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361  Economy / Economics / Re: Handle the 21M Limit on: May 02, 2011, 07:25:13 PM
Wrong concept, Tom, isn't "by produce more" that you cause deflation, could be but rarely (as the planet is already being exhaust of its resources), is by "retraction of consumption" (market has TWO sides, not ONE).
If less money is available, people will consume less, things either get cheaper or in stock, if stocking is possible, you can't stock fresh food for an instance.
This circle generates high losses to all sort of business.

I think you have the resources backward.  Every year, we are able to harvest resources better, more efficiently, and in greater numbers.  Technology allows this.  The amount of energy put on the earth and the amount of resources here are vast.

But, sometimes certain resources become more scarce or expensive to find.  This is an except to the general pattern, but certainly happens.  In this case, if the amount of money is constant, then prices of that good will rise.  We become less wealth in those area, which leads to price inflation.  This makes people poorer and is generally a bad thing.

Yes, this can hurt many businesses.  It also gives incentives to people to find alternatives.
362  Economy / Economics / Re: Handle the 21M Limit on: May 02, 2011, 07:09:59 PM
Like I said, Tom, it's a matter of "psychological" maneuvers.
People will get happier with inflation as they get more, even if they make less out of it, than with deflation. And even if deflation would be ok if all prices come down at the same time, the fact is they don't, some will, some won't. Let's say from my previous example you have to pay a rent of 250/mo, will your landlord accept 125? Or he will be asking you the same 250 even if now it worth 500?
Deflation is a cause of social unrest, massive bankruptcy and unemployment and, due to the psychological impact, way worse than inflation.

When thinking about economy, it's a mistake to think just in numbers, as who does business is people, nothing has intrinsic value, people give (or take) value of things, therefore you always need to add people to the equation.

I would oppose the creation of a separate bitcoin if it was out of the bitcoin project, as such will render "two golden cryptocurrencies", but my idea goes around create a lesser-valued bitcoin attached to the already existing one. One more suitable for investment, other more suitable for trading. And here works again the "mind trick", name one gold the other silver would keep "big sharks" away from silver... even thus mathematically they're the very same thing.

The only way deflation happens is if the economy is expanding (people are becoming more productive).  There's no reason to think that your salary will be cut just because the cost of coffee goes down.  If everyone else is improving productivity and you aren't, your salary might go down in that case.  But it's probably better to get that signal that you are slacking than just assume a low/no raise means you are doing great.

Landlords will be forced to make rents competitive based on supply and demand.  If they don't lower their rents, people move out.  I've lived in deflationary rent environments, and people have the expectation that their rent lowers.  It's not a big deal.  He can ask all he wants.  But you are not his slave.  If the guy down the street lowers his rent to 125, you are going to move if he doesn't do the same.

Please explain how it causes bankruptcy.

In deflationary times there has been bankruptcy.  But this is do to the boom-bust cycle which is caused by ma-investment.  People invest in unprofitable areas due, that seemed like a good idea, but easy money drives inflation and the cost of business, which makes the business no longer profitable.  This results in bankruptcy, the easy money clamps down, deflation occurs, and then you have bankruptcy and unemployment.  But this is like saying that umbrellas cause rain since it is always raining when people carry umbrellas.

Yes, there is some psychological adjustment.  But people will adjust, just as they have adjusted to inflation.  People expect raises now.  People will expect rents to drop, food prices to drop, etc..., as we get more prosperous.  Salaries would stay constant or possibly drop a little with an increase in population, but they would be used to it.
363  Other / Off-topic / Re: EFF Open Wireless Movement on: May 02, 2011, 06:59:42 PM
Let randoms use my internet and degrade my connection because maybe they will let me use theirs? LOL.
My network is open, and I use one of the neighbours open networks when my own network is down.  I expect my neighbours to do the same.  Why not?  We couldn't do that if everyone encrypted their networks.  In practice I can in most cases, because people use stupid passwords or even WEP, but it would be more hassle to do so.

