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2461  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: April 12, 2013, 04:53:12 AM
www.bitcoinmonitor.com is working. You can see these transactions there, at least we can see it looks fairly normal

I don't see any txs larger than 1K on bitcoinmonitor, but there were a bunch.

Large transactions are often just change as a smaller payment is made from a large address. Here's an example I snapped:



keewee, wouldn't you expect change amounts to vary, and not be in duplicate?
2462  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: April 12, 2013, 04:47:16 AM
Interesting that some of the huge transactions are from the same person

e.g 4 at 7950 BTC and one at 7900

also 5 at least at 2850 - must be another person dividing up amounts....

2463  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: April 11, 2013, 09:02:06 AM
Not seen this in the thread yet, some excellent analysis of the correction today...

http://www.247btc.com/bitcoins/117/postmortem-of-a-bitcoin-crash-2013-04-10-and-the-secret-story-revealed-by-volume/

2464  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: [VOTE] ISO Currency Code bringing Bitcoin into the mainstream financial markets on: April 11, 2013, 06:39:25 AM
I've kicked off a reddit to raise the profile of this.

http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1c4c0f/bitcoin_needs_your_help_to_get_the_iso_code_xbt/

Bitcoin now has a monetary base bigger than the currencies of 20 countries, and is closing in on palladium metal which has its own code: XPD

2465  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: April 11, 2013, 05:33:21 AM
Mt. Gox needs to implement some sort of spam filtering on small orders. Lowering their volume might be a good start to help out the lag/panic issue.

Boy this sure looks legit to me...

https://i.imgur.com/TTfPVyd.jpg


They could limit the number of orders for each account per day. A normal human account should make no more than 1000 orders per day. Big volume accounts may have higher limit. People may apply for an increase of limit if they are trading properly

Couple that with a simple pattern recognition or minimum time delay between order with a 24+ hour ban penality. That should get rid of those annoying bots and probably isn't that difficult to implement at all.

A decent trade engine should have no problems with this amount of traffic.  Because the existing engine has to check all pending orders for each user on both sides of each trade it has no choice but to be laggy.  In a few weeks the new engine should be done with testing.  With the new engine only fully funded orders will be allowed.  This will remove the existing bottleneck and if done right should allow 1000x the traffic since you only have to lock the order book to pull off enough orders to fill your incoming order and add any remainder.  However, it will likely be done in PHP by someone who thought the original design was fine, so we'll see how it plays out.

Allowing unfunded orders in the first place is nuts. I am not aware of any other market which supports that.
2466  Economy / Speculation / Re: What really caused the crash on: April 11, 2013, 03:02:55 AM
Proudhon has deleted his post, quoted in the OP...
2467  Economy / Speculation / Re: What really caused the crash on: April 11, 2013, 02:41:57 AM

Well, if we made it to $266 then maybe I was wrong and the market is growing enough to sustain the growth.


Followed by a mass sell off by all.

OMG! This was it. Unbelievable, but true.
2468  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: April 11, 2013, 01:37:57 AM
There's more evidence too but you get the picture. This doesn't mean for sure it will actually happen, but it's beyond reasonable doubt at this point that Mt.Gox are interested in handling LiteCoin.

My question is: "when will they be handling Bitcoin???"

2469  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: April 10, 2013, 10:25:29 PM
2nd bounce getting underway.

This one is significant, because the 1st low was $105, so, if the 2nd low of $125 holds then this indicates return to $200 region for stability.
2470  Economy / Economics / Re: Ultimate Test: For or Against Bitcoin on: April 10, 2013, 10:46:14 AM
Adam Posen, ex member of the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee - Against

https://twitter.com/AdamPosen/status/319614427445993474

It takes a lot of front for an ageing QE instigator to dismiss bitcoin using a popular culture reference...

Thanks for that one. This is going to be an interesting list when BTC stabilizes somewhere above $1000 ..  Smiley
2471  Economy / Economics / Ultimate Test: For or Against Bitcoin on: April 10, 2013, 10:19:17 AM
    Bitcoin. The Ultimate Test for Economists and Economics bloggers

    Which economist is a vast know-nothing wind-bag, and which deserves his or her badge of honor as an econo-genius?

    • Karl Denninger Against
    http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=219284
    • Paul Krugman Against
    http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/09/07/golden-cyberfetters/
    • Adam Posen Against
    https://twitter.com/AdamPosen/status/319614427445993474
    • Nouriel Roubini Against
    https://twitter.com/Nouriel/status/321432357615845377  
    • Pater Tenebrarum For
    http://www.acting-man.com/?p=22571

    • Michael Shedlock Silence

    As they make their positions known more will be added to the list
    2472  Bitcoin / Press / Re: 2013-04-09 IGMarket provides trades for Bitcoin on: April 10, 2013, 07:05:09 AM
    Don't get too carried away. Spread betting is just a form of gambling, not an investment strategy. You can't get delivery of bitcoins from this, as you can with futures and options.
    2473  Economy / Speculation / Re: Why so few millionaires? on: April 10, 2013, 05:26:08 AM
    Quite an assumption you're making.



    The sudden move from $195 to $200 looked very much a (multi)millionaire scooping up 5000 coins.
    2474  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: April 10, 2013, 04:40:13 AM
    Some serious resistance today. Tomorrow will likely be red.
    when have we not had resistance this time of day?  I'm predicting we at least break 260 tomorrow.

    BTCChina already at 255.
    While I think these kinds of gains will continue for a while longer, obviously this can't go on forever.  At this rate, we would break 2000 in another week.  There's got to be an inflection point coming up somewhere along the road.  But who knows, maybe we wont even hit it until after 2000.  

    Inflection point seen in a crystal ball ?!

    2475  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: April 10, 2013, 03:57:01 AM
    I know an unverified UK user who has a default limit of $1k.
    2476  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: April 10, 2013, 03:51:26 AM

    To be clearer, it is the number of people who want to move >$5k per day into gox or >100 BTC per day out of it less the number of SEPA depositors, +/- all the fuzzy exceptions which gox only knows the full extent of.
    2477  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: April 10, 2013, 02:21:19 AM
    i was 14,250 in gox queue on Saturday, now i'm 11,800

    one day later and i'm only 11,620 Sad

    Now i'm 10,360 so i've moved nearly 4k places while the queue has still gone up over 4k, so i guess that means about 8k new requests since Saturday?
    How many of those are signing up to cash out? 10% maybe?
    I strongly feel the queue length is being manipulated. But I also doubt that 10% are signing up to cash out. I've yet to find someone with any significant amount of Bitcoin without a Mt. Gox account.

    They have also hired a dozen people to process the queue, when there was only a couple of people doing the verification work a few months ago. So rate of decrease in backlog (without counting new sign-ups) is much faster.
    2478  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: April 09, 2013, 10:45:12 AM
    2479  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: April 09, 2013, 02:56:22 AM
    BTC China up to $217 again. Loos like the Asians are waking up! Lead us onward my eastern friends!

     Wink

    Yet, https://btc-e.com/ is still $179 (at the time of posting...)

    The arbing that can be done is incredible.
    2480  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis on: April 09, 2013, 12:08:07 AM
    So who is stacking up the most BTC? SatoshiDice or MtGox!
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