Outrights 26/27 season for reference

[BRINIRHA]

If you risk a little more, for example Liverpool, Haaland, Bayern, PSG, Atletico, then you get: 1.20 * 1.66 * 1.16 * 1.16 * 1.25 = 3.35

It will be interesting enough but if you add some other odds like for the top scorers especially for Kane in the bundesliga and Mbappe in La Liga, I don't find the odds but if it does there will definitely be big enough to be added in the parlay.

For Serie A it will be the same as the EPL although it will look easy for the top 4 but the reality is it will be a little complicated just to be at Inter for a top 2 finish with odds of 1.35 this will also make the bet more solid I think.  3.35 odds added with Inter top 2 with odds of 1.35 can make this bigger especially if the parlay there is an additional boost that is always provided by the site when betting more than 5 bets in 1 parlay.

[Miles2006]

This kind of bet is difficult besides who might win the premier league is still unknown despite the fact Arsenal has been giving signal yet nothing is unknown with Manchester City, Manchester United and Liverpool in the picture.
If I should bet the premier league winner probably I might go for Arsenal, while LaLiga is still very much complicated. Choosing between Barcelona and Real Madrid though the odds don’t have a real big gap reason why it’s difficult to know who’s winning the title like I said this kind of bet is all about risk, if the person is willing to take the risk then predicting base on previous season should be considered first following their strategy but, each pattern applied to achieve the best result is still not guarantee.

[KTChampions]

Meanwhile, the odds for Vinnie not joining Arsenal have skyrocketed to 95 cents. I could close my bet now and make a 42% profit, but I'll probably wait until the bet is finalized and get another 4,5% extra.
https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-vinicius-junior-transfer-20260612232836376/will-vinicius-junior-join-arsenal-20260612232836553
A very good result for a bet that was "long-term" but was actually resolved in just 5 days.
Incidentally, if we're talking about other long-term (but risky) bets now, I think the most relevant bets are on Arsenal not winning the title and Real Madrid winning. Arsenal and Barcelona are overvalued, in my opinion.

[9ja Amaka]

Meanwhile, the odds for Vinnie not joining Arsenal have skyrocketed to 95 cents. I could close my bet now and make a 42% profit, but I'll probably wait until the bet is finalized and get another 4,5% extra.
https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-vinicius-junior-transfer-20260612232836376/will-vinicius-junior-join-arsenal-20260612232836553
A very good result for a bet that was "long-term" but was actually resolved in just 5 days.
Incidentally, if we're talking about other long-term (but risky) bets now, I think the most relevant bets are on Arsenal not winning the title and Real Madrid winning. Arsenal and Barcelona are overvalued, in my opinion.

Vini wont be joining Arsenal is a bet that's so easy because this is Real Madrid we are talking about. Arguably the biggest football team in history.

KTChampions, 42% profit is reasonable. Maybe you should reconsider if it gets to 50%. Close the bet, take the profit. that's what I would do if I were in your shoes.

[KTChampions]

Meanwhile, the odds for Vinnie not joining Arsenal have skyrocketed to 95 cents. I could close my bet now and make a 42% profit, but I'll probably wait until the bet is finalized and get another 4,5% extra.
https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-vinicius-junior-transfer-20260612232836376/will-vinicius-junior-join-arsenal-20260612232836553
A very good result for a bet that was "long-term" but was actually resolved in just 5 days.
Incidentally, if we're talking about other long-term (but risky) bets now, I think the most relevant bets are on Arsenal not winning the title and Real Madrid winning. Arsenal and Barcelona are overvalued, in my opinion.

Vini wont be joining Arsenal is a bet that's so easy because this is Real Madrid we are talking about. Arguably the biggest football team in history.

KTChampions, 42% profit is reasonable. Maybe you should reconsider if it gets to 50%. Close the bet, take the profit. that's what I would do if I were in your shoes.

Still, full profit is better than partial 
I might have closed the bet earlier if I didn't have the money and I could find an option where I could invest it more profitably, but I have liquidity, so even now at the level of 99.8 cents I will wait until everything closes on its own.
By the way, this win got me a little excited and I bought “daring” odds that Rodri will move to Real, and that Rodri will not move to Barcelona (two outcomes that slightly hedge the option that he might stay at City).
The market has turned against me for now, but with Barcelona's clownish offers (45 million haha) all is not lost.

[Jewan420]

Except for the English Premier League, the rest are fine, there is a high chance of winning there. But I will try to give advice on the Premier League without betting. Especially in the upcoming season, anything can happen, any team can make a comeback. We can see Liverpool make a comeback, Manchester City can also occupy the top spot and Manchester United also have a chance, Arsenal also have a big chance. We can even see the defending champion team being upset.
Anything can happen, the matter can be different for the top scorers. If Haaland is on the field, he has a good chance, but if he is out of this fight due to injury, the result will be different. Moreover, I think Atletico Madrid is a little overrated in La Liga, I see their chances of winning the title even smaller, they could have been given odds of 3.00 -4.00.

