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1301  Other / Meta / Re: Are useful links allowed or are they categorically excluded? on: August 18, 2021, 04:21:52 PM
It is not against the rules to insert links into a thread, I have done that a lot. It's only against the rules when it's done with malicious intent (lik a malware), solely to advertise a site (like a referral link), if they used link shorteners, or if you're spamming the forum with links to a particular website.
Link shorteners are allowed. What is disallowed is link shorteners that require you to view an ad in order to visit the linked website.

5. No link shorteners that require users to view an ad.
1302  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Will Afghanistan fall into a prolonged state of war again? on: August 18, 2021, 05:41:28 AM
We've been there for almost 20 years. Billions of dollars, thousands of lives -- all for what exactly?
Preventing another 9/11 style attack. Preventing terrorists from having a safe haven in Afghanistan. Giving basic human rights that Democrats claim to care about to the people of Afghanistan.

We have had less than 23 combat-related troop deaths per year since 2015. While we should do everything to prevent American military losses, this is a small price to pay compared to the next Obama Bin Ladin being able to carry out another 9/11 style attack.

The way I see it Biden showed strength where Trump would have displayed dicklessness.
There are currently somewhere between 11 and 40 thousand Americans in Afghanistan who need to leave the country. The Taliban currently has a "ring" around the Kabul airport, which is the only way out of the country. This does not count the thousands of Afghan translators who helped the US over the last 20 years.

To put the above another way, the Taliban currently has up to 40,000 American hostages. In the last 24 hours, the US was able to evacuate around 700 Americans out of Afghanistan.
1303  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Will Afghanistan fall into a prolonged state of war again? on: August 18, 2021, 02:48:47 AM
Probably not. The Afghanistan military more or less put up no fight against the Taliban once Biden pulled American and allied troops out. The Taliban will take over the entire country in short order.

it was trump that ordered recruiting and training those troops that didnt defend their own country
it was trump that ordered the pulling out of american defense.

yes biden sits in the hotseat now. but it was trump that lit that seat on fire first
The Afghan military has been fighting the war since 2014. Trump did not make the decision to recruit, nor train them. The Afghan military relied on air and logistics support from the US, which Biden removed.

Trump was going to withdraw from Afghanistan but was going to keep Bagram air force base so we could still easily launch airstrikes. Trump would also only withdraw troops based on the conditions on the ground.

Trump was going to continue to provide the Afghan military support via air support. Biden basically handed the country over to the Taliban.

On the press menu for Joe Biden - https://twitter.com/KellieMeyerNews/status/1427802209740369921

No mention of Afghanistan (unless things changed), it's only Covid related. Situation hasn't improved and the Biden administration isn't even sure how many US citizens remain in the region. Current plans are for US military protection of Kabul's airport to end August 31st, no guarantee that Americans will be on a flight home by that time, they're being told to shelter in place for the moment, and fill out an e-form. So a clusterfuck, for lack of a better term.
 
Biden is going to keep silent on Afghanistan as long as possible. He is going to avoid answering questions on Afghanistan for even longer. I am willing to bet that Biden will not take questions tomorrow. Biden saying anything on Afghanistan will hurt him politically. If Biden does not get his messaging on Afghanistan exactly right, it will end his presidency, and how Afghanistan was handled may end it anyway.

Biden was warned about the consequences of abandoning Afghanistan, but he did it anyway. He ignored advice from military and national security advisors. His administration was unprepared for how quickly the Taliban was able to take over.
1304  Other / Politics & Society / Re: [Poll] At what point will you stop complying with Covid restrictions? on: August 18, 2021, 02:28:49 AM
That is ridiculous. Covid tests are not even 100% accurate, so a single positive may be a false positive.

Their economy is not going to be able to sustain sudden lockdowns over a single case. Either people will be out of work due to the snap lockdowns, or the government will need to borrow to pay for stimulus and transfer payments that cannot go on forever without high inflation, or investors declining to continue purchase government bonds, or both.

