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Author Topic: Dogecoin halving next week. Inflation cut by 50%.  (Read 2045 times)
thatguy3 (OP)
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July 08, 2014, 04:47:24 PM
 #1

Here is a countdown timer for those that are interested:

http://www.csullender.com/dogecoin/
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roslinpl
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July 08, 2014, 06:33:59 PM
 #2

After the last halving price went down quite fast and it was falling down till now...

So... next halving will bring a price @10bits? Smiley

thatguy3 (OP)
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July 08, 2014, 06:40:52 PM
 #3

After the last halving price went down quite fast and it was falling down till now...

So... next halving will bring a price @10bits? Smiley



Correlation is not causation.
lynn_402
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July 08, 2014, 06:52:53 PM
 #4

After the last halving price went down quite fast and it was falling down till now...

So... next halving will bring a price @10bits? Smiley



And after the first halving price went for 30 to 300 in... a week?
You have to consider that too Wink

Plus, Dogecoin seems quite less overvalued at 36 sat than it was at 120 during the last halving.
roslinpl
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July 08, 2014, 07:27:23 PM
 #5

After the last halving price went down quite fast and it was falling down till now...

So... next halving will bring a price @10bits? Smiley



And after the first halving price went for 30 to 300 in... a week?
You have to consider that too Wink

Plus, Dogecoin seems quite less overvalued at 36 sat than it was at 120 during the last halving.

I did consider that too - if you remember (I remember as I wasn't sleeping for few days during that ) it was due to Wolang pump.

Price went up to 300 and never went back to that point.

I am watching Dogecoin from release - December - and I remember very well what was happening Wink

When it was released price was ~250. Then it felt down to ~50 (moment when I bought in) and then due to Wolang manipulations price went up to ~300 in a week (or two - as there was a correction and ~300 again).  And from those times we see only drops.

I must say I truly want Dogecoin to rise up again but with this supply it is pretty sure that it will be very hard to make the value catch the wind.
lynn_402
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July 08, 2014, 07:32:32 PM
 #6

After the last halving price went down quite fast and it was falling down till now...

So... next halving will bring a price @10bits? Smiley



And after the first halving price went for 30 to 300 in... a week?
You have to consider that too Wink

Plus, Dogecoin seems quite less overvalued at 36 sat than it was at 120 during the last halving.

I did consider that too - if you remember (I remember as I wasn't sleeping for few days during that ) it was due to Wolang pump.

Price went up to 300 and never went back to that point.

I am watching Dogecoin from release - December - and I remember very well what was happening Wink

When it was released price was ~250. Then it felt down to ~50 (moment when I bought in) and then due to Wolang manipulations price went up to ~300 in a week (or two - as there was a correction and ~300 again).  And from those times we see only drops.

I must say I truly want Dogecoin to rise up again but with this supply it is pretty sure that it will be very hard to make the value catch the wind.

Indeed, that pump to 300 was caused mostly by Wolong. But keep in mind that the price managed to stay between that and 100 sat for many months while the inflation was considerably bigger than what it is now, and when dogecoin was mined and instantly dumped by a big percentage of all scrypt miners.

Imho, you can't consider these past numbers to predict what will happen this summer and beyond, the setting is way too different.
roslinpl
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July 08, 2014, 07:47:35 PM
 #7

You are right that we cannot predict what will happen.

But what I can say is do some math:

and let say price of 1 dogecoin will hit 300bits.

Then dogecoin supply will be worth : 259035BTC

259035BTC * price of 1BTC(at the moment) = $ 161 896 875 Smiley

And I do believe Dogecoin can hit 300 again.

But I wont believe it will hit more than that ever.. Wink

Regards.
lynn_402
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July 08, 2014, 07:49:55 PM
 #8

You are right that we cannot predict what will happen.

But what I can say is do some math:

and let say price of 1 dogecoin will hit 300bits.

Then dogecoin supply will be worth : 259035BTC

259035BTC * price of 1BTC(at the moment) = $ 161 896 875 Smiley

And I do believe Dogecoin can hit 300 again.

But I wont believe it will hit more than that ever.. Wink

Regards.

Well if it does hit that amount, it would still be almost 10x profits for those who bought at this week's low. That's quite good Tongue
roslinpl
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July 08, 2014, 07:55:46 PM
 #9


Well if it does hit that amount, it would still be almost 10x profits for those who bought at this week's low. That's quite good Tongue

and again I agree with you but .. it is worth to bold "if" Smiley

if it does hit that amount - profit will be really good Smiley

I will buy some Doges @25 Smiley Till then I am just sitting and watching Smiley
Like I told before - I was bullish for so long and nothing great came for the value.

lynn_402
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July 08, 2014, 07:59:24 PM
 #10


Well if it does hit that amount, it would still be almost 10x profits for those who bought at this week's low. That's quite good Tongue

and again I agree with you but .. it is worth to bold "if" Smiley

if it does hit that amount - profit will be really good Smiley

I will buy some Doges @25 Smiley Till then I am just sitting and watching Smiley
Like I told before - I was bullish for so long and nothing great came for the value.



