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4221  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2022/2023 on: October 14, 2022, 10:20:06 PM
Tottenham - Everton can be the most attention getting game tomorrow. Tottenham are a huge favourite in this game of course. They are one of the best teams in home games so far (4 wins in 4 games). They have great stats in these games in defense and offense both. Everton were also doing well for some time but Manchester United put an end to their unbeaten streak in the league recently.

There is no way Everton are getting any point here. Their last head-to-head in this stadium ended by a 5-0 Tottenham win. Considering the current forms, I think Tottenham will get another comfortable win by at least two goals.
4222  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: October 13, 2022, 10:56:34 PM
It is very difficult to rely on Juventus to win against Torino. The odds are also a good proof for that. Torino's current condition in the league is not much different than Juventus. There is only a two-point gap between them. The last time Torino beat Juventus was April 26, 2015. This is a really big domination by Juventus. But it is more like a draw game rather than being close to a Juventus win now. There are still significant defensive issues in Juventus defense line. I think Allegri's time is running out day by day so he should do his best to get into a better position in the Serie A at least.

I think that both teams to score is worth giving a shot. Its odd is 1.97 which is really tempting.  Smiley
4223  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: October 13, 2022, 10:40:29 PM
Bayern Munich are given 1.25 odd for their win. This might seem unfair for Freiburg as they are technically doing better than Bayern Munich in the league at the moment. But I understand this odd gap of course. We are talking about Bayern Munich in the end.

On the other hand Bayern Munich's performance is still not good enough in the Bundesliga. They aren't playing the same here and the Champions League. Therefore I wouldn't take the risk of betting on Bayern Munich. I'd rather try my luck with a double chance on Freiburg with a small amount of money.  Grin
4224  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2022/2023 on: October 13, 2022, 10:27:00 PM
It doesn't feel like Leeds are a team that can stop Arsenal's winning streak now. Because they are in a really bad shape considering their results for many weeks. They couldn't get any win on the previous five game weeks. Arsenal destroyed them by 4-1 here in the previous season. They can get another comfortable win thanks to their great form and better lineup. I don't think that this is the week they are losing the lead.

They might even have a chance to open the point gap with Manchester City a little but it doesn't feel like the Manchester club will lose points against Liverpool.
4225  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2022/23 Season on: October 13, 2022, 10:12:24 PM
Juventus are just another big team that are disappointing their supporters these days. It is nearly impossible for them to finish the group stage as the 2nd at worst. If they can't even beat Maccabi Haifa in both games then what team they are going to beat in this tournament?

I don't think that they would take the Europa League seriously. But it actually depends on how much successful they will be in the Serie A. If they can't finish in top 4 then they will need the Europa League title to join the Champions League again.
4226  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: October 12, 2022, 11:11:22 PM
Dortmund are not very lucky with their schedule in the recent times. Because their next opponent in the league is Union Berlin in an away game. Considering that Union Berlin are still the leader in the standings now Dortmund have a very tough game ahead. Dortmund defeated them here by 3-0 last season actually. And they didn't have Haaland in that game due to an injury as well.

Now Union Berlin are stronger and more motivated of course but let's see if Dortmund can still keep an advantage against them psychologically. I'd rather bet on both teams to score @1.71. I don't think any of them will have big difficulties in scoring at least one goal.

Union Berlin formally now has the best defense in the Bundesliga, while Borussia's attack is far from ideal. Both teams are in the top group and it seems to me that they will play more cautiously than with the intention to get three points at all costs. I think betting on BTTS is very risky in this meeting.

They scored at least one goal in their last six games and three of them ended up with 2+ goals for them. But only two of them were wins though. Maybe Union Berlin are the least conceding team with only 6 goals. But Dortmund have a good record against them recently. They defeated Union Berlin here by 3-0 before. But this time it feels like this will be a really close game. Union Berlin are good at scoring also now.

Although it might seem risky, I think both teams to score is still worth it. Union Berlin might score first and Dortmund would score the equalizer. It is kinda draw game to me.
4227  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: October 12, 2022, 11:02:41 PM
I thought that this Kane topic was closed by Tottenham before. However it is among us after some time again. I don't think that it is impossible for seeing him starting to play for Bayen Munich in the future. But I don't think that it will happen in January. Son - Kane duo are doing a great work these days and Tottenham are also in a strong shape. There is no meaning in leaving the team as long as he reaches his goals with Tottenham this season.

