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1261  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: November 19, 2023, 06:43:33 PM

I respect Monaco, but playing against PSG at home should not end in a head-to-head match, also not almost like it. I think that PSG will have plenty more chances than Monaco and most likely it will be Mbappe who decides the game. Every opponent from the Ligue 1 needs some luck and one of their best days of the year to win something in Paris. Since PSG players are fully aware of the importance of the next few weeks, it would be unexpected if they now show some signs of bad concentration.


PSG have a much stronger squad and a better recent record. Mbappe is in excellent form and is likely to be the key player for PSG. Monaco will need to have a perfect day to have any chance of winning this match. PSG has won their last five matches against Monaco. PSG is currently in first place in Ligue 1, 3 points ahead of Monaco who is in 3th place.

PSG is playing at home, which is a big advantage. They have consecutive winning streak with a productive front line led by Mbappe. Monaco has inconsistency in their recent games with dropping points in games they were expected to win. Based on these facts, it is clear that PSG is the clear favorite to win this match.
1262  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: What I've learned so far as a gambler on: November 19, 2023, 06:37:01 PM
Gambling is dependent on luck, but we can be on the profiting side if we know when to stop and take a break. Most of us don't follow it, just the wins keep us high and we go for increased bet value. The same ends our wager at the shortest. To be on the safer side better choice is to spend on sports betting than casino games.
Majority says that gambling is depends on luck but some professional gamblers believes that it also comes with self strategy in playing, It requires a main strategy which consists of the decisions of how much to bet on the various games and when to quit. I agree that most of us doesn't follow the basic steps in a gambling because we are carried away on our winnings and and I admit that I sometimes become like that too.


Gambling is often perceived as a game of pure chance, relying solely on luck to determine the outcome. Many professional gamblers believe that there is a significant element of skill and strategy involved in successful gambling. While luck undoubtedly plays a role, particularly in games like roulette or slot machines, there are strategies that can be employed to increase the chances of winning in certain games. It's crucial to establish a clear budget and stick to it, avoiding the temptation to chase losses or get carried away by winnings. Emotional decision-making can lead to impulsive bets and financial losses.

Understanding the odds and game rules is so important for making informed decisions. Studying past game outcomes and identifying patterns can provide valuable insights and inform betting choices. While gambling is often associated with entertainment and the thrill of potential winnings, it's crucial to approach it with caution and responsibility. Understanding the risks involved and practicing self-discipline are noteworthy for minimizing losses and maximizing the chances of winning.
1263  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: The most important thing in a betting site on: November 19, 2023, 06:25:05 PM

This is already a good list though I just want to add the security feature of the site.
Gambling site always have the top security in protecting the money of the platform and they are successful in doing this. Choosing the best site that can give you peace of mind is always a good one. Having a good system that can work for you will make your gambling activities more fun and enjoyable.

The gambler should read the important rules of the gambling sites before using their money into the gambling sites.The gambler should spend the time to manage their best site for the gambling,when the gambler had fixed the good site.This was the first step to get away from the deposit and withdrew problem after the win in the gambling site.After setting of the good sites,the gambler can deposit the dollars to play the game in the gambling sites.The bet in the gambling sites should not be the random bet,because the 90 percentage of the random bet was leads to the loss in the gambling sites.So make use of the tactics to get some good winning from the gambling sites.The gambling site will help you to win at the guess bet then the random bet.

Choosing a reputable and reliable gambling site is equally important. Once you've identified a suitable site, stick with it to avoid the complexities of managing multiple accounts and navigating different rulesets. When it comes to betting, it needs to pay at avoiding random bets and adopt strategic approaches. Random bets are often based on impulsive decisions and emotions, which can lead to significant losses. Instead, research betting strategies, analyze past game outcomes, and make informed decisions based on sound reasoning.

