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1521  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Math and Gambling on: November 19, 2023, 04:13:32 PM

Quote
In any case, just as what Huppercase implied, there has to be some sort of distinction as to what type of maths are we talking about, especially for those who are aspiring to make a killing in this industry by literally being so good at the game you want to dissect that you're banned in casinos for winning so much. I'd say that most card games have some sort of counting strategy to them, while other games are a little more on the tricky side.
When using mathematics in gambling games such as poker, of course every gambler has their own way of calculating what strategy to use in processing cards, but calculations like this cannot really be understood by everyone.
And regarding gambler prowess in calculating cards accurately to get more wins, it is not problem when they gamble in large casino, after all trusted casino will not ban customers just because they win more often.

The branch of mathematics that is related to gambling is Probability Theory or Probability Calculus. This applies to all kind of gambling, not only cards gambling. Gambling is a game about calculating a probability of something that can appear. There is no certainty at gambling.

There is no strategy at calculating anything at gambling, because calculating is static, no various options. Strategy at gambling is about reading the game directions, big or small bets, or the habit of the opponents at putting bets. This is why psychology plays big role at gambling that can rush the adrenaline of the players, because uncertainty create hope for people.
1522  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: November 19, 2023, 03:41:21 PM

Fiorentina was a giant killer. I think that acmilan will suffer another lose soon. The chance owned by acmilan to win the game against fiorentina is pretty small at this moment. What can we expect from acmilan without giroud or leao?
Can we rely on pulisic to carry the club? We definitely can't. So, seeing acmilan to get another lose in upcoming game will not be a big surprise. Fiorentina is pretty much the same like sassuolo but a better version.
This club was always killing the big club. I can't correctly remember how many times fiorentina beat the big clubs.


The odd for Milan in this game is not really good. Fiorentina has bounced back to their form by winning their last game after losing the three games before. Milan need to put their recent struggles behind them and rediscover their winning form. Having failed to win in their last four matches has caused some concern among fans and raised questions about the team's direction.

The outcome of this match is difficult to predict, as both teams have their own strengths and weaknesses. AC Milan's recent form, which is so bad for a team like Milan, could give Fiorentina a slight advantage. Fiorentina have also have a good front line to terrorize the liability of Milan's defense.
1523  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: November 19, 2023, 03:17:42 PM
Dortmund have had some significant decline in their results for a couple of weeks in the Bundesliga. It is normal to see such time periods for big teams of course. But the key point is to put an end to that bad streak at once. Dortmund have a home game against Gladbach next time. I think this could be the opportunity for them to do this.

First of all they have been really dominant in home games against Gladbach in the recent years. We have watched many games ending up with very comfortable victories. I don't know if we would see such result but I expect Dorttmund to win here to put an end to this.

I believe Dortmund are having an affection from last season failure, the way they failed hits their mental significantly like what Liverpool experience the season before. Dortmund's mental fragility was evident in their recent match against Bayern Munich, where they lost 3-2 despite taking an early lead. The team looked nervous and indecisive throughout the match, and they were easily rattled by Bayern's pressure. This is a worrying trend for Dortmund, as they need to be able to handle pressure and adversity. They need to find a way to shake off the negativity from last season and focus on the present.

It's important for them to win the game that they expected to win, otherwise they will keep losing confidence in competing again for the title as they used to do it. The game against Gladbach is a big test for them. Gladbach is a tough team to beat. both teams have similar head to head record.
1524  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: November 19, 2023, 02:57:49 PM

It seems this current international break is becoming a disaster for Real Madrid. Eduardo Camavinga will be out for about ten weeks after he ruptured the external lateral ligament of his right knee. Now will be out for about two months after suffering a hamstring tear. Real will be having a busy schedule with seven matches to play before the end of the year. With the absence of important players like Camavinga, Bellingham, Tchouamen, and Vinicius Junior, Real might have a very difficult run after the break.