If some random passer by wants to use my network, that's OK as well.  Why not?  I'm not going to demand anything back.  Unused bandwidth isn't worth anything to me.

Your network isn't degraded with normal use, unless you still use a modem or something.  If someone abuses my wireless network, I can easily block that client out, but I never had to.  The sinner has always turned out to be in my own house, or someone attacking my network from the internet.  Since wireless bandwidth degrades with obstacles and distance from the router, it is unlikely that a neighbour would be able to saturate my internet line.

And what if they don't?  Or what if they decide to just not buy internet (I know plenty of people that did).

This is tragedy of the commons all over again.

My connection will degrade if too many people try to connect to high bandwidth sites at the same time.  I have a download limit per month.  Why would I share that, just in the hopes I can get it from someone else?
364  Economy / Economics / Re: Handle the 21M Limit on: May 02, 2011, 03:06:55 PM
tom;

Deflation is a "money trick" not quite connected to production. It's a nightmare due specially to its social consequences, obviously BTC is somewhat safe of this due to not be "currency" anywhere. How could you explain to someone you'll pay him less? Will he understand? And if don't, you will bankrupt to pay him the same he's already getting... to the end it causes massive bankruptcy and spikes unemployment. A normal reaction of a government would be to change currency, or its name.
Again... it may not apply to BTC, at least just yet.

You won't make less if you keep your production increases equal to the rest of the economies growth.  If you are inefficient, your salary will get cut.  Otherwise, it will remain constant or even grow.

People will adjust.


But maybe they won't, since people get low raises now and think they are making more money even when inflation eats it away.  But they will have to live with the consequences whether they understand it or not.  But it certainly is superior to any inflationary system.
365  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Paypal as honeypot... on: May 02, 2011, 01:16:35 PM
This is indeed bad, coinpal was simple no thrills exchange cash for coins, plus paypal was a nice method to convert the coins into useable cash that could appear at the ATM. I'm not sure why they frooze his account really if he has cash to give away in exchange for btc isn't that his prerogative, no doubt it was the volumes both large and small that drew attention, perhaps this is a temporary thing time will tell.

Competition. Paypal got wise and realized they were helping a competitor bootstrap itself into existence.

It's more likely they would have trouble with regulations than they are scared.
366  Bitcoin / Mining / Re: 10 - 15k in mining equipment on: May 02, 2011, 02:32:17 AM
Hey all,

Mining noob here just wanted some expert opinions on what kind of equipment people would buy if they had 10-15k to spend on a new setup.  What cards would you buy?  Are towers ok or is a rack preferable?  Should you run them in crossfire or individually?  I know the economics of mining are controversial so I'm just trying to gather more info on the subject.  Smiley

Thanks!
 

Buy 15k of bitcoins.
367  Economy / Economics / Re: Gold vs bitcoin on: May 01, 2011, 10:13:44 PM
If bitcoin will be a success (e.g. 10% of US economy), than i think it will demonetize gold relatively quickly, so gold's price will be around industrial use price. This is the same effect, that happened to silver in 19-20th century.
Betting on something 2 years old with 10,000 users vs. something with 5,000 of history seems like a bad mistake IMO.
368  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: If you're thinking buying mining hardware, read this first on: May 01, 2011, 10:06:17 PM
I think Bitcoin will be more of a niche, like Esperanto. A hundred years ago, many people thought that Esperanto might one day be used by most of the world's people. However, it ended up being of the order of a million fluent speakers.
Hi, Iīm new here. IMHO the difference between Esperanto and Bitcoins is the usefulness. You canīt buy stuff anonymously by Esperanto, or hide money, or speculate, etc. Bitcoins are usefull to some people, while Esperanto is pure idealism.
[/quote]
They have a lot in common.

Esperanto would be super useful if everyone spoke it.  Bitcoin would be super useful if everyone spoke it.  But you are right that Bitcoin would still be useful for niche applications where Esperanto isn't.
369  Economy / Economics / Re: Anarcho-capitalism, Monopolies, Private dictatorships on: May 01, 2011, 10:02:26 PM

Schools suck/stagnate.

