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121  Economy / Speculation / Re: How short-term market speculations can help small bitcoin holders on: May 20, 2024, 06:38:25 PM
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I think he masters Bitcoin much better than most beginners because from the information you gave, he has quite mastered it. If he can repeat this pattern, I'm sure he will become a reliable investor, as long as he doesn't panic when the market experiences a correction and he knows how to accumulate properly using slightly smaller funds. Beginner investors do not have much experience and usually they will only utilize long-term patterns for investment strategies.
I'm not sure if he could repeat the same pattern after he exited and made his profit. But I can confirm that his capital budget had become $1k which would have allowed him to earn more bitcoin had he re-bought at the same low price.

Swing trading can be used by traders to multiply their capital, which will most likely be even greater if the trader succeeds in doing it very wisely. I have seen so many traders start with small capital and turn it into large capital over a period of time, but this is never easy because you have to be able to analyze the market and take advantage of its volatility. Such a trading strategy is good, but I think the trader must be active enough in monitoring price movements or current market conditions to be able to get opportunities.
122  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2023/24 Season on: May 20, 2024, 06:27:33 PM
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Atalanta and Leverkusen have a similar seasonal consistency, they kept in position to fight for top four finish. Xabi Alonso has changed Leverkusen to be a powerhouse in Bundesliga and Europa League. This season, Leverkusen is not only different, but also having a remarkable season that is almost impossible to compete with.

Despite anything can happen in football, I don't think Head to Head history is accurate to to determine the chances of who deserves to be the favorite while Leverkusen is having a freak season. However, the latest performance is more rational to analyze the chance. Atalanta is having their peak form this season with a long winning streak that leads them to have big chance to finish top four, but they fail to win Copa Italia by lost to Juventus. Leverkusen is in a high morale to gain their biggest achievement in the history of the club, this kind of spirit is scary to play against.
Of course, recent team performance is the most realistic thing to use as a benchmark in determining both teams' title chances, but ignoring H2H completely is also unjustified. I have seen many teams play very badly in a season but they have a good performance when they face an opponent they often beat in their head-to-head record. It seems simple, but there are many teams who always want to maintain their H2H record and this will also motivate Atalanta to do better.

Even though I am aware that Leverkusen is the favorite in the final, because Atalanta has a pretty good record and performance, both teams have their own chances of winning. Many users are optimistic about Leverkusen, but in football this kind of optimism may not always correspond to what is expected as the final result of a match.
123  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: May 20, 2024, 06:18:27 PM
There are still 10+ days before the 2023/24 UCL Final is held, Dortmund has a longer rest time than Madrid because Bundesliga has finished. Meanwhile, Madrid still has a schedule against Real Betis on May 26. Madrid has a better chance of winning than Dortmund, that is what most people believe. If you look at the probabilities released by Google, Madrid has a 60% chance, not 50% anymore and made them as favorites to win the trophy.



This is makes sense and I agree with this probability, on paper Madrid has superior players. Will there be any surprises from Dortmund? I'm not sure. but nothing is impossible
Concerns about Real Madrid's defeat in the Champions League final will certainly exist among fans and anyone who actually makes analysis, but these people seem so optimistic about Real Madrid's victory that it seems like they are underestimating Dortmund and the opportunity.

I certainly agree that on paper Dortmund and Real Madrid are very different, especially regarding the depth of the squad and the experience of each of the two coaches in the Champions League and the final. Ancelotti is better in the upcoming clash than Edin Terzić, but one of the two coaches will surely be lucky in the final regardless of the experience and depth of his squad.
124  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2023/24 Season on: May 19, 2024, 09:14:15 PM
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We can't yet guess who will be the winner and how the final match will go, whether it will only take 90 minutes of normal time or have to enter a 2X15 minute extra time round, maybe it will have to continue to a penalty shootout. But one thing is certain, Leverkusen and Atalanta will beat each other for a trophy. Of course Leverkusen will be the most favored team to win the trophy for one strong reason, they have not been defeated so far since the season started.

Atalanta could be the first team to give Leverkusen their first defeat or vice versa, Leverkusen managed to win their second trophy this season as well as opening up the opportunity to win the Treble winner. Leverkusen hard work so far has made them succeed in breaking records that have never been achieved before, now they will try to break another record to complete the success achieved this season.
Atalanta and Leverkusen have met in the European League in the last few seasons. Atalanta won the match 4-2 on aggregate both at home and away. Leverkusen's season is certainly different, but the previous H2H matches can be taken into consideration to determine the chances of who deserves to be the favorite.

