$6,450 - $6,500 I expect a final war for the last major plateau at $6,400 before the previous drop to $3150. This battleground will ultimately lead to major support or resistance and I expect that we will be inside this range leading to the having. Thanks for the game mic! Like the new style Please be wrong in like every line in this post ![Kiss](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/kiss.gif) But most of all get your price right it has to be 645 1 ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) Thx for digging the new style...
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10151-10200
I was just about to write, 5dig is allowed ....
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I am also not as bullish similar to theymos and put my range to 6801 - 6850. I speculate that this halving might be the time of discovery and the beginning of a discussion of bitcoin's flaws.
BTC's flaws please do tell??
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@theymos, impressive talk and kind of to donate when winning
Cheers and GL
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As promised, I made a live leaderboard page for this game too, the address is still the same - https://tiramisu77.github.io/bct-game-leaderboard/I made a small improvement, now the delta column comes with a sign, so you can quickly see how much and in which direction the price should change in order for that user to become #1 on the leaderboard. Thx for the real time ticker awesome Here is final list of participants with links to posts they have made.
Winning price range is range of price which makes a user winner. (This range can be bigger than 50 dollar.) For creating the table, I used 1miau's template. Thx for creating this list and Good Luck to all !!!
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HALVENING!!! <----- Bullish or bearish Lets get something rolling. I would like to award a winning price of 0.125 BTC to the person that gets me the closest price of BTC at April 1st exactly measured at 22.00h CET So the price of BTC a bit before the upcoming halving event Few rules required to participate; -Must have at least 25 EARNED merits. -Must have at least 50 activity-Mainly cause of o_e_l_e_o we found a new way to chose a price (been voted here https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5213423.0) We will guess prices in boxes of 50$ ranges, looks as follow first is first and the price that will be picked has to be a nr for example like it starts from 0 and counts up 0-50 51-100 101-150 151-200 .... 7001-7050 7051-7100 7101-7150 7151-7200 .... 10001-10050 10051-10100 10101-10150 10151-10200 ..... etc ^chose a box instead of a price valid from 0 to 1,000,000 just write it in the format that is given here and follows the count. So a member will be allowed to chose a price with his own 50$ range, a taken box is a reserved space not to be taken again. I will also ask when the game opens and someone takes a guess, to write it as shown in this post... -once the price is on the LIST, it cannot be changed anymore, so think deep very DEEP before adding on ![Roll Eyes](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/rolleyes.gif) - BITSTAMP PRICE TO BE CLEAR-As this is a game purely out of generosity and in good spirit for the forum and precious community we have, I do hope that playing members do share there TA approach or share there thought of thinking why they chose the price they picked. Its nice for others to read and maybe discuss while the game is going, good writings will not go unnoticed... *<--- will be written behind members name that gives TA or shared they thought why that price range the chose. Please do read the OP, so it won't go wrong all the time with prices.....--->>> chose in BOX-FORMAT ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) If any questions please first ask GL to all!!!! I also chose to LOCK this thread https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5213423.0 ... Normally wanted to open the game in here, but there was already some discussion around the game and maybe could be misleading etc I hope you guys understand... Again GL to all!! LIST CLOSES 10 JANUARY AT 12.00 CET
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Will this speculation be for the exact moment of the halving, or a couple of months later? I can be much more bullish if it's 4 months after the halving ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) In my opinion, this works best as a "highest price before the halving" game. 4 months after the halving is just another Q3 game. Removing the need to guess the exact price on an exact date also makes it less chance-based, which I'm a big fan of.Maybe good to take a date again and the closest price that moment... instead of the highest until the date...
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Mic, it ended in my price zone, just a day or so late. OK to go up now price. Thanks Mic waiting when the Globbster predict ATH-and-HIGHER-ish prices
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I blame Microsoft.