You did say you bought at 50 and was around when it was pumped to 300, didn't you? Tongue

Good luck on buying at 25, the order book on Cryptsy looks very bullish right now (More than 100 BTC worth of doges are required to bring the price down to 31, and about 60 BTC worth of buys to bring the price to 59). If it does fall to 25 though, I'll be more than happy to buy with you!
roslinpl
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July 08, 2014, 08:06:37 PM
 #11


You did say you bought at 50 and was around when it was pumped to 300, didn't you? Tongue

Good luck on buying at 25, the order book on Cryptsy looks very bullish right now (More than 100 BTC worth of doges are required to bring the price down to 31, and about 60 BTC worth of buys to bring the price to 59). If it does fall to 25 though, I'll be more than happy to buy with you!

Well last time I bought @50 cause somehow I was pretty sure that it was a bottom (and it was).

Now I must say I though again that bottom will be 50 ... and it wasn't ...

That's why I told that I will buy @25 Wink cause maybe then I will believe that 25 is a bottom ... Smiley As for now I don't know what to think about it.

The wall can change very quickly Smiley as you know.

I see you are very bullish about Dogecoin Smiley it is very nice to see that and I hope you will gain your profit for being a bull.

Smiley
lynn_402
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July 08, 2014, 08:16:05 PM
 #12


You did say you bought at 50 and was around when it was pumped to 300, didn't you? Tongue

Good luck on buying at 25, the order book on Cryptsy looks very bullish right now (More than 100 BTC worth of doges are required to bring the price down to 31, and about 60 BTC worth of buys to bring the price to 59). If it does fall to 25 though, I'll be more than happy to buy with you!

Well last time I bought @50 cause somehow I was pretty sure that it was a bottom (and it was).

Now I must say I though again that bottom will be 50 ... and it wasn't ...

That's why I told that I will buy @25 Wink cause maybe then I will believe that 25 is a bottom ... Smiley As for now I don't know what to think about it.

The wall can change very quickly Smiley as you know.

I see you are very bullish about Dogecoin Smiley it is very nice to see that and I hope you will gain your profit for being a bull.

Smiley

Yeah, it's impossible to know precisely what the bottom or the ath will be, but it seems somewhat easier to predict what the long-term or even mid-term trend will be.
Although I can be wrong Smiley

I wish much profits upon you too bearish doge!
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July 09, 2014, 12:40:56 AM
 #13

I really like dogecoin and wish it the best.  But it does have the problem of Too Many Coins and No Limit Ever on the number of them.  I tend to think of block reward reductions as reductions in the sell pressures on doge rather than as a potential reason for lots of users to rush in and buy.  I still think doge is a survivor coin from the waves of shit coins that we have seen thanks to its community but that does not mean it will be worth a lot in terms of bitcoin.

As a doge bag holder I hope I'm wrong!

Thanks for the link to count down timer and good luck!
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July 09, 2014, 03:50:23 AM
 #14

Lots of miners going to abandon doge once the halving occurs I'd imagine.
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July 09, 2014, 03:52:43 AM
 #15

I see that there is alot of interest by the development team to do something to help the price recover. What in m opinion isn't being discussed enough is that the price is being driven by people's interest. No matter what the developers strugle to do, if the people don't have an interest to buy on a high price the price increase is never going to happen.

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91porn
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July 09, 2014, 06:46:40 AM
 #16

I will see what happen

boxuser
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July 09, 2014, 06:48:55 AM
 #17

hrmm interesting, i wonder if Doge will rebound

I will see what happen

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July 09, 2014, 09:21:58 AM
 #18

Yes we'll have to see. But supply and demand suggests the price would go up after block halving.
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July 09, 2014, 10:43:01 AM
 #19

hard to say even non inflation coins can go down so we will see

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lynn_402
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July 09, 2014, 02:17:15 PM
 #20

I see that there is alot of interest by the development team to do something to help the price recover. What in m opinion isn't being discussed enough is that the price is being driven by people's interest. No matter what the developers strugle to do, if the people don't have an interest to buy on a high price the price increase is never going to happen.

Well, if the developpers work hard and find solutions to keep the coin secure, it will indeed be worth more since nobody will have to worry about the coin being attacked.
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