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201  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 08, 2020, 09:50:13 AM
The government should not be responsible for anything of substance.

A truly competitive free market would work itself out as long as the government sets clear boundaries and is there to prosecute cartels, monopolies, collusion, price setting, and other anti-competitive practices.

Uh

Substance meaning actual productivity. Like treating patients, managing companies, making economic/business decisions.
202  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 08, 2020, 09:40:09 AM
The government should not be responsible for anything of substance. A government is a costly, slow, and bureaucratic way to organize anything. It has it's place only in regulating, auditing and prosecuting.

Everything else should be handled by the free market. A free market is not what we have, and we can't have a free-market as long as the economy runs on monopoly money.

A truly competitive free market would work itself out as long as the government sets clear boundaries and is there to prosecute cartels, monopolies, collusion, price setting, and other anti-competitive practices.

Of course this can't happen either as long a bribery is legal in the form of lobbyists. Any candidate taking anything, even a free meal, should be prosecuted. The US government already has conflict of interest rules that conveniently don't extend to politicians.
203  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 08, 2020, 04:54:48 AM
I'm not a specialist in discussing US politics, but someone from the US please correct me if I'm getting it wrong:

Will the spreading of the coronavirus in the US benefit Sanders against Biden? Sanders is (arguably) the politician from whom I've heard about healthcare improvement the most; IMO, the failure of the healthcare system in the USA at this point will give the old man some extra advantage in his campaign.

I don't think so. Americans are funny that way. We generally don't want the government telling us we have to do anything and we don't want them involved in our personal business. The younger people may have a different view on this but their numbers are just too small to matter in a national election.

When you see statistics and polls showing differently, you have to understand, most hard working American's aren't going to speak to some asshole calling you after dinner to answer stupid survey questions. This is how Trump won in surprise fashion. The pissed off people will show up and vote but aren't going to speak to polsters about it.

Government controlled healthcare is not a reasonable solution. You would lose all the innovation America creates and the whole world benefits from. They could regulate insurance companies and healthcare providers though to eliminate some of the most heinous activities (such as drug and ER pricing) but taking over would set the world back decades in my opinion.
204  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 06, 2020, 08:21:04 AM


Smiley

That is mind-bogglingly stupefying.

Why? He could have given everyone a dollar. How is that mind-bogglingly stupefying or are you saying the person who posted that on twitter is mind-bogglingly stupefying?
205  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 06, 2020, 07:09:13 AM
Hate to break it to you but Jeff (Big Lebowski) Bridges was born in 1949, totally Boomer.

Perhaps you should replace him with a picture of Kim Kardashian, born in 1980, totally Generation X.

 Cool

I don't know if this is the exact definition but I consider Gen X to be people born to parents before the boomers. If someone is the child of a boomer, they are technically a Millenial.

Quote
Generation X (or Gen X for short) is the demographic cohort following the baby boomers and preceding the Millennials. Researchers and popular media typically use birth years around 1965 to 1980 to define Generation Xers, although some sources use birth years beginning as early as 1960 and ending somewhere from 1977 to 1984.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Generation_X

Reading that quote, how do you get that a child of a baby boomer is a millennial? It specifically says gen x is the generation between baby boomers and millennials.

206  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 06, 2020, 02:08:25 AM
Enough with the generation wars. They are not even a real thing, they were created by marketing firms to generalize groups of people.

The children born after WWII were numerous, which allowed for a lot of productivity gains around the world. They built the nuts and bolts of the world we live in.

Their children expanded on the nuts and bolts and made them more useful in day to day life.

Their grandchildren use the devices and technology that their parents and grandparents created and we've yet to see what their impact will be.

207  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 05, 2020, 11:30:28 AM
If you're not on the verge of death, there's no need to go to a hospital.

Fix a broken bone or whatever...

Most of the time going to the hospital is worse for you than staying home and taking care of yourself.

wait till youre a boomer with a 15 page med list, 14 specialist MDs, a list of conditions and operations, some so cutting edge that they have been published.

without regular labs and MD visits.. well thats life support for some of us.

@Ibian, youre welcome.  well no, thats a lie.




No way I would burden myself, my insurance company, and by proxy, every other person's premiums, or society in general if I had those kind of problems. I'll just have to let life (or death) run it's course when I get that far gone. You know, take it like a man, instead of living on life support.


208  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 05, 2020, 12:06:55 AM
Not to put too fine a point on it, but if you don’t have medical insurance in the US, the cost of a Coronavirus test is $3,200.  

Poor people who can’t afford health insurance aren’t going to get tested in the USA.  