But Kane would really solve the consistency problems about scoring multiple goals a game. But it looks like the German team will need to find another striker in January if they want to bring someone immediately.
4228  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2022/23 Season on: October 12, 2022, 10:55:47 PM
Barcelona are just unbelievable. I really don't know how they played this much badly in defense. Inter had the opportunity to defeat them two times in this game. Barcelona must be thankful for their attacking performance today. If they weren't having a good day there then this game would have ended up with a loss for Barcelona as well.

Now Inter are still three points ahead and they have a big advantage over Barcelona. Because they are better than Barcelona in head-to-head group games as well. Barcelona will need to do their best in both of the remaining games. Plzen are easy to beat but it isn't the same for Bayen.
4229  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2022/23 Season on: October 12, 2022, 01:08:38 PM
Maybe PSG are still the leader of their group at the moment. But their performance against Benfica was way below the level I was expecting to see.

Mbappe still scored a goal despite the rumours about him to leave the team as soon as possible. Messi couldn't play due to an injury but I would still expect this team to be more effective in their home game. Benfica didn't have a big trouble against them at all and stole one point again. If PSG want to go for the title they should improve their effort level immediately. They will have a long break after the group stage to work on this. If the in-team problems related to Mbappe still persist then PSG might not even reach the finale.
4230  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2022/23 Season on: October 12, 2022, 12:59:36 PM
There are three picks I'm thinking of betting on now. Fenerbahce, Feyenoord and Union Berlin wins.

Fenerbahce should be able to have another comfortable game against AEK just as in the previous game. I expect them to be in control without looking at playing away. Feyenoord were unlucky against their opponent the last time as Midtjylland made a comeback from 0-2 to 2-2. However I think they can't do this again in Feyenoord's home. Union Berlin need to defeat Malmo once again and I don't doubt their performance in Germany. I know that they have a Dortmund game a few days after this one but I think they can still win this by concentrating on it fully.
4231  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2022/23 on: October 12, 2022, 12:50:59 PM
Atletico Madrid are going to have another real challenge in the league against Athletic Bilbao.

It is an away game which is even a bigger difficulty for Atletico. By the way according to the odds, Athletic Bilbao is the slightly favourite side by 2.44 odd. Atletico is given 3.10 and the gap is quite interesting. I would expect very close odds honestly. Athletic Bilbao's solid run in the recent times must be effective in bookmakers' doing this. Or maybe the reason is that Atletico Madrid can't beat them since 2017. This is quite a record for the home team and it looks like they can maintain this unbeaten series this week also.
4232  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2022/2023 on: October 12, 2022, 12:43:26 PM
As far as I can see, Rodgers is trying his best but Leicester players aren't making the same effort in defense. He criticised his team about the Bournemouth game which they lost that the players were seeming very comfortable. I don't understand how they can be this much comfortable while they are the worst team in the league now. Their squad quality is much better than many teams in the league in fact but they have literally no defense.

This problem in defense doesn't seem like it can be solved without making some transfers in January. Let's see if Rodgers will also be able to stay until then.
4233  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2022/23 Season on: October 11, 2022, 11:49:15 AM
Juventus are going to play a very critical game against Maccabi Haifa once again. They have no other option than winning here. Because PSG would be most likely to defeat Benfica in Parc des Princes. Therefore in case Juventus win at the same time then they will be only one point behind Benfica. This means that they will be more hopeful about qualifying from the group.

There is no guarantee that PSG would defeat Benfica. The Champions League is the league of champions where underrating any club might be disastrous. Yes, PSG has one of the best-attacking teams in the champions league but the Benfica team is also at its best. PSG is without their playmaker Lionel Messi which would really affect PSG's midfield. Gonçalo Ramos would be a thorn in the flesh of PSG's shaky defense. This match is a potential draw game because the chances of both teams winning for me is 50/50



Of course there is no guarantee for anything, not only for this game.

However I don't think the same as you that PSG's winning probability is 50%. The chance of winning in Portugal also slipped through their fingers as they couldn't score the winning goal despite trying harder in the second half. However PSG play way different in their home games. They like to start fast by goals as we saw it in their Juventus game also. I know that Juventus had a shaky defense then but it is still quite difficult for Benfica defenders to keep the trio away from scoring in Parc des Princes. Let's see how things go in the game.  Smiley
4234  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: October 11, 2022, 11:43:45 AM
...