Based on the team's recent performance, Leverkusen is very much the favorite. Their unbeaten record is one source of encouragement for Xabi Alonso's squad to finish the season with the Europa League title, but of course Atalanta has the same ambition, especially having had experience facing the same team in the 2022 season. Even though Leverkusen are favorites, Atalanta cannot be underestimated in this season's final.
125  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: May 19, 2024, 09:07:52 PM
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It doesn't matter if there will be more Real Madrid or Dortmund supporters in the stands because it is clear, basically Real Madrid has a very good winning mentality. Therefore, even though for example there will be more Dortmund supporters in the stands but still, Real Madrid will still be able to play well. However, that doesn't mean I underestimate Dortmund,  but in reality Real Madrid has better quality. Therefore, of course it is not surprising that in reality Real Madrid is also the favorite team to win, but of course Dortmund will also do their best, and so any team it will still not be easy to win in a final match like this.
Head-to-head statistics between Dortmund vs Real Madrid are as follows, especially in the Champions League.

  • In the last 14 meetings between Dortmund and Real Madrid, Dortmund was only able to win 3 matches. Real Madrid won 6 matches, the rest were draws in 5 match.

Based on these H2H statistics, I dare to say that Real Madrid is the team that will win the final match this season. But the match is certainly expected to be very tight because Dortmund's performance this season has been very good. Dortmund are definitely desperate to win the Champions League title this season, but their low odds don't make many people put much faith in them.
126  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: May 19, 2024, 08:55:30 PM
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When I checked the final result of Villarreal vs Real Madrid, I was surprised that the match ended in a 4-4 draw because Real Madrid was leading Villarreal by 1-4 at halftime. I will say this happened because Real Madrid has already won the La Liga title this season, and they are just playing for fun. Secondly, the reason why Sørloth was able to score four goals against Real Madrid is because most of Real Madrid's first eleven didn't feature in this match.
Villarreal made an extraordinary comeback at home after trailing 1-4 in the first half. The most impressive thing about this match is, Sørloth scored 3 goals in a very short time between minutes 48 to 56, another goal was scored in the first half.

I don't think Real Madrid didn't take this game seriously, but their defense was very poor especially in the second half. Real Madrid really looked good in the first half, but Villarreal changed everything in the second half and managed to prevent defeat. But fortunately, Real Madrid did not suffer a defeat because otherwise it would have been their second defeat this season in La Liga.
127  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: May 19, 2024, 08:41:19 PM
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Honestly Manchester City managed to win the league,  if Arsenal had not lose one of their games to Aston Villa they would have won the title this season.  Manchester City winning the league was not easy compare to last season. In last season I think Manchester City won the league with several points more than arsenal but in this season Manchester City was just trying to get some point to be ahead of Arsenal.  If Manchester City had made any slight mistake in their games would have been opportunity for arsenal but I think Manchester are very lucky this season again.

Arsenal have done well in their performance this season, with what they have achieved this season they have good chances of winning the league soon. I think with all this games Arteta is having mich experience on how to be able to win titles. Next season is another opportunity for arsenal to go for the title again.  I really appreciate the effort,  performance of Arsenal,  even if they were not able to win the title, I'm okay with their performance. If Arsenal can still maintain a performance like this winning titles won't be a problem for them. Arsenal will continue the race for the title next season and they will surely get it.
Last season Arsenal and Manchester City were 5 points apart in the title race, but this season the points gap between Arsenal and Manchester City is only 2 points. The number of points collected by Arsenal and Manchester City this season is slightly more, which means that both teams have both improved in performance. Arsenal failed to win in important matches towards the end of the season, meanwhile Manchester City appeared very consistent with a total of 8 consecutive wins towards the end of the season.

Arsenal's defeat to Aston Villa really affected Arsenal this season. Manchester City realized that well and took advantage of their opportunities perfectly. Manchester City has a better winning mentality as defending champion than Arsenal, but there will come a time when Manchester City will not be able to maintain it in the coming seasons.
128  Economy / Speculation / Re: BTC 2030 Assumptions on: May 18, 2024, 08:59:41 PM
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People would really be starting to accumulate when its pumping but on the time that it would really be making out some correction then they would really be that skeptical or would really be in hindrance on doing such action on which it is really just that too funny to think on why they are really that doing such thing. Instead they do only buy when its pumping. lol

Predicting on what would be the price in year 2030 is something that would really be that so hard and just like been said by others that even predicting on what would be the price on tomorrow
would already be that hard. How much more into those upcoming years to come? There's so much thing that could happen along the way on which it would really be that so hard
to tell on what would happen. This is why actions would really be that differentiating to each other.
You can use several indicators to carry out analysis and determine where the price of bitcoin is heading for different TFs. It's true, it's difficult to predict prices especially since bitcoin is completely uncontrolled. Prices can move in any direction and can even reverse direction quickly for one reason or another.