Gambling sites typically offer various betting options, including guess bets and more calculated bets. Guess bets involve predicting the outcome of an event based on intuition or gut feeling. While guess bets can sometimes lead to wins, they are generally riskier and less reliable than calculated bets.
1264  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Math and Gambling on: November 19, 2023, 04:13:32 PM

Quote
In any case, just as what Huppercase implied, there has to be some sort of distinction as to what type of maths are we talking about, especially for those who are aspiring to make a killing in this industry by literally being so good at the game you want to dissect that you're banned in casinos for winning so much. I'd say that most card games have some sort of counting strategy to them, while other games are a little more on the tricky side.
When using mathematics in gambling games such as poker, of course every gambler has their own way of calculating what strategy to use in processing cards, but calculations like this cannot really be understood by everyone.
And regarding gambler prowess in calculating cards accurately to get more wins, it is not problem when they gamble in large casino, after all trusted casino will not ban customers just because they win more often.

The branch of mathematics that is related to gambling is Probability Theory or Probability Calculus. This applies to all kind of gambling, not only cards gambling. Gambling is a game about calculating a probability of something that can appear. There is no certainty at gambling.

There is no strategy at calculating anything at gambling, because calculating is static, no various options. Strategy at gambling is about reading the game directions, big or small bets, or the habit of the opponents at putting bets. This is why psychology plays big role at gambling that can rush the adrenaline of the players, because uncertainty create hope for people.
1265  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: November 19, 2023, 03:41:21 PM

Fiorentina was a giant killer. I think that acmilan will suffer another lose soon. The chance owned by acmilan to win the game against fiorentina is pretty small at this moment. What can we expect from acmilan without giroud or leao?
Can we rely on pulisic to carry the club? We definitely can't. So, seeing acmilan to get another lose in upcoming game will not be a big surprise. Fiorentina is pretty much the same like sassuolo but a better version.
This club was always killing the big club. I can't correctly remember how many times fiorentina beat the big clubs.


The odd for Milan in this game is not really good. Fiorentina has bounced back to their form by winning their last game after losing the three games before. Milan need to put their recent struggles behind them and rediscover their winning form. Having failed to win in their last four matches has caused some concern among fans and raised questions about the team's direction.

The outcome of this match is difficult to predict, as both teams have their own strengths and weaknesses. AC Milan's recent form, which is so bad for a team like Milan, could give Fiorentina a slight advantage. Fiorentina have also have a good front line to terrorize the liability of Milan's defense.
1266  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: November 19, 2023, 03:17:42 PM
Dortmund have had some significant decline in their results for a couple of weeks in the Bundesliga. It is normal to see such time periods for big teams of course. But the key point is to put an end to that bad streak at once. Dortmund have a home game against Gladbach next time. I think this could be the opportunity for them to do this.

First of all they have been really dominant in home games against Gladbach in the recent years. We have watched many games ending up with very comfortable victories. I don't know if we would see such result but I expect Dorttmund to win here to put an end to this.

I believe Dortmund are having an affection from last season failure, the way they failed hits their mental significantly like what Liverpool experience the season before. Dortmund's mental fragility was evident in their recent match against Bayern Munich, where they lost 3-2 despite taking an early lead. The team looked nervous and indecisive throughout the match, and they were easily rattled by Bayern's pressure. This is a worrying trend for Dortmund, as they need to be able to handle pressure and adversity. They need to find a way to shake off the negativity from last season and focus on the present.

It's important for them to win the game that they expected to win, otherwise they will keep losing confidence in competing again for the title as they used to do it. The game against Gladbach is a big test for them. Gladbach is a tough team to beat. both teams have similar head to head record.
1267  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: November 19, 2023, 02:57:49 PM

It seems this current international break is becoming a disaster for Real Madrid. Eduardo Camavinga will be out for about ten weeks after he ruptured the external lateral ligament of his right knee. Now will be out for about two months after suffering a hamstring tear. Real will be having a busy schedule with seven matches to play before the end of the year. With the absence of important players like Camavinga, Bellingham, Tchouamen, and Vinicius Junior, Real might have a very difficult run after the break.