I mean, why do we have to listen teachers yammer in lecture? Just record the lecture of the best teacher and use it to teach everybody about topics. Plus, that mean no rushing to write down notes.

I never got much out of lectures anyway.  But there is some value in tutoring IMO and personal interaction.  Watch a lecture, then have less skilled tutors around to help out.
370  Economy / Economics / Re: Anarcho-capitalism, Monopolies, Private dictatorships on: May 01, 2011, 09:38:42 PM
So in the video posted, Friedman admitted that he had no clue how the NYSE and DeBeers worked out so well.  Let's say they're flukes.  Even if they have a formula, I'm going to give the benefit of the doubt to the free-marketers and say that those two are a statistical fluke, and will happen rarely.  (And if they aren't a fluke, then more like them will pop up SOONER, hence calling the fluke a "benefit of the doubt".)  But then, given enough time, monopolies will form to cover any and all industry.  Then, as monopolies, they make the cost of entering that market much higher, effectively shutting out new competition, because it's just cheaper to continue to use them.  Of course the cost to use them won't be too high, because they want to maintain monopoly, but it will still be artificially higher than it should be, and not because of the value of the goods to the consumer.  This point has never been addressed to my knowledge, and it is a perfect reason why certain areas need to be socialized, like police and roads and education (and health care).

DeBeers had people break the cartel and is no more.  Plus, synthetic diamonds.

NYSE has several competitors.

Seems like they aren't very good examples.  You can make a monopoly for a short period of time, but as soon as you start charging too much, competitors can creep in.  How can they make the cost of entering any higher without using force?

Why aren't we seeing more monopolies?  Is it because of Sherman?

Strange that roads, police, and health care are all areas that have some of the least competitive prices.  Let's make everything a monopoly so we don't have to pay high monopoly prices!


If you want to have police and roads and education subsidized for the poor, I can at least understand the justification.  But making a monopoly to make things cheaper never works out as planned.  Competition is beautiful.
371  Economy / Economics / Re: Handle the 21M Limit on: May 01, 2011, 07:02:27 PM
"People gambling on which takes off"... people is already gambling on it with Bitcoin alone.
Also you "need" USD (if you're on US that is, here it would help you much, as everything goes on Euros) for buy and sell stuff, whatever currency doesn't make you able to buy and sell stuff is an useless currency.
Exactly, which is why it is so damn volatile to begin with.  There is no way to accurately value it, so that's why it's so much speculation.  And because of this "flaw", you want to *increase* it?  This is like saying a one-legged man runs slow, therefore we should cut off his other leg.

And up to this point, I've to give credit to that guy with carrots, taken you can't buy anything on BTC and you would actually be a foul to attempt to run a business in this currency as you can't know how much it worths - up to last week 1,xx USD, in the week before 0,6x/0,7x USD, now 3.xx USD, some months ago 1.xx, tomorrow Huh? USD. It's not quite "trending up", it's bumping wildly without consistency. Fiat currencies goes a few pips up, a few pips down, this one bumps from gold to rubbish.
And see here an issue? Everything goes around USD, most (rather say ALL) of us think on USD or EUR or a fiat and stable currency, nobody thinks on BTC.
Yes, but making it more volatile won't make it more stable.  It's a small market.  Making it smaller won't help.


Deflation ain't never a good thing, unless the currency causing deflation isn't in use at all. Hey! Now you can buy more stuff with less currency. Right... but so you will earn less of that currency. Again, it just doesn't quite "hurt" in BTC because nobody is trading nothing on BTC, everybody is "thinking" on USD.
And I'm speaking somewhat against myself, as I'm one of the BTC "pioneers", I generated several thousands of coins in the beginning.

But back to the beginning, instead of Euro/Amero/Asian... it could be silver BTC/bronze BTC/iron BTC...

