Analysis based on stats might be useless

[programmer3666]

A gambler who is looking out for all this before they can place a bet, will have to wait for a long time before they can arrive at where the line is in favor for them to bet. Because where in question will they get to find out the result of all these asked questions stated. As we already have millions of people gambling on different matches per day or weekly, hoping that their forecast in each game would come true as predicted.

In respect to those gamblers who are looking out on where the majority are betting, they will eventually get their hands on such data. There are platforms which are made for gathering such information. There are even some bookies which you can visit, and you will be able to see how many numbers or bets have been placed on a particular option, and you can know where the crowd is betting on exactly. As for lineups and other formations, such bettors bet on live matches.

Relying a bit too much on stats or where the crowd is betting can still be misleading. Just because many people are betting on one side does not mean it will win. Sometimes the crowd is wrong and that is why bookmakers still make money. Even with lineups and live data, football can be unpredictable. A red card, injury or one mistake can change everything. So stats can help a bit, but they are not something you can fully depend on.

[Altryist]

There is no way top leagues are rigged because they don't need it and also, if the information gets leaked, it will be extremely devastating for everyone. Why the hell do you need to rig a game when you have Messi in your team? Just for example.
You are also wrong when you say that analysis can't help you. Yes, it can help and that's how bookmakers create odds. Bookmakers have their own experts too who do the analysis and create odds but at the same time, they offer odds in a way that in the end, bookmaker is left with a profit because they don't give you 1:1 odd.

Bookmakers probably set their odds based on deep analysis, but that doesn’t mean they’re incapable of making mistakes as well. As for match fixing, I think it does still happen from time to time. And sometimes those scandals can be quite large scale, like what happened in Serie A in the past, so it can’t be completely ruled out. But I believe these are relatively rare incidents rather than something that happens on a regular basis.

[L E G E N D A R Y]

Addiction is often brought about by a logical impossibility to work out probability, where the players might think that they can make judgments about the future based on past events only. However, all contemporary betting systems, add a little bit of yet potentially deadly uncertainty to those who do not critically think the risk is. It is only because it makes good sense to begin with trying to understand the following.

You are right, people think to win from gambling its by the power or strength, thinking that their statistics are the one behind their wins without understanding the risks involved. That is to say, they don't get to know or just ignore the fact that gambling is unpredictable, the strategy that might work for you today might not work for you tomorrow and this should what they won't forget in a hurry, as it will save them in time to come.

[Derekfunds]

Addiction is often brought about by a logical impossibility to work out probability, where the players might think that they can make judgments about the future based on past events only. However, all contemporary betting systems, add a little bit of yet potentially deadly uncertainty to those who do not critically think the risk is. It is only because it makes good sense to begin with trying to understand the following.

You are right, people think to win from gambling its by the power or strength, thinking that their statistics are the one behind their wins without understanding the risks involved. That is to say, they don't get to know or just ignore the fact that gambling is unpredictable, the strategy that might work for you today might not work for you tomorrow and this should what they won't forget in a hurry, as it will save them in time to come.

The people who think winning in gambling is by their power, strength and skills are those that calls themselves expertise in gambling but in reality there is nothing like expertise because they do make loss and sometimes they even make bigger losses because of the kind of stake they use because since they believe they are good they leverage any amount thinking it will click for them and that is a very big mistake because luck is what keeps gamblers in winning though strategy can help minimize loss sometimes.

[fruktik]

That is why its a called gambling and that’s why gamblers are told and advised to gamble with what they can afford to lose and its not a good thing for one to said that gambling is rigged just because it doesn't fall in your way and having the knowledge or the mindset that gambling is for money making its totally dangerous, as it can make them to gamble recklessly and even lead to destruction. And if you feel that chasing losses is fine by you, then go for it and be happy in it.

I don't recommend giving such advice to players. Going down the path of wagering will lead to ruin. You need to play smart at the casino. Develop a specific approach and follow the rules, which include financial discipline.

