currently the price of plastic has really increased drastically, even up to 90 percent increase in price.
For peace it will be very difficult because even though both sides of the war are currently cease-fire, but tensions still remain and it will be very difficult to reconcile conditions like this it could be that the cold war volume xx is happening again just like what the US, Russia and some US sentiments to Iran before the war broke out at this time.

[logfiles]

It is tiring, more than 300 Lebanese have lost their lives from the aggression of Israel. If this was Ukraine targeted this way, the whole of western union and European Union will be out to condemn the actions but this is some grave aggression against humanity and they're yet to boycott them nor part ways with them. This is unacceptable. This is why I say Iranian government is not just fighting for itself, but for the oppressed Gazan citizens and Lebanese ( humanity).

Exactly.

I wish people could see both sides of the worlds and get to know who the real devil is. The real devil is right in front of our faces. You can't go on a killing spree of civilians, and then you boost and call yourself a hero or angel, not in my eyes and soul.

Now be fair Zionists love the prime minister of Israel 🇮🇱.

Of course not that many people are Zionists.

I think Zionists are willing to disobey one of Moses commandments on a regular basis.

But the problem people have is a lot of people are willing to break the commandment thou shall not kill.

You are right. I am not blaming all Israelis. I know there are some pretty awesome people out there, and they are against what is going on right now, but they are being suppressed. Unfortunately the media always talks about Israel and not Zionists. maybe the much need regime change was always in Israel and not Iran.

[DrBeer]

The Gulf States (Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Iran, Kuwait, Qatar) account for about 30% of global oil production), having fallen victim to Iranian aggression after Iran launched a war against them, have made the expected decision: to actively develop alternative routes for delivering oil to delivery points or ports via land routes.
These include existing projects: NEOM/Pipeline Initiatives,  the East-West Pipeline (Petroline), and the Khabashan–Fujairah pipeline, as well as promising new projects. Admittedly, this cannot be rebuilt “overnight,” but the need to break free from dependence on a regional terrorist strongly motivates efforts to accelerate this process.
 Simply waiting for a change of power in Iran is a good idea, but it’s always better to have a backup plan.

What are you talking about? I know you are a fervent supporter of American imperialism on this forum because they are funding the ongoing war in your country to prolong it for as long as possible. But you should not distort the truth. Which Iranian side initiated the war?

If the US had not launched this senseless war, the Middle East would not be experiencing the instability it faces today


I do not support war or any faction, and I hope all wars will end soon. However, if you believe that the US invasion of Iran was justified, do not expect the war in your country to be wrong and end anytime soon.
Do not support war and dont spread misinformation.

 
I’ve never heard anything funnier!
1. The U.S. is not funding the war; moreover, the U.S. is not fulfilling its obligations under the Budapest Memorandum.
2. My stance on Trump is extremely negative, which is easy to verify.
3. I sincerely support the people of Iran, who have become hostages-first to a regime of religious fanatics and now to the IRGC military junta. And I, for example, am categorically opposed to U.S. strikes on power plants, because this is a blow to the civilian population.
This is exactly what Russian terrorists do when they shell peaceful cities, destroying power plants, hydroelectric stations, hospitals, and schools...

Now please explain-how, in such a situation, did you come to such an inappropriate conclusion and attribute such characteristics to me?
And yes, if you’re not a supporter of terrorism, then explain why you’ve never once mentioned the suffering of ordinary people but have only accused the US of certain actions?
Are you defending a terrorist regime because it benefits you? Are you part of the IRGC?

What can be said for certain about me is that I am categorically against terrorists: whether it be a country, a regime, a group of people, or an individual. This is a fact that is easy to verify. That is precisely why I support the concept of eradicating terrorism in all its forms, as well as liberating my country from the terrorists who have come here-terrorists who, by the way, are fully supported by the Iranian regime.
 Last night in Kyiv alone, four Ukrainian civilians, including a child, were killed when a Shahed UAV-supplied by Iran and launched by Russia-struck a residential apartment building.
Dozens more people were killed last night in Dnipro, Kharkiv, Odesa, and other peaceful cities in Ukraine. This happens EVERY DAY!   And you support this while accusing me of supporting the U.S.! Seriously!?