They should focus on getting their citizens vaccinated with one of the Trump vaccines, so cases will not matter.
1305  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: About block size limit and transactions fees on: August 18, 2021, 02:15:59 AM
Just found a simple equation to balance supply and demand that could be easily introduced in btc source code:

next block size limit = previous block size limit + (total fee in the last period / avg fee in the previous period - space used in the last period) / block occupancy rate for the last period
Your equation does nothing to address the issue I brought up previously. Miners can and do receive transaction fees in ways that are not attached to the transaction. For example, viaBTC offers a paid transaction accelerator service for people who have attached too low of fees to their transaction. They charge a fortune for this service, so it is not widely used, but if pools have incentives to show transactions having lower fees than is actually the case, you can guarantee more pools would offer this service, and the cost would be very low.
1306  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Will Afghanistan fall into a prolonged state of war again? on: August 17, 2021, 08:57:05 PM
You make a good point in that the Afghans clearly were willing to fight the war with US assistance.

That's not really what dying in a war means, especially if you're a civilian.
If you are referring to civilian deaths as a result of the war, the US pulling out of Afghanistan means the number of civilian deaths will go up. There is a reason why people were willing to hang onto the wings of a plane in an attempt to escape the Taliban -- it is because the Taliban is a brutal organization.

Over 70% of the people of Afghanistan is under age 25, meaning they have always lived in a country that gave them freedom and opportunity. With the Taliban, rights will be stripped of almost everyone, and there will be no opportunity for the Afghan people.

To argue that the Taliban taking over Afghanistan is somehow humanitarian is just ridiclous.
1307  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Will Afghanistan fall into a prolonged state of war again? on: August 17, 2021, 08:02:17 PM
We shouldn't be too harsh on Biden, ending a 2 trillion dollar endeavor.

The neocons shouldn't turn into globalists just to spite him. After all, it's what they wanted. Consider the consequences of staying, prolonging an endless "war" that need not be. Of course, I use war loosely, because there hasn't been an actual war related death in something like a year.
The consequences of staying includes spending a little bit of money in order to guarantee Afghanistan won't be a haven for terrorists.

The US and NATO forces have not engaged in combat since 2014. The last time the US lost a service member in Afghanistan was 18 months ago. The Afghan military was fighting the Taliban with US support, primarily air support (that the US withdrew).

there hasn't been an actual war related death in something like a year.

There hasn't been an American (perhaps NATO either, not sure) death in a long time, since February 2020 IIRC. But there has been an increase of Afghan deaths (millitary and civilian) in 2021 and 4000-5000 people died in this war every year in the last decade.

You make a good point in that the Afghans clearly were willing to fight the war with US assistance.

There are reports the Taliban is going door to door killing people who worked with the US and for the previous government, and raping women in said families.

[img ]https://i.imgur.com/HR2YnhU.png[/img]

All other points might be true or can be fulfilled but i highly doubt the last one. Narcotics-free not so soon i guess.
Yea, none of this is true. They want the world to legitimize their new government and want to reduce the chances that the rest of the world will intervene.
1308  Other / Meta / Re: Scam campaigns should not be allowed to stay on: August 17, 2021, 03:35:02 AM
But still I don't think the negative flag is enough punishment to deter the participants. Plagiarism is a bannable offence, I think participating in an OPEN scam campaign for the sake of making money deserves the same punishment
There have been plenty of companies over the years that initially appeared legitimate but turned out to be a scam. There are plenty of companies that acted legitimately at first, and later scammed once they had more customer money. There are plenty of companies that were technically initially acting legitimately, but were giving off red flags, and eventually scammed their customers. There are companies out there that almost certainly scammed their customers, but proving the scam in a verifiable way is nearly impossible. There are legitimate companies that are subject to scam accusations by customers who are upset with the company. There are instances in which everyone may not agree if something is a "scam", even if everyone agrees with the underlying, and relevant facts. There are instances in which customers lose money due to a company getting hacked (the term "hacked" applies both with and without quotation marks).

There are simply too many situations in which it is not reasonable to expect the forum administration to judge if a company is a scam or not.