International break has never been a friendly moment for football clubs. Long travel and entering a different shape of training often makes player pick up injuries. This time Real Madrid get affected the most. Losing important players like Vinicius and Camavinga wont be a problem for a short term, because Madrid's squad depth is great, but it will be problem if it's a long term absences, because Modric and Kroos can't play every game anymore due to their age.

Ancelotti needs to find solution for this till they come back. even though those injuries give significant effect to Madrid, I dont think it will be a big disaster for Madrid. While they may drop few points, They still can win some games.
1268  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: November 19, 2023, 02:34:40 PM

It is time for Milan to regenerate towards long-term targets, relying on old players whose age is no longer productive from season to season cannot be avoided. Giroud may still be worth it but that still doesn't guarantee that he can 100% contribute more from now on next season. It is better to make the transition gradually rather than having to experience it completely from zero which will result in a longer transition time. Milan is still one of the teams with potential in Serie A, therefore thinking about young replacements should be done immediately and evenly.

This is the issue with Stefano Pioli. Since he take charge at Milan, He never develop any young player. He even got rid of young talents Milan signed before like Alexis Saelemaekers, charles de ketelaere, etc. This is another factor that makes Milan fans lost respect towards Stefano Pioli even after He succeeded to win Scudetto after a long time.

Milan's project cant always rely on money as they don't have big financial resource. if Pioli keeps his style of recruitment, it will be unsustainable for the long term future. Milan need to have a transition plan for them stay competing at high level of football, not only in Serie A, but also in Europe, because that's where they should be.
1269  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: November 18, 2023, 07:40:09 PM

Richarlison is a great player that Ange Postecoglou can rely on to give his best contribution even though the bad news that is currently haunting Tottenham but I think Ange Postecoglou will never let go before getting a new player who can replace his position and has equal talent and it is possible that the Arab club will have to be patient to get Richarlison.


Richarlison is not a great player. He is type of a player who terrorizing opponents' defense while waiting chances to finish, but his movements are not quite effective for how Spurs play right now. His overall contributions to the team are so low that makes Spurs attacks are so predictable when he is on the pitch. but still he is the only choice for Ange Postecoglou right now.

Ange Postecoglou has a very good plan since he came to the club, but Tottenham's situation at the moment is so bad. Ange Postecoglou can't execute his plan properly because of injuries while he does not have a proper squad depth. 
1270  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: November 18, 2023, 07:21:35 PM

Man United position in the Champion League is quite pressed, like it or not, Copenhagen and Galatasaray have shown how their enthusiasm can change the mentality of their players on the field. Man United potential to qualify is very thin, even if it has to fall once it deserves to be obtained as a form of lesson where mental readiness, stable players and most importantly qualified coaches will be complementary. Galatasaray and Copenhagen may not have top players like Man United but when on the field teamwork, getting rid of each other's egos creates a more manageable match path.

Man United chance to qualify is very big, it's even still in their own hand. They only need to win their last two game. but the thing about Manchester united is their form that makes people doubting their ability to maximize their chance because they have an away game against Galatasaray remembering their away games records is not good.

and also their home game against Bayern is tough. even though Bayern have guaranteed their spot in round of 16, but Manchester United need to be in the right mentality to beat Bayern. This is a big challenge for Ten Hag, because the failure to qualify will hit him and his players mentality in a bad way throughout the season.
1271  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Euro 2024 in Germany ⚽ - Qualifiers on: November 18, 2023, 06:56:28 PM
Netherlands will fight against Ireland today and Netherlands is really required to win because they have equal points to Greece now so if they want to finish at second place under France then they have to keep winning in the remaining matches of qualification stages and curently Netherlands having some issue especially injured players because at least 8 players from Netherlands who gets injured and will not be available for today match

Actually a bit worried to see Netherlands conditions today because mostly the players who not available for today match is defender players so hopefully Van Gaal will be able to solved this issue because for defensive lines he hasn't gets many options but indeed regardless all of it Netherlands is still the favourite especially their recent performance and head to head statstics was more better than Ireland and for betting options as the favourite Netherlands has low odds @1.23
This is crucial match for both Netherlands and Ireland, but Netherlands is always the favorite. without several key players who are out injured, it should be no excuse for them to win the game with the lineup the have. While Coach Louis van Gaal has limited options in defense, He should focus on the Midfield, because they need to control the tempo and possions avoiding speedy counter attacks from Ireland.