International break has never been a friendly moment for football clubs. Long travel and entering a different shape of training often makes player pick up injuries. This time Real Madrid get affected the most. Losing important players like Vinicius and Camavinga wont be a problem for a short term, because Madrid's squad depth is great, but it will be problem if it's a long term absences, because Modric and Kroos can't play every game anymore due to their age.

Ancelotti needs to find solution for this till they come back. even though those injuries give significant effect to Madrid, I dont think it will be a big disaster for Madrid. While they may drop few points, They still can win some games.
1525  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: November 19, 2023, 02:34:40 PM

It is time for Milan to regenerate towards long-term targets, relying on old players whose age is no longer productive from season to season cannot be avoided. Giroud may still be worth it but that still doesn't guarantee that he can 100% contribute more from now on next season. It is better to make the transition gradually rather than having to experience it completely from zero which will result in a longer transition time. Milan is still one of the teams with potential in Serie A, therefore thinking about young replacements should be done immediately and evenly.

This is the issue with Stefano Pioli. Since he take charge at Milan, He never develop any young player. He even got rid of young talents Milan signed before like Alexis Saelemaekers, charles de ketelaere, etc. This is another factor that makes Milan fans lost respect towards Stefano Pioli even after He succeeded to win Scudetto after a long time.

Milan's project cant always rely on money as they don't have big financial resource. if Pioli keeps his style of recruitment, it will be unsustainable for the long term future. Milan need to have a transition plan for them stay competing at high level of football, not only in Serie A, but also in Europe, because that's where they should be.
1526  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: November 18, 2023, 07:40:09 PM

Richarlison is a great player that Ange Postecoglou can rely on to give his best contribution even though the bad news that is currently haunting Tottenham but I think Ange Postecoglou will never let go before getting a new player who can replace his position and has equal talent and it is possible that the Arab club will have to be patient to get Richarlison.


Richarlison is not a great player. He is type of a player who terrorizing opponents' defense while waiting chances to finish, but his movements are not quite effective for how Spurs play right now. His overall contributions to the team are so low that makes Spurs attacks are so predictable when he is on the pitch. but still he is the only choice for Ange Postecoglou right now.

Ange Postecoglou has a very good plan since he came to the club, but Tottenham's situation at the moment is so bad. Ange Postecoglou can't execute his plan properly because of injuries while he does not have a proper squad depth. 
1527  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: November 18, 2023, 07:21:35 PM

Man United position in the Champion League is quite pressed, like it or not, Copenhagen and Galatasaray have shown how their enthusiasm can change the mentality of their players on the field. Man United potential to qualify is very thin, even if it has to fall once it deserves to be obtained as a form of lesson where mental readiness, stable players and most importantly qualified coaches will be complementary. Galatasaray and Copenhagen may not have top players like Man United but when on the field teamwork, getting rid of each other's egos creates a more manageable match path.

Man United chance to qualify is very big, it's even still in their own hand. They only need to win their last two game. but the thing about Manchester united is their form that makes people doubting their ability to maximize their chance because they have an away game against Galatasaray remembering their away games records is not good.

and also their home game against Bayern is tough. even though Bayern have guaranteed their spot in round of 16, but Manchester United need to be in the right mentality to beat Bayern. This is a big challenge for Ten Hag, because the failure to qualify will hit him and his players mentality in a bad way throughout the season.
1528  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Euro 2024 in Germany ⚽ - Qualifiers on: November 18, 2023, 06:56:28 PM
Netherlands will fight against Ireland today and Netherlands is really required to win because they have equal points to Greece now so if they want to finish at second place under France then they have to keep winning in the remaining matches of qualification stages and curently Netherlands having some issue especially injured players because at least 8 players from Netherlands who gets injured and will not be available for today match

Actually a bit worried to see Netherlands conditions today because mostly the players who not available for today match is defender players so hopefully Van Gaal will be able to solved this issue because for defensive lines he hasn't gets many options but indeed regardless all of it Netherlands is still the favourite especially their recent performance and head to head statstics was more better than Ireland and for betting options as the favourite Netherlands has low odds @1.23
This is crucial match for both Netherlands and Ireland, but Netherlands is always the favorite. without several key players who are out injured, it should be no excuse for them to win the game with the lineup the have. While Coach Louis van Gaal has limited options in defense, He should focus on the Midfield, because they need to control the tempo and possions avoiding speedy counter attacks from Ireland.

