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101  Economy / Speculation / Re: holy shit, china is going parabolic.. on: May 04, 2013, 10:20:39 PM
I'm surprised that the tone is very positive in this report, since CCTV is a government owned media, this indicate that some higher level  government officials admitted their support. Typically chinese people only listen to what government agency says, so this is a green light for bitcoin in china actually

Maybe these corrupt officials finally find a way to move their bribe money out of china  Wink

You sure that they only listen to what government agency says? I'm pretty certain that the average Chinese national doesn't believe or take value from what their government says - trust in their government is probably at an all time low. Even if the government disapprove of Bitcoins, people there will still take interest in it, much like anything else.

That is the mindset of people in US, not in china. I lived in China for some years and I know if you disagree with the government, you risk of being classified as "politic criminals" and put into prison, there are several major constitutions that classify anti-communist party activities to be criminal activities

Guess what? Almost EVERYONE disagree with the government. Even those within the government who are corrupt and are profiting big time don't agree with all that much with their party.

It's just a matter of agreeing enough and not disagreeing too much when you're out in public or when you're dealing with certain people with ties with officials.

The Wild Wild West nature of Bitcoin fits perfectly with China (country of cowboys and bandits).
102  Economy / Speculation / Re: holy shit, china is going parabolic.. on: May 04, 2013, 10:16:45 PM
I'm surprised that the tone is very positive in this report, since CCTV is a government owned media, this indicate that some higher level  government officials admitted their support. Typically chinese people only listen to what government agency says, so this is a green light for bitcoin in china actually

Maybe these corrupt officials finally find a way to move their bribe money out of china  Wink

You sure that they only listen to what government agency says? I'm pretty certain that the average Chinese national doesn't believe or take value from what their government says - trust in their government is probably at an all time low. Even if the government disapprove of Bitcoins, people there will still take interest in it, much like anything else.

That is the mindset of people in US, not in china. I lived in China for some years and I know if you disagree with the government, you risk of being classified as "politic criminals" and put into prison, there are several major constitutions that classify anti-communist party activities to be criminal activities
Well but this is a dictactorship related thing. noedaRDH was saying that the average chinese probably doesn't like the government. Sure, they will obey it because, as you said, otherwise you will get punished.

It's not so much about obeying. I mean, that guy said there's many organizations set up to look for political opponents and put them in prison. But do you realize that with the amount of things going on China, with a population of that size, it's almost impossible for those organizations to enforce anything? How are you going to stop your average joe who don't give a shit about what the gov thinks about Bitcoins, from buying a few? They can't even stop your average internet savvy 20 and 30 something person from breaking through their firewall.

So I don't think it's a matter of "obeying". It'd be more accurate to say, people in public will pretend it's all on the level and obey the laws. But in private (when they're sitting at home with a laptop), it's a different story. However, at this point in time, even if you went out on the street and became very vocal in your discussion of Bitcoins, I doubt anyone will raise and eyebrow, much less arrest you, for something that's so trivial.
103  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: [Announcement] Block Erupter USB on: May 04, 2013, 08:30:25 PM
2BTC for 300MH is still too much, even for the average geek who are not expected to be too deep into mining... 2BTC is 200 bucks for a tiny 300mh unit.

If it was 30 or 40 bucks for 300MH, then that would make more sense, for the casual user and those who want to really get into mining. I don't expect some random kid with a macbookpro to drop 200-300bucks for something like this.
104  Economy / Speculation / Re: holy shit, china is going parabolic.. on: May 04, 2013, 08:17:18 PM
I'm surprised that the tone is very positive in this report, since CCTV is a government owned media, this indicate that some higher level  government officials admitted their support. Typically chinese people only listen to what government agency says, so this is a green light for bitcoin in china actually

Maybe these corrupt officials finally find a way to move their bribe money out of china  Wink

You sure that they only listen to what government agency says? I'm pretty certain that the average Chinese national doesn't believe or take value from what their government says - trust in their government is probably at an all time low. Even if the government disapprove of Bitcoins, people there will still take interest in it, much like anything else.
105  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: [Announcement] Block Erupter USB on: May 04, 2013, 07:14:17 PM
I don't have enough USB ports to power 300 of these at once.
106  Bitcoin / Press / Re: 2013-05-03 Bitcoin on China Central Television on: May 04, 2013, 06:48:53 PM
Is there a video in that link? All I see is text.
107  Economy / Speculation / Re: holy shit, china is going parabolic.. on: May 04, 2013, 06:34:45 PM
China won't crack down on this thing, that would just make it more attractive to the average user since they don't give a rat's ass about what their gov approves or disapproves of.
108  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Technical Support / Re: Old offline wallet.dat files on: May 04, 2013, 06:31:03 PM
I've created a few offline wallet.dat files back in summer of 2011. I've been adding coins to them (through pools) since then but I've never used them online with any bitcoin clients.

