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Author Topic: Bitcoin - is the bear market bottom in?  (Read 1559 times)
ChocolateBitcoinK
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September 22, 2026, 08:07:24 PM
 #121


How are we all feeling? Is the bottom in or not?

Look, we have a long way to go to get to the next job, so we can't call this short period of time a Bitcoin bull run. The current Bitcoin price has naturally improved, there will be more in the future, but this will be the most interesting because investors have shown more interest due to the untimely increase in Bitcoin prices. I think the Bitcoin price will reach an all-time high in the next Bull Run season and the price of half a million Bitcoins can reach it.
Because as time goes by, the possibility of a record Bitcoin price is emerging, so you must also hold Bitcoin before reaching this Bull Run season.

The current rise in Bitcoin is showing, during the real bull run, Bitcoin will go much higher. In fact, Bitcoin will go to a much higher level, the future is very possible. Bitcoin has increased by 12.5% ​​in the last 7 days, and the price of Bitcoin is currently at $86K. But when Bitcoin was at 58K 3 months ago, there may be many who panicked and sold Bitcoin, but even at that time, those who continued to invest in Bitcoin, and continue to buy Bitcoin, are currently in more profit, and this profit will continue to increase, it just needs to be maintained for a longer period. We still do not know when the real bull market will start, but we should hold Bitcoin and maintain investment continuously in any market situation. It will create even bigger ATHs in the future, and those who continue to invest continuously from now on will have the opportunity to achieve much greater success at that time.

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October 01, 2026, 08:16:14 AM
 #122

Latest thoughts on this? Surely bear market over now that we had a monthly close for September of $83.5k.

I can see it coming down to maybe $70k one last time? Would be a good time to buy if so. But overall, it feels like the worst is over now plus the fact is has now been exactly 1 year since the Bitcoin $126k high.

Many alts are now well outperforming Bitcoin too which is also good to see.
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October 01, 2026, 09:34:21 AM
 #123

Latest thoughts on this? Surely bear market over now that we had a monthly close for September of $83.5k.

I can see it coming down to maybe $70k one last time? Would be a good time to buy if so. But overall, it feels like the worst is over now plus the fact is has now been exactly 1 year since the Bitcoin $126k high.

Many alts are now well outperforming Bitcoin too which is also good to see.
50/50, I have seeing some speculators that we will need to see one leg down this month of October before finally breaking into $90k. But so far, there are no signs that the market is going on a deep correction.

Specially that we close the month in another green candle of above 7%. As with that kind of monthly ending, usually the upcoming month is full of optimism. So for me, unless there is as negative news this month, I don't see the price coming down to $70k'ish.

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October 01, 2026, 09:46:30 AM
 #124

Latest thoughts on this? Surely bear market over now that we had a monthly close for September of $83.5k.

I can see it coming down to maybe $70k one last time? Would be a good time to buy if so. But overall, it feels like the worst is over now plus the fact is has now been exactly 1 year since the Bitcoin $126k high.

Many alts are now well outperforming Bitcoin too which is also good to see.

There is certainly a chance that BTC could drop to $70k, but personally, I think that's unlikely. If the correction continues, I expect it will stop around $80k, since $80-82k is currently acting as strong support.
As for alts, yes, many of them have picked up steam. However, it's worth noting that BTC dominance remains high, which means it's still too early to talk about an alt season.

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October 01, 2026, 10:34:33 AM
 #125

Latest thoughts on this? Surely bear market over now that we had a monthly close for September of $83.5k.

I can see it coming down to maybe $70k one last time? Would be a good time to buy if so. But overall, it feels like the worst is over now plus the fact is has now been exactly 1 year since the Bitcoin $126k high.

Many alts are now well outperforming Bitcoin too which is also good to see.

There is certainly a chance that BTC could drop to $70k, but personally, I think that's unlikely. If the correction continues, I expect it will stop around $80k, since $80-82k is currently acting as strong support.
As for alts, yes, many of them have picked up steam. However, it's worth noting that BTC dominance remains high, which means it's still too early to talk about an alt season.

That is the exciting thing for alt holders, finally we are getting some movement for alts yet Bitcoin dominance is still high and has long way to fall meaning there is many good months still ahead for alts.

