New Diff thread Mar 8 to Mar 22.

[Korbman]

After a cursory glance over what's been taken so far, I'll take +4.26% to +4.50% (assuming that one's still open).

[philipma1957]

New list

TheAnalogKid   -1.76 to -2.00%

philipma1957  -1.01 to  -1.25%


bitcoin4eva      -0.51 to -0.75%
MegaFall         -0.26  to -0.50%
Kexkey            -0.01 to -0.25%
A4Tech                    0.00----------------bonus number with a 0.2 payout
Jamphone       +0.01 to +0.25%
davejh            +0.26 to +0.50%

simplisticStu    +0.76 to +1.00%
Quickseller       +1.01 to +1.25%
RedhatCat       +1.26 to +1.50%
notlist3d         +1.51 to +1.75%
valkir              +1.76 to +2.00% -------- corrected from 1.75 to 2.00
jmumich          +2.01 to +2.25%
freedomno1      +2.26 to + 2.50%
frankenmint       +2.51 to +2.75%
edonkey           +2.76 to +3.00%
armedmilitia    +3.01 to +3.25
tertius993        +3.26 to +3.50
SunnyIgor         +3.51 to +3.75%
tlhIlwI              +3.76 to +4.00%
HerbPean          +4.01 to +4.25%
Korbman           +4.26 to +4.50%

zebedee             +4.76 to +5.00%
buyandhold      +5.01 to +5.25%



ezeminer        +7.76 to +8.00%



Slots are filling in  


@ Xian01


your pick of +2.43  is taken by freedomno1  he has +2.26 to +2.50  we have  some  like these left:

4.26% to  +4.50%

4.51% to +4.75%

I think this is up to date.

[jmumich]

This series of threads is really great. Thanks to philipma1957 for starting the original discussion. And thanks to Suchmoon for adding the fun factor, and putting up the bounty, of course.

Has anyone thought of setting up a difficulty betting site? I'm thinking that people would pick ranges (you'd have to allow overlap) and actually post BTC to an escrow address. When the winning value is selected, the pot would be divided by the number of winners. Think of the excitement of watching the pot grow down to the wire...

I did a casual Google search, and it looks someone had a similar idea for a difficulty lottery. But when I tried to access it, the site was down.

If someone has already mentioned this idea, then I apologize. Also, if philipma1957 thinks this is off topic, feel free to shut down any resulting discussion.

I am against it  only because it takes some fun away.

This thread provides  a lot of talk about difficulty plenty of speculation.  Plus a chance at a free prize.

In a way it is like the most exotic  btc faucet ever done.

No pressure no money out of pocket. (except for suchmoon thanks for that).

If you follow it it is a place or spot for fun and some ideas and info.

Heck it even inspired the speadsheet on google.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qmF2knc5rSrJLESgQJYBz8mPzpKihmSzPPQUGH7pT8g/edit#gid=978410053  

jmumich did it This was nice work done for free.   Not sure if he will do it again and not quite sure of the slight difference he had for the adjustment.  Most likely a time zone issue

 But until he did this  we I have never seen a 'real' time chart. this was his post on it.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=964922.msg10618341#msg10618341

Thanks - I will keep doing it as long as I have the spare time, and add new data as well. I'm pretty confident that the difficulty estimate was off due to the fact that we switched to daylight saving time in the US on Sunday morning, and it was not accounting for the jump from 1:59 a.m. to 3:00 a.m. on Sunday morning. It just assumed that no blocks were solved the entire hour that ordinarily would have been there, and adjusted the estimate downward by about the same amount I ended up being off. I manually corrected for the hour, and it would have predicted 1.54% but for the daylight saving bug, much closer to the 1.59% actual increase.

Remember the estimate is pretty 'dumb' at this point, it only tells you what difficulty would be if all blocks were solved at the same pace as the blocks that were already solved so far this round. Thus, it becomes more accurate as the round moves on.

This link should always go to the current difficulty period: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qmF2knc5rSrJLESgQJYBz8mPzpKihmSzPPQUGH7pT8g

Please let me know if you have any thoughts or suggestions.