Van Gaal will need to ensure that his team to create goalscoring opportunities and his attacking players take their chances. If the Netherlands win, they should be well on their way to securing a victory and taking a step closer to qualifying for Euro 2024. Their recent performance and superior head-to-head record are on Netherlands side.
1272  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Navigating the World of Online Gambling on: November 18, 2023, 06:30:06 PM
For those of us who may not like to access the casino through their website but via their mobile app, the caution for you here is to ensure you are using secure casino apps downloaded from reputable sources like the Apple Store or Play Store. Furthermore, make sure your network connection is via a secure Wi-Fi network. I do not advice you to use a public or shared networks due to the security risks it posses. Using mobile data or a secure home Wi-Fi connection is advised.

Gambling enthusiasts who prefer the convenience of mobile casino apps should exercise caution to safeguard their personal and financial information. The mobile gadget should not used to browse random/unknown links which could contain malicious software that can reach the financial information. people need to understand that malicious software reach the mobile device, not the browser, so clicking random unknown links is still dangerous, even though they use gambling apps for betting.

but however, It is crucial to prioritize safety over convenience when dealing with financial matters. While convenience may be appealing, it can compromise your financial security. Gambling with big bets is not recommended, if you use mobile device.
1273  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: November 18, 2023, 05:58:19 PM

They haven't found enough balance in the team, they haven't linked well with the midfielder's and attackers, Frankie De Jong absence have affected them alot, he's been the perfect man for the defensive midfielder role even if he's not more of the aggressive player. He brings balance and that quality improves the game of Gavi and IIkay Gundogan in midfied ahead of him.
If that's solve, the midfielder's will link up correctly with Robert Lewandoski and he'll begin scoring goals for Barcelona.

Xavi Hernandez also has to address his winger's, they're becoming more of a selfish team that the tiki taka system we know Barcelona plays. Those winger's should learn to create goal chances for Robert Lewandoski. Even if he just returned from Injury, I won't blame him, he's always been a top quality player.


The absence of Frenkie de Jong has been a significant factor, as he has been a key player in providing stability and balance in the middle of the park. De Jong's ability to control the tempo of the game and distribute the ball effectively has been sorely missed. De Jong's presence provides stability and balance to the midfield, allowing Gavi and İlkay Gündoğan to operate more effectively in advanced positions. Barcelona's inability to find a cohesive balance between their midfield and attacking units has been a main concern this season.

Xavi Hernandez faces the challenge of revitalizing Barcelona's variations of attacks. He knows that they can't play the same way season after season that makes them so predictable. Right now they dont have a super star who can make difference when they stuck in the game. Reinstating the tiki-taka approach and encouraging the wingers to prioritize team play will be crucial for Barcelona's success.
1274  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: November 18, 2023, 05:36:46 PM
Yes, Milan actually started the season quite well, but as time went by their performance decreased, causing the Rossoneri's position to slip further in the standings. Milan have only picked up two points in their last four matches in Serie A, this of course has made their fans very angry so they are also calling for Pioli to be fired immediately. Maybe the match against Fiorentina will determine Pioli's future. If he loses again, the consequence will be that Allenatore's position will be pushed out and that might make a lot of sense because if he loses three points again, Milan's position will be very risky and it will be difficult to get back to the top of the standings.

AC Milan's performance has raised concerns among fans and questions about the future of Stefano Pioli. Milan play with very predictable tactics that makes them struggle to beat their opponents because the tactics has been anticipatable. After a promising start to the season, the Rossoneri have stumbled in recent weeks, collecting just two points from their last four Serie A matches.