I didn't take this seriously enough, which led me to a very dire situation. I was left not only penniless but also jobless. That period in my life was radical. Since then, I've reconsidered everything and become more sensible, but the echoes of that time still haunt me.

[imthegreat]

I used to watch a lot of documentaries about how much lies there are. I sometimes watch sports matches and how the Mafia forces players on their team to behave inappropriately during matches, which leads to matches becoming completely fixed. And all this despite the fact that all spectators can clearly see that the player is behaving like a fool. And so, of course, suspicion immediately falls on him. And sensible bookmakers immediately begin to look for the bet this player made. And they sometimes had amusing moments when a player bet against his own team's victory, and, of course, such a situation brought enormous shame on the player. It created a lot of hype and publicity.

[Dunamisx]

I will not accept that we make our analysis without falling back at the previous statistics to get more insight on what to expect ahead, even though we are not also required to fully depend on this statistics, but only use them as leverage in other the picture out your plan and also strategize your self to the best advantage of winning by the prediction you made, this makes all relevant information gotten useful and we must pull in all together.

[nara1892]

I'm not a gambler who bets on sports, but honestly, I often hear about matches being rigged, such as unfair refereeing. But as for the issue of "the outcome was predetermined from the start," I honestly don't understand this. The reason is that in sports matches, many unexpected things can happen that can't be controlled from the start. Injuries and unexpected declines in performance, in my opinion, can't be planned from the start because on the field, both teams are definitely working hard to win. So, what if, for example, a team that was planned by someone to win at the end of the game experiences an unexpected event during the match, ultimately resulting in a loss?

So, personally, I still believe that the final outcome of a match depends on who is stronger during the match. Overly blatant cheating can damage the league's popularity.

[bangjoe]

I will not accept that we make our analysis without falling back at the previous statistics to get more insight on what to expect ahead, even though we are not also required to fully depend on this statistics, but only use them as leverage in other the picture out your plan and also strategize your self to the best advantage of winning by the prediction you made, this makes all relevant information gotten useful and we must pull in all together.

And we must understand that statistics do not guarantee victory in our bets, but with it we can see how each team competes, we can judge the good and bad, performance and so on that we can see in statistical data, it does make it easier for us to see the probability and take advantage of the opportunities provided by the bookie.
Not knowing anything about the previous match data makes us much worse at betting, like we rely entirely on luck without trying to analyze the match data that has occurred, too naive is not the right choice.

[fredericktaylor]

When losses piles up is when every games feel rigged, if everyone is a happy gambler no one will be looking for an excuse to feel right about the money they wasted away hoping to get rich by gambling, it is always the fault of gambling rigs or sports games that are rigged, are you saying that if a sport game is rigged there is not going to be a single winner? Think about this very well, if Chelsea and Arsenal comes together for a match and the game is already rigged, every gamblers won't bet on Chelsea team, some will bet on Arsenal, so if the rigged was that Chelsea must win and someone Arsenal win then gamblers that bet on Arsenal will go home smiling.

That is why its a called gambling and that’s why gamblers are told and advised to gamble with what they can afford to lose and its not a good thing for one to said that gambling is rigged just because it doesn't fall in your way and having the knowledge or the mindset that gambling is for money making its totally dangerous, as it can make them to gamble recklessly and even lead to destruction. And if you feel that chasing losses is fine by you, then go for it and be happy in it.

It leads to more dangerous consequences for gamblers if they become desperate to get back the money they have lost. If you do not use your time wisely and show weakness in managing your funds during your financial stability period, you will definitely lose a lot. You will be psychologically weak in gambling because your experience will help you make good decisions but will not guarantee victory.

The financial strength of gamblers tempts them to gamble more. As long as they do not set a budget for gambling and strictly adhere to it, they will be at risk. Having the mental preparation to gamble to make money is not a weakness, but if you gamble without maintaining control, it is your psychological weakness.

