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2881  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: average confirmation time 18 minutes? on: November 10, 2013, 05:22:23 PM
My guess is that at least one miner (miner in this case is the person controlling the block construction) likely has a non-optimal tx selection setup.  My guess is they have a hard target of say 100KB  and reserve some of it (say 20KB) for free tx.  This results in the pool leaving paying tx. 

Honestly the latency and thus orphan effect on the difference between a 300KB block and 100KB block is negligible for a well connected miner (once again miner is the person creating and publishing blocks) it may simply be a configuration "issue".
What I'm saying is that when there are 25 BTC/block worth of transaction fees available, then miners will pay very close attention to their configurations to make sure their block filling heuristics are optimal.

Right now they have a very weak incentive to care because the subsidy dwarfs everything else so I'm not surprised that configurations are suboptimal.
2882  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: average confirmation time 18 minutes? on: November 10, 2013, 05:12:53 PM
The fact that many pools are leaving PAYING tx likely means the issue is a configuration one not an intended policy.
This is going to be a problem until the transaction rate has increased by about two orders of magnitude.

Once transaction fees become as significant the subsidy in terms of miner revenue pool operators won't ignore them any more.
2883  Economy / Economics / Re: Any country with no-chargeback cards? on: November 10, 2013, 07:17:13 AM
Buy from someone who's rep is worth far more than a laptop?
Reputation systems are useful, but we can do better...
2884  Economy / Economics / Re: Any country with no-chargeback cards? on: November 10, 2013, 07:06:47 AM
I have always wondered this in the bitcoin world, how do you get the supplier to perform?

eg I buy laptop online send btc he does not perform. This seem to be a disturbingly regular event for online service such as wallets and exchanges that just have their btc disappear.

I suppose trusted escrow will be the new "banks" until that escrow runs off or is hacked.
That's an excellent question.

I suppose somebody should invent a solution for that.

We can do business across borders, yet government-provided contract enforcement mechanisms don't function across borders.

It's almost like we need a private commercial law system, specifically designed to fill in those gaps.
2885  Bitcoin / Project Development / Re: Colored Coins - the incredible features this new protocol layer will enable on: November 10, 2013, 07:02:45 AM
Unfortunately many people don't understand that you can't have a decentralized exchange for a centralized asset! Whatever you do on the exchange or however you do it, at the end you have to deliver the asset they have purchased to the customer using legacy distribution channels like banks, payment processors and other money services that are heavily regulated i.e. centralized!

I hate to see on this forum so much talent wasting their time in fundamental disconnect with reality. My gut feeling is that people managing projects like Mastercoin and BitShares will learn this simple truth in the hard way.
A lot of people in Bitcoin want to solve every problem via code, without realizing or accepting that sometimes the majority of your problem is unavoidably in meatspace and you can't code around it.

There's enormous opportunity for people who are willing to walk away from the keyboard from time to time and get their hands dirty in the real world, exactly because so few people are willing to do it.
2886  Economy / Economics / Re: How Bitcoin might destroy another entire industry! on: November 10, 2013, 06:21:45 AM
I have hardly any physical assets now.

I just moved recently, and I limited myself to what would fit in my car in two trips.

Also one of those trips I brought 140 lbs worth of dogs with me, so my actual physical assets are no more than about what you can pack in 1.5 trips in a Focus.

With a bit of work, I could reduce my physical possessions even further to only what I could take with me on an international flight.

Location independence is a great thing, and it's possible now with Bitcoin in a way that has never been possible before.
2887  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Who decides to break up BTC into smaller pieces? on: November 10, 2013, 06:11:25 AM
I'm starting to favor µBTC just because it sounds nicer to have millions of a something than thousands of a something.
2888  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Fun with Google on: November 10, 2013, 06:06:34 AM

how many seconds has the earth existed
435,355,989,674,234,985,345,394,783,892,394,837,983,847,293,957


IIRC, the Earth is about 5 Billion years old. That works out to 157.788x1018 seconds. Or:
157,788,000,000,000,000,000 seconds.

The quoted number is off by more than a few orders of magnitude. I noticed because it was far to close to the "number of possible Bitcoin addresses" number.
At least he didn't claim the Earth was 1.892x1011 seconds old
2889  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: TradeFortress is a scammer. on: November 10, 2013, 04:40:32 AM
I've never interacted with TradeFortress, but I have had successful trades with MPT.
2890  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 09, 2013, 11:17:29 PM
Bitcoinity just displayed some kind of cool animated gif, but I missed most of it.
2891  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: AOL Sucks................Again...........Latest Bitcoin Commentary on: November 09, 2013, 06:13:26 PM
Wow, I just now realized there are probably adults now who wouldn't immediately recognize the "you've got mail" audio clip.
2892  Economy / Economics / Re: What kind of BTC businesses are MISSING? on: November 09, 2013, 05:51:47 PM
But filling up would take over 20 minutes for 6 confirmations.
Not sure if serious...

Gas stations already accept zero conf payments in the form of debit/credit card swipes. Those payment methods can take 90 days to become irreversible.
2893  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: We need only 1 big company of USA to start accepting Bitcoin on: November 09, 2013, 05:22:13 PM
The first thing that's going to happen is Chinese exporters demanding (or offering discounts for) bitcoins instead of dollars.

Then the US importers will need to buy bitcoins, and will have an incentive to accept them from their customers.
2894  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How many bitcoins you are holding *NO TROLLING on: November 09, 2013, 05:15:52 PM
Everybody with more than 100BTC please post your address with it,  so we can tell you apart rob you.
FTFY
2895  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: AOL Sucks................Again...........Latest Bitcoin Commentary on: November 09, 2013, 05:02:35 PM
Mostly I'm amazed that AOL still exists.
2896  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: AOL Sucks................Again...........Latest Bitcoin Commentary on: November 09, 2013, 04:58:30 PM
I don't understand what AOL has to do with the article.
2897  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 09, 2013, 04:09:09 PM
bitmit = bitpay as far as i am concerned.
Probably that's why your Ignore tag has that color.
2898  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 09, 2013, 03:39:43 PM
There is one enormous difference between now and April.

One of the major markets for bitcoin/fiat trading actually has a decent interface with their banking system.

Chinese exchange users can move funds between their bank accounts and exchange accounts as easily as they can transfer bitcoins.
2899  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 09, 2013, 03:29:08 PM
I wonder if 2014 will be the year that we start to see Chinese exporters demanding bitcoins instead of dollars?
2900  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 09, 2013, 06:39:26 AM
Wow, today has been REALLY rocky, even by Bitcoin standards.Seriously, each one of those "big-wicks" is almost 10% of Bitcoin's value. It's done that like 4 times already.
It's like February all over again.
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