why are more goals scored in the final minutes? can we take advantage?

[coinlary]

Goals scored in final minutes can be on a winning side  or a losing side or a side trying hard not whre point or lose point . So what exactly are yu betting on ? Goals to be scored at 80 '+ ?

It could be possible on live games though but I doubt  bookmakers will allow people to make profit  on such . I don't  bet on live games so I can tell how jt works but if it's  available, maybe you should try betting on it and share the bet details  to see how it goes for atleast 5~10 matches. I'm sure it won't work as it's written here  .

[AmaGold70]

From this statistics here, it is true that most goals are being scored towards the end of these matches, but at the same time, I feel it could also depend on the league, but however in my own opinion the reason why more goals are score on the final minutes of these games is because, during the starting of a match, some teams might feel very reluctant in goal scoring feeling they might definitely win the match, and when they finally winning their opponent is no longer as easy as they think, they start putting more effort to score at the last minute, because this the time they struggle more to score this goals, and more also, the last minute really shows the team with the best stamina and strength, because when a team becomes weak at the end, the stronger team takes advantage, and winning their games in the last minute.

[Odohu]

Goals scored in final minutes can be on a winning side  or a losing side or a side trying hard not whre point or lose point . So what exactly are yu betting on ? Goals to be scored at 80 '+ ?

It could be possible on live games though but I doubt  bookmarked will allow people to make profit  on such . I don't  bet on live games so I can tell how jt works but if it's  available, maybe you should try betting on it and share the bet details  to see how it goes for atleast 5~10 matches. I'm sure it won't work as it's written here  

It is true that most of the goals are scored close to the ending of the match,  we saw that even in the last FIFA World Cup where most of the came back happened from around 84th minutes across several matches.

There are people that take advantage of these late goals via live matches. The simply bet on one more goal in the match. This often come with huge odds therefore a wonderful opportunity to win big within a short time. The risk is also there so it is not free money.

[Z_MBFM]

This maximum goal in football is seen in the second half and especially in the last 10 to 15 minutes. One of the reasons for this is that the players of both teams are not very excited at the beginning of the game but play relaxed but towards the end the excitement starts and the players run a lot at that time the speed of the game increases a lot so more goals are seen then. If a goal is scored towards the end of the game it is very difficult for the other side to recover that goal so the players are more excited to score towards the end of the game. However this does not happen for all matches. Even if a goal is scored towards the end of the game how can you be sure which team will score and win at the end?

Since you cannot guarantee this, you know that it will not be easy to take advantage of this time, so do not act like a kids. However, always think normally when it comes to betting, the more you try to use more strategies, the more you will lose. Enjoy the game and bet according to your ability.

[Justbillywitt]

Do you think this can be exploited in terms of betting?

Exploited? Don't kid yourself . There is nothing to exploit here. This might the case for last two seasons, do you think it will be the same this season? Maybe if your analysis has expanded to even more previous seasons -- like 5 to 10 seasons ago -- so as to gather enough data, then it will be somewhat reliable -- not completely reliable -- and maybe some room for exploitation can be seen. But, with just 2 seasons, I won't 100% draw a conclusion and say this is exploitable.

This is gambling, nothing has to be 100% sure before you can decide to exploit it. If it is guaranteed 100% then there’s no risk in it and gambling involves taking little risks, and where there’s no risk there is no profit. Also when doing research of this nature, you will need to take data of recent events to draw your conclusion. Going back to data of 5 years to 10 years ago might not give you what you are looking for, because has really changed from what it used to be 10 years ago. For me if Op finding happened for two straights seasons, there’s every possibility that it could repeat for the third season.

[Cantsay]

Exploiting this discovery means that you'll have to bet on every game cause i don't know how you'll be able to tell the games that goals would be scored in the final minutes, can you? Also, the fact that it happened last season doesn't mean it would repeat again you'll be shocked to find out that this season statistics would change and lesser goals would be scored in the final minutes compared to the previous season.

I think that is the reason why other people who might have also seen these statistics or thought about it didn't even bother to chase it, there are too many variables and too many ways that this could go wrong.

Just like you said, one needs to take a bet on all matches to be able to win it, and the more you bet, the more you risk; the higher the amount that you would risk for something that doesn't happen all the time and also doesn't happen in all games. It might look good in statistics and on paper, but the moment you sit to think about it, you would instantly realise that it is not worth even trying at all.

[Webutxo]

From this statistics here, it is true that most goals are being scored towards the end of these matches, but at the same time, I feel it could also depend on the league, but however in my own opinion the reason why more goals are score on the final minutes of these games is because, during the starting of a match, some teams might feel very reluctant in goal scoring feeling they might definitely win the match, and when they finally winning their opponent is no longer as easy as they think, they start putting more effort to score at the last minute, because this the time they struggle more to score this goals, and more also, the last minute really shows the team with the best stamina and strength, because when a team becomes weak at the end, the stronger team takes advantage, and winning their games in the last minute.