Anyway, back to the topic. Israel and the US launched this Special Military Operation in response to Iran’s latest threats, the terrorist attacks from last year, and the mass slaughter carried out by the Ayatollah regime against its own people, brutally killing tens of thousands of its citizens. Peaceful citizens. 
Is this news to you? 

Let’s play a game familiar to those who don’t want reality but want to justify their point of view somehow?
So-the culprit and instigator of this war is Russia, for whom the problem in the oil market might slightly prolong its attempts to wage a terrorist war in Ukraine! They provoked the conflict and pushed Israel and the U.S., through agents of influence in the Trump administration close to the Kremlin, to launch this operation! Try to prove that this isn’t true?!

[Alpen]

That's the point. Maybe next time the US thinks they can just go attack any country with impunity, they should think about the consequences. Just asking, is there any ship that can pass through any US controlled waters without coordinating with the US Military?
That US attack on Iran just opened their eyes. They (Iranians) now know how powerful and how much leverage they have over the global economy 

"The US will think" — that sounds like an oxymoron. Two presidents in a row have been men over 80. If you’ve ever been close to someone that age, you know that cognitive decline is an inevitable reality.

But that's not even the main issue. The real problem is that the American people elected them. We are witnessing a nationwide degradation. They don't mind a president who acts like a God while at the same time mocking others with racist tropes.

After all that, this war isn't some outlier—it’s a logical conclusion. Mark my words: we’ll eventually see an operation in Cuba, the betrayal of European allies, and even a nuclear strike on Iran.

[fillippone]

That's the point. Maybe next time the US thinks they can just go attack any country with impunity, they should think about the consequences. Just asking, is there any ship that can pass through any US controlled waters without coordinating with the US Military?
That US attack on Iran just opened their eyes. They (Iranians) now know how powerful and how much leverage they have over the global economy 

"The US will think" — that sounds like an oxymoron. Two presidents in a row have been men over 80. If you’ve ever been close to someone that age, you know that cognitive decline is an inevitable reality.

But that's not even the main issue. The real problem is that the American people elected them. We are witnessing a nationwide degradation. They don't mind a president who acts like a God while at the same time mocking others with racist tropes.

After all that, this war isn't some outlier—it’s a logical conclusion. Mark my words: we’ll eventually see an operation in Cuba, the betrayal of European allies, and even a nuclear strike on Iran.

Believe me when I tell you that I closely follow the situation in the Strait of Hormuz, but I still struggle to understand what is going on and why there are those destuctive declaration when we apparently are heading in the right direction.
Also, I think nobody in the thread can anser to this simple question: is the Strait open or not? Is it s Shreodinger Strait: open and closed at the same time?

[Alpen]

Believe me when I tell you that I closely follow the situation in the Strait of Hormuz, but I still struggle to understand what is going on and why there are those destuctive declaration when we apparently are heading in the right direction.
Also, I think nobody in the thread can anser to this simple question: is the Strait open or not? Is it s Shreodinger Strait: open and closed at the same time?

The "Schrodinger’s Strait" comparison is spot on! But from what I’ve heard, Iranian tankers are definitely getting through. Interestingly, the Americans are intercepting some of them as far out as the Indian Ocean

[Coyster]

Mark my words: we’ll eventually see an operation in Cuba, the betrayal of European allies, and even a nuclear strike on Iran.

There is no chance in hell of this happening. The U.S. cannot use a nuclear weapon in this war, why should they? Countries do not just go about using nuclear weapons, it has to be in extraordinary cases and in more serious conflicts, because of its devastating effects and the fact that it could count as war crimes.

President Trump held a press conference yesterday, and he was asked by a reporter if he'd use a nuclear weapon in Iran. He was obviously mad at the reporter, and the answer was NO. To quote part of his words:

No, I wouldn't use it. A nuclear weapon should never be allowed to be used by anybody.

[PocketAurora]

The only problem is they keep doing the opposite of what they are announcing on their press statement like they will not attack ship that doesn’t passed the strait yet they start bombing trap oil ship.

It’s still too risky to follow this announcement considering there’s potential mines planted on the sea especially on the narrow part of the Strait of Hormuz.

yea thats the real issue, what's said publicly doesn't always match what happens on the ground, even if they say it's "open", one attack or hidden mine can change everything again  

[avp2306]

Mark my words: we’ll eventually see an operation in Cuba, the betrayal of European allies, and even a nuclear strike on Iran.