I mean let me explain it this way, if Haaland scores 50 goals each year for 10 more years, he would still not be anywhere near Ronaldo, because he is that good. So at the end of the day United benched him, and he didn't play, and that means he wants to leave for a club that he could play for, where he will start every game, that’s more important.

I've seen a statistics shared about this topic recently as well.

It was saying that Haaland can reach Ronaldo's goal amount if Ronaldo doesn't score any goal from now on and Haaland scores 43 goals a season for 16 years as of now (plus Haaland needs to play until the age of 38). This shows how much difficult it is for Haaland to be equal with Ronaldo in terms of statistics. However this doesn't change another fact that Haaland is going to be one of the legends as long as he has amazing seasons most of the time until the end of his career.

https://twitter.com/samhomewood/status/1578699781811351553
4235  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2022/23 on: October 11, 2022, 11:36:08 AM
It is a fact that Real Madrid couldn't score more than one goal in their last two La Liga games. But they were able to score more before these ones in the absence of Benzema as well (e.g. 4 goals vs Mallorca, 2 goals vs Betis).

Considering that I think the reason of this might be related to their thinking of the Champions League games as well. They need to keep things balanced in the end and maybe they don't want to push hard in the La Liga as long as they are able to win a game one way or another. But it is the truth that Benzema is a big factor that helps the number of goals the team score increase more in most of the games.
4236  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2022/2023 on: October 11, 2022, 11:31:16 AM
Haaland is in a very comfortable situation in the top scorers table now with 15 goals. The closest player is Kane with 8 goals. Haaland has upset the balances in the Premier League right after he has arrived. He is a very special striker with amazing finishing skills. I don't even need to mention his strong physique that helps him become superior to like all of the defenders he has come up against so far.

While Manchester City have a beast like him it looks like there is no way they aren't turning this league into farmer's league.  Grin  For now, Arsenal and Tottenham are doing great and competing hard with them. Arsenal are even the current leader. However I still have big doubts about this duo after the first half of the season.
4237  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2022/23 Season on: October 10, 2022, 11:07:52 PM
Juventus are going to play a very critical game against Maccabi Haifa once again. They have no other option than winning here. Because PSG would be most likely to defeat Benfica in Parc des Princes. Therefore in case Juventus win at the same time then they will be only one point behind Benfica. This means that they will be more hopeful about qualifying from the group.

As there is still a game to be played between Juventus and Benfica in Portugal it will be another one Juventus will need to win. Because defeating PSG is a much bigger task so they had better focus on beating Benfica first somehow. As long as we see improvement they can show the real strength of Juventus no matter if it is a home or away game.
4238  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: October 10, 2022, 11:02:10 PM
Lazio are at an incredible level at the moment. I doubted their win against Fiorentina today honestly but they proved me wrong by an insane performance. They demolished Fiorentina away by 4-0. After this victory they have increased their winning streak to four games as well and climbed to the 3rd position in the standings.

They have very impressive statistics lately. They scored 14 goals and conceded 0 goal in their last 4 games. This is a perfect performance even if this series end by their next game in the league. As it is going to be against Udinese who knows how it will end. Udinese are also one of the winner teams this season.
4239  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2022/2023 on: October 10, 2022, 10:55:52 PM
We are getting close to another huge game in the league. In less than a week, Liverpool are going to host Manchester City in Anfield.

However Liverpool aren't prepared for a big game like this at all. They already lost two big games against Manchester United and Arsenal. Manchester City are the most powerful team in the league at the moment. Maybe the game is in Anfield but the truth is their defense is still alarming. They already conceded 6 goals in their last 2 games only. Considering Haaland's huge scoring effort so far, Liverpool defenders would have a really hard time about that. I don't think this is the game Liverpool are winning but maybe there might be a slight chance for a draw depending on their scoring performance.
4240  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2022/23 on: October 10, 2022, 10:49:22 PM
Sevilla were really close to getting a win after many weeks. It was a really tough game against Athletic Bilbao but they still did a good work by getting ahead first and trying to keep the score at 1-0. Sampaoli tried his best to get a win directly after coming here. But I think that it was a really risky move to play very defensive. Because this caused their opponent to dominate the second half. After so many goal attempts they finally scored the equalizer while we were entering last 15-minute period.

By this draw the nightmare still continues for Sevilla. But Sampaoli needs some time to make this team better. He can't magically fix everything all of a sudden in the end. We'll see if he is the right guy for this job.
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