That statistics is unreliable, we have many leagues in the world and each of then have different coins and different seasons and different players get shuffled together. What you see this season might not be what you see the next season. If predictions are that easy I think teams can replicate the things they have done in their previous seasons but it because nothing is uncertain in matches that is why even football is hard to predict, you never can tell the next road.

If you are going bet, please for common option, option you know that you can win, don't go for something that you will be struggling when the bet is on. There is no way to tell if a team is going to score most of the time. Real Madrid used to have goals like that in 80-90 minutes 3 years ago but it been long since I experience such kind of goals, that is to tell you that things can change with time.

[Fortify]

while looking at statistics for various leagues, i came across the distribution of goals scored by minute in la liga last season. as i examined the data, i would have considered it normal for more goals to be scored in the final

the minutes shown here as 41-50 and 81-90 include stoppage time, but even when we calculate the average, we still see that significantly more goals are scored in the final minutes compared to the game as a whole.

in some matches, when placing live bets, there are bets where you predict the period in which the next goal will be scored. do you think this can be exploited in terms of betting?

You have to be careful assuming that you can find any odds that will make this knowledge worthwhile. In theory every single odd offered by a bookmaker has already gone through this calculation as well, because they have all these same data points and many more - so any advantage you think exists might be illusory. You might be able to leverage it the best via live in-game betting, if you can think of a creative and unique angle. If you imagine that most odds come from a handful of providers that can offer them accurate enough and a large enough scale, then you'll understand that the odds will reorganize in a split second much faster than you can process. Maybe it's worth chucking the most oddball strategies into AI programs and try to outwit the statistical analysis programs that have been in the making for several decades.

[Jubilee58]

When we talk about goal scoring, there are leagues that goals actually come very early, and in some leagues too, goal scoring can be very difficult, but for the sake of this statistics given here, it is discovered that most goals are scored late. There are factors that can lead to late goals , for example when two teams are having equal strength, it could be difficult for goals to be scored so easily, and more also there are teams that have very strong defensive line up, and thereby making goal scoring to be difficult at early stage of a match. Besides, it is possible that towards the final minutes, that is the time when exhaustion comes in, and thereby given a stronger team the edge to score more goals.

[salad daging]

Until this detailed goal minute at the end of the match becomes interesting data for betting? Do bettors get to see this data further before placing a bet?
Personal experience about betting on football never thought about, goals in a certain minute most of us are betting who will win about goals never noticed.
I don't know how accurate this data is, it's just too much until the goal minutes are counted.

[Crytohillss]

From this statistics here, it is true that most goals are being scored towards the end of these matches, but at the same time, I feel it could also depend on the league, but however in my own opinion the reason why more goals are score on the final minutes of these games is because, during the starting of a match, some teams might feel very reluctant in goal scoring feeling they might definitely win the match, and when they finally winning their opponent is no longer as easy as they think, they start putting more effort to score at the last minute, because this the time they struggle more to score this goals, and more also, the last minute really shows the team with the best stamina and strength, because when a team becomes weak at the end, the stronger team takes advantage, and winning their games in the last minute.

You are very correct, sometimes so many things can change in the final game because definitely fatigue begin kicking and club become more serious to get a good results so many teams has their pattern of play truly some club are very defensive at the starting of the game when a team badly needed a goal that can make those remaining minute to be degenerous some of club feel so reluctant that can they can get a goal at anytime but football has a way of surprising people.

[knuckey]

Snip
in some matches, when placing live bets, there are bets where you predict the period in which the next goal will be scored. do you think this can be exploited in terms of betting?

Of course it can be expected because I also often see many goals conceded in the final minutes especially in the 90+, in those minutes the match heats up, so the focus on attacking is the priority of the players who are less favored, the match between winning and losing and spending all the effort and energy in the final minutes is very tense that's why many goals are scored in those minutes, but I suggest not to bet too much because the odds are big, betting small too if you win will be satisfying

[Powerjumboo]

The reason why most goals are scored at the end of the game is that even if players don't play with much importance at the beginning, when they see that there are no goals, they can increase their speed of play a lot and improve their performance a lot. Then when a team concedes a goal, the losing team tries to perform even better and the team that scored the goal tries harder to win and advance themselves. As a result, the speed of play automatically increases and performance improves and goals start to be scored, but these are seen towards the end of the game.

I have not bet on live matches so far, but I have not bet on the end of the game thinking about when the goal will be scored and whether there will be a goal at the end of the game. Like when I bet on the World Cup, I participated in the game long before the game to bet because I saw that when I went to participate in the bet at the last minute, it was locked.