I have seen it mentioned a few times we need Bitcoin dominance to fall to 55% for an altseason and it is still only at 59%.
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October 01, 2026, 01:19:16 PM
 #126



That is the exciting thing for alt holders, finally we are getting some movement for alts yet Bitcoin dominance is still high and has long way to fall meaning there is many good months still ahead for alts.

I have seen it mentioned a few times we need Bitcoin dominance to fall to 55% for an altseason and it is still only at 59%.

Nothing wrong with investing in alts, plenty of them will definitely pay off big. But I think we should stop expecting altss to play out the way we remember it. Market has changed a lot.

Back in 2024, when Bitcoin kept making new ATHs and went above $100K, BTC.d was even below 55% at one point. But as you saw, there still was not some proper alt ss like everyone was expecting. Only a handful of alt really took off, while most of them couldn't even put in gains anywhere close to what Bitcoin did.

Stop dreaming about some alt ss. Just focus on alt with real potential and wait.

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October 07, 2026, 11:01:00 AM
 #127

Come on Bitcoin keep falling , hoping it goes down to $78-79k soon for some cheap alts.

How low do we feel it can go before it bounces?
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October 07, 2026, 12:39:15 PM
 #128

Is $58.5k we fell to early July the bottom for this bear market or do we have 1 leg lower?

We are nearly half way through September and I now feel the bottom is in as cant see how Bitcoin falls nearly $20k now to new lows from the current $77k unless something really bad happens next few weeks.

I do feel though that was can go back to the $65k range again to see a higher low and I'm actually hoping for that again to buy cheap one last time before bull run is here for next few years.

How are we all feeling? Is the bottom in or not?
Op It has been almost 1 month since you started this thread. In the meantime, the price of Bitcoin has increased as expected although some may have expected a higher price. But currently it is hovering around $84k. Stay optimistic, you may see a bull run at any time and the price of Bitcoin will probably cross $100k within this month.

When the price dropped to $58k, I expected a breaker to go to $36k but due to the increase in demand for Bitcoin, the market did not go that low. The policy of whales holding Bitcoin is still ongoing and corporate holders are regularly buying Bitcoin and increasing their holdings.

My personal expectations are not very high although I have not allocated Bitcoin for short-term trading but I think it will take a few more weeks/month to reach the ATH level but I am a long term investor and I regularly accumulation Bitcoin of price decline or rise.

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October 07, 2026, 01:33:00 PM
 #129

Op It has been almost 1 month since you started this thread. In the meantime, the price of Bitcoin has increased as expected although some may have expected a higher price. But currently it is hovering around $84k. Stay optimistic, you
may see a bull run at any time and the price of Bitcoin will probably cross $100k within this month.
This month you expect Bitcoin price to Cross the $100k region, well I am not of the same class of thought that we can see such price in the month of October, since right the price of Bitcoin is already declining from the recently gain benchmark.

When the price dropped to $58k, I expected a breaker to go to $36k but due to the increase in demand for Bitcoin, the market did not go that low. The policy of whales holding Bitcoin is still ongoing and corporate holders are regularly buying Bitcoin and increasing their holdings.
Na I wasn't expecting or speculating Bitcoin to drop to such extent, the lowest I thought Bitcoin could go was below $50,000, but it didn't get to that in the end.
Quote
My personal expectations are not very high although I have not allocated Bitcoin for short-term trading but I think it will take a few more weeks/month to reach the ATH level but I am a long term investor and I regularly accumulation Bitcoin of price decline or rise.
Long term investors don't have to border themselves with market volatilities most especially on short term basis like what we have right now.

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October 07, 2026, 11:58:30 PM
 #130

Nothing wrong with investing in alts, plenty of them will definitely pay off big. But I think we should stop expecting altss to play out the way we remember it. Market has changed a lot.

Back in 2024, when Bitcoin kept making new ATHs and went above $100K, BTC.d was even below 55% at one point. But as you saw, there still was not some proper alt ss like everyone was expecting. Only a handful of alt really took off, while most of them couldn't even put in gains anywhere close to what Bitcoin did.

Stop dreaming about some alt ss. Just focus on alt with real potential and wait.
With the current situation of the alt market, I will never encourage anyone to spend any penny because it's never been a good idea to go and lose your money. Nothing is positive happening; just a few top coins are doing well for a long time; others are dumb without having any good chance of coming back to a good level. Bitcoin always has enough potential and a chance of giving enough. I always have mind to stay here and enjoy this before having a good increase.
Right now it's staying on level, which is surely good for people to invest in and then wait for good profit. Alts need enough changes, which are not coming while scammers are doing their tactics for having money from newbies with their scam projects. It's been a long time since I have ever been in this, and I always encourage my fellows to avoid this.

