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Author Topic: Analysis based on stats might be useless  (Read 2110 times)
GiftedMAN
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May 18, 2026, 05:12:51 PM
 #301

Some gamblers are aware of this but they are tied up with profit even to the point where they don't know what they are doing anymore, as a gambler and your aim is to make profit from gambling you won't find this interesting. Some gamblers even wish they could Predict the game accurately so that to enable them achieve their target but funny enough that gambling doesn't work that way so it's better we just treat it as fun than having too much expectations in gambling so that we don't end up regretting.
Any gambler that hopes on getting results through the use of analysis, they are just wasting their efforts because achieving results from gambling is by enjoying the game as fun and not to get paid through it and just as you said, expecting much from gambling will cause them regrets and the only means to avoid it, it’s by treating gambling as a fun game, this will make them not to give gambling much attention.

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Orpichukwu
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May 18, 2026, 05:27:04 PM
 #302

Someone who doesn't have an experience in sports game will only bet on games by guessing what the outcome meanwhile someone with experience in sports games will make their predict predict based on facts that can determine the possible outcome of the game and so they will likely have more wins than bettors who doesn't know how to predict but only relying on luck.
I have seen some who don't have much of an idea about sports. What they do is not just the normal random selection, but they focus more on selecting games where the odds are low and check the probability of winning based on market rating, and that's how they come up with their game; they don't do real-time analysing of data to arrive at a decision.

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Perfectbaby
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May 18, 2026, 08:51:33 PM
 #303

Someone who doesn't have an experience in sports game will only bet on games by guessing what the outcome meanwhile someone with experience in sports games will make their predict predict based on facts that can determine the possible outcome of the game and so they will likely have more wins than bettors who doesn't know how to predict but only relying on luck.
I have seen some who don't have much of an idea about sports. What they do is not just the normal random selection, but they focus more on selecting games where the odds are low and check the probability of winning based on market rating, and that's how they come up with their game; they don't do real-time analysing of data to arrive at a decision.
That is why when you see them they often lose and they wouldn’t be that lucky enough to make winning while gambling, although I completely know that the bet is a chance based game but it would be hard for such pereon (s) to regularly win at least 1-2 in a month or in two months time.
So the real gamblers usually knows the team that are easily manipulated or rigged and they wouldn’t want to choose to those games, and this is what distinguishes genius and numbs.


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May 18, 2026, 10:07:54 PM
Last edit: May 18, 2026, 11:59:00 PM by STT
 #304

Stats gives some clue, help to decipher recent results is for sure a benefit but its not going to deliver the answer as if its a certainty.   If the game were a certainty or even hinted to be in that realm of easy outcome the odds would quickly become awful.
  I much prefer the opposite where nobody knows or ideally everyone thinks they know the favorite but in fact an upset is the true value bet to make.

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icebar
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May 18, 2026, 11:29:40 PM
 #305

Someone who doesn't have an experience in sports game will only bet on games by guessing what the outcome meanwhile someone with experience in sports games will make their predict predict based on facts that can determine the possible outcome of the game and so they will likely have more wins than bettors who doesn't know how to predict but only relying on luck.
I have seen some who don't have much of an idea about sports. What they do is not just the normal random selection, but they focus more on selecting games where the odds are low and check the probability of winning based on market rating, and that's how they come up with their game; they don't do real-time analysing of data to arrive at a decision.
That is why when you see them they often lose and they wouldn’t be that lucky enough to make winning while gambling, although I completely know that the bet is a chance based game but it would be hard for such pereon (s) to regularly win at least 1-2 in a month or in two months time.
So the real gamblers usually knows the team that are easily manipulated or rigged and they wouldn’t want to choose to those games, and this is what distinguishes genius and numbs.
It is true that luck plays an important role in sports, but in some cases, those who have experience in playing for a long time know when the chances of a team may be slightly lower and higher. There is no logic in saying that a good team will always do well. Even a good team can fall at any time. Moreover, there can be manipulation in sports. That is why I think that experience is definitely needed. Although experience cannot ensure victory in the game, it can bring one's luck in the game closer. I am not saying that statistical analysis is useless. However, since the results in gambling are completely uncertain, even after analyzing good and bad, one has to rely on luck.

