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3041  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 01, 2018, 11:49:56 AM
Real Estate sucks.

1) Taxes are way too high. They eat your income.
2) Maintenance costs are usually high unless its a condo. Which eats your income.
3) If it is a condo type of RE, you'll probably end up with a broke-ass tenant who'll delay payments or refuse to leave the house. Lawyers... Say good bye to your profits.
4) Your asset won't get hired away instantly unless you let it go cheaper than the market price and with everyday passing you'll lose money.

Tldr; Fuck real estate.

I didn't forget to tell you about the insurance costs. I intentionally skipped it because I didn't wanna ruin your dreams further. I am such a nice guy.

Just curious, are you saying this from experience? Were you at one time a landlord?
3042  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 01, 2018, 11:46:31 AM
A home is an asset because it has the ROI of not having to spend in renting. I don't know about other countries, but here you can basically pay your home for what would otherwise be 20-25 years of renting. You would spend the same... but you would end up fully owning it instead of having nothing. I know in some countries (like US) mobility is some extreme that you can't attach to fixed location for more than a few years.... YMMV

In some cases that's true. But for most people in the U.S., they basically end up spending 1.5X to 2X as much for the cost of their house over the life of the loan than they would have spent on rent for that same period.

And most people rarely stay in their house more than 10 years. So every time they sell, they lose on cap gain taxes. Then they start the whole debt clock over again with a brand new 30 yr mortgage with fresh new interest. So effectively, they never end up owning anything.
3043  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 01, 2018, 11:38:10 AM
When you have to pay property taxes can you ever really say "You own it outright"?

No not really. But depending on where you live there are ways to reduce it to an acceptable level.
3044  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 01, 2018, 11:32:45 AM

Ah but you see, after a generation or two that problem will solve itself.

Snowflakes don't know how to be successful and make money. They only know how to run up debt (including student loan debt). So eventually their progeny won't even be able to afford those high brow schools anymore, lol.
3045  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 01, 2018, 10:56:13 AM
Of course there is absolutely no investment that is 100% risk free, but real estate is "safe enough".

Real estate as an investment is ok if:

1. You own it outright, or are actively working to own it outright

2. It pays you back (e.g., renter or leaser income)

3. It has some appreciation

Otherwise, it definitely isn't an "asset" unless it meets those criteria. It is a liability. I cringe when I hear people talk about their home as an "asset", especially when it's not paid off and they have zero intention of ever selling it.
3046  Economy / Speculation / Re: The Bullish Bitcoin Media Center (The ONLY Bullish Bitcoin News Thread) on: May 01, 2018, 10:45:56 AM
The Case for Central Bank Electronic Money and the Non-case for Central Bank Cryptocurrencies
https://research.stlouisfed.org/publications/review/2018/02/13/the-case-for-central-bank-electronic-money-and-the-non-case-for-central-bank-cryptocurrencies/

Quote
In the near future, a close cash substitute will be developed that will rapidly drive out cash as a means of payment. A contender is Bitcoin or some other cryptocurrency. While cryptocurrencies still have many drawbacks… these issues could rapidly disappear with the emergence of large-scale off-chain payment networks (e.g., Bitcoin’s lightning networks) and other scaling solutions.
3047  Economy / Speculation / Re: Calling top at $16500 (Even Newer!: $2483 bottom 19 Feb 2021 MtGox said so!) on: May 01, 2018, 10:42:13 AM
Where's dat $2483 bearish call, sgbett?  Or even the $4100 one? Lol
3048  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 01, 2018, 01:43:18 AM
4/30.

Last day to "sell in May and go away"?

Or

"Buy in May 'cause time to play"?  Grin
3049  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 01, 2018, 12:00:48 AM
So Forbes magazine spent all of 2016 and 2017 (two fucking years!) writing articles slamming Bitcoin. Calling it a complete fraud and a scam.

Now they come out with this:
https://www.forbes.com/sites/investor/2018/04/30/bitcoin-is-the-new-flight-capital/#1bded4873209

I'm seriously left wondering what angle they are now playing with this.   Huh
3050  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 30, 2018, 07:13:39 PM
Anyone understands what this article says?: https://www.cnbc.com/2018/04/30/square-shares-drop-after-short-seller-citron-calls-bitcoin-strategy-nonsense.html

I am not sure if it is the language barrier or what.


TL/DR version: FUD

Longer version:
Whales pumped Square stock on the rumor/news they were integrating Bitcoin purchases into their app. Now the same whales are FUDing and shorting the stock.

This is the same old shit they always do. Go take a look at Overstock.com stock chart, they did the same pump-and-dump to them as well.
3051  Economy / Speculation / Re: Russia - the internet belongs to the Americans, but blockchain will belong to us on: April 29, 2018, 10:43:47 PM
“Look, the internet open communication thingy belongs to the Americans — but blockchain open source tech stuff that anyone can copy will belong to us,”'

Does. Not. Compute.
3052  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 29, 2018, 04:05:13 PM
Buying/trading for and holding some obscure crypto coin or token, on promises and wishful thinking that its supposed features will cause it to skyrocket in popularity in the future (with no parameters that define when "future" comes), is just the stupidest mentality imaginable. It's like a mental sickness.
Worked well enough for me with IOTA, Monero, NXT and Bitcoin. Bitcoin was definitely "some obscure crypto coin" when I first arrived here.

You completely and totally missed the point of what I said.

