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1781  Economy / Speculation / Re: what would happen to bitcoin if... on: September 22, 2011, 01:23:17 AM
Many currencies were "fixed" in the past, and more recently more are floating.  Some still are fixed or controlled, and that's helps the forex world operate.

give me an example of a fixed currency, and i'll give you an example of punishment metered out to those who would try to trade it at a different price.


I was thinking about my local currency up until the mid 1980's, but China still had theirs controlled until 2005.  I'll try to find a nice/current example.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Fixed_exchange_rate  Hong Kong dollar isn't too obscure.  UAE might be a little less common.
1782  Bitcoin / Mining / Re: I'm torn between Solo mining and Pool Mining on: September 22, 2011, 01:13:45 AM
Depends on your appetite for pain - if you are happy with the possibility you will never find a block, go solo.  Reading around the forum you might find the outside limit is probably at the three month mark, but that's just my impression of what I've seen other people suggest.

For contrast, I did some I0Coin mining for fun last week when the difficulty was around 400 and I was contributing about 1/4 of the hash power - made for a lot of blocks, but I pushed it through a pool because I was having rpc resolution issues that I haven't bothered to sort out yet.
1783  Economy / Speculation / Re: what would happen to bitcoin if... on: September 22, 2011, 01:06:55 AM
Many currencies were "fixed" in the past, and more recently more are floating.  Some still are fixed or controlled, and that's helps the forex world operate.

p.s. I liked the code snipet. Could have just been something like:
10 print "Bitcoins are eight dollars"
20 goto 10
1784  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: I'm not seeing miners leave in hordes... on: September 21, 2011, 01:19:12 AM
ok, difference noted.
1785  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: I'm not seeing miners leave in hoardes... on: September 21, 2011, 12:50:15 AM


You have no idea how drug development works. I have spent the last 8 years throwing myself at a prostate cancer vaccine synthesized from a marine snail's blood. We won't hand it over to bayer to be quashed, and so we are all going broke floating it as far as we can. You won't find it on current trials, but it has been into trials on four occasions now. There is most definitely an enforceable patent. 'Big Pharma' wants it bad.

Once again...protein folding is about protein interaction. Yes, that information can help lead to a cure, but to suggest it IS the cure is just foolish. Fuckin' Biochemistry...how does it work?



You are talking closet scale equipment. He's got the equivalent of a 20-lamp grow in 800 square feet, not sure of the shape, and 20ft ceilings.

I worked on a 16x1000w op in about 2000ft^2 and we kept temps below 80 with a 5-ton AC and 2 12" CanFans (good brand, but un-throttlable) and two 10" centrifugal fans in and out (with a fair amount of filtration resistance). We upped it to 20 lamps and it started running about 85, just over the capacity of the AC. The power bill was phenomenal, and 2/3rds of the room was on 12/12. Goddamn that place made some money. Puts bitcoin at $30 to shame. Then the sheriffs came and cut down all our children and ended up dismissing the charges after doing about a hundred grand in damage. Good ole' fuckin' amuuurica.

Thought these two posts were a little at odds with each other: 8 years going broke on prostrate cancer and something else that made money. 
1786  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: I'm not seeing miners leave in hordes... on: September 20, 2011, 04:33:10 AM
After catching up on this thread, I stumbled on this news story, seems fitting to post it into the discussion.

http://www.gameinformer.com/b/news/archive/2011/09/19/foldit-users-solve-baffling-problem.aspx

1787  Bitcoin / Mining / Re: Solo Mining on: September 20, 2011, 04:17:05 AM
Hi Meni,

Actually it was fairly simple, and I wouldn't even consider it code.  In fact, after I put it together I considered doing a set of deterministic equations and putting it in a table, but that wouldn't solve our respective different positions, and it's that variety that makes the discussion good (and helps break up my day while I'm doing more complicated stuff).  I may yet do the equation/table idea and send via a pm rather than cluttering up this thread as it's move a bit away from the original topic.  I'll probably also test it different distributions, but that may not have much impact either given a  reward/time metric.

I would also have to complement you on your level-headed and reasonable responses given some of the other statements I've seen around the place.  In addition, I respect that you have done a lot of work into the pool-hopping issue and have contributed a scoring algorithm to at least one pool. 

Anyway, I don't think it's any secret that I chose deepbit when I started mining and it's size was a consideration in terms of variance of block solve times, but I was never too worried about that and like the stochastic nature of the binomial trials that make up hashing.  A couple of coins a day does not actually make much difference other than a small trickle in the background somewhere (and I'm actually wasting my hash power on a different project the next few days).
1788  Economy / Economics / Re: Paying my staff in BTC -- effects? on: September 19, 2011, 08:29:34 PM
they still need to make sure they pay tax on income, just like you would have to pay any payroll tax in your jurisdiction
1789  Bitcoin / Mining / Re: Solo Mining on: September 19, 2011, 08:26:06 PM

You can lead a horse to water....

Why is why I hop.  Proportial based systems are inherently unfair and easily exploitable.  Yet still lots of miners refuse to believe.  As long as they don't they won't move to "fairer" systems.  If they want to be exploited then I will exploit them.