[A4Tech]

Will select 0 as usual

[HerbPean]

Will select 0 as usual

That would be sooooooooooo Epic as well as my 4-20

[philipma1957]

Will select 0 as usual

sounds good

[thedreamer]

I'll take -1.51 to -1.75

I can be hopeful. 

[Mikestang]

-0.76 to -1.00

[philipma1957]

New list

TheAnalogKid   -1.76 to -2.00%
thedreamer      -1.51 to -1.75%

philipma1957  -1.01 to  -1.25%
Mikestang        -0.76 to -1.00%
bitcoin4eva      -0.51 to -0.75%
MegaFall         -0.26  to -0.50%
Kexkey            -0.01 to -0.25%
A4Tech                    0.00----------------bonus number with a 0.2 payout
Jamphone       +0.01 to +0.25%
davejh            +0.26 to +0.50%

simplisticStu    +0.76 to +1.00%
Quickseller       +1.01 to +1.25%
RedhatCat       +1.26 to +1.50%
notlist3d         +1.51 to +1.75%
valkir              +1.76 to +2.00% -------- corrected from 1.75 to 2.00
jmumich          +2.01 to +2.25%
freedomno1      +2.26 to + 2.50%
frankenmint       +2.51 to +2.75%
edonkey           +2.76 to +3.00%
armedmilitia    +3.01 to +3.25
tertius993        +3.26 to +3.50
SunnyIgor         +3.51 to +3.75%
tlhIlwI              +3.76 to +4.00%
HerbPean          +4.01 to +4.25%
Korbman           +4.26 to +4.50%

zebedee             +4.76 to +5.00%
buyandhold      +5.01 to +5.25%



ezeminer        +7.76 to +8.00%



Slots are filling in  


@ Xian01


your pick of +2.43  is taken by freedomno1  he has +2.26 to +2.50  we have  some  like these left:

4.26% to  +4.50%

4.51% to +4.75%

I think this is up to date.

[alh]

I'll take -1.26 to -1.50%

[notlist3d]

Will be interesting time waiting on next gen gear.  New S5 price seems like it will help keep difficulty low.   

Also BTC price moving up slowly which is nice.  Maybe a few good months for miners.

[philipma1957]

Will be interesting time waiting on next gen gear.  New S5 price seems like it will help keep difficulty low.   

Also BTC price moving up slowly which is nice.  Maybe a few good months for miners.

would be nice to see it get over 300 a coin

[philipma1957]

at seriouscoin   my pick is -1.11%   but contest rules call for a range


so  the range is -1.01 to -1.25%


because  I love you man I will give you the btc on the entire range except for -1.11%

So if you see -1.01 to -1.10   or -1.12 to -1.25% 


I would win the 0.10 btc and


 I philipma1957 will give you MR. serious (fucking) coin AKA seriouscoin the prize money I would have taken.

 How is that for taking you seriously?

of course if it comes -1.11%  I will keep it and buy a nice bottle of cab and drink a toast to you.

and if it fall outside the -1.01 to -1.25% range this post will be but a passing moment  of reading for those that  have some fun on

 
bitcointalk.

[SimplisticStu]

 

[thedreamer]

at seriouscoin   my pick is -1.11%   but contest rules call for a range


so  the range is -1.01 to -1.25%


because  I love you man I will give you the btc on the entire range except for -1.11%

So if you see -1.01 to -1.10   or -1.12 to -1.25% 


I would win the 0.10 btc and


 I philipma1957 will give you MR. serious (fucking) coin AKA seriouscoin the prize money I would have taken.

 How is that for taking you seriously?

of course if it comes -1.11%  I will keep it and buy a nice bottle of cab and drink a toast to you.

and if it fall outside the -1.01 to -1.25% range this post will be but a passing moment  of reading for those that  have some fun on

 
bitcointalk.

If it hits exactly -1.11% I say we all chip in a little bit and send you a nice bottle of wine. 