Van Gaal will need to ensure that his team to create goalscoring opportunities and his attacking players take their chances. If the Netherlands win, they should be well on their way to securing a victory and taking a step closer to qualifying for Euro 2024. Their recent performance and superior head-to-head record are on Netherlands side.
1529  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Navigating the World of Online Gambling on: November 18, 2023, 06:30:06 PM
For those of us who may not like to access the casino through their website but via their mobile app, the caution for you here is to ensure you are using secure casino apps downloaded from reputable sources like the Apple Store or Play Store. Furthermore, make sure your network connection is via a secure Wi-Fi network. I do not advice you to use a public or shared networks due to the security risks it posses. Using mobile data or a secure home Wi-Fi connection is advised.

Gambling enthusiasts who prefer the convenience of mobile casino apps should exercise caution to safeguard their personal and financial information. The mobile gadget should not used to browse random/unknown links which could contain malicious software that can reach the financial information. people need to understand that malicious software reach the mobile device, not the browser, so clicking random unknown links is still dangerous, even though they use gambling apps for betting.

but however, It is crucial to prioritize safety over convenience when dealing with financial matters. While convenience may be appealing, it can compromise your financial security. Gambling with big bets is not recommended, if you use mobile device.
1530  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: November 18, 2023, 05:58:19 PM

They haven't found enough balance in the team, they haven't linked well with the midfielder's and attackers, Frankie De Jong absence have affected them alot, he's been the perfect man for the defensive midfielder role even if he's not more of the aggressive player. He brings balance and that quality improves the game of Gavi and IIkay Gundogan in midfied ahead of him.
If that's solve, the midfielder's will link up correctly with Robert Lewandoski and he'll begin scoring goals for Barcelona.

Xavi Hernandez also has to address his winger's, they're becoming more of a selfish team that the tiki taka system we know Barcelona plays. Those winger's should learn to create goal chances for Robert Lewandoski. Even if he just returned from Injury, I won't blame him, he's always been a top quality player.


The absence of Frenkie de Jong has been a significant factor, as he has been a key player in providing stability and balance in the middle of the park. De Jong's ability to control the tempo of the game and distribute the ball effectively has been sorely missed. De Jong's presence provides stability and balance to the midfield, allowing Gavi and İlkay Gündoğan to operate more effectively in advanced positions. Barcelona's inability to find a cohesive balance between their midfield and attacking units has been a main concern this season.

Xavi Hernandez faces the challenge of revitalizing Barcelona's variations of attacks. He knows that they can't play the same way season after season that makes them so predictable. Right now they dont have a super star who can make difference when they stuck in the game. Reinstating the tiki-taka approach and encouraging the wingers to prioritize team play will be crucial for Barcelona's success.
1531  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: November 18, 2023, 05:36:46 PM
Yes, Milan actually started the season quite well, but as time went by their performance decreased, causing the Rossoneri's position to slip further in the standings. Milan have only picked up two points in their last four matches in Serie A, this of course has made their fans very angry so they are also calling for Pioli to be fired immediately. Maybe the match against Fiorentina will determine Pioli's future. If he loses again, the consequence will be that Allenatore's position will be pushed out and that might make a lot of sense because if he loses three points again, Milan's position will be very risky and it will be difficult to get back to the top of the standings.

AC Milan's performance has raised concerns among fans and questions about the future of Stefano Pioli. Milan play with very predictable tactics that makes them struggle to beat their opponents because the tactics has been anticipatable. After a promising start to the season, the Rossoneri have stumbled in recent weeks, collecting just two points from their last four Serie A matches.