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May 19, 2026, 08:44:13 AM
 #306

Some gamblers are aware of this but they are tied up with profit even to the point where they don't know what they are doing anymore, as a gambler and your aim is to make profit from gambling you won't find this interesting. Some gamblers even wish they could Predict the game accurately so that to enable them achieve their target but funny enough that gambling doesn't work that way so it's better we just treat it as fun than having too much expectations in gambling so that we don't end up regretting.
Any gambler that hopes on getting results through the use of analysis, they are just wasting their efforts because achieving results from gambling is by enjoying the game as fun and not to get paid through it and just as you said, expecting much from gambling will cause them regrets and the only means to avoid it, it’s by treating gambling as a fun game, this will make them not to give gambling much attention.

It allows them to move forward right away if the intension is to have some fun and not to earn, though there are gamblers who treat gambling as one of their way to earn, but it's not that many who can achieve it even how good and how deep is their knowledge, as there are so many factors that needed to consider before you should consider this side of gambling, but similar to your opinion, if you treat gamblingfor fun then you'll enjoy and if ever things won't go according to your plan then you can move forward without chasing your losses.

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May 19, 2026, 09:11:00 AM
 #307

Some gamblers are aware of this but they are tied up with profit even to the point where they don't know what they are doing anymore, as a gambler and your aim is to make profit from gambling you won't find this interesting. Some gamblers even wish they could Predict the game accurately so that to enable them achieve their target but funny enough that gambling doesn't work that way so it's better we just treat it as fun than having too much expectations in gambling so that we don't end up regretting.
Any gambler that hopes on getting results through the use of analysis, they are just wasting their efforts because achieving results from gambling is by enjoying the game as fun and not to get paid through it and just as you said, expecting much from gambling will cause them regrets and the only means to avoid it, it’s by treating gambling as a fun game, this will make them not to give gambling much attention.
I actually disagree, as far as sports gambling is concerned someone with a good analytical skills using stats will be ina better position to win than someone who is relying completely on luck, we gamble for the fun of it but denying that we don't want to win is wrong, if we simply wanted fun then there are alot of other things to do for fun, I want to win and I want to have a bit of fun in the process, if I don't win then I get my satisfaction from the fun of it but that doesn't mean I would prefer just that to also winning.

R


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May 19, 2026, 09:49:52 AM
 #308

Some gamblers are aware of this but they are tied up with profit even to the point where they don't know what they are doing anymore, as a gambler and your aim is to make profit from gambling you won't find this interesting. Some gamblers even wish they could Predict the game accurately so that to enable them achieve their target but funny enough that gambling doesn't work that way so it's better we just treat it as fun than having too much expectations in gambling so that we don't end up regretting.
Any gambler that hopes on getting results through the use of analysis, they are just wasting their efforts because achieving results from gambling is by enjoying the game as fun and not to get paid through it and just as you said, expecting much from gambling will cause them regrets and the only means to avoid it, it’s by treating gambling as a fun game, this will make them not to give gambling much attention.
I actually disagree, as far as sports gambling is concerned someone with a good analytical skills using stats will be ina better position to win than someone who is relying completely on luck, we gamble for the fun of it but denying that we don't want to win is wrong, if we simply wanted fun then there are alot of other things to do for fun, I want to win and I want to have a bit of fun in the process, if I don't win then I get my satisfaction from the fun of it but that doesn't mean I would prefer just that to also winning.

I also believe that a bettor who goes deep into analysis and understands how important each game is for a team, along with many other details and nuances, will win more often than someone who relies purely on luck or only bets on favorites. And to me, if you approach betting as nothing more than a game of chance without doing serious analysis, then it’s really not that different from playing roulette.

