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1661  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 04, 2021, 02:40:40 PM
Anyway, I've been thinking recently for a tool to measure the profit/losses of the daily traders who follow the trend. It is well known that those kind of traders are 99.9% losers. I mean, for each pump, no matter how big, they make on average 1%-2% profit. While on the dumps they can't afford a 1-2% stop loss and so make on average (x/2+1)% loss, if the dump was x%. (I'll try to explain my logic below.) Thus, they theoretically are always losing in the longterm. I guess thay have the same level of math and science as proudhon and can't understand this.

I think an analysis of the short-term movements would be interesting. My hypothesis is that they're essentially random (which, incidentally, is also what you would expect to see should enough people have very good trading strategies). I.e. unless you have specific knowledge, you're basically gambling.
1662  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 04, 2021, 02:16:28 PM
I DO have a Fuckerberg Book account but thankfully never associated my phone number with it.

Same here. Especially since the primary beneficiary of having your phone number is facebook itself. A very unique identifier.
1663  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 03, 2021, 01:51:42 PM
Someone(s) is really interested in making it seem like Bitcoin is worth almost exactly 60k.
1664  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 03, 2021, 04:01:50 AM
I "retired" (i.e. stopped being an employee) in my 20s.

It's indeed all about doing what you like.

The stress of disrupting your lifelong routine is what kills people. Get that crap over with while you're still young.

I'm pseudo-retired and never been busier. I think for a lot of people, they are their job and when that's gone, so are they. I could do with another 5 hours in the day for all the things I want to do.
1665  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 02, 2021, 03:45:49 PM
bitcoin is a lot about game theory. with so many institutions fighting over the last few bitcoin available, what would be the optimal time for a large investment to create an advantage over its competitors? maybe before or on a long weekend when the competition is on vacation?

Large investments will aim for OTC deals with predictable cost. Those without the clout for that will purchase slowly to avoid price shocks.

We talk about supply and demand affecting the price but trading is a stochastic process and sentiment is probably more important most of the time. This is why 58k is "too expensive" but a dip o 53k is also "too expensive" then when we're blasting past 73k, it will be "buy buy buy".
1666  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 02, 2021, 02:40:53 PM
Can't believe we're still under 60k. We should probably be at least 62 from $ inflation alone over the last two weeks.
1667  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 02, 2021, 04:32:59 AM
Five o clock in the morning

How long can this go on?
1668  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 01, 2021, 08:41:10 PM
1669  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 01, 2021, 03:33:14 PM
Without a legal link into physical objects, NFT are mostly useless IMO. Which doesn't mean they can't be traded, as anyone who's been following shitcoins understands.

Yes, many things can be traded. The question is whether the trade creates or destroys value. For NFTs, I'd suggest the latter. Though I suppose some might get short-term entertainment value from these things, many believe they are the "next big thing". Just look at how many believe that $68M for an NFT is real and not bullshit.

1670  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 01, 2021, 03:20:30 PM
theymos's magic, literally converted Bitcoin price movement discussion to bitcointalk.org NFTs discussion.

Can't have price movement discussion when there's no price movement.
1671  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 01, 2021, 03:11:42 PM
I don't get the new NFT thing.

It's a digital certificate that says, "I own thing X". You can then sell/transfer that digital certificate to someone else.

Worse, it's a digital certificate which says "I own this digital certificate". It confers no rights or benefits to the work it is generated from whatsoever.
1672  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 01, 2021, 02:26:17 PM

NFT's make a 'certain' amount of sense ..in the case of say a graphics designer using the NFT blockchain to prove it is his/her work on their www site for say

That's a decent use for the blockchain but in what aspect would trading such a thing ever make sense?
1673  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 31, 2021, 07:26:27 PM
As far as NFTs, ICOs, etc. while the underlying premise may be wrong or flawed, if there is consensus behind something then it will certainly gain in value. I remember telling my brother to stay away from Ethereum when it was under $2. I still don't recommend ETH but I would have never guessed that it would have come this far back then.

The clever thing about Bitcoin is that it was designed that consensus would build around it. There is no mechanism I can see for this in NFTs.
1674  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 31, 2021, 04:29:02 PM
He's made quite a few bangers in his time; the Batman films and The Prestige being among them. While his newer offerings try to sometimes be too smart for their own good they're still enjoyable in their own right.

He's probably make a great series of 42 minute shows for TV. I don't think the movie format is always appropriate for his ideas.
1675  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 31, 2021, 04:27:03 PM
What a mess... Not the way I imagined NFTs to function—I'm a total NFT newbie, so I can't really have an informed opinion, but based on the very few things I've read so far, it doesn't look so good...

As soon as I heard websites were involved, that was red flags for me (and there were already more than a few). I'm still not fully conversant with them but the more I know, the more I don't want to know.
1676  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 31, 2021, 04:08:33 PM

Uh, what timezone are you in?

+4 UTC/GMT....

time zones are always confusing.... how bitcoin will solve this? Let say if someone from other side of the world let say USA is suppose to pay me 1 BTC on 31st March at 9AM in morning... so that means I won’t get anything until 9PM in the evening at least?? and who knows that time 1 BTC will be where. (Yes yes I agree 1BTC = 1BTC) but the problem is still there, I needed that 1BTC in morning 9AM? So how?

Amazon probably meant 31st March in the USA. Which it wasn't yet.

Timezones won't be fixed but you can specify the timezone and GMT/UTC tends to be the standard if you don't have reason to use another.
1677  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 31, 2021, 02:43:36 AM

Christopher Nolan's name is enough to convince me... I’m also waiting for it... I heard it will be available on Amazon Prime on 31st March. However it’s 31st March today but still can’t find it yet... let’s wait until tomorrow

https://www.firstpost.com/entertainment/christopher-nolans-tenet-to-release-on-amazon-prime-video-on-31-march-9481061.html

Uh, what timezone are you in?
1678  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 31, 2021, 12:50:54 AM
Tenet was interesting but I don't think it quite pulled it off. Something of an impossible task in the first place though.
1679  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 30, 2021, 10:54:02 PM
I find it funny that Tether claims that their coins have always been fully backed and they use this report to make their claims more legitimate, when the report itself states that while they find that Tether is fully backed they can only make that assertion for the date in which the report was made and not before or after.

Gotta say, if they are running a scam (and I definitely think it's likely), you gotta wonder where they think they're going to hide when it's time to make their exit.
1680  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 30, 2021, 04:58:51 AM

Might not be good, Richy... On the one side such an alarm might cause panic or alternatively premature ejection from bed.


I haven't flexed my Android programming muscles in a while. I might give it a go anyway.
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