This slide has seen them drop down the standings, leaving their title aspirations hanging in the balance. The fans' frustration has mounted, with calls for Pioli's dismissal growing louder. The upcoming match against Fiorentina could prove to be a pivotal moment for Pioli, as a defeat could seal his fate. If Milan fail to secure a positive result, the club's board may be forced by the fans to consider a change in leadership. Pioli's future at San Siro hangs in the balance, and the Fiorentina clash will likely determine his destiny.
1532  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Do you use multiple platforms for betting? on: November 18, 2023, 05:24:55 PM
When you bet with crypto do you find it easier or harder to fund multiple accounts?  
Not a big task to me at all as long I have my gambling funds budget. I am always tended never to exceed beyond my budgets so I basically don't stick to series of betting even though I have a minimum gambling accounts.
And yes sometimes I merely give it a try in betting on untried betting section so if I have to bet in an unusual section, I am drastically going to minimize my funding on my other usual gambling accounts just to fund the unusual account with a strategy never to exceed my gambling funding budgets.

Betting with strategy funds in the unusual account involve a lot of risk. A gambler may not be able to control everything at once. One of the most important and fundamental things to remember is not to waste gambling account funds. You might think I already know this but in reality, it's easy to miss once you're inside a casino. Strategies will help you on your way to success Nothing comes without practice.
It's crucial to exercise caution and employ effective strategies to minimize the potential for losses. Gambling with strategy funds held in a dedicated account can be a risky endeavor, because it involves a significant portion of your financial asset. sometime people are unaware that transactions fee should be taken into consideration on how they use betting accounts, especially for people who play with small bets.

One fundamental principle to adhere to is the avoidance of wasteful spending. Carefully consider every bet and avoid chasing losses, as this can lead to a rapid depletion of your gambling funds. Establish clear limits for both deposits and losses, and never exceed them. Remember, gambling should be viewed as a form of entertainment, not a means to generate substantial income.
1533  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: November 18, 2023, 05:08:39 PM
I don’t think Ten Hag will be worried about losing his job at this time in the season. Results are turning in their favor whether we think it’s impressive or not. The champions league may be the deal breaker, it will be really bad if they are knocked out of every competition. That will be a red flag for ETH to leave. Jim Ratcliffe will be looking to make some changes to the club, he has already told Ten Hag to sort his issues with Sancho. It’s left to Ten Hag to bury the hatchet with Sancho and do his best to assure the new owner of his ability to deliver
If he still wants to be at Manchester United for a long time, then he must immediately fix the problems in the club, be it in the game or things outside of it, such as harmonization between players and so on. What I see from Manchester United now is that they don't seem to have good harmonization. Because however in a club it must be created and will later affect their chemistry on the field.
Since Ten Hag joined Manchester United, I see there are always personal problems, and the biggest is his dispute with Ronaldo.

The current lack of harmony among players is a significant concern, because it directly impacts their performance on the field. Ten Hag must prioritize fostering a cohesive and compact team. Ten Hag should build a team with a strong character in their gameplay and in the squad environment. he should demand the situational distance between his squad and media for his team avoiding any issue go out of control.

Achieving long-term success at Manchester United should not be a conversation at the moment. The ongoing dispute between Ten Hag and Ronaldo epitomizes the challenges he faces in creating a harmonious environment. Resolving this issue is crucial to restoring stability and unity within the squad.
1534  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Why do you want to play on casinos without KYC requirements? on: November 18, 2023, 03:31:57 PM
The risk of providing KYC is your data could be misused. Either directly from the one asking or due to mishandling and hacks. Theft of identity and thousands of complicated situation arising from it.

This is actually the reason for the need to provide KYC at gambling in countries where gambling is legal. Casino is under the rule to protect our identity. the safety of our money is more secured with KYC. if there is any harm to your identity or asset, you can make a report to the police or any other legal institution. What you said is only the cases for people who live in a country who ban gambling.