[adaseb]

Any idea why the difficulty isn't rising considering BTC is about to break $300


Isn't that when cloud mining is back up and Antminer S1 get turned on?

[philipma1957]

Any idea why the difficulty isn't rising considering BTC is about to break $300


Isn't that when cloud mining is back up and Antminer S1 get turned on?

I see diff moving at the 325 to 350 level. Not so much the 300 level.   lets say there is 30ph or 40ph  in s-1 and s-2 along with some dragon miners .

Some of it is running at 5 cent power farms. Or free power spots.

so lets say there is  30ph at 10 cents and 1.1 watts

1th at 1100 watts 300 usd and 10 cents makes  48 cents a day
1th at 1100 watts 325 usd and 10 cents makes 75 cents a day
1th at 1100 watts 350 usd and 10 cents makes 1 dollar a day

So diff will not fly up much until the 350 level is passed.


the google link is back

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qmF2knc5rSrJLESgQJYBz8mPzpKihmSzPPQUGH7pT8g/edit#gid=204080645

 it reads -3.74%    now give me  a -3 jump with coins at 310 usd on march 22nd.

This would be great.

[mavericklm]

Korbman           +4.26 to +4.50%

zebedee             +4.76 to +5.00%

place me here in between!
thx!

LE: we go negative atm!!! -0.11%

[philipma1957]

New list

TheAnalogKid   -1.76 to -2.00%
thedreamer      -1.51 to -1.75%

philipma1957  -1.01 to  -1.25%
Mikestang        -0.76 to -1.00%
bitcoin4eva      -0.51 to -0.75%
MegaFall         -0.26  to -0.50%
Kexkey            -0.01 to -0.25%
A4Tech                    0.00----------------bonus number with a 0.2 payout
Jamphone       +0.01 to +0.25%
davejh            +0.26 to +0.50%

simplisticStu    +0.76 to +1.00%
Quickseller       +1.01 to +1.25%
RedhatCat       +1.26 to +1.50%
notlist3d         +1.51 to +1.75%
valkir              +1.76 to +2.00% -------- corrected from 1.75 to 2.00
jmumich          +2.01 to +2.25%
freedomno1      +2.26 to + 2.50%
frankenmint       +2.51 to +2.75%
edonkey           +2.76 to +3.00%
armedmilitia    +3.01 to +3.25
tertius993        +3.26 to +3.50
SunnyIgor         +3.51 to +3.75%
tlhIlwI              +3.76 to +4.00%
HerbPean          +4.01 to +4.25%
Korbman           +4.26 to +4.50%
mavericklm        +4.51 to +4.75%
zebedee             +4.76 to +5.00%
buyandhold      +5.01 to +5.25%



ezeminer        +7.76 to +8.00%



Slots are filling in  


@ Xian01


your pick of +2.43  is taken by freedomno1  he has +2.26 to +2.50  we have  some  like these left:

4.26% to  +4.50%

4.51% to +4.75%


+0.50 to  +0.76

5.26 to 7.75  I think that is 6 different ranges.

I think this is up to date.

[philipma1957]

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty  has (+0.30%)



Bitcoin Difficulty:   47,427,554,951
Estimated Next Difficulty:   47,571,120,448 (+0.30%)

Adjust time:   After 1702 Blocks, About 11.9 days------------------1702 blocks to go

Hashrate(?):   350,301,605 GH/s

Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.1 minutes
3 blocks: 30.2 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated:   18:25 (3.8 minutes ago)

jmumich has his  spreadsheet   google real time  it is  (+1.23%)



https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qmF2knc5rSrJLESgQJYBz8mPzpKihmSzPPQUGH7pT8g/edit#gid=204080645



@ Xian01   pick a number  your pick was taken!!


Price is hovering very close to but not over 300 usd.  If we breakout I wonder if a mad rush up will happen.

 Just blow past 400 and up to 425-450.

Time will tell.  I have been clocking the s-5 sales in 36 hours about 300 pieces sold  around 350th see link.



 this is btc only not cc or bank transfer

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=902305.msg10730677#msg10730677