Sticking with the Favorites : World Cup edition

[AHOYBRAUSE]

Funny thread. In this world cup sticking to the favorites seems like a lost cause but you seem to be up for whatever reason aren't you? Didn't read all the pages but obviously I expect you to have had a a lot of expensive losses on that experiment.
Never seen so many teams having big problem with total scrubs, actually crazy. Add Germany into the mix from 12 hours ago and we got another example. 

[KTChampions]

Funny thread. In this world cup sticking to the favorites seems like a lost cause but you seem to be up for whatever reason aren't you? Didn't read all the pages but obviously I expect you to have had a a lot of expensive losses on that experiment.
Never seen so many teams having big problem with total scrubs, actually crazy. Add Germany into the mix from 12 hours ago and we got another example. 

It seems you haven't read even one page of this thread, because if you had, you would have known that the OP is in the plus (he was in the minus for a while, but for a short period of time).
As for Germany (and also the USA, which played with their second team yesterday), everything is clear - if the team has guaranteed itself first place, then there is no point in straining themselves (for what purpose lol?) in the third game, they just need to prepare for the playoffs (which is what we saw).

[SamReomo]

Funny thread. In this world cup sticking to the favorites seems like a lost cause but you seem to be up for whatever reason aren't you? Didn't read all the pages but obviously I expect you to have had a a lot of expensive losses on that experiment.

It's not that funny, he created the thread with intention to sticking with the favorites and he knows very well that favorites aren't performing any good in this World Cup, but again he didn't change his mind, and is continuing to place his bets on favorites.

If I'm not wrong, his idea was not to make profit or lose but to stick with the favorites no matter if there will be losses or wins, and it's more like an experiment where he's taking risk to let others know via this thread that what could be the result if someone sticks with favorites.

[L E G E N D A R Y]

It's not that funny, he created the thread with intention to sticking with the favorites and he knows very well that favorites aren't performing any good in this World Cup, but again he didn't change his mind, and is continuing to place his bets on favorites.

If I'm not wrong, his idea was not to make profit or lose but to stick with the favorites no matter if there will be losses or wins, and it's more like an experiment where he's taking risk to let others know via this thread that what could be the result if someone sticks with favorites.

You are right and that is how some fans are, they stick with their favourites no matter what the outcome might be, they don't care and they don't switch either, they just remain where they are giving out the best support and even if they bet, they don't do it for profit or loss but for the fun and to make sure they don't lose their hope, as they believe there can still be a turnaround. So you are right, its not funny though because they have their own agenda of acting their way even when they are aware that their favourites might meet their expectations.

[stompix]

Funny thread. In this world cup sticking to the favorites seems like a lost cause but you seem to be up for whatever reason aren't you?

I am up because the favorites have won twice as many times as losing, and their overall odds were higher than 1.5
(2x)y > x as long as y is bigger than 0.5!

Didn't read all the pages but obviously I expect you to have had a a lot of expensive losses on that experiment.

There are no expensive losses, all the losses are the same, of all people, I'm surprised you're not familiar with Level Stakes Return.

As for Germany (and also the USA, which played with their second team yesterday), everything is clear - if the team has guaranteed itself first place, then there is no point in straining themselves (for what purpose lol?) in the third game, they just need to prepare for the playoffs (which is what we saw).

Yeah, the writing was on the wall for those games but this is an experiment on continuity, not cherry-picking, so keep piling the losses. 

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Now, the problems I ran into, there had to be problems even in this easy-peasy level-zero garbage!

1) Paraguay Australia had by definition no favorite, 1 was 2.75, X was 2.50, it ended 0-0
a) I either exclude this game
b) I count it as a win since the most likely result won (don't feel like it's the right choice)

2) Cape Verde - Saudi Arabia is 2.83 to 2.77, but with one bookie offering  2.75 to 2.80, Betfair has them tied at 2.50
a) I exclude the game
b) I take the lower odds for the overall SP prices, maybe they clear up in the next remaining 15 minutes

3) I just realized that the elimination rounds have two options
a) betting on the winner in 90minutes
b) betting on the winner of the game....
Pain in the ass, but I think I will stick with the winner of the game, the one who qualifies for the next round!

I will update the topic when all the group rounds are over with * for special cases like the two games above!
 

[junder]

It's not that funny, he created the thread with intention to sticking with the favorites and he knows very well that favorites aren't performing any good in this World Cup, but again he didn't change his mind, and is continuing to place his bets on favorites.

If I'm not wrong, his idea was not to make profit or lose but to stick with the favorites no matter if there will be losses or wins, and it's more like an experiment where he's taking risk to let others know via this thread that what could be the result if someone sticks with favorites.

If the goal is to make a profit or avoid a loss but you prioritize supporting your favorite team, you don’t always have to place a bet when your favorite team is playing. And in my opinion, if the goal is to make a profit you shouldn’t limit yourself to just your favorite team many teams compete with their own respective chances of winning, so take advantage of that to make a profit through betting.

Just because someone fully supports their favorite team doesn’t mean they have to bet on every game their favorite team plays. I myself bet on my favorite team only occasionally, just to add to the excitement of the game.