If you are a holder, then keep holding. Bitcoin has never promised big returns to its investors, but growing investor interest and adoption over time will create higher demand which in turn makes the price more expensive. Set higher targets and keep your psychology in check with market dynamics, I think there will be a right time to get those returns in the long term.
129  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: May 18, 2024, 08:49:38 PM
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Girona is one of the most exciting team in this season while now peoples are looking good change with their arrival, and we are having different sides from the usual four which are fighting for the top spots, but now it's time for them to give their best as well which will increase competition the top of the La Liga which is much needed.

In the first half of this season, things were completely different while Girona were fighting hard for the top spot and having good challenge for the Real Madrid but in second half they were not able to handle pressure and ended to fight for the second spot against Barcelona which is now ended at the second spot and things are completely under their control for this spot but now in next season we will have challenge for them while they will be fought into Champions League and then keeping their momentum into La Liga could be not easy for them.
I can't argue about what Girona have achieved so far, I mean they have been very successful in La Liga this season. It was difficult to achieve the same in the past, but Girona proved this season that they can. Girona is a surprising La Liga team, of course because of the team's performance and its mainstay players throughout the season. Artem Dovbyk, who plays as a center forward, so far leads the top scorers with 20 goals scored, this is the player's best achievement in La Liga.

Next season, Girona may not be as strong as this season, especially if some of their best players move and are interested in playing for other teams. Girona must bring in several new players to strengthen their defense, provide balance and also make the team more productive. It wasn't easy, of course, but they must have planned for it.
130  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: May 18, 2024, 08:24:26 PM
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Yes they've had quite a good season so far no doubts, However it's not about Arsenal having a good performance this season, that's not the expectation by most people, fans and supporters, Because it is high time Arsenal should lift the premier league trophy and that's the end goal , They had the same opportunity to lead to the end just as Manchester City has but they still spare that opportunity just like what they did in the very past season ,and repeating such thing this season is where it's really getting someone annoying,  I'm not commending them in any way except if they lift this trophy tomorrow, else all the efforts this season to me will be a waste of energy.
Arsenal still hasn't changed, I don't mean about the team's performance, but about the winning mentality. Every time many people expect Arsenal to lead the standings and win the title at the end of the season, they fail to live up to those expectations. All fans are very disappointed with Arsenal's final achievements, but they still have hopes of improving it in each future season.

Manchester City has a better mentality than Arsenal in fighting for the title every season, even this season Manchester City, which seems doubtful about securing the 4th title, is impressive and has a great chance of securing it. Arsenal, which is left with a 2 point gap behind Manchester City, can only hope that Manchester City loses in the final match, while Arsenal also has to win against Everton. It's a tough scenario for Arsenal, but it's still possible to hold out hope before the final game ends.
131  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2023/24 Season on: May 18, 2024, 08:10:16 PM
Leverkusen are still crushing every obstacle that gets ahead of them.  Smiley Bochum was the last victim and Augsburg is about to be the next one. The winning streak has reached 50 matches.

They are coming for the Europa League trophy as well for sure.  Wink  On the other hand, Atalanta have just lost the opportunity to achieve a Coppa Italia trophy by losing to Juventus. They might be a little down in morale due to that result. They have been performing really differently in the Europa League though. However I don't believe they can finish Leverkusen's streak. Is there anyone who has a counter argument to this?
When you come to the final match, you should already know what you have to do. Including Atalanta, they could hurt Leverkusen and thwart their efforts to win the Europa League title even though Leverkusen has been named the unbeatable team in the Bundesliga and Europa League so far.

Both teams have 11 players on the field, they have 45x2 to complete the mission. Of course you can't completely underestimate Atalanta even though Leverkusen's chances are higher, Atalanta's win wouldn't be too surprising even if it was considered luck. Nothing is impossible in a match, even in the final minutes everything can change as Leverkusen maintains its unbeaten record in several difficult matches.
132  Economy / Economics / Re: Invest on your dependants if you too must grow further on: May 17, 2024, 09:57:06 PM
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It is indeed a smart move to invest on people who rely on you. A man who is wise should always understand this that everyone that comes around you or benefits from you should one way or the other contributing something important into your life. It shouldn't be a criteria but you can make them be useful to you without them noticing. If we do not want to invest in them we can possibly give them a task to do which might have take more time from us if we do them. Time is money and the more time we have the more money we can make.