[AHOYBRAUSE]

There is nothing to exploit here. Seeing more goals towards the end of a match is the most normal thing ever, that's why you always have smaller odds on for example over 1.5 goals compared to the first half. I mean this is just common sense. If one team is ahead (which is more often the case than a tie), of course the team that is down will open up trying to get the equalizer or get closer, which on the other hand gives the leading team more space to launch counter attacks. Both things result in more goals. Thinking this might be a secret or something is just nonsense.

[Agbamoni]

This is indeed an interesting stat.

In my understanding, goals are scored more in the last minute because of a manager substitution that changed the game. Coupled with players who got tired and couldn't keep up with the tempo they started with in the game.

Technically, the team determined to equalize or win a game, and also press more in the last minute for a goal.

[letteredhub]

Goals scored in final minutes can be on a winning side  or a losing side or a side trying hard not whre point or lose point . So what exactly are yu betting on ? Goals to be scored at 80 '+ ?

It could be possible on live games though but I doubt  bookmarked will allow people to make profit  on such . I don't  bet on live games so I can tell how jt works but if it's  available, maybe you should try betting on it and share the bet details  to see how it goes for atleast 5~10 matches. I'm sure it won't work as it's written here  

It is true that most of the goals are scored close to the ending of the match,  we saw that even in the last FIFA World Cup where most of the came back happened from around 84th minutes across several matches.

There are people that take advantage of these late goals via live matches. The simply bet on one more goal in the match. This often come with huge odds therefore a wonderful opportunity to win big within a short time. The risk is also there so it is not free money.

This are occurrence that have repeated itself in various tournaments and leagues games and that's what makes me not to believe that it can be based on any manipulation. No way can it be manipulated to reoccur severally in that way from the World Cup down to the league games. I just assume that the OP was thinking too much about the games results for him to have even thought about this in the direction he is pressing it to.

When you studying it that a pattern has being reoccurring the wise thing to have done was to take advantage of it by betting on that pattern in your parleys or single bet, that should have being what a seasoned gambler would do instead of trying to question it's natural flow or not.

[Davidvictorson]

Exploited? Don't kid yourself . There is nothing to exploit here. This might the case for last two seasons, do you think it will be the same this season? Maybe if your analysis has expanded to even more previous seasons -- like 5 to 10 seasons ago -- so as to gather enough data, then it will be somewhat reliable -- not completely reliable -- and maybe some room for exploitation can be seen. But, with just 2 seasons, I won't 100% draw a conclusion and say this is exploitable.

Honestly, I think this is a commendable find though. There are factors like fatigue, mistakes, injury, desperation etc, within the last minute that creates more goal scoring opportunities. So, I'll go with placing a small test bet on this market, and keep observing too. Who knows, there might be something there.

This is a very balanced comment and I agree with most of the points that you have made.
I also agree with the OP as well because I noticed this during the World Cup matches as well.
It is a good thing that someone can actually exploit and bet on but you gotta first look at the teams that have been consistent in conceding late goals.
On the other hand, I would like to see what this season would look like.

[Sonia_123]

I view it form two angles, they are scored at the final minutes because it will have to determine their stand in a particular league or match, footballers tend to put more effort so that they can stand out and qualify for the next match if not they can lose their position in their clubes or make the clubes lose their game, they also sees it as a final battle to achieve their goals both for themselves and clubes.

In terms of betting I feel they feel more time should be given in other for casinos to make more funds from gamblers which most gamblers now sees it that goals must be scored towards the end of the match and so all their expectations are towards the end of the match to win their games .

[Curious T]

do you think this can be exploited in terms of betting?

You can, but you can't tell the game where goals will be scored in the last minute. That is the trick about gambling. You know some games play 3-1 correct score, but you can't tell which one will play like that. Teams like Barcelona and Madrid in the Spanish La Liga can score in the last minute when they are losing or drawing. Madrid has already done it this season, but did you expect them to do it? I guess you can take some risks when they are losing or drawing.

The reason more goals are scored in the last 10 or 15 minutes of the games is that they become more daring. They throw caution to the wind and go for the win. Towards the end of the game, they will know that if they don't score now, it will be too late, so they will do their best to score.

[Crypto_Timothy]

This final 10 min the mostly when the pressure is highest most especially team  that are left behind and are in need of a goal. As the going gwt tougher players get tired, which most cases lead to mistakes abd gives room for attackers. So this kinds of fatigue abd pressure it a big reason why late goals do occur. But also I don’t think this statistic only is enough for a reliable betting strategy.

I usually don't advise trusting a particular strategy when it comes to gambling, because gambling is unpredictable but you see this exact metric, it is very unpredictable because I know how many times I have played over 1.5 because I was so sure the teams would score at least at die minutes but the games would end 0 - 0.