You don't earn less.  Deflation only occurs when the economy is growing.  If you are producing the same amount as before, your purchasing power stays the same.  If you are producing less, your purchasing power drops.  If you are producing more, you get more purchasing power.  What's the problem?

Did you expect it to replace the USD this fast?  If so, that's flawed thinking.  This is not going to happen quickly (if at all!).
372  Economy / Economics / Re: Handle the 21M Limit on: May 01, 2011, 06:58:02 PM
Choosing one works, until you find somewhere you'd like to spend it that doesn't accept it and only accepts a different one.

Doesn't matter as long as you can exchange cryptocurrencies quickly on a global market.

But I admit this would deserve a more thourough thinking.

Quote
Deflationary spiral is also a myth.

Yeah I know but we keep hearing about it all the time as an argument against bitcoin.

And rather than entertain that notion, we should just continue on, if they are scared to use it, let them stick with their inflationary money.
373  Economy / Gambling / Re: Bitcoin Poker Room on: May 01, 2011, 06:33:31 PM
There are a lot of ways. I'm not gonna sit here and type of examples here for you so people can read them and start thinking of ideas. Use your brain. Heres one last one:

On the turn its 3 ways. Legit player checks, villian 1 bets large, villian 2 raises large....legit player decides to call this time, so hes winning money....river goes check, check, check....legit player shows the best hand and takes the pot....BUT DOESNT GET TO SEE WHAT THE OTHER TWO PLAYERS HAD. IF YOU CAN GET THIS THROUGH YOUR THICK SKULL, THAT IS SOME NECCESSARY INFORMATION TO FIND OUT IF THEY WERE COLLUDING.

As for showing every hand at every showdown? I'd be fine with that.

Little limit experience hahahahaha thanks for making me laugh! I've played more limit hands than you in my lifetime old man, and that is a god damn guarantee. Unless you've played over 2 million which I sincerely doubt. Stop saying that this rule would solve "one tiny subset" of colluding, this rule would allow players to police them GOD DAMNED SELVES and solve virtually the entire problem of colluding

Well, for someone who's supposedly very experienced, it's amazing you were able to profit without understanding the game.

Why do you need someone to collude in your example?  In Big Bet, first guy can just bet big if he wants, he doesn't need his buddy to see-saw.  Sure, a raise might be scarier.  But if you suspect collusion, you can absolutely destroy the team.  If you do in limit, you can't do crap.  You pay double or more when a villain has a hand, you get paid only the smallest amount when they don't.



Enough moving the goalposts with regards to tournaments. First of all, I was just using that as an example to show that people will play regardless. I said right there in writing that 9.000 players played it, while 300.000 users were on the site. I am acknowledging that cashgames are the bigger game, and cashgames are all that is available on this site anyways.

You are the one who brought up tournaments, NOT ME.

You really have a hatred for multitablers. Do you realize its only possible to 2 table on this site currently? Anyways, the stars games you are describing, do you not see how its not all advantage to the 20 tablers? They have to put up 20 times the money, first of all, and second of all they have to think about a lot more stuff whereas someone focusing on 1 table can be concentrating a lot more on decisions on that table.

And this is a good thing.  Although sitting out at a lot of tables trying to get games going is probably a good thing since there aren't many players.

Sure, a 20-tabler isn't able to think as much.  Which is why they don't, they just play super nitty, at worst lose money to rake, and just follow whatever their HUD tells them to do.  A 1-tabler gets bored folding, plays hands they shouldn't, and keeps games interesting.  Rake will always win in a table of nits.

Anyways, its all smoke and mirrors anyways, just because theres some people playing 20 tables, you act like online cash was so tough. It wasn't, get over it, there were still plenty of fish till it got shutdown.

20-tablers have more risk?  Another hilariously wrong argument.  There is no more money on the line, it just means they get 20-times as many hands in. This reduces variance.  Poker moved from a game where you think to a game where you look at your HUD, then make a decision and move on to the next table.  It favors the Starcraft internet nerds more than poker players.  But I can see why you favor that style.