One simple step to do this is to teach them how to make some money or set up a business that they would be managing for you so that they are not only dependent on you but they are working for you and your paying them which is fair enough.
Becoming a financier for other people's businesses with a profit sharing system is basically quite popular with people. I've considered this before, but definitely have to be very careful when making a decision. I once wanted to invest my money in a jewelry shop with profit sharing at the end of the year, but that never happened after I analyzed the possibilities and risks involved.

Instead of being an investor with profit sharing, I tend to maximize my money by investing in businesses and assets in my own name. I focus on investing in bitcoin and several other crypto assets, this gives me more returns than being an investor in other people's businesses. But of course it's good if we have both at the same time, that means you will have more sources of income.
133  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: May 17, 2024, 09:49:40 PM
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Unbelievable with Barcelona management a lot of drama, recently Xavi Hernandez will leave his position at the end this season but its withdrew after reach agreement and management give him good project for the future but another surprised updated when Barcelona president announced sacked Xavi from manager position. I think big mistake and too much drama made by Barcelona in this season, first sacked Xavi Hernandez and then withdrew it but finally left two matches Xavi Hernandez must out as manager position for next season.

Still not any official confirmation reason why management sack Xavi Hernandez from his position after reaching agreement deal last several week ago keep extend with Barcelona, I think too much internal problem make him not comfortable extended for staying with Barcelona until next season, now difficult to find who replacement for filling Barcelona manager?
It is completely inconceivable that Barcelona would fire Xavi after he decided to stay, but perhaps this is still just a rumor that cannot be completely confirmed. Of course it would not be a surprise if Barcelona were looking for a replacement coach for Xavi if they no longer wanted to keep him. The rift in the relationship between coach and management may be the cause of all the drama, but there must be another reason why this rumor is being talked about intensively.

Personally I don't expect Xavi to leave Barcelona after he has succeeded in helping Barcelona grow. Barcelona has shown changes and improvements during Xavi's time in charge, but expecting him to perform perfectly is impossible. Barcelona has financial problems, which means the management can't really hope that Xavi can win the title every season.
134  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2023/24 Season on: May 17, 2024, 09:19:51 PM
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That is just my belief because even if Atalanta win Liverpool and are able to knock them out of the league, I know Bayer leverkusen will not be easy for them because, even in performance, Liverpool and Bayer leverkusen are not on the same page this season, which is why I don’t think Atalanta will make it.
 
So all I will think for them will be that they should try their possible best to play in the final, but there are still some things that I do put into consideration because the game might end in a draw, and if that happens, I will still give my win to Bayer Leverkusen because I think their goalkeeper is better than that of Atalanta. That is why I still don’t think they will be able to go with the trophy, that is why I have more hope in Bayer Leverkusen.
In reality, everyone would probably pick Leverkusen to win the Europa League title over Atalanta. Leverkusen is increasingly frightening in Europe considering their consistency in maintaining their unbeaten record, so Atalanta will already be under pressure before the match even starts.

The atmosphere of the final match which will be held at the Aviva Stadium will be very tight. I expect a great final for both teams, but it is possible that the winner will be determined via penalty shootout. Atalanta is considered a strong team in defense, but overall Atalanta's statistics are no better than Leverkusen. Had there been a vote, I would have had Leverkusen to win.
135  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: When did you realize you need to be a responsible gambler so you can continue ? on: May 17, 2024, 08:59:59 PM
I was once a gambling addict who almost every day never missed playing slots. I lost a lot of money but I think it is a consequence that I have to accept responsibly. There were times when I blamed myself for my gambling addiction which made me fail to save more money every month, but in the end my gambling intensity decreased as time went by although sometimes I could still entertain myself with some games.

I don't really gamble for money, but money is one of the goals of most gamblers. Responsibly I am aware of what the risks of addiction are and how I can overcome them, but so far my efforts have been successful, at least.
136  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: May 16, 2024, 09:58:35 PM
It looks like Leeds United will be back in the Premier League in the new season. Today they beat Norwich City 4-0 in the semi-final second leg to reach the final. Now their opponents will be Southampton or West Bromwich. They are all well-established Premier League teams. I think Leeds United will be back. They deserved it after collecting 90 points in the regular season. Leicester City and Ipswich Town are the teams that are certain to make it to the PL. They will add color to the league in the new season.
Leicester were truly able to prove themselves that they still deserved to be in the Premier League after being relegated to the Championship League last season. They are returning to the Premier League after a season away, which is great for them.