Prohibiting the advertising of scams also gives all allowed advertising an implied stamp of approval that said company is not a scam, which would obviously be impossible for the forum to do.
1309  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Will Afghanistan fall into a prolonged state of war again? on: August 17, 2021, 01:21:06 AM
We were not an occupying force, we were there upon the invitation of the democratically elected government.

LOL WTF. Taliban invited the US invasion in 2001? Democratically elected?

Well, I guess they disinvited it now and "democratically elected" themselves again.

Idiotic claims like this is what needs to stop before there can be any hope of solving the never-ending wars.
When we invaded in 2001, we were not invited, and Afghanistan was not a democracy. Once we were able to remove the Taliban from having control of Afghanistan, elections were held, and the elected government asked us for help in fighting the insurgency.

The cost of remaining in Afghanistan was very low. American troops were engaged in very little actual combat. Afghanistan is not the only war zone American troops remained in after the war was won. World War 2 ended over 75 years ago, but we have 60k+ troops stations in Europe, the Korean war fighting ended via an armistice over 65 years ago, but we have 28k troops in South Korea, the USSR fell over 30 years ago, but we have 70k troops in former Soviet states.

Leaving any of the above would likely result in our enemies taking advantage of the situation, and there would be conflicts involving our allies losing wars against our enemies, just as what happened in Afghanistan.
1310  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Why doesn't bitcoin have a "freeze" function? on: August 16, 2021, 09:43:31 PM
There is also the issue of cost.
In OP's initial proposal, he was suggesting having a second address which would control the frozen state of the primary address by way of sending special transactions to and from this second address. Given that, then the fees he would pay in my system are not significantly higher, and once taproot shrinks multi-sig transactions, won't be higher at all.
I wasn't even referring to the added cost of using multisig (although that is also a temporary issue), I was referring to the cost of moving your coin back and forth between your hot wallet and what is basically cold storage unnecessarily, and due to the nature of the goal of the setup, almost always having to pay 'next block' level transaction fees.

If you are not comfortable having a certain amount of coin in your hot wallet all the time, it is probably not a good idea to be moving that amount of coin to your hot wallet on any kind of a regular basis. If your hot wallet keys are compromised unknowingly, the attacker does not need to immediately spend coin from that hot wallet, and they probably won't if they know that a large amount of coin is regularly sent to said hot wallet.

IMO the proposed setup involves poor security practices, even if it meets the OP's (misguided) stated goals.
1311  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Post your favorite Biden/Harris Memes here on: August 16, 2021, 07:55:14 PM
1312  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Will Afghanistan fall into a prolonged state of war again? on: August 16, 2021, 07:34:17 PM
Probably not. The Afghanistan military more or less put up no fight against the Taliban once Biden pulled American and allied troops out. The Taliban will take over the entire country in short order.

Seems the likely outcome, yes. I appreciate Biden has nearly half a century of experience, but has he really thought this through? It could quite easily become the defining action of his presidency.
It appears that Biden made the decision to abandon Afghanistan on his own. I have heard that Biden's advisors advised against the complete withdrawal of Afghanistan.
Yes, the cost of the war was astronomical, and yes a few thousand US troops died... but just abandoning a country to its fate when you decide you've had enough is not a great decision either tactically or ethically. This could become a disaster, with a sizable proportion of the population running for the border while they still can. And who will get the blame if al Qaida rise again? All fingers will point in one direction.
This is a disaster. The cost to get to where we were in the War was high, but we were at a point at which the cost to continue the war was low. We only had a few thousand troops in Afghanistan, most were not seeing actual combat, but were rather providing training and support to the Afghanistan military, and it had been about 18 months since the last US causality.

They weren't able to "fix" it in 20 years. It should be obvious by now that more soldiers and more money isn't gonna do anything positive, just increase the resentment towards occupying forces. I bet there are numerous countries in the world who would happily take the billions of dollars and put them to much better use than drones and bombs.
There are reports of the Taliban going door-to-door looking for people who worked with the Americans, and of schools being burned down. Afghanistan is going to be a safe haven for terrorist groups.

We were not an occupying force, we were there upon the invitation of the democratically elected government.

