One year ago Bitcoin set ATH. When will Bitcoin repeat this?

[rbynxx]

in your opinion, what factors drove the drop in Bitcoin's price back then and when might we see a return to that all-time high?

I think it was more combinations of thing rather than just one scenario or event. The Trump's tariff drama back then definitely shock most of the investor's confidence, but I think the market was already priced in when BTC hit that ATH.There are a lot of people already sitting in huge profits, especially whales and long-term holders, so it's a no-brainer that some will probably starts to cash out. Plus the crazy leverage in the market that people trying to play, and those liquidations just made everything worse, I'd see it fuel something as well.

To hit that ATH of $126k again, I think late 2027 or early 2028 if market liquidity improves and some of these institutions money starts flowing back again in a consistent manner. But first, I think we need to see BTC claim that 100k level first. Long term we are definitely bullish, I'm not just not expecting a linear way back to ATH, it will not be easy.

[jossiel]

But let's take this bear market of 2026 as a good one and that is because it's not as painful and deep compared to the past bear markets we've been through.

A milder bear market is not necessarily a good thing.

It could mean Bitcoin's volatility is cooling off, and next bullrun might not be as strong as previous cycles. It also means fewer chances to scoop up BTC at bargain prices, so longterm accumulator might miss out on those deep discount.

Everything cuts both ways and shallow bear is no exception.

You're right although the damage that it usually does isn't as great as the past ones and with that, we cannot complain with it however be grateful.

Although there's always that opposite reaction as you've mentioned that the next bull run might be better than the past one.

I think it's a good point to notice that but for every bull run cycle that we're having, bitcoin always shows the unpredictable.

[coinrifft]

To hit that ATH of $126k again, I think late 2027 or early 2028 if market liquidity improves and some of these institutions money starts flowing back again in a consistent manner. But first, I think we need to see BTC claim that 100k level first. Long term we are definitely bullish, I'm not just not expecting a linear way back to ATH, it will not be easy.

There will always be a lot of liquidity during the bull market, the next block halving is scheduled on April 2028. So it we will at the year, there could be a lot of hype around that time already that we might see a lot of movement prior to the one catalyst.

But let's see, there are a lot of proponents of a super cycle, so there could be a lot of changes in the cycle if that happens. But for the ATH to be repeated then we will have to wait for the block halving. Although from the last time I check, fees are too high around that period so hopefully, we don't encounter that issue before prior to the halving as we might have suffer because there could be a lot of movement.

[rbynxx]

To hit that ATH of $126k again, I think late 2027 or early 2028 if market liquidity improves and some of these institutions money starts flowing back again in a consistent manner. But first, I think we need to see BTC claim that 100k level first. Long term we are definitely bullish, I'm not just not expecting a linear way back to ATH, it will not be easy.

There will always be a lot of liquidity during the bull market, the next block halving is scheduled on April 2028. So it we will at the year, there could be a lot of hype around that time already that we might see a lot of movement prior to the one catalyst.

But let's see, there are a lot of proponents of a super cycle, so there could be a lot of changes in the cycle if that happens. But for the ATH to be repeated then we will have to wait for the block halving. Although from the last time I check, fees are too high around that period so hopefully, we don't encounter that issue before prior to the halving as we might have suffer because there could be a lot of movement.

Yes, because it's a bull market, but what I wanted to emphasize is that the constant flow of large volumes of liquidity is a sign that the market is confident. That's still a long way tbh, but does crypto always need to wait for the halving so we can see a new ATH? I don't think so, it has matured already to be labelled as a speculative asset that will depend on its halving dates.

There have been a lot of changes we've seen on Bitcoin, and those times are wild tbh, and I think off-chain like LN and these rollups/sidechains could be an answer to those fees. I ain't worried a bit about that unless I constantly have to spend with it trading or doing some P2P stuff.

[free-bit.co.in]

Volatility cooling off or not, but gain is going the opposite direction of valuation, the diminishing of market cap growth is long to be expected. I'd take milder bear market anyday over massive bear market and potentially seeing higher volatility (it's not guaranteed). By the way I think there is no correlation between volatility cooling off with milder bear market because we haven't seen how bull market this time around is going to be, the bull market could be as great as before and the mild bear market could be a sign that demand is still there despite the bearish season.

You  think this bull market could still be just as strong as the previous ones? Then how do you explain BTC only going from $69k  to $126k this cycle, not even a 2x, despite the surge in institutional demand?

In the previous cycle, BTC went from $19k to $69k, around 3.5x. Or back in 2017 ,  it went from $1.1k to $19k, roughly 17x.

Bitcoin's volatility  has been dying down for years  and it's still going, that's pretty obvious. And I'm not saying this just because the current bear is shallower.

[Nathrixxx]

We should not talk about an all-time high when we have not yet considered the seasons, because you cannot expect to see much of a market pump or a bull run when we are already in bear season.

It is also a remarkable decision if we can always go through the past to ensure that we have more information regarding market expectations. This is where we go through the history and see how it has been performing in previous years, compare it to the current situation, and what to expect anytime soon in its due season.

[Ndabagi01]

I see the decline in this bearish season, which seems to recover quite fast, compared to the previous bearish seasons I think Bitcoin could reach the next new ATH faster. Perhaps we don’t need to wait for the 4 year cycle after halving as Bitcoin’s price volatility has already seen significant changes. Bitcoin could break above the last ATH all of a sudden. No one knows really, but it might not be very long.

Since bitcoin reached its previous ATH before halving took place which was the first time we are experiencing that, it has now become that bitcoin may not obey any of its former rules which it has been following before. Bitcoin never changed but the timing at which things are happening now is very different from the way it use to be in the past. Bitcoin will reach a new ATH this time around faster and it won’t even be a surprise because the market is already showing signs of that and it looks like it will work to achieve that in the nearest future.