According to this: https://www.factcheck.org/2020/03/covid-19-tests-dont-cost-over-3000/ , that is not true.


Also, from https://www.ahip.org/keeping-americans-safe-from-coronavirus-covid-19/
Quote

What to Know About Treatment and Coverage

    At this time, the CDC is the only facility equipped to test for COVID 19, or to designate other laboratories to do so. The CDC is not billing for testing for COVID 19, so patients will not incur costs when tested by the CDC.


Ok - according to your link the test is free.  But it costs $3200 to visit a doctor to get the free test. Am I reading that correctly?

The test (as of now) is free.  I am pretty sure $3200 is not representative of what a US citizen typically pays for a doctor visit.

One anecdotal instance of how much someone spent on emergency care really should not be misrepresented as 'the cost of a Coronavirus test [in the US]', especially since it may discourage those who think they may need to be tested from doing so.



The first thing you have to know about the US is that a large portion of the population has no health insurance, does not go to the doctor, and has probably only seen a doctor a few times in their lifetime.

They don't have a doctor, don't really know where to find one on short notice, and aren't going to wait for an appointment if there is something so extreme as to get them to see a doctor. They only use emergency rooms for care, and some never intend to pay. Hospitals know this, which is why they charge $3000 for a visit to the emergency room (this is a real number btw from personal experience taking an ex girlfriend). Their collection department is hoping to get a 10% return on the amount they bill through collection agencies.

209  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 04, 2020, 03:39:25 PM
no fucking way creepy uncle Joe beats Trump

this whole election thing just became decidedly less entertaining

of course, Joe has a pretty high probability of blowing his own foot off in time for a Sanders nomination

Sanders v Trump is the TV show we all deserve

Trump vs Sanders would be the largest landslide victory in the history of presidential elections. No one over 40 is voting for a communist in America. No way he gets even 30% of the vote on a national level. Sanders might have done ok if he didn't refer to himself as a socialist. People still remember the USSR (Union of Soviet Socialist Republics). In America, socialist means communism.
210  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 03, 2020, 03:13:44 PM
*FED CUTS BENCHMARK RATE 50 BPS, SAYS VIRUS POSES EVOLVING RISKS

wow!

Must be what the rally was about yesterday. Some peeps got wind of the cut early.
211  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 03, 2020, 12:07:20 PM
Never seen so much panic about most likely nothing too horrific


Now extrapolate to the entire world being infected. Cause that's the most likely scenario. Show us the numbers.

I would say the Korean numbers are probably the most accurate in the world because they are testing everyone. The US charges for everything so most sick people are not going to go to the hospital for a slight sickness. China and Iran are outright lying.

Based on the Korean numbers, the death rate is 0.5% but likely higher because of the lag between getting sick and dying, but let's say it's 0.5%. If the whole world gets it, that's 35 million people dead. Granted, a lot of these people would have died from the flu or some other disease anyway but still, that is a lot of people.

Interestingly though, if the Korean numbers are correct, there should be over 600,000 infected in China based on 3000 deaths, rather than the 80,000 they are reporting.
Gentle reminder that the death rate continues to be calculated wrong. It's dead/(dead+cured). Which is closer to 10%, especially as the world gets overwhelmed. Supposedly all of England only has 15 beds for serious cases.

And yeah china is lying. Not only are they commies and thus prone to lying in the first place, but they also have glass hearts. They can't tolerate looking bad. Just assume it's at least ten times as bad as what they are saying.

Yeah, the normally quoted death rate is likely only considering people who were admitted to the hospital. We were talking about if everyone in the world caught it, where 90% of people won't even seek medical care.
212  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 03, 2020, 11:46:32 AM
Never seen so much panic about most likely nothing too horrific


Now extrapolate to the entire world being infected. Cause that's the most likely scenario. Show us the numbers.

I would say the Korean numbers are probably the most accurate in the world because they are testing everyone. The US charges for everything so most sick people are not going to go to the hospital for a slight sickness. China and Iran are outright lying.

Based on the Korean numbers, the death rate is 0.5% but likely higher because of the lag between getting sick and dying, but let's say it's 0.5%. If the whole world gets it, that's 35 million people dead. Granted, a lot of these people would have died from the flu or some other disease anyway but still, that is a lot of people.

Interestingly though, if the Korean numbers are correct, there should be over 600,000 infected in China based on 3000 deaths, rather than the 80,000 they are reporting.
213  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 02, 2020, 05:32:52 AM
100k=minimum. 400k=aspiration.