It is absolutely true that a gambler cannot gamble by following the right rules due to greed. When a gambler keeps betting again and again to get back the money he has lost, the amount of loss increases day by day. It is better to gamble by setting a certain amount at the beginning of the game, otherwise you will never be able to survive in the field of gambling for a long time. Greed destroys people's knowledge, so it is very important to setting a budget while gambling, otherwise the possibility of losing all the money we need will increase manifold. If you start gambling with the hope of gaining extra money, the gambler will suffer mental stress and financial losses as a result of losing it.

[junder]

Players often imagine what they can win, and one of the reasons is that they simply rely on past statistics and place bets, thinking it will repeat itself. But the main point is that the games aren't like the past. Of course they are, but I mean there are still many unaccounted factors, as well as subtleties and randomness. Although I still bet, I've recently realized that it hasn't strayed too far from the casino, especially since bookmakers won't bet on bad odds at a loss because they need a constant cash flow from players and their money.

However, I think casinos will still strive for their main goal of making a profit, so they can turn things around as in the case that may occur in a match that has been arranged by the bookie so they set one of the competing teams to win even though for example their strength is below the opposing team.
 
Using statistics to analyze it is possible but still we cannot get a guarantee to be able to get a win.

[Jody.Drummer]

Addiction is often brought about by a logical impossibility to work out probability, where the players might think that they can make judgments about the future based on past events only. However, all contemporary betting systems, add a little bit of yet potentially deadly uncertainty to those who do not critically think the risk is. It is only because it makes good sense to begin with trying to understand the following.

You are right, people think to win from gambling its by the power or strength, thinking that their statistics are the one behind their wins without understanding the risks involved. That is to say, they don't get to know or just ignore the fact that gambling is unpredictable, the strategy that might work for you today might not work for you tomorrow and this should what they won't forget in a hurry, as it will save them in time to come.

We should understand that gambling is a complex process with uncertainties, including the potential for victory, which many people seek. This understanding of gambling can determine our future fate. If we misunderstand gambling, such as assuming it's a way to make money, we're likely to experience frequent losses, and other negative consequences may also occur. Even with a strategy, we won't always be able to win. As you said, gambling can't be predicted accurately. Furthermore, there are bookies behind the games, who have previously acted as hosts, who can be said to have manipulated the game to generate profits.

[ZeroVinsonN]

Addiction is often brought about by a logical impossibility to work out probability, where the players might think that they can make judgments about the future based on past events only. However, all contemporary betting systems, add a little bit of yet potentially deadly uncertainty to those who do not critically think the risk is. It is only because it makes good sense to begin with trying to understand the following.

You are right, people think to win from gambling its by the power or strength, thinking that their statistics are the one behind their wins without understanding the risks involved. That is to say, they don't get to know or just ignore the fact that gambling is unpredictable, the strategy that might work for you today might not work for you tomorrow and this should what they won't forget in a hurry, as it will save them in time to come.

That's not enough reason to just throw away the obvious advantage understand the stats brings in sports gambling, regardless of how we want to look at it we can not deny understanding stats and analyzing how each team will play against eachother helps on being able to guage the outcome of the game, you might not be 100% correct but your chances are always better than that of someone who just gambles without considering to analyze anything.

[Antotena]

With how things are going recently, I’m starting to believe that some games are really rigged. I won’t mention the specific league here, since I don’t want to offend the die hard fans.

But if my assessment is right, then sports betting may not be something we can beat through analysis alone. You can spend hours checking stats, injuries, and matchups, but if the result is already controlled, then all that analysis becomes useless.

Maybe the better thing to study is how the line moves, where most bettors are placing their money, and whether there is a trap. If most people are on one side, maybe the value is on the other side.

I'm not sure the league you are referring to or the one you experience but there are leagues that are heavily manipulated with scores and other activities. Even in big leagues, there are some players that intentionally did some things that warrant investigation and this is why Fifa has a rule that stated if any players are caught gambling or making bet will be punish but they still do them indirectly through other people so they don't get caught.

You should focus on big leagues, that's the only way you can avoid manipulation but you need to know that some things happen for a reason and no explanation to explain why they happened. Some teams lose even them don't expect why they lost the game but you as a gambler, you can make your predictions based on how the team is currently playing in their respective league, that's the only way forward and don't depend too much of previous data about teams.