There is no chance in hell of this happening. The U.S. cannot use a nuclear weapon in this war, why should they? Countries do not just go about using nuclear weapons, it has to be in extraordinary cases and in more serious conflicts, because of its devastating effects and the fact that it could count as war crimes.

President Trump held a press conference yesterday, and he was asked by a reporter if he'd use a nuclear weapon in Iran. He was obviously mad at the reporter, and the answer was NO. To quote part of his words:

No, I wouldn't use it. A nuclear weapon should never be allowed to be used by anybody.

Right and even if Trump use some harsh word before, I think he just want made that to scare Iran. For sure he don't want create catastrophic situation on which many civilians will get affected.

The impact of Nuclear is devastating and if US will launch that on Iran which is unnecessary for now, they might face heavy criticism and possible US reputation will get destroyed on global scene.

This is why US says no for nuclear attacks somehow make sense, since this can avoid having more conflicts which can affect more the global economy.

[summonerrk]

The week was marked by mixed geopolitics and macroeconomic data. US-Iran negotiations stalled, Trump announced a three-week extension of the ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, which reduced the risk of escalation but left the market sensitive to news from the Middle East. Risk-on returns: The market entered a "nervous balance" mode.
Today, this pattern is cracking: oil is back above $100, US-Iran negotiations are stalled, and Hormuz remains a risk factor.
Oil is the main driver of the day. Brent is already at $105-108.
The market believes that even without a full-scale war, supplies are disrupted, shipping insurance has increased, and any escalation = an even higher spike.

[fuguebtc]

Mark my words: we’ll eventually see an operation in Cuba, the betrayal of European allies, and even a nuclear strike on Iran.

There is no chance in hell of this happening. The U.S. cannot use a nuclear weapon in this war, why should they? Countries do not just go about using nuclear weapons, it has to be in extraordinary cases and in more serious conflicts, because of its devastating effects and the fact that it could count as war crimes.

President Trump held a press conference yesterday, and he was asked by a reporter if he'd use a nuclear weapon in Iran. He was obviously mad at the reporter, and the answer was NO. To quote part of his words:

No, I wouldn't use it. A nuclear weapon should never be allowed to be used by anybody.

If the United States were to use nuclear weapon against Iran, it would be more than just a war crime. That could spark a world war and lead to global devastation. Even if Trump wanted it, the US administration would never allow it to happen. Because they would gain nothing if World War III broke out

Nuclear weapon are primarily used for deterrence, they are not weapons that can be used indiscriminately like conventional bombs and ammunition

[Oluwa-btc]

"The US will think" — that sounds like an oxymoron. Two presidents in a row have been men over 80. If you’ve ever been close to someone that age, you know that cognitive decline is an inevitable reality.

But that's not even the main issue. The real problem is that the American people elected them. We are witnessing a nationwide degradation. They don't mind a president who acts like a God while at the same time mocking others with racist tropes.

After all that, this war isn't some outlier—it’s a logical conclusion. Mark my words: we’ll eventually see an operation in Cuba, the betrayal of European allies, and even a nuclear strike on Iran.

Trump couldn’t get the quick victory he wanted in iran so he'll try to move on to Cuba. Betryeral?? He Donald Trump publicly disrespected his aliies and jumped on a war which has affected them greatly. There's no way they'll join such a move when Donald Trump ignored the consequences of this war on his European aliies.
There's less to say but have you all seen how many military generals are being suspended because they not swinging just the same way with them?! Not just their allies, people who support and vouched for his return as president are all going nuts about his actions.

[abhiseshakana]

Believe me when I tell you that I closely follow the situation in the Strait of Hormuz, but I still struggle to understand what is going on and why there are those destuctive declaration when we apparently are heading in the right direction.
Also, I think nobody in the thread can anser to this simple question: is the Strait open or not? Is it s Shreodinger Strait: open and closed at the same time?