The games changed tremendously in the last 8 years, and multi-tabling HUD players are the reason why.  There are armies of solid low limit players.  I was shocked at how low stakes some of the serious players play (because they just grind out 20 tables).  Sure, they make decent money because they are playing 20 tables and grind a ton.  It wasn't always like that.  It's fantastic for the sites.  They make 20x as much rake.  Games are nitfests, and unless you are willing to just play a super nit style, wait until you have the nuts, then hope you are with the 1 fish, or constantly change tables until you find the fish and bumhunt.

But right now, the .5/1 games are harder than 5/10 NL was 5 years ago.  It's not even close. 

But you being a winning player without having a clue about anything shows you are probably right that it still isn't that hard to win.

Anyways, stop putting words in my mouth. I've continuously said that collusion isn't a problem, it just could arise in the future, especially since Hippich is currently accepting deposits and everything is motherfucking anonymous. This doesn't concern you in the least though eh?

Having the site be heads up games only would be a terrible idea. Almost no people like heads up and the variance is much higher, among other reasons. The bad players also go broke more quickly heads up which is bad for the site and bad for everyone except the person they're playing.

And again, I would be fine with everyone's cards being shown.

I'm actually a bit shocked you are fine with showing down hands at the end, but at least it's a position that isn't retarded.  It actually would help catch collusion other than your half-brained ideas that would catch only the most moronic of colluders (who probably would be losing money and exploited for their stupid collusion).  For a site that cannot actively monitor colluders, it actually is probably the best idea.  But there's no recourse now anyway, other than just not playing when those players are in.

Betco.in in it's current form is a great casual diversion but not anything I'd want to play for serious stakes.  And that actually is a good thing, I've actually enjoyed the social experience of it much more than Stars or FTP, where you might as well have been playing against robots.
374  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Ponzi scheme? on: May 01, 2011, 06:00:55 PM
So, I've been mining for 2 days now and talked to my dad about mining. He says that Bitcoin is a Ponzi scheme because we're making money even though no product is being sold or something. From what I can understand, this is not the case, but why isn't it the case? What's the difference between Bitcoin and a Ponzi scheme? And what are our GPUs calculating?

People are using it for something though.  Right now there is a speculative bubble since there aren't *that* many things you want to use it for unless you are a true believer, but that doesn't mean there won't be useful things to use it for.

By mining you are recording transactions made by other people.
375  Economy / Economics / Re: Handle the 21M Limit on: May 01, 2011, 05:52:56 PM
But the more cryptocurrencies that exist, the more instability you will see in each of their prices as people have to gamble about which ones take off.

I also had this concern for some time.  I'm not sure however it is a serious problem.  Currencies don't devaluate one another.  Printing sterlings doesn't hurt dollars.   Gold is not threatened by silver.  Etc.


Of course they devalue each other.  If you NEED dollars to buy something, and it is not for sale in any other currency, that will make dollars more valuable.  And I'm talking exclusively about having prices be unstable.  As demand for each currency changes in relation to each other, the value relationship between each also changes.  Some will eventually become unused and worthless.  Some will have flaws and become worthless.  Some might take off.


The fact that there are many cryptocurrencies on the market might confuse some people.  But once they make their mind and chose one, everything goes fine.  Just let the market adjust prices between them and, if the economy wants it, one particular currency will emerge.

I actually think that the fact that people can create a new block chain at will is a good thing.  If they do so, it will mean that bitcoin has reached a point where too few people have hoarded bitcoins, so that it makes bitcoins less usefull for the economy.  People then need more money to do their business, and there is nothing wrong for them to create some.

It might be the free market solution for the "bitcoin will create a deflationnary spiral" mantra.

Choosing one works, until you find somewhere you'd like to spend it that doesn't accept it and only accepts a different one.