[Grace333]

Stat has never been the only criteria to determine the result of a game infact the result might be completely opposite to the what the stat says because the result of the game is dependent on how the players react at every single seconds on the pitch it also includes the referee and coaches instruction and tactics. So next time when making analysis of the stat ensure to remember that stat isn't the only thing that influences the result of the game, that way you wouldn't have to be disappointed that much if the game ends up not playing out the way you want it.

[Somegory]

Every analysis is based on stats obviously, what many gaamblers don't want to accept is the fact that with analysis your sport bet is still very risky, the majority of people who bet based on analysis why are they losing then?

A gambling will remain the same, with or without analysis, your research isn't enough to make you bet right, the only option that gamblers has is lowering their risks, I know that many people won't want to accept, I wish them the best of goodluck.

If winning little by little is boring, then I guess losing big after big is right choice for you, all in the name of I want to win big many things have happened to many gamblers, not in the good way.

[Dunamisx]

We should not fully depend on analysis in gambling because some may not even be needed as we ought to play our games depending on them completely, we also need some experience in sports and ensure that we know more about each aspect that concerns our intention to gamble. They can give us some insight but not that we fully depend on these statistics to gamble.

[Altryist]

Stat has never been the only criteria to determine the result of a game infact the result might be completely opposite to the what the stat says because the result of the game is dependent on how the players react at every single seconds on the pitch it also includes the referee and coaches instruction and tactics. So next time when making analysis of the stat ensure to remember that stat isn't the only thing that influences the result of the game, that way you wouldn't have to be disappointed that much if the game ends up not playing out the way you want it.

Besides statistics, you also need to take many other things into account, one of the main ones is motivation. I’ve always liked betting on matches in the final rounds because you can clearly identify the motivation of certain teams there. At the same time, you can spot matches where opponents have already solved all their objectives and are just preparing for the next season. So right now is actually the best time to place a few good bets.

[bakasabo]

From coaches perspective, if they analyze every aspect of their opponent and build game tactics, how come they still lose? You can analyze everything but if your player or players dont have better skills or advantages, its no use to rely on analysis that much. Thanks to documentary, social media and the internet I can analyze every step Ronaldo does, but I still wont be able to outplay him in football. Shouldnt it means that proper analysis is maybe 1/3 of success, where rest 2/3 are luck and random? If making predictions were that easy, if I would be able to open last 5-10 or more games data, print it all that, lay it out making it look like a web with strings that lead to prediction outcomes, making sports predictions would be too easy.

I agree with you that luck plays a much greater role than any statistics collected over years or even decades. Of course, statistics can help in some ways, but they won't do everything for us, even in the age of AI, because luck will play a major role. Personally, I think that maybe professionals can somehow make money by spotting other opportunities, but I don't see any at all yet. Luck is extremely important in betting, but I wouldn't say it has a complete influence, it's just quite significant.

If statistics were really that crucial in sports betting, then people who run very detailed statistics would be one of the richest people. However, those who collect detailed statistics of sports events are more geeks, than true fans and successful gamblers. Moreover, a lot of statistics are in free access, which means there would be even more people who have earned a lot by sports betting. Many casinos would go bankrupt. Nevertheless we see completely opposite situation, number of casinos grows (which means this is a successful business), number of gamblers grow, but amount of rich and really successful gamblers stay the same.

[rachael9385]

We should not fully depend on analysis in gambling because some may not even be needed as we ought to play our games depending on them completely, we also need some experience in sports and ensure that we know more about each aspect that concerns our intention to gamble. They can give us some insight but not that we fully depend on these statistics to gamble.

It is dangerous it depend fully on analysis and think that they are all that's required for us to win our bets but a lot of bettors need to realize that this doesn't really guarantee winning when it comes to betting, the can improve the chances of winning but it doesn't take out all the risk involved. Too many bettors get overconfident after doing their analysis this is what makes them stake a high amount.