[blomen]

...

as soon as i saw this topic, another topic from early last season came to mind. take a look:

I don't bet on this market, but I enjoy watching how bookmakers' opinions change over time.
Quite often, I notice odds that seem strange (in my subjective opinion) appear from time to time, for example:

Top 6 Borussia Dortmund - 1.04

Top 3 Liverpool - 1.13

Top 3 Napoli 1.29

What would have to happen for Dortmund to miss out on the top six?! Which three (!) teams would Liverpool have to lose to in order to fall outside the top three? Considering that Liverpool is currently five points ahead of their nearest rival. Napoli also lead Serie A with a 100% record.
These bets literally look like bets against plane crashes or something similar.
If you place a multiple bet on these events, the profit over 8 months will be 51.6% 
Don't these quotes seem strange to you?

i just realized that you were the one who brought that topic up! anyway, at the start of last season, liverpool looked unstoppable, and their odds of finishing in the top 3 had dropped significantly, but then something no one expected happened, and liverpool slumped for weeks on end.

in short, don’t think that putting together a betting slip with the low-odds bets you see here will make it a “sure thing.” the money you’ve had sitting in the casino for months could slip through your fingers even in the final week.

[meser#]

I'd like to collect here the outrights that caught my eye due to their perceived value, or that simply seemed odd to me. I'll check the results at the end of the season. Feel free to add your own suggestions.

Premier League - Top 6

Arsenal - 1.05

City - 1.14

Liverpool - 1.20

Manchester United - 1.25

Chelsea - 1.33

This is the Premier League, anything can happen, but even in a disastrous season, reigning champions Liverpool couldn't fall out of the top 5. I think the top three spots are free and reliable boosts.

Top Scorers

Haaland - 1.66

Isak (rat) - 10.00

Thiago - 11.00

Watkins - 15.00

Haaland hasn't finished as a top scorer just once since joining the Premier League. Over the last 10 years, besides Haaland, only Salah (twice) and Kane (twice) have shown efficiency that is absolutely average for Haaland (around 30 goals). Easy bet on Haaland.

Bundesliga - Winner

Bayern Munich - 1.16

No comments 

Ligue 1 - Winner

PSG - 1.16

No comments 

LaLiga - Top 4

Barcelona - 1.02

Real Madrid - 1.03

Atlético Madrid - 1.25

The last time Atletico were outside the top four was in 2011, 15 years ago.

So if you take something reliable like Arsenal, Bayern, PSG, Atletico, then you get 1.05 * 1.16 * 1.16 * 1.25 = 1.7661
If you risk a little more, for example Liverpool, Haaland, Bayern, PSG, Atletico, then you get: 1.20 * 1.66 * 1.16 * 1.16 * 1.25 = 3.35

I'll add new options later when the markets for the top 4/top 6 Serie A and Bundesliga appear.

If I were to place a bet at the start of the season, the only odds I would take are those for Haaland to be the top scorer. The odds offered for Arsenal to win the Premier League are very low; it’s not worth the risk.
If I were to place an accumulator bet, I would include Bayern Munich and PSG winning their respective leagues. I would steer clear of the other title contenders.

[KTChampions]

I don't bet on this market, but I enjoy watching how bookmakers' opinions change over time.
Quite often, I notice odds that seem strange (in my subjective opinion) appear from time to time, for example:

Top 6 Borussia Dortmund - 1.04

Top 3 Liverpool - 1.13

i just realized that you were the one who brought that topic up! anyway, at the start of last season, liverpool looked unstoppable, and their odds of finishing in the top 3 had dropped significantly, but then something no one expected happened, and liverpool slumped for weeks on end.

in short, don’t think that putting together a betting slip with the low-odds bets you see here will make it a “sure thing.” the money you’ve had sitting in the casino for months could slip through your fingers even in the final week.

You haven't discovered America, everyone knows (I've even experienced this in practice many times) that you can lose a bet even with odds of 1.01 or similar. What happened to Liverpool last season was extraordinary. As a reminder, I wrote that post on September 23rd, and at that point, the Premier League standings were as follows:

Liverpool         - 15
Arsenal           - 10
Tottenham      - 10
Bournemouth  - 10

It would have been extremely strange to assume that the current champion (who had carried out a major transfer campaign) would fail so badly, but nevertheless it happened.
Last season, I showed too few interesting outcomes and didn't place any bets. This season, I've significantly expanded my selection and placed some money, so we'll see how it goes. So far, it's been a good start, thanks to Vinny.