R


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May 19, 2026, 09:50:01 AM
 #309

Some gamblers are aware of this but they are tied up with profit even to the point where they don't know what they are doing anymore, as a gambler and your aim is to make profit from gambling you won't find this interesting. Some gamblers even wish they could Predict the game accurately so that to enable them achieve their target but funny enough that gambling doesn't work that way so it's better we just treat it as fun than having too much expectations in gambling so that we don't end up regretting.
Any gambler that hopes on getting results through the use of analysis, they are just wasting their efforts because achieving results from gambling is by enjoying the game as fun and not to get paid through it and just as you said, expecting much from gambling will cause them regrets and the only means to avoid it, it’s by treating gambling as a fun game, this will make them not to give gambling much attention.
I actually disagree, as far as sports gambling is concerned someone with a good analytical skills using stats will be ina better position to win than someone who is relying completely on luck, we gamble for the fun of it but denying that we don't want to win is wrong, if we simply wanted fun then there are alot of other things to do for fun, I want to win and I want to have a bit of fun in the process, if I don't win then I get my satisfaction from the fun of it but that doesn't mean I would prefer just that to also winning.
As for sports betting  then it would be just that in default that you should really know on how to read up these stats for you to be able to have that kind of analysis on which you can make use for you to choose up on which one is the better team or player on which it do increase up the chance of winning but of course its not really that something that give out that guarantee or precision as we are dealing up with gambling in the first place but although this is that much more better rather than on making up some blind bets just simply basing up with your guts and random picking and thats not something that give out that better chance of winning, and also its never been that enjoyable on this kind of betting on which you wont really be minding up that much on how you would be choosing up your bet on just simply picking up without having those kind of analysis. There's no fun on doing that honestly.

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May 19, 2026, 10:30:06 AM
 #310

Some gamblers are aware of this but they are tied up with profit even to the point where they don't know what they are doing anymore, as a gambler and your aim is to make profit from gambling you won't find this interesting. Some gamblers even wish they could Predict the game accurately so that to enable them achieve their target but funny enough that gambling doesn't work that way so it's better we just treat it as fun than having too much expectations in gambling so that we don't end up regretting.
Any gambler that hopes on getting results through the use of analysis, they are just wasting their efforts because achieving results from gambling is by enjoying the game as fun and not to get paid through it and just as you said, expecting much from gambling will cause them regrets and the only means to avoid it, it’s by treating gambling as a fun game, this will make them not to give gambling much attention.
I actually disagree, as far as sports gambling is concerned someone with a good analytical skills using stats will be ina better position to win than someone who is relying completely on luck, we gamble for the fun of it but denying that we don't want to win is wrong, if we simply wanted fun then there are alot of other things to do for fun, I want to win and I want to have a bit of fun in the process, if I don't win then I get my satisfaction from the fun of it but that doesn't mean I would prefer just that to also winning.

I also believe that a bettor who goes deep into analysis and understands how important each game is for a team, along with many other details and nuances, will win more often than someone who relies purely on luck or only bets on favorites. And to me, if you approach betting as nothing more than a game of chance without doing serious analysis, then it’s really not that different from playing roulette.

You are right, you can not just pick or make a random selection and be hoping for a win in gamble, the person will definitely lose his or her money  in most cases because they need to at least check the performance and some other stats about the club they want to select but funny enough sometimes it doesn't matter whether someone calm down to make selection or not yet they will still win and that is why they say gambling is a game of luck because it has happened to me.











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May 19, 2026, 04:11:46 PM
 #311

Someone who doesn't have an experience in sports game will only bet on games by guessing what the outcome meanwhile someone with experience in sports games will make their predict predict based on facts that can determine the possible outcome of the game and so they will likely have more wins than bettors who doesn't know how to predict but only relying on luck.
I have seen some who don't have much of an idea about sports. What they do is not just the normal random selection, but they focus more on selecting games where the odds are low and check the probability of winning based on market rating, and that's how they come up with their game; they don't do real-time analysing of data to arrive at a decision.
That is why when you see them they often lose and they wouldn’t be that lucky enough to make winning while gambling, although I completely know that the bet is a chance based game but it would be hard for such pereon (s) to regularly win at least 1-2 in a month or in two months time.
So the real gamblers usually knows the team that are easily manipulated or rigged and they wouldn’t want to choose to those games, and this is what distinguishes genius and numbs.
It is true that luck plays an important role in sports, but in some cases, those who have experience in playing for a long time know when the chances of a team may be slightly lower and higher. There is no logic in saying that a good team will always do well. Even a good team can fall at any time. Moreover, there can be manipulation in sports. That is why I think that experience is definitely needed. Although experience cannot ensure victory in the game, it can bring one's luck in the game closer. I am not saying that statistical analysis is useless. However, since the results in gambling are completely uncertain, even after analyzing good and bad, one has to rely on luck.
That shows clearly that one must advance themselves in everything they are doing be it gambling and whatsoever, doing adequate research and studying the past history of the club you are choosing is right all these things are what makes gambling fun to gamble. When you put your experience and skills together they would increase your chance of winning but doesn’t entirely guaranteed you about wither results.