Over the last 70 days my yield has been 27% higher than normal.   Mining is a zero sum game.  If I am making 27% then who is making 27% less. . .



btw - I believe there are lots of exploits available, especially with those pools that are either small or have special reward features.
I took the time yesterday to re-look at some of vladimir's work on pools and the relative performance of a pool with a decent history that was available - certainly there were some periods where reward rates suffered and that was probably a result of hopping where reward was only for the solved block, as opposed to pools that carry forward shares across blocks until one is solved - the descriptions don't make it explicitly clear, but that probably doesn't matter.

another consideration to bear in mind is saturation - if 99% of people hopped out of Slush, deepbit and BTC Guild, they would have difficulty finding other pools to hop to - just part of the fun
1790  Bitcoin / Mining / Re: Solo Mining on: September 19, 2011, 08:14:03 PM
I suspect we are coming at this from quite different theoretical perspectives, and it's entertaining.

ok, did a nice little simulation based around a constant rate of single miner hashing.  eg 10 per unit time out of 1000 total at the beginning
It was interesting that the reward was invariant as to when miners hopped.
Reward per block was influenced by the proportion who hopped.
Miner reward per time unit was invariant - and that's the metric I'm interested in.

So, if lots of people hop on a long round, my percentage goes up (maybe to 100%), and my share of the reward increases up to 100%, but the time increases too.  At the top limit, it's solo mining, and expected reward per time is the same
1791  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Technical Support / Re: Let me know if my equation is correct please! on: September 19, 2011, 07:36:57 PM
it's rounding
1792  Bitcoin / Mining / Re: Solo Mining on: September 19, 2011, 05:12:15 AM
I'm obviously not going to sway your opinion and I've done this argument elsewhere.  Of interest, I did find one of ideas behind hop-proofing actually makes hopping more attractive.  Those pay on last N share pools encourage people to jump in once N has been reached.

That isn't how it works.  N is "always reached".  The pool simply looks backwards at the last n shares irregardless of blocks.

So when a block is found your share is (your shares in last n)/(n)*50.

Thanks for pointing that out - I went back and re-read the payout system stuff.

p.s. Meni - the 1% issue is a red herring
1793  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Technical Support / Re: Let me know if my equation is correct please! on: September 18, 2011, 09:22:32 PM
 (5.12 / (4.9 *(1+0.03))) -1 = 1.45%

current price = 5.12
buy price = 4.9 *(1+0.03) = 5.05
difference is 0.07 or 1.45%

Of course, if you are paying 3% of the sale price, then 5.12 * (1- 0.03) = 4.966 received and there is a loss of 1.6%  (4.966 / 5/05).
1794  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Technical Support / Re: Let me know if my equation is correct please! on: September 18, 2011, 08:48:50 PM
wouldn't you want something like  [Y / (X * (1 + fee%))] -1 = gain%
1795  Bitcoin / Mining / Re: Solo Mining on: September 18, 2011, 08:44:45 PM
So, using your example, I do 5000 blocks for 0.25 BTC reward in round one and 35000 blocks for 0.583BTC in round two.  Neither of these has 1% of pool power.  In the first it is 0.5% and the second 1.166%.

40,000 blocks out of 4,000,000 would be 1%, but that ignores the simple fact that sum(Xi * Yi) <> avg(Xi) * avg(Yi)  Given the 1% is not constant, you can't really use that to underpin the argument.  If you could maintain 1%, then you would achieve the theoretical 1 BTC payment, irrespective of hoppers.

Might also be worth while to point out that pool size has something to do with the equation as well, as if 95% of the pool disappears gives a different result to a 5% drop.
1796  Bitcoin / Mining / Re: Solo Mining on: September 18, 2011, 07:11:26 PM
I'm obviously not going to sway your opinion and I've done this argument elsewhere.  Of interest, I did find one of ideas behind hop-proofing actually makes hopping more attractive.  Those pay on last N share pools encourage people to jump in once N has been reached.

Still, if I do one share in a solved block that took a million shares, I simply can not know if people have jumped in early, late, 24/7'd or turned off or on, I get 1/1000000 of the reward.  (btw - I think I have about 100 mined coins over three months and 2.7 million shares.)
1797  Bitcoin / Mining / Re: Solo Mining on: September 17, 2011, 11:59:21 PM
double lol - because of the different methods of reward, some pools give away unequal rewards and some non-hopping miners get less.  I'm not in one of those pools, so I don't suffer.
1798  Bitcoin / Mining / Re: Solo Mining on: September 17, 2011, 09:02:00 PM
You need a pool, but deepbit is a poor choice. Some better alternatives are http://mining.mainframe.nl, http://eclipsemc.com, http://rfcpool.com, http://www.yourbtc.net/ .
If you like small pools with pplns payouts, maybe (that's what these pools look like on a quick scan).  Not sure of your reasoning against deepbit - reasonable size, proportional payout based on actual work contributed.
Proportional pools are vulnerable to pool-hopping.

lol - I love that argument, however, it does not alter the rate at which I get coins for the work I do
1799  Bitcoin / Mining / Re: Solo Mining on: September 16, 2011, 11:56:17 PM
You need a pool, but deepbit is a poor choice. Some better alternatives are http://mining.mainframe.nl, http://eclipsemc.com, http://rfcpool.com, http://www.yourbtc.net/ .

If you like small pools with pplns payouts, maybe (that's what these pools look like on a quick scan).  Not sure of your reasoning against deepbit - reasonable size, proportional payout based on actual work contributed.

As for solo - if you wanted to try, test on one of the alt-coins, that would give better chances.
1800  Other / Off-topic / Re: I Manufacture machines that generate free electricity. A match made in heaven? on: September 13, 2011, 08:59:27 PM
http://www.ripoffreport.com/electronic-manufacturers/lutec-australia-pty/lutec-australia-pty-false-dis-cwa92.htm

fools and money = parted
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