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October 08, 2026, 03:43:38 AM
 #131

Come on Bitcoin keep falling , hoping it goes down to $78-79k soon for some cheap alts.

How low do we feel it can go before it bounces?

The $82.2k support on the daily chart is pretty important. If Bitcoin can hold above it, uptrend could continue. But lose that level and Btc could slide toward $74k. If that happens altcoins could get hammered.

Hard to tell how far Btc will pullback before bouncing back but look like you might be right. Maybe we have already found the bottom this cycle.


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October 08, 2026, 06:20:57 AM
 #132

Personally, I think $58.5k could end up being the cycle bottom. I wouldn’t rule out another drop, though. A move back toward $65k would actually make sense as a higher low and could shake out some late buyers before the next leg up.
If Bitcoin can hold above that area, I’d be more confident that the bear market is over. For me, the bigger risk now is not a massive new low, but missing the next bull move while waiting for a perfect entry.
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October 08, 2026, 06:27:16 AM
 #133

Latest thoughts on this? Surely bear market over now that we had a monthly close for September of $83.5k.

I can see it coming down to maybe $70k one last time? Would be a good time to buy if so. But overall, it feels like the worst is over now plus the fact is has now been exactly 1 year since the Bitcoin $126k high.

Many alts are now well outperforming Bitcoin too which is also good to see.

There is certainly a chance that BTC could drop to $70k, but personally, I think that's unlikely. If the correction continues, I expect it will stop around $80k, since $80-82k is currently acting as strong support.
As for alts, yes, many of them have picked up steam. However, it's worth noting that BTC dominance remains high, which means it's still too early to talk about an alt season.
Bitcoin can go whatever ways, but October have always been a bullish month for Bitcoin, and the recent market gains for Bitcoin indicates that repeated cycle.


Even if Bitcoin will make a correction from the current price of $82,700 which is a resistance price already, I won't agree that we are going to see a market down of up to $70,000 in a near time for now
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October 08, 2026, 07:42:09 AM
 #134

Come on Bitcoin keep falling , hoping it goes down to $78-79k soon for some cheap alts.

How low do we feel it can go before it bounces?

The $82.2k support on the daily chart is pretty important. If Bitcoin can hold above it, uptrend could continue. But lose that level and Btc could slide toward $74k. If that happens altcoins could get hammered.

Hard to tell how far Btc will pullback before bouncing back but look like you might be right. Maybe we have already found the bottom this cycle.



We have very likely found the bottom at $58k in July. All those who were waiting for the October low because of the supposed 4 year cycle have now been sidelined hoping for $70k or below again to be able to get in, but im not sure if we go as low as $70k now.  If we do though, i will just buy more.

Either the 4 year cycle is still intact and we just bottomed 3 months early this time round, or it is now over and we see a new high for Bitcoin as early as next year.

Either way i am just glad that I did DCA during the summer lows to get the best prices.
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October 08, 2026, 08:33:59 AM
 #135

Bitcoin can go whatever ways, but October have always been a bullish month for Bitcoin, and the recent market gains for Bitcoin indicates that repeated cycle.


Even if Bitcoin will make a correction from the current price of $82,700 which is a resistance price already, I won't agree that we are going to see a market down of up to $70,000 in a near time for now

Since 2013 , Bitcoin has had 13 full October with 10 ending green and 3 red . So saying October is usually bullish is fair,  but acting like October always pumps just isn't true. And here's the part most people skip, those red Octobers all showed up during bear market 2014 and 2018 .
Unfortunately, this is bear year. So don't be too quick to rule out another red October.

Not to mention, Bitcoin has already had 3 straight green months, 7, 8 and 9. So we should be even more cautious this month.

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October 08, 2026, 09:50:10 AM
 #136

Bitcoin can go whatever ways, but October have always been a bullish month for Bitcoin, and the recent market gains for Bitcoin indicates that repeated cycle.