This slide has seen them drop down the standings, leaving their title aspirations hanging in the balance. The fans' frustration has mounted, with calls for Pioli's dismissal growing louder. The upcoming match against Fiorentina could prove to be a pivotal moment for Pioli, as a defeat could seal his fate. If Milan fail to secure a positive result, the club's board may be forced by the fans to consider a change in leadership. Pioli's future at San Siro hangs in the balance, and the Fiorentina clash will likely determine his destiny.
1275  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Do you use multiple platforms for betting? on: November 18, 2023, 05:24:55 PM
When you bet with crypto do you find it easier or harder to fund multiple accounts?  
Not a big task to me at all as long I have my gambling funds budget. I am always tended never to exceed beyond my budgets so I basically don't stick to series of betting even though I have a minimum gambling accounts.
And yes sometimes I merely give it a try in betting on untried betting section so if I have to bet in an unusual section, I am drastically going to minimize my funding on my other usual gambling accounts just to fund the unusual account with a strategy never to exceed my gambling funding budgets.

Betting with strategy funds in the unusual account involve a lot of risk. A gambler may not be able to control everything at once. One of the most important and fundamental things to remember is not to waste gambling account funds. You might think I already know this but in reality, it's easy to miss once you're inside a casino. Strategies will help you on your way to success Nothing comes without practice.
It's crucial to exercise caution and employ effective strategies to minimize the potential for losses. Gambling with strategy funds held in a dedicated account can be a risky endeavor, because it involves a significant portion of your financial asset. sometime people are unaware that transactions fee should be taken into consideration on how they use betting accounts, especially for people who play with small bets.

One fundamental principle to adhere to is the avoidance of wasteful spending. Carefully consider every bet and avoid chasing losses, as this can lead to a rapid depletion of your gambling funds. Establish clear limits for both deposits and losses, and never exceed them. Remember, gambling should be viewed as a form of entertainment, not a means to generate substantial income.
1276  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: November 18, 2023, 05:08:39 PM
I don’t think Ten Hag will be worried about losing his job at this time in the season. Results are turning in their favor whether we think it’s impressive or not. The champions league may be the deal breaker, it will be really bad if they are knocked out of every competition. That will be a red flag for ETH to leave. Jim Ratcliffe will be looking to make some changes to the club, he has already told Ten Hag to sort his issues with Sancho. It’s left to Ten Hag to bury the hatchet with Sancho and do his best to assure the new owner of his ability to deliver
If he still wants to be at Manchester United for a long time, then he must immediately fix the problems in the club, be it in the game or things outside of it, such as harmonization between players and so on. What I see from Manchester United now is that they don't seem to have good harmonization. Because however in a club it must be created and will later affect their chemistry on the field.
Since Ten Hag joined Manchester United, I see there are always personal problems, and the biggest is his dispute with Ronaldo.

The current lack of harmony among players is a significant concern, because it directly impacts their performance on the field. Ten Hag must prioritize fostering a cohesive and compact team. Ten Hag should build a team with a strong character in their gameplay and in the squad environment. he should demand the situational distance between his squad and media for his team avoiding any issue go out of control.

Achieving long-term success at Manchester United should not be a conversation at the moment. The ongoing dispute between Ten Hag and Ronaldo epitomizes the challenges he faces in creating a harmonious environment. Resolving this issue is crucial to restoring stability and unity within the squad.
1277  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Why do you want to play on casinos without KYC requirements? on: November 18, 2023, 03:31:57 PM
The risk of providing KYC is your data could be misused. Either directly from the one asking or due to mishandling and hacks. Theft of identity and thousands of complicated situation arising from it.

This is actually the reason for the need to provide KYC at gambling in countries where gambling is legal. Casino is under the rule to protect our identity. the safety of our money is more secured with KYC. if there is any harm to your identity or asset, you can make a report to the police or any other legal institution. What you said is only the cases for people who live in a country who ban gambling.

And with the crypto and gambling most people do want to stay anonymous for personal and legal reasons.
Even in my jurisdiction, gambling with crypto is a gray zone, I have never paid taxes on gambling profits and I don't want my government to know about it and providing KYC would make it easier for the government to blanket prosecute every users.