Probably not. The Afghanistan military more or less put up no fight against the Taliban once Biden pulled American and allied troops out. The Taliban will take over the entire country in short order.

Very apt. There was no motivation or willingness to fight on the side of the Afghan army.
Part of the issue was that the Afghan military relied on American air support, which was also withdrawn. The Afghan air force was unable to maintain their planes because US contractors were unable to help from Afghanistan.

The images from the airport at Kabul is quite disturbing, people were literally falling off a plane that just took off. Is it that bad or are people trying to take advantage of the situation and move to the Western world? I hope order is restored sooner than later
The Taliban are not nice people. They will likely kill those who helped Americans.
1313  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: 51% Attack on: August 16, 2021, 04:37:11 AM
Blockchair reports two major pools with 44% and 19%, and "unknown" at 34%. This is horribly centralized, as even if these were made up of 100% miners not associated with BSV creators, there would be few choices to go if one pool started acting in a nefarious way. Unless the other 3% is what makes up miners not associated with BSV, at a minimum, there would be a potential savings of 22%.
The thing about pools is that the reports use the coinbase string to know which pool mined which block. If one pool simply changes the string to something else it looks like another pool mined that block. Eg. Pool-X mines block-1000 with string="Foo" and mines block-1001 with string="Bar". Now the reports says block-1000 is mined by pool X and block 1001 is mined by pool Y.
Also pools are just servers that can be owned by one company and these 3 appeared all at the same time and distributed their hashrate at a coordinated move and they are working with each other.
Okay, sure, any pool mining on any coin could change block headers to appear to be mining on another pool, and a single entity could mine on multiple pools. This applies to all coins, including bitcoin.

Do you have any specific evidence or informed speculation that the creators of BSV are a substantial percentage of the hashrate? I have heard this before, and I don’t doubt it, but I haven’t seen specific evidence, nor specific amounts of hashrate that the creators are using to mine BSV.
1314  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Will Afghanistan fall into a prolonged state of war again? on: August 16, 2021, 03:20:02 AM
Probably not. The Afghanistan military more or less put up no fight against the Taliban once Biden pulled American and allied troops out. The Taliban will take over the entire country in short order.
1315  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: 51% Attack on: August 16, 2021, 03:17:15 AM
If you can 'starve' other BSV miners from their mining revenue, the majority of them will stop mining BSV,
First you have to figure out how many "individual miners" are mining BSV and how much of it is centralized (owned by the creators of this shitcoin). The miners in second group are not going to leave no matter what you do. From what I gather majority of hashrate comes from the second group in which case your theory about revenue is not correct.
Do you have any sources, or informed speculation to support how much of BSV mining is being done by the creators of BSV?

Blockchair reports two major pools with 44% and 19%, and "unknown" at 34%. This is horribly centralized, as even if these were made up of 100% miners not associated with BSV creators, there would be few choices to go if one pool started acting in a nefarious way. Unless the other 3% is what makes up miners not associated with BSV, at a minimum, there would be a potential savings of 22%.

Quote
You can earn about $135k per day mining BSV is you are only selling your coin once, so if you sell your coin twice, you can earn $270k per day.
The double spend won't work, at least not for long. Exchanges catch these things moderately fast and will disable deposits and withdrawals right away, later on they require huge number of confirmations (eg. 1000+) to credit the account.
Right, at a minimum, exchanges will require additional security before accepting BSV deposits if they receive a deposit that gets double-spent.
1316  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: 51% Attack on: August 15, 2021, 10:33:10 PM
I am already vaccinated, however, if I had to get the covid vaccine through BSV, I would likely become an anti-vaxxer, flat earther.

No THAT is possibly the best sentiment ever about BSV. Will you be believing the stuff on Ancient Aliens too?
I would discuss Aliens in a different thread. The TLDR is that I think it is unlikely that Aliens (if they exist) and humans will never meet peacefully, even if CSW turns out to be satoshi.