[mandown]

If I were going to place a huge bet, I would back Bayern Munich to win the title at odds of 1.16.
After all, there isn't a single team in the Bundesliga that can really challenge Bayern. In my opinion, the odds should have been 1.06.
Arsenal has been given odds of 1.05; even at 1.50, that would be a huge risk. There are so many title contenders in the Premier League, whereas the situation in the Bundesliga is completely different. Bayern Munich has won the championship 15 times in the last 20 years. Based on these statistics, 1.16 is an attractive price.

[KTChampions]

If I were going to place a huge bet, I would back Bayern Munich to win the title at odds of 1.16.
After all, there isn't a single team in the Bundesliga that can really challenge Bayern. In my opinion, the odds should have been 1.06.

Bayern's first games of the season: Stuttgart (h), Schalke (a), Elfersberg (a), Union (h), Augsburg (a) – I see no reason why Bayern shouldn't get 15 points here (remember, they started last season with a 6-0 win over Leipzig). And it's quite possible that after these five games, the odds will drop to 1.05.

Arsenal has been given odds of 1.05; even at 1.50, that would be a huge risk. There are so many title contenders in the Premier League, whereas the situation in the Bundesliga is completely different. Bayern Munich has won the championship 15 times in the last 20 years. Based on these statistics, 1.16 is an attractive price.

You didn't pay close attention to the odds I posted - they're talking about the top six. Arsenal's title chances are rated at 2.5, which is naturally very far from a 'safe bet', and in Arsenal's case, even more so, as the team has never been considered a reliable one.

[Emitdama]

I am sure that Arsenal will be doubted for a long time, but I still think that they are by far the best ones. What people do not realise is that it's not about Arsenal; this season was never about Arsenal, and for some reason, nobody really understands that. It's about other teams not being that great, and we look like we may not have other teams being great yet again. Arsenal didn't do that great; hell, City had seasons with 100+ points, so believe me, it was not Arsenal being great that got them the title, and nobody thinks it will be them being great that will get them the title again.

In 26-27 upcoming season, Arsenal will most likely be champions again, because we have not seen other teams be that great. Liverpool has a new manager and not that many great players, same players who failed last year, City lost Pep which is more than enouh to be worse, Chelsea was so bad that Xabi doesn't change a thing for a title run, and only one left would be United, who did great with Carrick, got the most points after Carrick took over, but there are still doubts.

So long story short, we need to make sure that we are dealing with something that may not be easy for any other team. Hence, why oddmakers and bookmakers are all believing that Arsenal will win again.

[Crypto_Timothy]

The premier league is very competitive sha so I don't know, even the current champions, no shades but I don't trust them to end up champions for the second time, I mean if they do that would be shocking but that's not a bet I would put money behind.

For PSG and Bayern (I like how you just put no comments there, like truly no comments all) and for Haaland, thats the thing with the premier league, because it is very competitive and very much unpredictable, like Haaland is a scoring machine nobody doubt that but getting top scorer spot, if he is not injured and plays every single minute of his matches, well that's possible but me personally I can't put money behind that bet, lol.

[KTChampions]

~
So long story short, we need to make sure that we are dealing with something that may not be easy for any other team. Hence, why oddmakers and bookmakers are all believing that Arsenal will win again.

Nope. 2.5 odds on Arsenal to win the title and 1.5 odds on them not to win means the bookmakers are heavily favoring Arsenal to lose the title. The other issue is that they don't know who will pick it up  And here I agree with what you wrote about all the teams looking weak—there's not a single one that's been consistently good for at least a couple of seasons in a row. But as has happened many times in the past, one team will shine and perhaps even dominate the season. It's a pity that you can't know in advance which one  there would be no need to worry about money.

[KTChampions]

Found another outcome that looks reliable/profitable - La Liga Top Scorer Mbappe with odds of 1.57.
Looks almost like Haaland, it's hard to see who could be his competitor. In the wildest dreams, if Barcelona bought Alvarez, one could think about the external risk (now there is only an internal one in the form of Mbappe's injury), but Atletico is not ready to be a sponsor of Barcelona 

What annoys me is that bookmakers don't accept supposedly "related" outcomes in a single multi-bet. For example, you can't bet on Real Madrid/Barcelona winning the championship or Atletico Madrid finishing in the top four - what nonsense is this? I don't understand this math.