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May 19, 2026, 04:32:00 PM
 #312

Some gamblers are aware of this but they are tied up with profit even to the point where they don't know what they are doing anymore, as a gambler and your aim is to make profit from gambling you won't find this interesting. Some gamblers even wish they could Predict the game accurately so that to enable them achieve their target but funny enough that gambling doesn't work that way so it's better we just treat it as fun than having too much expectations in gambling so that we don't end up regretting.
Any gambler that hopes on getting results through the use of analysis, they are just wasting their efforts because achieving results from gambling is by enjoying the game as fun and not to get paid through it and just as you said, expecting much from gambling will cause them regrets and the only means to avoid it, it’s by treating gambling as a fun game, this will make them not to give gambling much attention.
I actually disagree, as far as sports gambling is concerned someone with a good analytical skills using stats will be ina better position to win than someone who is relying completely on luck, we gamble for the fun of it but denying that we don't want to win is wrong, if we simply wanted fun then there are alot of other things to do for fun, I want to win and I want to have a bit of fun in the process, if I don't win then I get my satisfaction from the fun of it but that doesn't mean I would prefer just that to also winning.
As for sports betting  then it would be just that in default that you should really know on how to read up these stats for you to be able to have that kind of analysis on which you can make use for you to choose up on which one is the better team or player on which it do increase up the chance of winning but of course its not really that something that give out that guarantee or precision as we are dealing up with gambling in the first place but although this is that much more better rather than on making up some blind bets just simply basing up with your guts and random picking and thats not something that give out that better chance of winning, and also its never been that enjoyable on this kind of betting on which you wont really be minding up that much on how you would be choosing up your bet on just simply picking up without having those kind of analysis. There's no fun on doing that honestly.
I agree with you that it is better to bet on sports betting by analyzing the performance of players and the match situation than betting randomly. At least here some logic and probability work. And good analysis can create the possibility of winning. However  no matter how much probability there is  uncertainty is not completely eliminated . so due to some unexpected events  the entire analysis can turn into the opposite result. Therefore  one should keep a realistic idea and understand that no matter how good the analysis is  it is difficult to maintain continuous winning in the long run.

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May 20, 2026, 01:09:02 AM
 #313

Therefore  one should keep a realistic idea and understand that no matter how good the analysis is  it is difficult to maintain continuous winning in the long run.
It is said that in the long term, even in sports betting, the tendency is to lose anyway; depending on how the bets are made, that's where the way to make money changes. If we have the peace of mind to make bets, we shouldn't base them on statistics because if sports have shown us anything, it's that the results are sometimes very strange and contradict all logic on many occasions.

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May 20, 2026, 01:23:46 AM
 #314

Therefore  one should keep a realistic idea and understand that no matter how good the analysis is  it is difficult to maintain continuous winning in the long run.
It is said that in the long term, even in sports betting, the tendency is to lose anyway; depending on how the bets are made, that's where the way to make money changes. If we have the peace of mind to make bets, we shouldn't base them on statistics because if sports have shown us anything, it's that the results are sometimes very strange and contradict all logic on many occasions.
When result seems to contradict all logic, it simply teaches us that outcome even in sports betting is not really based on betting based on statistics and analysis alone, because most of the time, based on statistics and analysis might or may be telling you Chelsea for example will beat Tottenham, but you discover that somehow, Tottenham ended up beating Chelsea, this is to show us that even luck still has a vital role it plays in sports betting to determine whether we will bet our bet or not.

