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miscreanity
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June 21, 2012, 04:21:51 PM
 #61

Is more OT kinda ease ?
Jawboning QE does more than OT.

Absolutely, in 'markets' where the only real participants have access to unlimited funds and are the ones talking up QE. Makes it awfully easy to paint the charts when there's no opposition because nobody else of size is playing (or they're colluding... China).
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sadpandatech
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July 06, 2012, 03:02:34 PM
 #62

Bad enough for the Fed to do something?

NOPE

of course not.  What was the latest? I've not bothered checking in on any of it lately.

If you're not excited by the idea of being an early adopter 'now', then you should come back in three or four years and either tell us "Told you it'd never work!" or join what should, by then, be a much more stable and easier-to-use system. - GA
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July 06, 2012, 03:30:37 PM
 #63

Bad enough for the Fed to do something?

NOPE

of course not.  What was the latest? I've not bothered checking in on any of it lately.

Jobs report. Next will be the end of July FOMC, but the one to really watch will be Jackson Hole.

Ahh yes, the jobs report. I caught the media version of it. They of course made sure to only show 'jobs added' which was pitiful on its own. But they made sure to not contrast it with the number of jobs lost for the same period. And people eat that shit up don't they?

I'm familiar with Jackson Hole, WY. What JH are you refering to?

If you're not excited by the idea of being an early adopter 'now', then you should come back in three or four years and either tell us "Told you it'd never work!" or join what should, by then, be a much more stable and easier-to-use system. - GA
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cypherdoc
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July 06, 2012, 03:33:33 PM
 #64

Bad enough for the Fed to do something?

NOPE

of course not.  What was the latest? I've not bothered checking in on any of it lately.

Jobs report. Next will be the end of July FOMC, but the one to really watch will be Jackson Hole.

Ahh yes, the jobs report. I caught the media version of it. They of course made sure to only show 'jobs added' which was pitiful on its own. But they made sure to not contrast it with the number of jobs lost for the same period. And people eat that shit up don't they?

I'm familiar with Jackson Hole, WY. What JH are you refering to?

its a banker lovefest in October where last year Bennie announced Operation Twist which jacked the market up to its present highs.  that's when i went long stocks.
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July 06, 2012, 04:40:54 PM
 #65

I'm familiar with Jackson Hole, WY. What JH are you refering to?

its a banker lovefest in October where last year Bennie announced Operation Twist which jacked the market up to its present highs.  that's when i went long stocks.

Gotcha. Guess my invitation got lost in the mail. ;p

If you're not excited by the idea of being an early adopter 'now', then you should come back in three or four years and either tell us "Told you it'd never work!" or join what should, by then, be a much more stable and easier-to-use system. - GA
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cypherdoc
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July 06, 2012, 05:04:51 PM
 #66

Oh lookee—DXY is near a two year high...

shhhhh.  i've been trying to keep that under wraps!
miscreanity
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July 06, 2012, 07:05:24 PM
 #67

Suckers Smiley
cypherdoc
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July 06, 2012, 07:36:20 PM
 #68

Suckers Smiley

It's s short-term phenomenon. But if you can't call it in the short term how can you expect to call it in the long term?

petty details... Wink
miscreanity
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July 06, 2012, 08:24:51 PM
 #69

It's s short-term phenomenon. But if you can't call it in the short term how can you expect to call it in the long term?

Simple: I don't play the short game. It's harder to make short-term calls, but harder to stay the course in the long-term. Traders can go about and make a thousand trades per year. I'd rather make a handful of investments during my entire lifetime and have the same result. Gold is one of those.

No agonizing over every squirrelly price move, no desperate attempts to modify theories on each tick, no obsessing with eyeballs glued to charts. Only a driving vision based on unassailable principles. A better question might be: how can you live life when your emotional attachment to the short-term is exhausting?
cypherdoc
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July 06, 2012, 09:04:37 PM
 #70

i have a solution...only analyze yearly bar charts like silverbox.  then you won't have to deal with a noticeable trend change for at least a few years.
notme
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July 06, 2012, 09:05:27 PM
 #71

i have a solution...only analyze yearly bar charts like silverbox.  then you won't have to deal with a noticeable trend change for at least a couple of years.

+1

https://www.bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf
While no idea is perfect, some ideas are useful.
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miscreanity
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July 06, 2012, 11:05:05 PM
 #72

i have a solution...only analyze yearly bar charts like silverbox.  then you won't have to deal with a noticeable trend change for at least a few years.

Looking at real-time data helps to confirm the mechanism that produces long-term patterns. It's like sifting through LHC data and finding correlations with theories in cosmology. The thing is, we don't have a chance of directly operating consistently at such a rapid pace, but it's very easy to front run events that occur far more slowly. Patience is the greatest virtue, after all.
silverbox
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July 06, 2012, 11:09:00 PM
 #73

i have a solution...only analyze yearly bar charts like silverbox.  then you won't have to deal with a noticeable trend change for at least a few years.

Big Ben is saddling up his white horse right now..  Look at all that extra value the dollar has packed on the last year, time to trim the fat..
cypherdoc
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July 06, 2012, 11:34:48 PM
 #74


Looking at real-time data helps to confirm the mechanism that produces long-term patterns. It's like sifting through LHC data and finding correlations with theories in cosmology. The thing is, we don't have a chance of directly operating consistently at such a rapid pace, but it's very easy to front run events that occur far more slowly. Patience is the greatest virtue, after all.

Big Ben is saddling up his white horse right now..  Look at all that extra value the dollar has packed on the last year, time to trim the fat..

The Keynesian's speak!
notme
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July 07, 2012, 12:04:19 AM
 #75

i have a solution...only analyze yearly bar charts like silverbox.  then you won't have to deal with a noticeable trend change for at least a few years.

Big Ben is saddling up his white horse right now..  Look at all that extra value the dollar has packed on the last year, time to trim the fat..

The Keynesian's speak!

But what happens when they use all the dollars to buy future dollars?

https://www.bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf
While no idea is perfect, some ideas are useful.
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cypherdoc
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July 07, 2012, 12:15:12 AM
 #76

i have a solution...only analyze yearly bar charts like silverbox.  then you won't have to deal with a noticeable trend change for at least a few years.

Big Ben is saddling up his white horse right now..  Look at all that extra value the dollar has packed on the last year, time to trim the fat..

The Keynesian's speak!

But what happens when they use all the dollars to buy future dollars?

that's like saying i'm going to use the next QE to short gold.
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July 07, 2012, 12:20:58 AM
 #77

cypherdoc
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July 12, 2012, 04:13:04 PM
 #78

DXY 83.83

still whistlin'.
humanitee
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July 26, 2012, 08:02:03 PM
 #79

It's only a matter of time! I think it's inevitable at this point.

humanitee
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July 26, 2012, 08:43:39 PM
 #80

I hadn't taken that into account and I think it's a good point.

However, I still believe the FED will eventually decide on QE3 somewhere down the line. I think this recession is just getting started. What are your thoughts? I'd also be interested in reading any articles you would suggest.

Thanks!
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