Aspiration is Bitcoin becoming the one and only world currency. This will create a truly free market that will push humanity into the future without corrupt governments being able to push the people down into the ground with overblown taxes and fake inflations. It is about time for people to take the power back from dictators and incompetent rulers of their countries.

And Blockchain will make everything nice and transparent. Proof>Trust.

Yes agree that we will eventually become the Global Reserve Currency. Im referring to the top of the next bubble as 100k-400k. We will have more Bull and Bear markets before we become the reserve currency.

One big thing will need to change before it becomes the global reserve currency though. It will have to be declared a currency by most of the world. There is no way it grows to that level as a taxable commodity.

Edit: Other currencies could be backed by bitcoin though.
214  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 27, 2020, 02:23:34 PM
seems Wall Street is in complete panic mode now.  Roll Eyes

The dream scenario would be 1% of the money being taken out of equities finding it's way to bitcoin. Bonds are at record levels. Gold is a joke to most investors, commodities are falling, most will just hold cash but what if bitcoin starts rising at the same time the stock market crashes? That reverse correlation could make for an epic spike.

I think we saw a decline in the last few days because traders are trying to make it look like bitcoin is correlated to the stock market. I hope they run out of ammo while the stock market keeps declining. Wishful thinking perhaps.
215  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 25, 2020, 05:33:39 AM
Man loses $60M in Bitcoin when landlord cleaned the house and sent everything to the dump by mistake

Quote
Clifton Collins, a former security guard and a beekeeper turned weed grower/dealer, lost $60 million when his landlord cleaned out the house he’d been renting and sent everything to the dump — including Collin’s fishing rod case that hid his Bitcoin codes. Without the codes, the accounts can’t be accessed.

He had both BTCitcoin and Drugs. All wasted now Lips sealed
Lesson learned: Own a f**king room atleast when you have shit load of money and keep your codes safely.

I bet he has another backup somewhere. Better wait until bitcoin transactions have better privacy before moving them though.
216  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 25, 2019, 11:17:32 PM

https://jochen-hoenicke.de/queue/#0,3m

6 blocks found in the last 180 minutes.


The worldwide average "Electricity Only" cost of mining is likely around $7500/BTC. Maybe some miners are shutting down temporarily? Probably just variance though.
217  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 19, 2019, 02:58:18 AM
I sure hope Satoshi didn't blow it with the curve he chose.

Fees are going to have to, umm, increase, to incentivize miners.

No need to incetivize miners. It's a self-regulating system. If they can't make enough money, they will drop out which makes the remaining miners more profitable.

Also, fees may increase as well and small transactions will be squeezed out. This is ok. There is no reason to use the worlds most secure transaction network to buy a cup of coffee.

It remains to be seen that this would work long term, although so far the adjustment of hashing to price fluctuation was impressive.
I worry a bit about mining concentration in the hands of the vertically integrated entities, like the recent P. Thiel venture.
It might cause further centralization and such centralization might cause undue re-consideration of bitcoin's rules (in time).

If bitcoin is still mined worldwide by then, I doubt any changes to the rules would be possible. It would require consensus and the world I know can't get consensus on any topic. Therefore, the only way to change the rules is to fork off. That could happen many more times and the value will follow if there is a market for it.

I think big daddy Bitcoin will be just fine though.

218  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 19, 2019, 02:41:13 AM
I sure hope Satoshi didn't blow it with the curve he chose.

Fees are going to have to, umm, increase, to incentivize miners.

No need to incetivize miners. It's a self-regulating system. If they can't make enough money, they will drop out which makes the remaining miners more profitable.

Also, fees may increase as well and small transactions will be squeezed out. This is ok. There is no reason to use the worlds most secure transaction network to buy a cup of coffee.
219  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 10, 2019, 09:15:25 PM
That Ellipal Titan looks interesting. Yeah, I figure the next bunch of hardware wallets would just use scanners and stuff. Those can't be easily hacked unless they were altered before you got it to misread QR codes.

Even if there is something wrong with it, or it was intercepted before you received it, it seems like you would be able to verify what the QR code says before you broadcast the transaction so it shouldn't be an issue. Similar to an Electrum air-gapped setup, you always verify what you signed before broadcasting the transaction.

I also wouldn't trust any hardware wallet to generate my Mnemonic in case it was tampered with or the manufacturer is doing something sketchy.

I don't know if I'd want to be one of the first to buy one from a new company but maybe Trezor and Ledger will take the hint and do something similar.
220  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 10, 2019, 08:48:15 PM
Trezor (security by open-source) or Ledger (security by obscurity)?

which do you prefer?

I don't trust anything connected to the internet. The next generation of hardware wallets use QR codes instead like the Ellipal Titan.
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