Am I safe? Am I able to access the coins later on for use? Or should I be regularly resyncing the wallets, even if I'm not spending the coins?

The Bitcoin client back then didn't have passphrase encryption, so that means you want to be very careful with that wallet.dat.

Some might suggest using an offline computer and bringing over a more recent Bitcoin-Qt client to do the passphrase encryption before taking that wallet.dat over to another, connected computer.   

Or to use Armory on the offline computer which provides a secure method for spending.

Yeah I'll encrypt the wallet on an old laptop prior to bringing the files onto a computer with live internet access.
109  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Technical Support / Re: Old offline wallet.dat files on: May 04, 2013, 06:30:24 PM
I wouldn't worry about it, re-syncing the wallets won't do anything but open you up to possible theft.

All syncing does is reaffirm that your wallet balance (as your client sees it) is the same as its balance as the block chain sees it.

So if you've been sending them to the right address, they'll be there.

Alright thanks. I guess I won't need to touch those wallets, ever, until I want to send the coins away.
110  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Im fairly confident the NSA (US Gov) Can 51% Any Coin At Any Time on: May 04, 2013, 06:34:38 AM
Couldn't some big gov entity just swallow up a bunch of ASIC wafers and get 51% that way? If a government really wants to kill Bitcoins, if the banks wants to kill Bitcoins, it shouldn't be too hard to get that type of computing power.
111  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Technical Support / Old offline wallet.dat files on: May 03, 2013, 08:04:07 PM
I've created a few offline wallet.dat files back in summer of 2011. I've been adding coins to them (through pools) since then but I've never used them online with any bitcoin clients.

Am I safe? Am I able to access the coins later on for use? Or should I be regularly resyncing the wallets, even if I'm not spending the coins?
112  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: May 15th on: May 03, 2013, 07:59:59 PM
Anyone?
113  Other / Beginners & Help / May 15th on: May 03, 2013, 07:24:12 PM
It says around these parts that May 15th is the last day possible to upgrade the BTC QT client.

I have a few offline wallets that I made back in 2011. Do I need to do anything? Should I sync them with the new client? Or can I just leave them as is, since I'm not going to be spending those coins?
114  Bitcoin / Press / Re: 2013-05-02 - Gawker - MtGox/CoinLab Devolves Into $75 Million Lawsuit on: May 03, 2013, 04:42:54 PM
This means nothing in the long term but is an excellent buying oportunity right now.

Quite honestly, it was unclear from the beginning why Coinlab even needed a deal with Mt. Gox when a huge portion of the Mt. Gox base would gladly jump ship to a venture-backed US-based exchange if the opportunity presented itself.

Hopefully Coinlab will spend their money on building what everyone wants instead of wasting it on a protracted legal battle with a foreign entity where the possibility of collecting damages is minimal at best.

Coinlab needs more coders, and fewer lawyers!

Coinlab likely got Gox to sign a contract on purpose, one which Gox wasn't prepred for, so Coinlab could sue them in the end.
115  Bitcoin / Press / Re: 2013-05-02 CNN Money: How porn links and Ben Bernanke snuck into Bitcoin's code on: May 03, 2013, 02:55:08 AM
I don't see it posted yet...

How porn links and Ben Bernanke snuck into Bitcoin's code
Quote
Here's a little-known quirk of cyber currency Bitcoin: There are coded messages hidden in the ledger that track bitcoin transactions. Most are innocuous, but this week, the discovery of a malicious transmission filled with porn links set the Bitcoin community abuzz.

http://money.cnn.com/2013/05/02/technology/security/bitcoin-porn/

Only be a matter of time before TPTB injects the ledger with terrorist plots and frame Bitcoins as a mains to communicate and coordinate terrorism.
116  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Trace Mayers - No Taxes/No Reporting???? on: May 03, 2013, 02:51:43 AM
What I would like to know is, if so and so country were to tax your Bitcoins, then how would they determine how much to tax? If I were to exchange one Bitcoin right now for some fiat, what's the tax on that exchange in dollar value? I'm asking because the price changes rapidly every few hours.
117  Economy / Speculation / Re: Fundamental Analysis Speculation on: May 02, 2013, 11:32:21 PM
ElectricMucus - what is your opinion on BTC and it's price in general. I'm asking because you're the most efervescent here and I really want to know.

