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2521  Economy / Speculation / Re: 20 calls a day from large asset managers looking to invest up to $100m. on: April 03, 2013, 10:11:27 PM
what did you expect?

I kind of expected this, because I know that even skeptics will come to appreciate how brilliant Bitcoin is when they bother to learn in detail about it.
2522  Economy / Speculation / 20 calls a day from large asset managers looking to invest up to $100m. on: April 03, 2013, 09:53:47 PM
Financial Times is reporting:

"Exante predicted that public and media interest would take off when Bitcoins were trading at $100. Managing partner Gatis Eglitis claims they are now getting 20 calls a day from large asset managers looking to invest up to $100m."

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/b4be7d8e-9c73-11e2-9a4b-00144feabdc0.html#ixzz2PRJpnZqI

Hope mtgox solves its ddos attacks first.
2523  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Funding of network security with infinite block sizes on: April 03, 2013, 07:19:59 PM
Peter, what is your opinion here:

Should complementary off-chain solutions develop organically on their own merits, taking loading off the Bitcoin blockchain, or should Bitcoin be crippled in the hope and expectation that complementary services develop around it faster?
2524  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: April 03, 2013, 06:17:44 AM
It appears that the serious money is now getting into Bitcoin. Playtime is over.
2525  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: April 03, 2013, 06:11:54 AM
Wall.....in rubbles

it was pulled.  you guys are fast too... as soon as the wall was pulled the price jumped $8 before I could buy

There was a sell of 2500 (nibbled down to 2407 at 122.9) and 350 at 122.89. A pair of top callers who were both eaten in the 6k spike.
2526  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: April 03, 2013, 03:30:51 AM
$125 didn't last long, a few minutes...

The ass is being ripped out of the ask wall.
2527  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: April 03, 2013, 02:49:42 AM
Heh. This is what's called a correction. You'd expect a deflationary currency to correct upwards  Cheesy

HAHAHA Brilliant!
2528  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: April 02, 2013, 11:25:27 PM
While there is some seriousness going on, I will just paste this for reference with some search tags:
MARKET TOP BUBBLE BURST PEAK TULIP MANIA CRASH WARNING SIGNAL

http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/mtgoxUSD#rg5zig30-minzczsg2011-06-08zeg2011-06-11ztgSzm1g10zm2g25zv

The 2011 peak was characterized by a 60% climb in one day, 30% crash, recovery the next day, followed by a long decline.
Plenty of time to take profits before reinvesting.

History does not repeat, but it does rhyme. Keep an eye out for a similar bout of irrational exuberance...
2529  Bitcoin / Press / Re: 2013-04-02 Business Insider "Wall Street analyst on Bitcoin" on: April 02, 2013, 10:42:20 PM
I can't even tell whether or not this guy is actually talking about Bitcoin.

+1

If his incoherent rambling passes muster as "currency analysis" then god help his fx investing clients.
2530  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: April 02, 2013, 05:28:20 AM
Someone just sold 6000 coins and could not even be bothered to drip-feed them out at 100 a time. So got about $2.50 less each, wasting $15k. Crazy.
2531  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: April 02, 2013, 03:55:05 AM
I would think this may repeat itself, but the poor showing by the bears today almost has me wondering if they really are tapped out for a while.  It's crazy I know, but I didn't expect us to have such a solid footing over $100 already.

The risk is not from the bears that exist now, it is from all the bulls which turn into bears when the price has risen "enough".
Your crystal ball is as good as mine when putting a $$ tag on that one...
2532  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: April 02, 2013, 03:34:16 AM
35k bid wall at $90

2533  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: April 02, 2013, 01:17:04 AM
i just bought some which means we are bout to go down big time. I'm just not good at making money this way

Anyone buying in at $100 needs to have patience and just sit on their holding and give it a chance.
Based upon 2012 growth rate, the target fx rate for end of 2013 was $50. Now maybe it will be $500 instead. However it just may dip back to $50 first. I hope not, but if it does, don't panic!
2534  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Funding of network security with infinite block sizes on: April 01, 2013, 11:56:14 PM
OK, so it doesn't work if you pick those particular numbers. How about if doubling the difficulty gave you 4x the space then? Or more?

Maybe, though, if you make it so that you get super-linear reward for linear effort, then everyone will try to make their blocks as large as possible.

Lateral thinking is always welcome, but any change which makes you think "hmm. That could have unintended consequences..." requires a great deal of analysis and prototyping before getting near live.

Maybe an interim solution for an interim situation?

Plan A: simple increase of block size limit based upon median size of recent blocks (or similar approach)
Plan B: optimal block sizing algorithm OR infinite size allowed. Either case with whatever incentives are determined to work.

Have plan A ready for a new release, at least by the time 500KB blocks are common. Plan B can simmer in the background until a version is demonstrably better than the simple plan A implementation. Only then do it.
2535  Bitcoin / Press / 2013-03-31 GATA - Is bitcoin better, freer from government rigging than gold? on: April 01, 2013, 11:30:04 PM
Short, but very nice open letter from Chris Powell, the secretary of the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee.

Full title: Is bitcoin a better hedge, freer from government market rigging than gold?

http://www.gata.org/node/12403

It is great that the fierce defenders of gold and silver have an open mind about Bitcoin and even see it as a similar store of wealth.
2536  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: April 01, 2013, 10:03:53 PM
I think Proudhon is so rich in BTC that he finds a perverse joy in making predictions against his own interest.

And if then indeed goes down, hey... He was right  Wink

My theory is that proudhon made 100x his money by buying at 5c and selling it all at $5.
Now he hurts from kicking himself so much.
2537  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: April 01, 2013, 09:45:06 PM
Real-Link, What makes you so sure those big transactions aren't real-world purchases of products, or inter-wallet transfers?
2538  Bitcoin / Press / Re: 2013-03-31 Forbes 'Is Bitcoin Doing Well Or Is It Just A Bubble?' on: April 01, 2013, 11:01:04 AM
Quote
The US money supply supports the $15 trillion of the US GDP for example. And that GDP is a significant multiple of the monetary base of $600 billion or so. The same holds true of other currencies around the world ... With Bitcoin it is very different indeed. Transaction value ... is much lower for Bitcoin than the outstanding value of the currency is.

Beyond the obvious error where he writes "monetary base of $600 billion" (M1 is $2.6 trillion), he is simply wrong.

U.S. GDP is about 5.8 times M1.

Bitcoin transaction value is about 10 times the Bitcoin M1 (109.5 million / 11 million).

Of course, GDP is a small part of total transaction value, but at least Bitcoin is in the same ballpark.


According to this Wiki article, the "montary base" is not M1, but M0, which is smaller than M1 but no longer reported by the Federal Reserve.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monetary_base

Yes. The Bitcoin monetary base is purely M0.
The effective monetary base for the US is more like $10tn supporting the $15tn GDP.


Zerohedge has this in a current article: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-03-31/visualization-modern-fractional-reserve-banking-and-how-cyprus-fits
2539  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: First BFL ASIC! on: April 01, 2013, 06:06:56 AM
Congratulations Luke!
Can't see clearly your screenshot, what hash rate are you getting at present?
2540  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: April 01, 2013, 05:25:48 AM
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