Even if Bitcoin will make a correction from the current price of $82,700 which is a resistance price already, I won't agree that we are going to see a market down of up to $70,000 in a near time for now

Since 2013 , Bitcoin has had 13 full October with 10 ending green and 3 red . So saying October is usually bullish is fair,  but acting like October always pumps just isn't true. And here's the part most people skip, those red Octobers all showed up during bear market 2014 and 2018 .
Unfortunately, this is bear year. So don't be too quick to rule out another red October.

Not to mention, Bitcoin has already had 3 straight green months, 7, 8 and 9. So we should be even more cautious this month.

Agreed, surely we expect a red month considering it is bear market year and we have had last 3 months green.

I am hoping for a red month, maybe Bitcoin go down to $75k so we can buy cheap altcoins again.
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October 08, 2026, 09:52:24 AM
 #137


With the current situation of the alt market, I will never encourage anyone to spend any penny because it's never been a good idea to go and lose your money. Nothing is positive happening; just a few top coins are doing well for a long time; others are dumb without having any good chance of coming back to a good level. Bitcoin always has enough potential and a chance of giving enough. I always have mind to stay here and enjoy this before having a good increase.
Right now it's staying on level, which is surely good for people to invest in and then wait for good profit. Alts need enough changes, which are not coming while scammers are doing their tactics for having money from newbies with their scam projects. It's been a long time since I have ever been in this, and I always encourage my fellows to avoid this.

I get what you mean, but we just have different tastes when it comes to investing, tbh.

Us staying out of alts doesn't mean everyone else should too, and just because we can't make a profit from them doesn't mean others will end up with the same result.

People keep complaining there's no altseason like before. But did you know the ones who bought Sol under $10, Hype and a few alts with real potential made 5x, 10x or even 30x last cycle?
There are still plenty of opportunities in alts, they just don't all pump together like they used to. And yeah, alts are significantly riskier than Bitcoin.

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October 09, 2026, 04:10:26 AM
 #138


Agreed, surely we expect a red month considering it is bear market year and we have had last 3 months green.

I am hoping for a red month, maybe Bitcoin go down to $75k so we can buy cheap altcoins again.

Have  you checked the market today? BTC is dumping already, lol.
Didn't expect the pullback to come this  fast tho. It even dipped to $80.3k before bouncing back to $82k while I was typing this.

BTW  don't forget what happened on 10/10/2025 . Bitcoin came crashing down from 122k to 105k in a short time and caused the largest liquidation event in crypto history , close to 20 billion dollars liquidated.
So we gotta be extra careful here. Do not get complacent thinking its Uptober so bitcoin will auto pump, and ignore everything else.

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October 09, 2026, 08:10:12 AM
 #139


Agreed, surely we expect a red month considering it is bear market year and we have had last 3 months green.

I am hoping for a red month, maybe Bitcoin go down to $75k so we can buy cheap altcoins again.

Have  you checked the market today? BTC is dumping already, lol.
Didn't expect the pullback to come this  fast tho. It even dipped to $80.3k before bouncing back to $82k while I was typing this.

BTW  don't forget what happened on 10/10/2025 . Bitcoin came crashing down from 122k to 105k in a short time and caused the largest liquidation event in crypto history , close to 20 billion dollars liquidated.
So we gotta be extra careful here. Do not get complacent thinking its Uptober so bitcoin will auto pump, and ignore everything else.

I do not believe in comparing the monthly history, anything can happen at any point. October could be red or green , no one knows.

I am expecting a red month like i said, the dip so far is nothing to be concerned about, it is normal after pumping so much last few months.

I am hoping it can fall down to somewhere between $72-75k though so we can buy some altcoins cheap again.
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October 09, 2026, 09:49:02 AM
 #140

Bitcoin price can be very difficult to predict more especially within a very short period of time, but we are all sure of the future increase surpassing the previous all time high of 2025. As for the short term, I can't really predict if Bitcoin will still go below $58k. But do to market volatility, Bitcoin can still dip below it's present price now, but uncertain if it will go below $58k. When you go to these cryptocurrency platforms like coinmarketcap, coin gecko , coin telegraph etc, you will see different prediction about Bitcoin from people who are believed to be experts, but in many cases these predictions becomes speculation because it doesn't happen exactly the way they make their prediction. I think we have not gone into bull market yet, but this doesn't mean the price of Bitcoin will not increase, and at the same time we can equally see the price of Bitcoin decrease in price, but the exact price when it dips cannot be told.

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