Ipswich Town are not a team that I know very well, I think they will only last for a season in the Premier League next season. This season Luton Town, Burnley and Sheffield will be relegated, obviously that is very unpleasant for them and their coach.

Regarding the title race, I think Manchester City will complete their plans this season by defending the title. Manchester City only needs one win to secure the title, or only needs a draw if Arsenal draws or loses against Everton.
137  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: May 16, 2024, 09:45:39 PM
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That's why it's called gambling in the first place, nothing is certain so don't be surprised if actually Dortmund do the unreasonable and came out on top of Real Madrid come that final day of play, so I would just tell you some advice which is to gamble on the odd with little funds that won't affect you even if Dortmund doesn't win because the whole world of football expect Real Madrid to win even the bookmakers but sometimes things do change so goodluck.
Even though Dortmund are not favorites in the final match, it doesn't feel like they really deserve to be underestimated. Dortmund have proven themselves to reach the final by beating many strong teams since the group stage, so I have no reason why they should be underestimated by some fans.

It's reasonable to expect Real Madrid to win the Champions League title given their experience and finals record, but it's not at all a good idea to say Dortmund don't have a chance. Even the bookies cannot completely write off the odds for Dortmund to win the match, which means there are odds being considered for their victory.
138  Economy / Speculation / Re: Is "Sell in May" really a good idea (in the case of Bitcoin)? on: May 15, 2024, 09:59:10 PM
I'm not thinking about selling it anytime soon, especially in May. But that doesn't mean selling in May is bad for some short-term investors. I see May as a positive month for bitcoin rather than a negative one, so I'm not saying selling in May is bad (if one wants to do so). There are still many opportunities to buy in the following month, especially below the selling price in May, but investment decisions and plans should not change just because of another user's point of view even though they can see the price history in the table above.

There is fear and there is also greed, they must really be able to maintain their long-term investment plans well. Personally, I tend to hold on and hold longer for this year until the middle of next year, meaning I don't want to sell.
139  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: When is it right to invest in Bitcoin? on: May 15, 2024, 09:46:27 PM
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The most appropriate time to invest in Bitcoin is when you already have cold money that is not used for other needs and are mentally, emotionally and patiently prepared when the market experiences a correction. For beginner traders or investors, they need to study guidelines for investing in Bitcoin to avoid mistakes that result in financial risks for assets, but for investors who already know Bitcoin closely, what they need is their own readiness and financial support to carry out their plans. Bitcoin is digital gold, the more you save, the greater your potential for making large profits.
Every day is the best time to invest in bitcoin, but you still have to do analysis to find out when is the best time to buy. Investing at any price can still be done if you want to be a long-term holder, but there is no harm in maximizing your investment strategy with DCA so that your average purchase price is lower.

Investment strategies can vary, but the bottom line is that you can buy at any price every day. The problem that most investors have is a limited budget which makes their steps a little hampered when one day they experience a decline due to price volatility.
140  Economy / Speculation / Re: What is going to happen with Bitcoin now? on: May 13, 2024, 08:09:55 PM
There is no logical reason to worry too much about recent Bitcoin price changes. Because if the Bitcoin price increases slightly, there may be a slight correction. Even if it goes below $60k, it is not a big problem. Moreover, it is not possible to predict that the price of Bitcoin will increase after the halving. But if you look at the events after the previous halving, it will be seen that the price of Bitcoin has increased after a long time. For the time being, the price of Bitcoin will remain between $60k to $70k for a long time and we may see its price rise from the last quarter of this year. Since Bitcoin is the most volatile currency, the price of Bitcoin can rise up or down more than expected level from time to time. In this case, the decision should be taken after careful observation before investment.
I'm not saying your opinion is wrong, but a mindset like yours is only very suitable for long-term investors. Of course, they are long-term holders who have essentially ignored short-term price volatility. Meanwhile, if you are a trader, price volatility will have an influence on the trading plan itself.

Short-term price volatility should not have a significant impact on the holder's long-term plans. In fact, I believe that holders are very likely to accumulate when the price drop a few percent at a time, which will clearly give them the opportunity to own more bitcoin before the price rises high. Halving can certainly help increase demand for bitcoin indirectly, but this takes a lot of time.
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