Staying anonymous is a choice that has consequences like no tax, but when things go complicated, you cant make complain when it gets mishandled or hacked.

I think if you play with big bets you better provide KYC, unless you play small bets for fun.
1278  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: November 18, 2023, 02:57:45 PM

It's true, Newcastle were really unlucky because after waiting so long to play in the UCL again, they were included in a group containing strong teams, just like Union Berlin who had to face Real Madrid and Napoli. However, Newcastle's condition is very different from Union Berlin, where it is no longer possible for them to qualify for the next round, they still have a big chance because the points gap between the teams is small. Only needing 1 win and 1 draw, I think they will be able to qualify for the next round.

Newcastle United have shown exemplary qualities in the champions league even when many of us thought they won’t make it out of the group stage given the group and the teams they were being placed into after the draws. They have just two matches to play and they still have equal opportunities just like the remaining three teams to qualify for the next round of the competition. I hope they will be able to win their next two matches or gather some points that will give them a qualification to the next round. I respect them for their good performance and I wish to see them qualify for the next round of the competition.
Newcastle is a good team, but they have not shown enough that they have quality and mentality for them to compete in Champions League. They surprised us by beating PSG, but then they kept dropping points in last 3 games. Losing to Dortmund at home suggests that they very beatable, because their away games record this season in Premier League is not so impressive for a team who play in Champions League.

Newcastle United faces an uphill battle against Paris Saint-Germain in their upcoming UEFA Champions League match. PSG is a formidable opponent who are gaining their best form currently and they are leading Ligue 1. Newcastle, on the other hand, is a relatively inexperienced team in European football. The odds is stacked against them. PSG is the clear favorite.
1279  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: November 18, 2023, 02:35:27 PM
But does this mean Casemiro will return to Real Madrid?

I don't think Real Madrid will take the player into their club again. They don't have a good history of using old players and pay them high salary. Some legendary players had to leave Bernabeu in tears like Raul Gonzalez, Iker Casillas and career of Casemiro in Bernabeu already ended two seasons ago. If he wants to continue his career in Europe, I guess he has reasons like want to play at highest level as his preparation for World Cup 2026 with Brazil. If he can join that tournament, it will be his last World Cup for his national team.

The rumor reveals another fact about terrible transfer strategy of Manchester United. What did they think to spend very expensive cost to buy an old player like Casemiro? They must be realistic to know old players like this can lose best performances after one or two seasons.
Real Madrid's history of letting go of older players and even selling top players at their peak age llike Ozil and Di Maria suggests that they is no chance Casemiro will be back to Real Madrid. Madrid's recruitment pattern indicates that Real Madrid prioritizes acquiring younger talent and maintaining a competitive edge in the short term.

Casemiro himself has enough reasons to stay at Manchester United. His desire to continue playing at the highest level and prepare for the 2026 World Cup with Brazil makes him needs to be a regular starting player. He gets this already at Manchester United which he has no guarantee that he will get it at another big clubs. This provides him a competitive environment and exposure for him to maintain his form and fitness ahead of the World Cup.
1280  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Letting the cat out of the bag on: November 18, 2023, 02:15:08 PM
I've never helped anyone who was addicted in gambling to stop his addiction and I don't think I can even help anyone do it because as far as I'm concerned, the only person who can stop a gambling addict from his addiction is the affected person. I've been a victim of gambling addiction before and no one was able to help me out of it until when I decided to help myself.

So True.. Addiction is not a joke, whatever addiction it is. No one can help the addicted people, untill the addicted people decides to help himself.
But while self-determination plays a crucial role in the recovery process, external support and intervention can make a significant difference in encouraging and guiding individuals towards seeking help and navigating the path to recovery. This needs expert, of course.

Social environment has big affection towards addicted people, if he want to recover from the addiction, he need to walk away form the place he live in, and find a better social environment. This is why play pivotal role in the recovery. Their love, understanding, and consistent encouragement can be a powerful force in helping individuals embark on the path to recovery.
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