And with the crypto and gambling most people do want to stay anonymous for personal and legal reasons.
Even in my jurisdiction, gambling with crypto is a gray zone, I have never paid taxes on gambling profits and I don't want my government to know about it and providing KYC would make it easier for the government to blanket prosecute every users.

Staying anonymous is a choice that has consequences like no tax, but when things go complicated, you cant make complain when it gets mishandled or hacked.

I think if you play with big bets you better provide KYC, unless you play small bets for fun.
1535  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: November 18, 2023, 02:57:45 PM

It's true, Newcastle were really unlucky because after waiting so long to play in the UCL again, they were included in a group containing strong teams, just like Union Berlin who had to face Real Madrid and Napoli. However, Newcastle's condition is very different from Union Berlin, where it is no longer possible for them to qualify for the next round, they still have a big chance because the points gap between the teams is small. Only needing 1 win and 1 draw, I think they will be able to qualify for the next round.

Newcastle United have shown exemplary qualities in the champions league even when many of us thought they won’t make it out of the group stage given the group and the teams they were being placed into after the draws. They have just two matches to play and they still have equal opportunities just like the remaining three teams to qualify for the next round of the competition. I hope they will be able to win their next two matches or gather some points that will give them a qualification to the next round. I respect them for their good performance and I wish to see them qualify for the next round of the competition.
Newcastle is a good team, but they have not shown enough that they have quality and mentality for them to compete in Champions League. They surprised us by beating PSG, but then they kept dropping points in last 3 games. Losing to Dortmund at home suggests that they very beatable, because their away games record this season in Premier League is not so impressive for a team who play in Champions League.

Newcastle United faces an uphill battle against Paris Saint-Germain in their upcoming UEFA Champions League match. PSG is a formidable opponent who are gaining their best form currently and they are leading Ligue 1. Newcastle, on the other hand, is a relatively inexperienced team in European football. The odds is stacked against them. PSG is the clear favorite.
1536  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: November 18, 2023, 02:35:27 PM
But does this mean Casemiro will return to Real Madrid?

I don't think Real Madrid will take the player into their club again. They don't have a good history of using old players and pay them high salary. Some legendary players had to leave Bernabeu in tears like Raul Gonzalez, Iker Casillas and career of Casemiro in Bernabeu already ended two seasons ago. If he wants to continue his career in Europe, I guess he has reasons like want to play at highest level as his preparation for World Cup 2026 with Brazil. If he can join that tournament, it will be his last World Cup for his national team.

The rumor reveals another fact about terrible transfer strategy of Manchester United. What did they think to spend very expensive cost to buy an old player like Casemiro? They must be realistic to know old players like this can lose best performances after one or two seasons.
Real Madrid's history of letting go of older players and even selling top players at their peak age llike Ozil and Di Maria suggests that they is no chance Casemiro will be back to Real Madrid. Madrid's recruitment pattern indicates that Real Madrid prioritizes acquiring younger talent and maintaining a competitive edge in the short term.

Casemiro himself has enough reasons to stay at Manchester United. His desire to continue playing at the highest level and prepare for the 2026 World Cup with Brazil makes him needs to be a regular starting player. He gets this already at Manchester United which he has no guarantee that he will get it at another big clubs. This provides him a competitive environment and exposure for him to maintain his form and fitness ahead of the World Cup.
1537  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Letting the cat out of the bag on: November 18, 2023, 02:15:08 PM
I've never helped anyone who was addicted in gambling to stop his addiction and I don't think I can even help anyone do it because as far as I'm concerned, the only person who can stop a gambling addict from his addiction is the affected person. I've been a victim of gambling addiction before and no one was able to help me out of it until when I decided to help myself.

So True.. Addiction is not a joke, whatever addiction it is. No one can help the addicted people, untill the addicted people decides to help himself.
But while self-determination plays a crucial role in the recovery process, external support and intervention can make a significant difference in encouraging and guiding individuals towards seeking help and navigating the path to recovery. This needs expert, of course.