So this is why it's very wrong to be too confident in the out come of any game or match to the extent that you carry all your life savings, which is an amount of money you know very well that you can't afford to lose, and bet on that game, which when eventually the outcome isnt as you predicted, the effect of losing that money will be catastrophic.
So when ever we bet, we should always remember that anything else apart from what we hoped or predicted will happen might happen, this will help us to keep our risk appetite in check.

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May 20, 2026, 04:34:07 AM
 #315

Some gamblers are aware of this but they are tied up with profit even to the point where they don't know what they are doing anymore, as a gambler and your aim is to make profit from gambling you won't find this interesting. Some gamblers even wish they could Predict the game accurately so that to enable them achieve their target but funny enough that gambling doesn't work that way so it's better we just treat it as fun than having too much expectations in gambling so that we don't end up regretting.
Any gambler that hopes on getting results through the use of analysis, they are just wasting their efforts because achieving results from gambling is by enjoying the game as fun and not to get paid through it and just as you said, expecting much from gambling will cause them regrets and the only means to avoid it, it’s by treating gambling as a fun game, this will make them not to give gambling much attention.
I actually disagree, as far as sports gambling is concerned someone with a good analytical skills using stats will be ina better position to win than someone who is relying completely on luck, we gamble for the fun of it but denying that we don't want to win is wrong, if we simply wanted fun then there are alot of other things to do for fun, I want to win and I want to have a bit of fun in the process, if I don't win then I get my satisfaction from the fun of it but that doesn't mean I would prefer just that to also winning.

I also believe that a bettor who goes deep into analysis and understands how important each game is for a team, along with many other details and nuances, will win more often than someone who relies purely on luck or only bets on favorites. And to me, if you approach betting as nothing more than a game of chance without doing serious analysis, then it’s really not that different from playing roulette.
Anyone who wants to rely completely on luck to win in gambling should stay off sports gambling and just play slots that way their entire chance of winning anything will be based off of their luck and not any kind of analysis because in sports gambling your ability to analyse the games based on already available stats will help in determining the outcome of the game, it's no 100% that you will win but it's better that someone who just placed a bet on luck alone.

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May 20, 2026, 06:15:34 AM
 #316

In the past, I used to think that there were some leagues that were free from this rigging or tampering of things, but the more you look closely at them, the more you start to see some things that are suspicious.

If you are just relying on stats or past data, thinking it would help you make the right choice, the outcome of your bet is going to make you realise that those data are not going to do you any good, especially when behind-the-scenes work has been done that would affect the entire game. If you're making any prediction, just do it and don't think it is solid that nothing can make it not go as predicted.
And how long did it take you to reach that conclusion? Personally, for many years now, I’ve been noticing various strange occurrences that look suspiciously like behind-the-scenes match-fixing. Indeed, sport has transformed into something that can no longer, in any sense, be called a competition. Once you begin to realize this, the whole thing becomes utterly repulsive. That is yet another reason why I never started betting on sports events. I’ve lost all faith and hope in their integrity.

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May 20, 2026, 10:25:45 AM
 #317

Therefore  one should keep a realistic idea and understand that no matter how good the analysis is  it is difficult to maintain continuous winning in the long run.
It is said that in the long term, even in sports betting, the tendency is to lose anyway; depending on how the bets are made, that's where the way to make money changes. If we have the peace of mind to make bets, we shouldn't base them on statistics because if sports have shown us anything, it's that the results are sometimes very strange and contradict all logic on many occasions.
Having the peace of mind will helps us to analyze carefully and not just based on the statistics, we will pay attention to other things related. That could be another sign if the team could be the right choose for us to bet but if we don't get more signs from the analysis, we will not take it but leaves it and search for others. We will not forcing ourselves to keep placing bet on that as we don't know much about the game. We better to analyze other games that will have more potential to gives us the wins although that still not be easy to choose.