Deflationary spiral is also a myth.  Oh noes, the prices be falling when the economy grows!  How horrible is it that you can now buy more free stuff!  Better give money to the politically connected so that we don't have that happen!
376  Economy / Marketplace / Re: Coming Soon: BitBank on: May 01, 2011, 05:26:53 PM
BitBank will be a way for all of you people who found something they HAVE to buy, but just can't afford. I will be loaning bitcoins with a fair interest rate.
You must provide several details to get a loan.

Name
PayPal E-mail (Needed to fine people who don't pay back - see below)
Desired Amt.
Links proving your trustworthiness. More links = lower interest rate.

The interest rate will be starting at 10%, and losing 1% for every trust-link. I will also loan to people without links , at 15% penalty rate.
I will fine 5$ every month if you do not pay for 3 months consecutively. If you are unable to pay a loan, contact me and we will work things out.
Payments are monthly
Minimum loan is 10 BTC
Max is 250.

Soon I will be expanding into bonds and bank accounts, and a website will be up soon.

The bank is closed until I finish the infrastructure.




In before bankruptcy.
377  Economy / Economics / Re: Handle the 21M Limit on: May 01, 2011, 05:25:25 PM
Having more World currencies gives us diversity and choice. Have just one renders a monopoly, as now Mt. Gox have for an instance on BTC.
If BTC becomes as bad deal you've no alternative, equivalent to BTC, at the moment, do you?
Stability will be in the interest of those holding or investing in the coins if more BTC-like currencies are available.

Like anything else, currencies also work by the rules of the market and concurrence.

You could make alternatives to BTC.  It would have to actually be improved in some way, rather than being a clone.  But the more cryptocurrencies that exist, the more instability you will see in each of their prices as people have to gamble about which ones take off.
378  Economy / Economics / Re: Handle the 21M Limit on: May 01, 2011, 05:04:22 PM
So, tom, with 6 parallel block chains you would end up with 5 times more BTC available, with different values between them is true, as they hadn't start at the same time, but will be more able to be up to BTC demand and therefore stabilization. A bit like what you've on the real world with different currencies.
As things develop, people will tend to stick with the most stable block chain for real life trade and use the more trended up as bullion or investment. Eventually some block chains will fall into darkness as happens to some currencies around, such as Indonesian Rupiah.

Why would they build up more demand?  Having more world currencies makes more volatility, not more stability.  It's good we have lots of currencies, since that volatility is not a bad thing since people can get out of bad currency and get into good ones.
379  Economy / Economics / Re: Gold vs bitcoin on: May 01, 2011, 05:02:45 PM
Quote
The only difference between currency and money is that money has to store value over long periods of time. Gold cannot be created, as it is an element on the periodic table; there is as much gold on the planet as there has ever been or will ever be. That fact along with its rarity makes gold money. Bitcoins can be created, which makes them a currency; a very effective currency, but just a currency. I personally like bitcoins as they are an effective tool for gaining wealth, but they are not a store of wealth.

Given that only 21 million bitcoins can ever be created, wouldn't they, on the contrary, fit your definition of money?

But you can't eat Bitcoins.
380  Economy / Economics / Re: Handle the 21M Limit on: May 01, 2011, 04:49:43 PM
OK... let's wait and see... However mind one important issue: Trading money for money is a burning spiral of losses, as nothing is being generated to back it up nothing is fueling the economy. If BTC doesn't stabilize anytime soon, to allow other sort of business to be conducted with it, it will become a slow-burning ponzi scheme to the end.

CDN sounds a nice concept btw.

Stabilizing is not the problem.  We live in the internet age.  We can price things every second.  For the large scale user, fees are negligible, especially compared to PayPal and credit cards.  Trading can be automated to make sure you aren't vulnerable to swings.

The only way we stabilize is if the exchange market grows tremendously.  Right now there is <20k BTC for sale on the exchange.  Anyone with medium pockets can buy them all up at any time, doubling the price.  Anyone with a decent amount of bitcoins could sell them and would lower the price tremendously.  We just need a bigger market.  It will happen with time (or it won't).
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