I blame 2019 I blame boats
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you might need to help me out or something.... Okay example: I assumed 1% range, but for the bears, when I start as low as $100, they get up to 2% due to rounding to whole dollars. This gives almost 250 spots between ~$5,000 and ~$50,000. If that's not enough, the range can go lower than 1% for each prediction. It's just a simple spreadsheet rounding down a 1% increase for each number, then adding $1 to start the next one. I didn't go lower than $100, it doesn't work with 1% increases and rounding down. Bears like that shouldn't be on Bitcointalk anyway ![Tongue](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/tongue.gif) An alternative, and this is a bit more complicated but also a good exercise in using Bitcoin's possibilities, would be to ask everyone to hide their prediction until the entries are closed. So: 1. make up a number ($100,000). 2. sign a message from a Bitcoin address with your prediction and some random text ("$100,000 6632099102860212817669648358652770915593"). 3. post only the signature, don't edit this post anymore. Keep your prediction secret and don't forget your random text! 4. wait for all other participants to do the same, and wait for micgoossens to announce new entries are no longer allowed 5. post the bitcoin address and signed message, this reveals your prediction. 6. now we wait ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) ^ I mean with a next game to maybe do something with hidden guesses etc ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif)
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Small example when I predict 7777 then that price guess covers: 7752-7802 and only 7803 and more are available or 7751 and lower are available. Small correction: If someone predicts 7803, the 7777-prediction doesn't cover 7752-7802, but only 7752-7790, and 7790-7828 is "covered" bij prediction 7803. In this case, 7790 overlaps both predictions. This was in discussion but not in play anymore, like 7777 cannot be taken ... it will be like in the above post how o_e_l_e_o suggested and was chosen in the poll...
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@Loyce, very useful as usually THX skill show of ![Kiss](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/kiss.gif) Yeah, for the game this time the poll is voted BUT I do like your idea though i'm not that skilled etc then you might need to help me out or something.... Then : Only the set boxes of 50... will demand everyone to closely look read and pick there spot, probably its gonna get messy ![Roll Eyes](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/rolleyes.gif) That's too bearish ![Tongue](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/tongue.gif) It makes sense for very low predictions, but a $100,000 prediction could still be boxed in between $99,975 and $100,025, which gives it only 0.05% range. Meanwhile, a bear who predicts $500, covers everything from $475 to $525, which gives him a 10% range. If you're going with "boxes", can each box be a percentage of the prediction (say 1%)? So: 1000 covers 995-1005 10,000 covers 9,950-10,050 100,000 covers 99,500-100,500 It would be needed to enter a price in following order; ^ When the game opens it will follow the o_e_l_e_o idea as the poll made clear most thought this was the best way to go ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) first is first and the price that will be picked has to be a nr for example like it starts from 0 and counts up 0-50 51-100 101-150 151-200 .... 7001-7050 7051-7100 7101-7150 7151-7200 etc So a member will be allowed to chose a price with his own 50$ range, a taken box is a reserved space not to be taken again. I will also ask when the game opens and someone takes a guess, to write it as shown in this post... So when X takes 7151-7200 and the lower under him Y takes 7001-7050 and upper one Z takes 8001-8050, then the death space inbetween is for the closest participant, like 7400 would be for A, 7850 would be Z.... I think with this approach people will just write there price and don't need to be afraid to to be stuck whit like almost zero chance... Will this speculation be for the exact moment of the halving, or a couple of months later? I can be much more bullish if it's 4 months after the halving ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) That will be the main thing the when date, probably the game will open soon-ish Just want everybody to maybe already have read the OP so they already have some kind of idea what is gonna happen, probably many will not take boxes and write some non OK prices but yeah thats like every single time that some don't take the time the effort of reading the OP ![Roll Eyes](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/rolleyes.gif)
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2000+ Activity & 2000+ Merit is tough enough to achieve so that’s what I’d suggest. At the very most 3000+ Merit & 3000+ Activity. Anything higher is too much imo.
Knock it of with the high activity demands ![Kiss](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/kiss.gif)
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