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May 20, 2026, 10:49:37 AM
 #318

Some gamblers are aware of this but they are tied up with profit even to the point where they don't know what they are doing anymore, as a gambler and your aim is to make profit from gambling you won't find this interesting. Some gamblers even wish they could Predict the game accurately so that to enable them achieve their target but funny enough that gambling doesn't work that way so it's better we just treat it as fun than having too much expectations in gambling so that we don't end up regretting.
Any gambler that hopes on getting results through the use of analysis, they are just wasting their efforts because achieving results from gambling is by enjoying the game as fun and not to get paid through it and just as you said, expecting much from gambling will cause them regrets and the only means to avoid it, it’s by treating gambling as a fun game, this will make them not to give gambling much attention.
I actually disagree, as far as sports gambling is concerned someone with a good analytical skills using stats will be ina better position to win than someone who is relying completely on luck, we gamble for the fun of it but denying that we don't want to win is wrong, if we simply wanted fun then there are alot of other things to do for fun, I want to win and I want to have a bit of fun in the process, if I don't win then I get my satisfaction from the fun of it but that doesn't mean I would prefer just that to also winning.
As for sports betting  then it would be just that in default that you should really know on how to read up these stats for you to be able to have that kind of analysis on which you can make use for you to choose up on which one is the better team or player on which it do increase up the chance of winning but of course its not really that something that give out that guarantee or precision as we are dealing up with gambling in the first place but although this is that much more better rather than on making up some blind bets just simply basing up with your guts and random picking and thats not something that give out that better chance of winning, and also its never been that enjoyable on this kind of betting on which you wont really be minding up that much on how you would be choosing up your bet on just simply picking up without having those kind of analysis. There's no fun on doing that honestly.
I agree with you that it is better to bet on sports betting by analyzing the performance of players and the match situation than betting randomly. At least here some logic and probability work. And good analysis can create the possibility of winning. However  no matter how much probability there is  uncertainty is not completely eliminated . so due to some unexpected events  the entire analysis can turn into the opposite result. Therefore  one should keep a realistic idea and understand that no matter how good the analysis is  it is difficult to maintain continuous winning in the long run.
Analysis of teams and players will keep you disciplined when betting. The results of your accurate and thorough analysis will favour the best team, so your chances of winning will be higher, but it will not be right to expect only victory. The outcome of the match depends on the team's performance on that day in many cases. It is better to be prepared for the opposite result of the analysis, so that you will be less likely to take extra risks when betting.

I think good analysis is not enough to win in betting, there is no strategy to increase the amount of winning, it can only increase the chances of winning. So before betting analyze the teams and players because it can reduce the amount of losses a lot.

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May 20, 2026, 11:36:43 AM
 #319

This idea might not always be correct but what I think is the better explanation is that games are ultimately going to have an outcome that is unpredictable. We can just do the analysis and predict what can happen, but it might be remotely different from what is going to happen.

Hence the statistics might not be able to predict and a lot of other factors that you can attribute to luck will start poking their nose into the game after the betting closes and the game starts.

This to any person might appear as games are rigged as they did not go in their favor and they must have lost money.

 
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May 20, 2026, 07:05:09 PM
 #320

Analysis of teams and players will keep you disciplined when betting. The results of your accurate and thorough analysis will favour the best team, so your chances of winning will be higher, but it will not be right to expect only victory. The outcome of the match depends on the team's performance on that day in many cases. It is better to be prepared for the opposite result of the analysis, so that you will be less likely to take extra risks when betting.

I think good analysis is not enough to win in betting, there is no strategy to increase the amount of winning, it can only increase the chances of winning. So before betting analyze the teams and players because it can reduce the amount of losses a lot.
This is why I would not say that it is useless. I would also not say that you should trust it enough to put your house on it, of course it is wrong many times, and there is no doubt that there is no sure way of winning. Just because you do analysis doesn't guarantee a win or profit, you could be very wrong, there is no doubt about that.

But that also doesn't mean that we are going to see what we are facing here, it is not going to be the same at all. We should realize this is going to end up very badly, and should not really consider this as profitable, it's just not the same thing. Betting without analysing anything is even worse than doing analysis , maybe analysis doesn't guarantee wins, but not doing it surely is worse.

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