According to the article you cited, the 1000 limit of chained unconfirmed transactions is to allow things such as games to be played on the BSV blockchain. While interesting, I don't think there is a benefit to having every move every player makes in a game permanently recorded on a blockchain. As I noted, the miners should be able to quickly confirm many chains of 1000 unconfirmed transactions or any other spam attack on the BSV network.

Difficulty dealing with spam attacks is not limited to BSV or even altcoins. Bitcoin nodes run by 'normal' users had difficulty dealing with previous spam attacks against bitcoin. Even some of the major businesses had difficulty dealing with previous spam attacks.
Now the mining attacks on BSV probably cost a fair amount of money. BUT there was no corresponding spam attack. Picture the damage that would be done if really did the following.

1) Mine (legit) a few hundred coins
2) Move coins to 1 address.
3) Start building your fork chain
4) Move coins to largest BSV exchange
5) Begin spamming the BSV chain and keep it up
6) Sell your coins
7) Release your fork chain without your move to the exchange or any TXs for that matter
Now above EXCEPT for #5 this is a classic double spend attack
Cool Keep spamming the BSV chain

Now in addition to having to roll back the chain you can in essence make the nodes have to deal with 100s of massive blocks filled with crap.
It will cost close to zero if you spam BSV, regardless if you are mining or not. Any spam attack will not have any long-term effect on the network as blocks can be ridiculously large.

If you can 'starve' other BSV miners from their mining revenue, the majority of them will stop mining BSV, so it would be possible for you to utilize less hashrate to be guaranteed to mine all BSV blocks. This means that it could potentially be +EV to 51% BSV, sell the resulting coin from these blocks on an exchange, withdrawing from said exchange, and creating an alternative blockchain that double spends these deposit transactions (and selling the originally mined coin again, on another exchnage). Your cost estimate rounds up. If you remove the rounding up, it would cost about $235k per day to be guaranteed to mine all BSV blocks. I would not be suprised if some of the current BSV miners are renting on nicehash, and would stop doing so when they can no longer mine any blocks (any block they found would get orphaned), so the $235k figure may actually go down.

You can earn about $135k per day mining BSV is you are only selling your coin once, so if you sell your coin twice, you can earn $270k per day.

I can see 2 things happening.

1) The largest BSV exchange takes a hit, will they stick around or drop the coin. Might be worth it to do to #s 2 & 3 instead of #1 since they might not be as friendly about it.
According to coinmarketcap, the #1 exchange for BSV is huobi global, and it it unclear what they actually receive from traders in trading fees, but a lower bound rate of 0.05% is probably a safe assumption. Assuming volume is consistant throughout the year, they have made about $6 million in a year from BSV trades.

Even bitfinex, the #5 exchange for BSV, has made about $192k in trading fees over the past year, assuming they actually receive 0.1% of trading volumes, and their 24h volume (that is entirely made up of a weekend) is consistant over a year.

I am not sure if a $100k loss would even be sufficient to get the #5 exchange to drop the coin. It would probably not be sufficinet for the #1 exchange to drop it. This probably would be a different story several months after BSV was released.


2) Watch all the BSV nodes scream in pain as 100's of GB of data has to be dealt with. With many of them dropping off since the time they took to deal with the non spam filled re-org was very long. Which was what caused a few of the other issues they had.

This may actually be a good opportunity to review how bitcoin handles very long reorgs, and possibly improve how it handles them. BSV nodes were obviously able to handle the initial block download, so there shouldn't be any reason why they can't handle downloading a few hundred blocks at once. The current UTXO set is stored in RAM, but I am not sure if the UTXO set as of any prior block is stored anywhere -- my guess is it is not because doing so would duplicate data already in the database, for example, you can know the UTXO set as of block 1000 by querying all transactions where the block number is less than 1000.