Based on update information shipping traffic dropped because Iranian control Hormuz strais physically under IRGC command with seizing specific merchant, bombing and firing ships attemping to pass, planting sea mines, threatening and making shipping vessel affraid to pass but they don't give formal notification about closing Hormuz strait. IRGC also give selective acess for specific vessel for specific rourte, which we can say, Hormuz strait no longer free lanes. For responding Iran blockade, US do counter blockade by detained Iranian shiup and prevent vessel entrering or leaving iranian port, US also deploy warship, escor.t and intercept vessel, Trump also claimed do lane clearing from sea mine. So there are active military escalation on Hormuz strait

So we can conclude, legally Hormuz strait is not closed but it does not operated normally There are dual blocakade or we can say diplomacy deadlock, Iran closing global shipping route, US blockade Iranian economy and its cause real global impact such as supply disrupted, vessel stuck, fuel crisid, flight disruption. Both Iran and US, no one trully control Hormuz strait, because Iran deny access on Hormuz and US counter it and continue giving pressure Iran.

I ever read news, when China ship leaving Iranian port, US warship did not make any response, did not give any warning or carry out any attack and just let the Chinese ship pass by, It is something interesting, why US didn't take any action ? What is their consideration to let China vessel pass which actually their rival and Iranian ally.Does the US Navy not have the courage to face China vessel ?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Strait_of_Hormuz_crisis

[avp2306]

"The US will think" — that sounds like an oxymoron. Two presidents in a row have been men over 80. If you’ve ever been close to someone that age, you know that cognitive decline is an inevitable reality.

But that's not even the main issue. The real problem is that the American people elected them. We are witnessing a nationwide degradation. They don't mind a president who acts like a God while at the same time mocking others with racist tropes.

After all that, this war isn't some outlier—it’s a logical conclusion. Mark my words: we’ll eventually see an operation in Cuba, the betrayal of European allies, and even a nuclear strike on Iran.

Trump couldn’t get the quick victory he wanted in iran so he'll try to move on to Cuba. Betryeral?? He Donald Trump publicly disrespected his aliies and jumped on a war which has affected them greatly. There's no way they'll join such a move when Donald Trump ignored the consequences of this war on his European aliies.
There's less to say but have you all seen how many military generals are being suspended because they not swinging just the same way with them?! Not just their allies, people who support and vouched for his return as president are all going nuts about his actions.

There's less chance that their allies would support another military action, especially if they don't see any benefits and majority of their allies is suffering on the implications of the war they made.

That disrespect made by US for doing quick action without consulting their allies stained their trust on US. So trying to shift their attention to Cuba will provably not easily build their trust. The suspension made by US and also removal shows that there are divisions and internal problems.

Then lots are now frustrated because the result didn't come up base on what they expect. Then many are losing their confidence towards the action done by US against Iran now.

[Alpen]

There is no chance in hell of this happening. The U.S. cannot use a nuclear weapon in this war, why should they? Countries do not just go about using nuclear weapons, it has to be in extraordinary cases and in more serious conflicts, because of its devastating effects and the fact that it could count as war crimes.

President Trump held a press conference yesterday, and he was asked by a reporter if he'd use a nuclear weapon in Iran. He was obviously mad at the reporter, and the answer was NO. To quote part of his words:

No, I wouldn't use it. A nuclear weapon should never be allowed to be used by anybody.

Trump’s words aren’t worth a dime. He promised to end all wars, but instead, he triggered a conflict that has devastated the entire world. In a way, he’s already unleashed a "weapon of mass destruction" through the sheer scale of this chaos.

Let’s not forget that the U.S. remains the only country to have used nuclear weapons on a civilian population—and back then, there was no real military necessity for it either, as the Kwantung Army had already been defeated. Now Trump is vowing to destroy every power plant in Iran. Does that include their nuclear facilities? If so, the consequences are essentially the same.

[Alpen]

Right and even if Trump use some harsh word before, I think he just want made that to scare Iran. For sure he don't want create catastrophic situation on which many civilians will get affected.

Have you forgotten the start of the Iranian conflict? The U.S. launched a strike on a girls' school in the morning without warning. The death toll was so high they had to dig mass graves with heavy machinery. What is the source of Trump’s animosity toward children? Maybe Jeffrey Epstein held the key to that secret.