It changed very much over the time.
Initially I was your run-of the mill bull, hoping that bitcoin will change the world. Then after witnessing the whole drama surrounding Bruce Wagner, the advent of Bitcoinica I became very bearish. That attitude hasn't changed since. Still I kind of anticipated this bubble, although I didn't really capitalize as much on it ("only" 10x before the pop, which I have increased some since). You guessed it I think we are still in Bubble territory.
I became largely annoyed by the thing we call the cargo cult: Guys playing financial experts, playing monopoly man and chanting the gospel of Bitcoin to be the biggest best thing ever.

I don't really believe in things like Bitpay, other payment processing, Bitcoin ATMs, Bitcoin "Supernodes" or Bitcoin stock exchanges. I think Bitcoin is an incredible useful tool as a financing model for non-profit websites, small webhosts, oh and of course Silk Road and the rest of the online black market. I also like Satoshi Dice and Seals with Clubs, great. Bitcoin has already found it's niche. It can be incredibly successful in it, possibly it can even sustain prices like we have seen this month in a few years.
But the gold-rush mentality has to stop. Bitcoin currently doesn't work as a currency not because it has insufficient market cap but because the crazy price swings make it unsuited to use it as such unless absolutely necessary.

That is as I would like Bitcoin to be, idealistically. For me personally the more dumb money there is in it the better. The volatility is incredibly predictable which is great for my way of trading, I kind of expect it to last as long as the current paradigm of the hype way of doing things holds.

So what happened with Bruce and his whole Bitcoin show? I heard he scammed people or something?
118  Economy / Speculation / Re: The End Is Near on: May 02, 2013, 11:22:37 PM
Quote

And consider these facts:

-Bitcoin is open-source CURRENCY. It is not a PRODUCT being pushed and marketed by powerful elites (with their endless supply of brainwashing guru's) with really really deep pockets.
Right.  It doesn't have the force of powerful elites/brainwashing gurus/a country's economy/regulatory bodies/military/etc., etc. backing it up.  Those happen to be the very things that lend value to currency, stabilize that value & inspire confidence.  Bitcoin has ...  Huh
Quote
-No one has tried introduce a disruptive tech like Bitcoins before, a tech that fights centralized banking
Not sure what you mean by "disruptive tech," a currency which is introduced into an established economy *on top of* existent currency to *dilute & devalue it*?  I'm not sure how that's fundamentally different from printing & pumping more $ bills into the economy -- you haven't introduced anything else of value into the system, have you?
Quote
-It's a CURRENCY not backed by a centralized power <- remember this, it is not some smartphone or some piece of operating system, which are just products on top of existing products that the masses are ready to consume... the whole philosophical idea behind Bitcoins is totally foreign to the average citizen who don't understand how their papers are created
Well, see above, +
There are "philosophical ideas" that are too intricate & sublime for the average Joe to understand quickly.  And some "philosophical ideas" are simply ... bad, ill-formed drivel.  Clumsy mental constructs that fail the test of reality. "Average citizen" doesn't get them 'coz he's smart.
Quote
Those facts alone makes life VERY difficult for Bitcoins. So to have Bitcoins where it is today (in a relatively short lifetime of 4 years) I would say Bitcoins is ALREADY a smashing success.
Bitcoin *could* be going through growing pains, or death throes--everything you said seems to point to the latter.  Yeah, the success of Bitcoin up 'till now is nothing short of *amazing*.  OTOH, a horse that can count up to ten is an amazing horse, not an amazing mathematician. (somebody clever (not i) came up with the horse bit)

That said, i'm a noob, and could be dead-wrong. If nothing else, Bitcoin's wikid' interesting.  

[edit] Whoops.  reply to https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=193445.msg2008578#msg2008578

See, the thing is, Bitcoins are not backed by a military or force; there's no one on the magnitude of Apple or IBM or whoever else forcing this thing onto people. You'll hear very little about Bitcoins outside of maybe a random blip on a news channel or certain circles of the internet. So if Bitcoin continues to succeed, it will be because average people see the advantage of using it, not because someone forces them (or as you said, brainwashes them) to use it. Now if people are going to use it out of their own accord, and enough people follow suit, then you can see how that would inspire confidence, especially for those who want to try something new and something that's not backed by violence.