It might not be a bad idea to store the UTXO set from the last 10 blocks in storage, in case there is a reorg up to 10 blocks deep that involves a double spend transaction, changing the UTXO set.
1317  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Why doesn't bitcoin have a "freeze" function? on: August 15, 2021, 08:46:26 PM
The only downside I can see here is that you can only unfreeze coins when you are at home.
There is also the issue of cost. Tx fees are cheap now, but they will not always be this way. If you want to unfreeze some of your coin, it will typically be because you want to spend it, thus it will probably not make sense to pay a fee that results in it taking days (or longer) to confirm when unfreezing your coin. Similarly, when freezing your coin, if you pay a fee lower than next block confirmation, while your tx remains unconfirmed, there is the potential for it to be double-spent by someone who has access to the private keys on the phone wallet (in your example).
1318  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Technical Support / Re: [Aug 2021] Mempool empty! Use this opportunity to Consolidate your small inputs! on: August 15, 2021, 07:53:32 AM
As for the difficulty, it's at the same level it was in June of last year with the next change coming in about 12 days.

Most people expect a slow climb back to where we were. But it's all a guess, depending on when and when the miners find new homes.

Changes in difficulty should not affect the mempool when it is for all intents and purposes, empty. This is especially true when describing situations in which the difficulty will increase. This might not be the case if the difficulty was dropping by a substantial amount, but that is not the case.
1319  Other / Meta / Re: We need a new global moderator. on: August 14, 2021, 08:14:57 AM
Do I think these types of posts should be removed under a strict reading of forum rules? Yes, it is a low effort post.
So then you would be well within your right to report it. If I had my image deleted, I would know the community thought it was spam. If I posted it again and it was deleted again, then there would be no doubt in my mind. If I did it another 8 times, then I can't really complain about a temp ban. If that's still too lenient, then increase it to 20 posts or 50 posts in 30 days. Even then we would find no shortage of accounts hitting the threshold.
What the community thinks doesn't matter. Moderation is not a popularity contest, and the only consideration that should be used when moderating is if a post follows the rules.

As I noted in my previous post, it is my belief that an exception to the rules should be made for your posts I described. I believe the benefits to both my those specific posts outweigh the negatives. I don't report posts I believe should be allowed to remain.

My point is that if we were to implement a strict policy of banning people after x number of deleted posts, it becomes difficult to account for making exceptions to rules, as I advocate to in your case.
1320  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Reeee: Joe Biden is President of the United States on: August 14, 2021, 04:47:26 AM
Biden’s decision to withdraw from Afghanistan is probably the worst decision that any American president has made in history. The fact that American troops have withdrawn has allowed the Taliban to what looks like will take over the entire country with minimal resistance. The US is burning sensitive papers, and communication devices in its embassy to prevent our secrets being given to our enemies. We are sending thousands of troops to help with the evacuation of diplomatic personnel.

All this is after spending hundreds of billions of dollars and loosing tens of thousands of American lives to defeat the Taliban. IMO, both Biden and Harris should be removed from office over this. I would not be surprised if Biden’s decision to pull out results in a 9/11 style attack.

I don’t think that Biden has ever made a Foreign policy decision or recommendation that would benefit the US.

Blah blah blah.  If he didn't withdraw the troops you'd be crying about him reversing Trumps decision to withdraw from Afghanistan and continuing the forever war.

There is no easy answer to the middle east, it's just not as simple as you think.
I have posted before that I opposed Trump's decision to withdraw from Afghanistan. I don't think Trump would do something as reckless as continue a withdrawal as the Taliban reneges on its peace deal, and starts to take over major parts of the country.

US troop losses have been low since 2015, and if anything, American troop presence was a deterrence to the Taliban (somewhat similar to a wall). American troops have not recently seen a lot of combat in Afghanistan, and most of our resources were spent in training the Afghanistan military.

The US has military bases in Germany (and throughout Europe), and in Japan, over 70 years after winning its second consecutive World War. A similar point can be made about our military presence in South Korea. Afghanistan is not as close of an ally to the US as these other countries are, but the point remains that the US has maintained a military presence throughout the world for decades.

I don't think anyone can defend Biden's decision in good faith. Even the left-wing media is describing the situation as "Biden's Saigon".

Who would have thought that one of Biden's first acts as President would be to lose a war in which US troops were seeing nearly zero active conflict?

If Trump had done something similarly reckless, I would be calling for his removal from office.
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