Disagree with Realized Value being an indicator? Or some other aspect?

Most of your list seem to speak to soft considerations such as motivation and social aspects. Not sure these are amenable to objective analysis. But I'll play along.


I'm not sure how this follows. (If it were...) CSW does not seem very shy about flaunting at least some of his money. Enough so that the echo chambers collectively deride his pulling out of the high-end watches, or his Lambo or whatever.


I don't get how this follows either. To accept such would seem to obviate the position of hodlers. Which many here probably ascribe to. If one is 'all about the money', and one was reasonably sure that the price next week/month/year/decade will be higher, would one not refrain from dumping? I mean... I hodl, and despite my lofty view of myself and my motivations, I need to admit that it is at least in part about self-enrichment.


Yes. And if satoshi would reveal his/her/themself, I think it would be natural for their opinions -- technical and social -- to be given weightier consideration by the community,.


Hmm. I've always assumed that satoshi's disappearance was a net positive for Bitcoin. But there are so many ways to look at this single event that any possible list of considerations would be incomplete.


This would seem a solid Pro.


Opsec would become nil.


Oddly, I think CSW already 'benefits' from this to some degree.


For a temporary lie, dispelled by ultimate honesty? Perhaps.

I've already answered HairyMaclairy. Somewhat obliquely, but honestly. Sorry I don't have a better answer.

I dunno. Maybe one in twenty? In fifty?

Hard to place odds on something in which most of the variables are not available to be seen.

Quite being so speciest. I've always been bullish. Publicly, even.

Thanks for the merit.

And so it came to pass, that partial reserve schemes were grafted onto the back of the Bitcoin network.

predicted. some time ago.

From my perspective, your question is inappropriate useless.

Bitcoin is a new emerging asset class, in the initial throes of price discovery. To attempt to time this market is madness. Price goes up; price goes down - you can't explain that. All we really know is:
1) whether or not the world knows it or not, it needs a permissionless uncensorable form of money free from the whims of central planners; and
2) a vanishingly small percentage of the world has yet awaken to postulate 1).

From these two, we can conclude that the long term trend is up, and will remain so until such time that the world at large is onboard.

Ignore the noise. Buy today all you can conceivably afford to lose. Hodl on.

Pit pat piffy wing wang wong.

Or perhaps satoshi is a total dick. I mean, why not?

As I recall, the initial outing was not uttered by CSW.

...and with that, I've caught up with the tip. Signing off from SNA. See all y'all when I land.

Somehow, you came into the possession of said key, you sign, you still ain't him/her/thems.
You're him/her/thems, you lost the key, you can't sign, you're still him/her/thems.

Block 0? Only?

Soo... at _negative_$700_?

That's them's envious neighbors.

Dirk Diggler?

#loweredexpectations

Those poor poor cute cute little singing british boys.

"people in sleeping bags are the soft taco of the bear world"


 

Hmm. Now you've lost me.

'Course it's been a while since I read the trilogy.

We been tryna tellya, Jimbo

I'm impressed that you found a genuine legitimate optimistic thread angle in the current price action.

You mean to tell me that it's fifteen minutes have been extended!?

Currently? Touche'.

Though the US seems determined to keep casting nations out of the in crowd. At some point, action begets reaction.