It is indeed a disruptive tech. How much would exchange students or domestic workers or others who need money transfers on a regular basis stand to benefit if Bitcoins become popular with that crowd? They can dodge fees from Western Union or wire transfers, hurting WU and other companies involved in the money transfer business. What about Ebay? What if someone set up something like Ebay but instead uses exclusively Bitcoins or other alt currencies? They just have to undercut Ebay/Paypal a little and ensure that they are responsible enough to take on the "escrow"-like role for a small fee.

I don't see how the philosophical ideas of Bitcoins is drivel... perhaps you don't think of them as important or worthy of thought, that doesn't mean that others will follow in your path. Those who do think about those ideas can gamble and potentially gain something in return. The "average joe" doesn't know how their bank operates but that doesn't stop them from putting some money in the bank. Eventually Bitcoins will expand far enough so that even the average person can gain from being in the system and lose out from not.

I can hardly see a situation where Bitcoins will "die" in a fashion where it cannot recover and once again excel. We've seen cases where it looked like Bitcoins was doomed in the past, but after some time, it is back with more vitality than ever.

EDIT: I'm not saying that Bitcoins will succeed; it might succeed but that day might not be as close as some of us like to think. But the point is that, thus far, Bitcoins has come a long way. And I think we should take the time to reflect on that and appreciate its success.
119  Economy / Speculation / Re: The End Is Near on: May 02, 2013, 11:09:15 PM
Can someone help me with this thought?

I see the altcoins as devaluing and having the potential to replace BTC. So, BTC is inherently threatened.

Since BTC/LTC/FTC are so similar,  doesn't it have the effect of "printing money" on the market, since all of them are the same and can be used for the same purpose? Why is BTC any better than any Altcoin or a combination of all of them? It seems like we went from 17 million coins, plus 4x that, plus 4x that 2nd number again!

So, why would BTC be worth more LONG TERM? It's because of USABILITY - if you can't use it, you won't buy it - and the price will drop! Whatever coin is being used, will have value - Unless its replaced by competition! I could see this happening repeatedly over the coming years - if another coin is able to out-compete BTC, inevitably something better will come along! I don't see BTC being particularly more USABLE than LTC for much at this point, so wheres the value? In its "potential"- but doesn't that  belong to all cryptocurrencies?

Unless BTC is somehow signed into law or permanently becomes the ONLY option mid/long term, it's value will always be in danger of other cyrptocurrencies taking its place, IMO.



It's called the network effect. There are a dozen Facebook clones out there but that doesn't mean they are used; people head towards the network with the largest amount of traffic and users. Apply that to BTC's - no point to hold any alt. coins if the alternate networks have very few users.
120  Economy / Speculation / Re: The End Is Near on: May 02, 2013, 07:54:26 PM
I'm sure someone said else said something similar to the OP back in the 2011 crash. Heck, someone might have even said the same thing last Fall without any huge price corrections.

I expect a lot of new services and firms using BTC's to emerge in the next 6 to 12 months. I don't think all those VC's you heard about in the past month will suddenly get weak in the knees because of these price swings. Volatility and BTC's go hand in hand in this really early phase when the world doesn't know what the true value of a Bitcoin is. Each time we get large price movements, useful people will take notice. Some of those useful people move into the system and help it grow. Those who are unfit for Bitcoins will leave. In the end, Bitcoins loses nothing and gains everything.

And consider these facts:

-Bitcoin is open-source CURRENCY. It is not a PRODUCT being pushed and marketed by powerful elites (with their endless supply of brainwashing guru's) with really really deep pockets.
-No one has tried introduce a disruptive tech like Bitcoins before, a tech that fights centralized banking
-It's a CURRENCY not backed by a centralized power <- remember this, it is not some smartphone or some piece of operating system, which are just products on top of existing products that the masses are ready to consume... the whole philosophical idea behind Bitcoins is totally foreign to the average citizen who don't understand how their papers are created

Those facts alone makes life VERY difficult for Bitcoins. So to have Bitcoins where it is today (in a relatively short lifetime of 4 years) I would say Bitcoins is ALREADY a smashing success.

Sure Bitcoins is not perfect, but what is? It's still totally unknown to 99.9% of the population. It is an infant fighting ALMOST insurmountable odds. So there's much growth to be had, and most likely, much growth WILL occur.
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