Social environment has big affection towards addicted people, if he want to recover from the addiction, he need to walk away form the place he live in, and find a better social environment. This is why play pivotal role in the recovery. Their love, understanding, and consistent encouragement can be a powerful force in helping individuals embark on the path to recovery.
1538  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: November 18, 2023, 01:46:43 PM
Newcastle is interested in bringing in Ferran Torres from Barcelona and of course this will be his second club in the English Premier League after previously wearing the Manchester City uniform. We know that several seasons ago he rarely had a place at Barcelona and Xavi only seemed to need him when the team was in trouble. Apart from that, as a winger who can also sometimes be a striker, Ferran Torres' role is also important for Barcelona and can sometimes be the deciding player in Barcelona's victory.

On the other hand, Newcastle will definitely offer a good deal for Ferran Torres and that is certainly a fairly large fee that Barcelona will accept. But again, sometimes Barcelona depend on his role and I don't think they will let Ferran Torres go easily.
Ferran Torres does not get much time at Barcelona because he may often experience injuries so he loses competition with players, therefore Xavi can only back up Ferran Torres and will play when needed, obviously Ferran Torres is still young he can even develop again.

It is still unclear how much the offer is from Newcastle whether this is a loan or not, because in fact Newcastle is being hit by several problems in the squad, many players are injured so they need attackers at this time, but I don't know if there are other options besides Ferran Torres?

Xavi had trust in Ferran Torres in the two first seasons. but Ferran failed Xavi. despite he may often experience injuries, his form when he got chance to play is disappointed. It's understandable that Barca will accept bid for Ferran Torres. however, he need game times to develop for the sake of his career.

It is still unclear how big interest from newcastle, but Newcastle are being hit by several injures, and they find Ferran Torres as their alternative option. Ferran Torres has the potential to be a good player with how they play under Eddie Howe, but there are some risks involved. His injury record and inconsistency could be a concern. If Newcastle are willing to invest on him, he could be a valuable addition to their squad.
1539  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: November 18, 2023, 12:41:07 PM
If you look at strength, PSG is indeed much stronger, but this season PSG is often inconsistent and so is Monaco, this is the same team that is inconsistent in my opinion, so anything can happen.
While the smaller odds for PSG are indeed feasible because the winning percentage is greater for them because it all looks at the team's strength.

For the whole of this season, even though PSG is inconsistent, I don't see any strong competition from other teams to stop PSG from winning Ligue 1 because other teams are also inconsistent, so no one can take advantage of PSG's underperformance to leave them on the standings.
PSG undoubtedly holds the advantage in terms of overall strength and household superiority. both teams have shown their inconsistency in their recent performances. Monaco, despite possessing a talented squad, has struggled to maintain consistent form after a great start, mirroring PSG's own struggles with stability. but PSG seem that they have been back to the right track.

This unpredictability suggests that the match could be so intense and could produce some moments of brilliance from both sides. PSG's superior strength may give them confidence to play their best form in this big match, but Monaco's inconsistent nature introduces an element of uncertainty that could make for an exciting and competitive display.
1540  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: November 18, 2023, 12:28:05 PM
Conte might have his reasons for rejecting the offer and they will have to respect his decision.
I think Conte wait for the offer from Juventus. There was a rumor that Juventus will fire Allegri and replace him with Conte. It makes sense if Conte prefers to join Juventus because he ever succeed with Juventus. He should have a bit intention to succeed again with Juventus in the next season.


Conte's return to Juventus is certainly a possibility remembering his successful record with the club and the ongoing rumors surrounding Allegri's future. His bond with Juventus is quite strogn, because he was also a captain for Juventus.

Conte's demanding yet effective coaching style, coupled with his deep understanding of the club's culture and traditions, could make him an ideal candidate to bring back Juventus's dominance in Serie A. Juventus fans also love this idea to happen, because they want their club's identity to be back to their club which feels it has lost for some years.
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