I could hold some obscure penny stock and make the same claim as you. It doesn't make the penny stock worth anything, or what the issuers claim it will be worth "in the future". I just got lucky if its price rose to something higher than what I initially paid. It's price has nothing to do with what the company is worth or is capable of doing TODAY.

People are buying and holding Bitcoin because of what it can do TODAY. If its features never evolved from here, people would still be buying and holding it because they are satisfied.

3053  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 29, 2018, 02:09:59 PM
There will come a point when every single ERC20 hasn’t delivered on its roadmap and people will start to wisen up.  As one example, the market is saturated with Storj copycats.  You aren’t going to get people excited about decentralized storage anymore.  

I haven’t seen any convincing arguments about why VEN needs a blockchain and how they will stop corrrupt data being entered onto the chain. BCH, EOS and ADA are obvious scams, IOTA couldn’t untangle itself from a wet paper bag and I don’t need to discuss XRP, XLM or TRX.  

There really isn’t anything else useful or helpful that I have seen anywhere in the cryptosphere.  Happy to be told I am wrong and am missing things and for those things to be pointed out.

You are not wrong. Buying/trading for and holding some obscure crypto coin or token, on promises and wishful thinking that its supposed features will cause it to skyrocket in popularity in the future (with no parameters that define when "future" comes), is just the stupidest mentality imaginable. It's like a mental sickness.

It's like those clueless investors that pumped hundreds of millions of dollars into Theranos, keeping them afloat for a decade but never questioning that they're IP was complete vaporware and fraudulent.

I'm surprised there isn't a shitcoin yet that purports to one day cure cancer "in the future". I'm sure it would be quite popular with the crypto idiots.

Bitcoin has proven its usefulness as a secure, decentralized means of value exchange and ability to store value *now*, today.
3054  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 29, 2018, 05:58:30 AM

4. Sometimes I wonder if enjoying life more at the moment beats having more money later. For once, if you eventually get to a decrepitude stage with $100 mil worth of btc (say, in a few decades), then I have to ask: The f-k you are going to do with it?

I have been thinking a lot about this.

Do I want to be a filthy rich octogenarian with failing health, or a reasonably well off middle aged guy with energy for projects?

Warren Buffett is worth $87B. But he's also an 87 year old man that lives in the same house he bought for $32K and eats McDonald's every morning for breakfast and drinks Coca Cola all day.

So there's that.
3055  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 29, 2018, 05:38:11 AM
Money or time.

Hold $250 through 4 halvenings and see how you go with that.  

Assuming a 10x per halvening, that’s $2.5 million

Bitcoin at $95M/btc in 16 years? HIGHLY doubtful. Can I smoke what your smoking?  Cheesy

Why not? Bitcoin can only be stopped  when it absorbs every paper money out there and the amount of papers out there is infinite as long as they keep printing.

They can stop bitcoin's growth only when they stop printing money. As long as they keep printing, some of it will always flow into btc no matter what.

In terms of price growth, I'm more apt to believe a trajectory based on logarithmic regression and Metcalfes' Law where the price growth slows down over time:



So in 16 years, we'd be lucky to be at a few mil. Maybe ~$10M if we're really lucky.
3056  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 29, 2018, 05:10:16 AM
Money or time.

Hold $250 through 4 halvenings and see how you go with that.  

Assuming a 10x per halvening, that’s $2.5 million

Bitcoin at $95M/btc in 16 years? HIGHLY doubtful. Can I smoke what your smoking?  Cheesy
3057  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 29, 2018, 04:42:25 AM
The other reason that most people don't 'get rich' is they simply never invest *enough* in the first place.

This is the trick, isn’t it?   Is what you are prepared to lose enough?

It depends. I kinda don't like that phrase. Because you are never going to lose everything, and most likely worse case scenario you only about break even after a few years.

To have a shot at becoming "rich", I would invest enough in Bitcoin that if you metaphorically lost it all (so to speak) you could confidently save it all back up in 4-5 years through working. Whatever that amount is. The amount is going to be different for different people. Also you need to plan to hold it for at least 6-7 years, with 10 being more optimal.

Investors just throwing in $100, $500, or $1000 because that's "all they can afford to lose" should resign themselves to never getting "Bitcoin rich". Sorry but it just ain't going to happen. It takes money to make money, as they say.
3058  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 29, 2018, 04:08:16 AM

Anyone, and I repeat, anyone can get rich from bitcoin as long as they buy and hold...

That's the theory.

The practice is that most people don't want to buy assets when they are cheap. They want to buy when they are expensive.


Most people just don't have the patience to hold any asset for a long period of time before selling. They feel that 1-3 years is about all they can do before they get the itch to liquidate. Or they've invested more than they can truly go without for very long. Either way, they end up liquidating WAY before they should, and usually at the exact wrong time.

The other reason that most people don't 'get rich' is they simply never invest *enough* in the first place. These are the investors that put $100 in, then whine that they aren't 'rich' just a few years later. Or even a decade later. Then they liquidate and buy something frivolous that depreciates.

Lastly, people that 'diversify' like crazy will never, I repeat will NEVER get rich. Period. There I said it.
3059  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 28, 2018, 05:35:02 PM
There's a guy selling legendary accounts for $750 each here. Maybe it's the same guy trying to buy bob's account for $100.

The guy that tried to buy mine said "name your price." In a moment of weakness a lot of prices instantly flashed through my mind, lol.
3060  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 28, 2018, 03:31:09 PM
$100 folks !

HOLY SHIT !!!

Think I should take him up on the offer ?!?



#random #LOL #reported


Tell him you need the $100 in bitcoin and watch him disappear  Grin
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