[Alpen]

If the United States were to use nuclear weapon against Iran, it would be more than just a war crime. That could spark a world war and lead to global devastation. Even if Trump wanted it, the US administration would never allow it to happen. Because they would gain nothing if World War III broke out

Nuclear weapon are primarily used for deterrence, they are not weapons that can be used indiscriminately like conventional bombs and ammunition

World War III? Who exactly would be fighting whom? Is it the U.S. against a world that is simply terrified of Trump? Everyone spends their time praising him, yet nobody actually wants to fight for him—and they certainly don’t want to fight against him either.

Who would even form an alliance in a scenario like that?

[Chilwell]

That's the point. Maybe next time the US thinks they can just go attack any country with impunity, they should think about the consequences. Just asking, is there any ship that can pass through any US controlled waters without coordinating with the US Military?
That US attack on Iran just opened their eyes. They (Iranians) now know how powerful and how much leverage they have over the global economy 

"The US will think" — that sounds like an oxymoron. Two presidents in a row have been men over 80. If you’ve ever been close to someone that age, you know that cognitive decline is an inevitable reality.

But that's not even the main issue. The real problem is that the American people elected them. We are witnessing a nationwide degradation. They don't mind a president who acts like a God while at the same time mocking others with racist tropes.

After all that, this war isn't some outlier—it’s a logical conclusion. Mark my words: we’ll eventually see an operation in Cuba, the betrayal of European allies, and even a nuclear strike on Iran.

Believe me when I tell you that I closely follow the situation in the Strait of Hormuz, but I still struggle to understand what is going on and why there are those destuctive declaration when we apparently are heading in the right direction.
Also, I think nobody in the thread can anser to this simple question: is the Strait open or not? Is it s Shreodinger Strait: open and closed at the same time?

This question also confused me the most because I usually see so many clips saying that the Strait of Hormuz is open even the AI generated videos, but if it is open then why things are not going as we wanted. I don't know how true it is, they also say that they accept Bitcoin in exchange of dollar but if that is so I think Bitcoin will continue to have more value, and to me it's a welcoming development.

The closure of Strait of Hormuz is affecting the global economy because not only oil that is skyrocketing, other things follow has well, I just pray they should do something to end the conflict and embrace peace because peace is always the way out.

[BALIK]

Right and even if Trump use some harsh word before, I think he just want made that to scare Iran. For sure he don't want create catastrophic situation on which many civilians will get affected.

Have you forgotten the start of the Iranian conflict? The U.S. launched a strike on a girls' school in the morning without warning. The death toll was so high they had to dig mass graves with heavy machinery. What is the source of Trump’s animosity toward children? Maybe Jeffrey Epstein held the key to that secret.

I do not know whether it was an accident or a deliberate act by the US military when their Tomahawk missiles killed more than 120 schoolgirls and 26 teachers. And whatever the reason, it was still a war crime.

However, that pales in comparison to the destructive power and consequences of nuclear weapons.
Did you know that the two atomic bombs that the United States dropped on Japan in 1945 killed more than 200,000 people? Not to mention, its consequences continue to this day. So, the likelihood of the US using nuclear weapons against Iran is virtually zero.

[Cheema02]

The week was marked by mixed geopolitics and macroeconomic data. US-Iran negotiations stalled, Trump announced a three-week extension of the ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, which reduced the risk of escalation but left the market sensitive to news from the Middle East. Risk-on returns: The market entered a "nervous balance" mode.
Today, this pattern is cracking: oil is back above $100, US-Iran negotiations are stalled, and Hormuz remains a risk factor.
Oil is the main driver of the day. Brent is already at $105-108.
The market believes that even without a full-scale war, supplies are disrupted, shipping insurance has increased, and any escalation = an even higher spike.

Yes, Your point describes the way of working of global markets in response to political tensions. And recently when USA and Iran talks stop then the investors was not in good position because nothing can be pridictive about this talk and middle east is very important for oil and gass investing. In this way the Strait of Hormuz is the key point because if talk going good then its opens for trade and if Brent goes to 105$ or above then its also a problem because its leads the high transport cost. Because markets are very inpredictable even war fear is not floating just fake news can affects the market. Also high oil prices means the increase in inflation so the trade market goes unstable so in this situation gold becomes the part of attraction. So market runs very carefully and with predictive way to save future investing  and now the actual assets is oil because its affected due Hormuz blockage.