[KTChampions]

I found another very interesting outcome for an outright bet: Kimi Antonelli's victory in Formula 1, quoted at 1.25-1.30 depending on the bookmaker.
The most interesting thing is that the season ends at the beginning of December (literally in the first week of December), so we are talking about 25% profit in 3 months and 10 days. In annual terms, this would be 90% per annum 
Naturally, we shouldn't forget about the risk... It's too small  so I started making multiple bets with this outcome + Bayern Munich winning the championship + PSG winning the championship.

[KTChampions]

Bundesliga - Winner

Bayern Munich - 1.16

No comments 

Ligue 1 - Winner

PSG - 1.16

No comments 

So it only took a few games for Bayern's odds to rise to 1.10, hehe, that's a significant difference compared to 1.16!
But at the same time, PSG, due to three unsuccessful games in a row, are now quoted at 1.20. Bayern can still be used as a boost, 10% is useful. And if we consider the bet Bayern champions x PSG champions, there are practically no changes.

1.16x.1.16 = 1.345
1.10x1.20 = 1.32

The odds for the top scorers have also started to change: Haaland 1.66 -> 1.56, Mbappe 1.57 - 1.28 (lol!). Unfortunately, Mbappe was not in my bets and now it’s too late.
Overall, there's still time to collect some good multiple bets or take a free 10% on Bayern.

[KTChampions]

So, PSG have gone 4 games without a win and the odds (to my surprise) have changed significantly:

PSG - 1.36

Monaco - 7.00

Olympique - 11.00

Lille - 13.00

Is it profitable to bet on such odds? The gap from 1st place is 7 points, from the teams in second place is 5 points. This does not seem to be a problem since PSG often became champions with a 15-point advantage. But it's still worth keeping in mind that if the target level for the title is around 80 points, then out of the 34 points that can be lost "without worrying," PSG has already lost 7, and the entire tournament is still ahead. I'll take a risk and increase my position a little.

[Africolo]

I'd like to collect here the outrights that caught my eye due to their perceived value, or that simply seemed odd to me. I'll check the results at the end of the season. Feel free to add your own suggestions.

Premier League - Top 6

Arsenal - 1.05

City - 1.14

Liverpool - 1.20

Manchester United - 1.25

Chelsea - 1.33

This is the Premier League, anything can happen, but even in a disastrous season, reigning champions Liverpool couldn't fall out of the top 5. I think the top three spots are free and reliable boosts.

Top Scorers

Haaland - 1.66

Isak (rat) - 10.00

Thiago - 11.00

Watkins - 15.00

Haaland hasn't finished as a top scorer just once since joining the Premier League. Over the last 10 years, besides Haaland, only Salah (twice) and Kane (twice) have shown efficiency that is absolutely average for Haaland (around 30 goals). Easy bet on Haaland.

Bundesliga - Winner

Bayern Munich - 1.16

No comments 

Ligue 1 - Winner

PSG - 1.16

No comments 

LaLiga - Top 4

Barcelona - 1.02

Real Madrid - 1.03

Atlético Madrid - 1.25

The last time Atletico were outside the top four was in 2011, 15 years ago.

So if you take something reliable like Arsenal, Bayern, PSG, Atletico, then you get 1.05 * 1.16 * 1.16 * 1.25 = 1.7661
If you risk a little more, for example Liverpool, Haaland, Bayern, PSG, Atletico, then you get: 1.20 * 1.66 * 1.16 * 1.16 * 1.25 = 3.35

I'll add new options later when the markets for the top 4/top 6 Serie A and Bundesliga appear.

The premier League is one of the most competitive leagues in the world right now and one can't literally bet on outrights as it's can't be predictable so I rather prefer betting on normal matches than betting on outrights. Just imagine when the bookmarkers are all favoring Arsenal to win the title in a roll and I could see why because majority of the teams has a new Coach and they will be trying a new tactics and yet to understand each other.

Real Madrid lost their last game and PSG has not being in good form since the start of the season so who are we going to predict will win the champions League this season because it's quite unfortunate that the teams we hoped on are not performing well lately and it gives concern, as for the premier League I still believe Arsenal are going to cling to the trophy for a second team because they have the squad depth for it.

[mak013]

Is it profitable to bet on such odds? The gap from 1st place is 7 points, from the teams in second place is 5 points. This does not seem to be a problem since PSG often became champions with a 15-point advantage. But it's still worth keeping in mind that if the target level for the title is around 80 points, then out of the 34 points that can be lost "without worrying," PSG has already lost 7, and the entire tournament is still ahead. I'll take a risk and increase my position a little.

I don't see any risk here, but the odds just seem too low to justify an additional bet.
Looking back at the first post, I'd say some positions are risky enough: Liverpool have a new manager (from a fairly small club), and Haaland also has a new manager (who struggled at his previous club). If Haaland's odds are worth the risk, Liverpool's odds seem too small to include in the parlay.