i completely agree with the first part. i also don't want ETF to be the "bull trigger" and unfortunately people keep on hyping it up but in reality ETF means nothing for bitcoin.


but i disagree with this part. all the things you named are centralized while bitcoin is uniquely decentralized and that puts it apart from all of them. and that is the "killer app" that bitcoin has and has been increasing its price so far.

you are asking about adoption not production of something. when you are producing something you can get an ETA for when it will be done but when you are talking about when people are going to decide to use that thing it will become impossible to do because you can not predict what people are going to do.

and it is not just that, there is a lot of other factors to consider too. and people also are affected by that factors. for example the fact that bitcoin price is still pretty volatile which makes the incentive so that people hold it instead of spending it. and altcoins are super volatile and highly risky which makes people not even think about spending them.

why is it likely? that is the important part where you failed to explain.

just like back a couple of days ago during the rise, this is the same. just because price moved a little bit in a certain direction it doesn't mean it will continue fast and big in that direction. as i said before just because it went to $8k it doesn't mean it will go to $50k this fast.

no it has nothing to do with anything technical. and it also has nothing to do with "cautious traders". it is all about the hype and it being a fake hype. the rise was about to happen when everyone started making it about ETF then as SEC started to reject them one by one they started losing that hype and selling.

this will also go away and we will be back on track with the rise soon.

both can be good as long as you know how to steer in the market in a way to make profit. for example in a bull market you need to be able to get in before the price reaches the top and sell be fore it starts its correction. then on a bear market the reverse of the same thing but also there is margin trading for that.
in the end it will come down to your experience and willingness to try some strategies.

WHAT? almost all the newbies are looking at what coinmarketcap calls "bitcoin dominance" and it is completely meaningless because it does NOT represent bitcoin's dominance. it is only representing bitcoin's market cap (a false characteristic imported from stocks market) with the total market cap of 1500-1600 altcoins.

no bitcoin dominance will remain near 100% as it has always been there and will be for the foreseeable future. but the bitcoin market  cap divided by the total market cap will continue to go down as new shitcoins with huge supplies are released.

that's the whole point. the people behind something should not matter at all. the "thing" itself should matter.
in other words you should not be against bitcoin-cash because X and Y are supporting it and you don't like X and Y. or worst of all you shouldn't be against it just because others are against it.
you should be against it after you understood what they changed and what the benefits or downsides of that change was, look at the network and see how centralized or decentralized it is, and a lot of other things and then decide whether you want to be against it or not.

cryptocurrency in  general can turn into a Tulip mania bubble thing because in case of an economic crisis there will be a rush to buy them and since there is a lot of them (practically an unlimited number of altcoins) they will be in real big bubbles which will burst and damage the whole economy in general too! and it can even make things worse.

on the other hand things such as Gold and Bitcoin will shine in this situation because of their scarcity and security. specifically bitcoin because you won't have to rely on anyone for holding the gold you buy and storing bitcoin is easier and safer than storing gold! people would choose the easier and safer option meaning bitcoin and it can turn into their haven which has happened to some extent in the past too.

i feel like i live in a different world after reading this topic. suffice it to say that it is not a developed country and the inflation rate is high!

not everyone is going to buy real estate and there will always be people who want to buy it so there is always demand and there will always be others who want to rent.
it also depends on where the real estate is. for instance in big cities and capitals there is always going to be a demand and increase of real estate prices.
there is also the case of Up and Coming Neighborhoods. it is an investment after all and you always want to invest in something that has a potential of rise or is already rising instead of buying something that might rise or not! it is like buying altcoins, you don't want to buy some altcoins that is already big and pumped. you buy an altcoin that has not yet been pumped and is starting to get hyped up.

i have seen cases of houses that were old but more expensive but that was because of the location of them and the demand for that location but generally speaking the new ones, specially the brand new ones that nobody has been in yet is always higher.

i think it depends on the person itself and also on how you've gotten that money. some people have that characteristic of being lazy. it is in their nature and becoming rich out of nowhere would push them towards that too. but some others are not. if you give an active person money enough to make him rich he will still remain active.

as for the way you get that money, coming into a large amount of money would be a shock that some people may not handle. for example someone who has worked hard all of his life suddenly becomes a millionaire (inheritance or lottery,...) they wouldn't know what to do with their lives anymore since all they knew was work, work, work.

we had something very similar to this last year too. there was a period of time where ETF was getting hyped up a lot (it was Winkle bros ETF!) and we even had a rise and everyone was basically making the same prediction that with ETF= moon and without ETF= dump back to $900.

and you know what happened! SEC rejected their ETF and we saw a small drop then a couple of days later as the drama vanished we started seeing the rise begin again!

you mean ETF not ETH!
and i don't know there is still a chance that by the deadline of this hyped up ETF we see a drop and up until that point we may see a lot of different things inclucing a big rise.
if you aren't already in then maybe it is best to wait because this is one of those times when market is mostly unpredictable.

i'd say it is at least twice the amount that it should be. meaning below 1%  and unlike what these news sites keep saying, it is not 2% of Americans nor American investors. it is 2% of a small group that they chose from. read Franky's comment above. it is their group that is mostly interested in bitcoin in my opinion. and the real number of bitcoin investors is a lot less than that which is clearly seen on the low price of bitcoin!

first of all you just bumped a very old topic.
and secondly how is that proof of never falling?! how much bitcoin is mined so far is only shows the supply of bitcoin and the fact that bitcoin has lived strongly for about 9 years. other than that it doesn't prove anything about the price. that requires "demand" to increase which happens that it is increasing but you can't make that conclusion based on this topic!

it is important to know FUD that when some untrusted source talks about "bitcoin ban" your first assumption should always be that they are lying to you and it is always correct. the fact is only one or two countries like Bangladesh has already banned bitcoin and the rest of the countries in the world (99%) have not done anything like that.
your Indonesian case is a clear case of FUD.

22000 is the zoomed out, aggregated result of many buy orders not just one so you can not call it a "wall" exactly. people aren't placing orders with $10 steps.

the real order is about 400-500BTC which is still pretty huge. and it was pulled.
since this was just on bitfinex and nowhere else, i wouldn't really put too much thought into it because even if you manage to manipulate the price in one exchange, the others would go the other way and crush you while arbitrage traders eat through any size of  wall if a difference is shaped.

unfortunately for these people, investing in altcoins is not diversification. it is taking bigger risks for smaller rewards. a real diversification of your money is what you are doing which is basically investing in other markets like stocks market as the alternative.

altcoins, from what i have seen so far, are only good for day traders and pumpers. otherwise it is not such a good investment to go in an altcoin, specifically the ICO tokens which have no future.

all these speculations are correct but why now? it is way too soon to talk about the halving which is not going to happen for another 2 years (in 2020) and until then we are going to have a lot of changes in the market. i will grow a lot by then. we may be at $500k and the market may be big enough so that things like halving doesn't cause big rises anymore.

based on what i have seen in 2+ years of being with bitcoin and mostly on this forum and reddit i have to say this percentage is upside down. in other words 80% or even more of what you read on the forums are wrong. and when you are just analyzing them for statistics like this article you have no way of distinguishing trolls from FUDsters and real speculators and the forum is filled with them.

as a very recent example you can check the comments during June, if the 80% accuracy were real then price should have dropped below $6k and remained there probably around $3k that a lot of people were advertising for!

Rootstock is an open source project working on top of bitcoin as a side chain. you can see the source code and everything about it here: https://github.com/RSKSmart

being trusted or not should not depend on who is developing and what partners something has. it should be about the code and what it does! and this is not just about Rootstock but it is true about everything else including bitcoin itself.