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Author Topic: Halving, who's closest with actual Nrs TAKE A CHANCE on the LIST !!!  (Read 9760 times)
Kasabus
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January 07, 2020, 01:31:03 PM
 #301

I have to carefully double check as most of the prediction below $12,000 were already, luckily this price below is still available.

11851-11900 (mine) - Thank you for this wonderful game OP.




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January 07, 2020, 01:47:03 PM
Last edit: January 07, 2020, 08:43:00 PM by micgoossens
 #302

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January 07, 2020, 02:42:11 PM
 #303

Just adding my 2 cents, and again I know lm not in the running for the prize, but my reasoning for a prediction of 14,351 to 14,400 is because the mining reward will be cut in half.  To me the logical affect is that the price would approximately double so that the mining reward is effectively the same.

I guess my point is that if it currently cost a miner about $7000 to mine a Bitcoin now, then he/she is only making a small profit. So if the reward gets cut in half, then he/she will lose money if the price doesn’t adjust accordingly.

If miners stop mining, Bitcoin fails. Therefore, the price has to adjust.

Does any of this make sense or am I just way off base?

 
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January 07, 2020, 05:10:43 PM
Merited by vapourminer (1), MagicByt3 (1)
 #304

Not sure if this counts as "TA" but I'll be using my own formula [like the one I used on another giveaway] for predicting the price range...

521899 [my UID] /3733 [my post count] x 84 [days left] + 1484 [my activity] = 13,227.77
  • Choosing the nearest/closest available price range = 13,251-13,300

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January 07, 2020, 05:42:35 PM
 #305

I choose a mark 23201-22250
I can only explain this with my positive mood and intuition.

P.S.
I hope my intuition good worked out right now! Grin
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January 07, 2020, 06:16:17 PM
 #306

With all the news and future news concerning bitcoin price increase, my speculation is:

14351 - 14400

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pressnegl
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January 07, 2020, 06:59:50 PM
Merited by Hyperjacked (1)
 #307

I choose a mark 23201-22250
I can only explain this with my positive mood and intuition.

P.S.
I hope my intuition good worked out right now! Grin
I just noticed a typo in my post, I want it fixed without editing the post. Here's the right one:
I choose a mark 23201-23250
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January 07, 2020, 07:04:38 PM
 #308

15201 - 15250

Not exactly what I would choose (pretty close though), but most are already choosen by people. Tongue

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January 07, 2020, 07:52:41 PM
 #309

List = UPDATED

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January 07, 2020, 08:23:07 PM
 #310

List = UPDATED

23501-23550$ is my best guess...

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January 07, 2020, 08:29:22 PM
 #311

[6000...12500] almost completely covered, except for 2 open slots:

6101-6150

8501-8550
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January 07, 2020, 08:37:42 PM
 #312

Can I get the 13401-13450 spot?
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January 07, 2020, 08:43:22 PM
 #313

Can I get the 13401-13450 spot?

With most of pleasure !

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January 07, 2020, 08:49:28 PM
 #314

22551-22600      bkbirge
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January 07, 2020, 09:03:29 PM
 #315

12501 - 12550 for me please Grin

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January 07, 2020, 09:10:47 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (2)
 #316

Can I get the 13401-13450 spot?
With most of pleasure !

Thanks!
It is likely a bit on the high side but it's possible mostly because everything in Bitcoin is possible.. I'd also rather bet the high side than the low side especially right now..

As theymos said..
the US/worldwide economy looks fine for now on its surface, fiat inflation isn't a widespread concern, etc. (BTC also has fundamental value beyond its value as "gold" -- a hedge against inflation and fiat collapse --, but this is a large component of the price currently.) So absent any major news, I think that the trendline is slightly downward for now. ("Major news" would be mostly regulatory-related, such as an approved BTC ETF or increased regulatory pressure. Probably the downside risk is higher than the upside risk here.)

Well Iran is happening right now and I have been watching their prices on localbitcoin for the last few days since I saw it mentioned in the WO..

Right now about the average is 1.15 Billion IRR pesos to 1 BTC and 1 Billion IRR pesos is a bit over $30,000 USD according to google.. Up from yesterday iirc it was about 1.05 Billion irr/btc.. Up about another 10% in the last day..
https://localbitcoins.com/buy-bitcoins-online/IRR/
BTC=<$30,000 against IRRs right now by the looks of it..

So there is basically your "inflation and fiat collapse" which is only going to get worse if this ominous message has any merit to it, and balls behind it..
 



And their seem to be calls across the world for "muslim nations to unite" I'm assuming against the US..





So if shit goes down I expect BTC to go up..

The US fed has also been pumping hundreds of billions of printed funny money into the repo markets.. Or "half a trillion dollars"..
Which shows me some instability for the US aswell..


If Bitcoin is any good at all, global unrest is exactly what it is designed for..
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January 07, 2020, 09:51:46 PM
 #317

Ok, April is not that far. But externalities are strong, so I guess just 16849 $  Cheesy

I am bad in catching falling knives, always get hurt... .
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January 07, 2020, 10:14:44 PM
Last edit: January 07, 2020, 10:40:45 PM by Febo
 #318

If Bitcoin is any good at all, global unrest is exactly what it is designed for..

That is all fine. But will there be any world left for us to enjoy that Bitcoin at higher value? Well  I am sure we are not able totally blow up the Earth. But what will be quality of life on it is my question.


Ok, April is not that far. But externalities are strong, so I guess just 16849 $  Cheesy

Why April? Halving is mid May.



EDIT: I just saw I did not read much OP when I first rushed to set number Tongue

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January 07, 2020, 10:22:27 PM
 #319

If Bitcoin is any good at all, global unrest is exactly what it is designed for..

That is all fine. But will there be any world left for us to enjoy that Bitcoin at higher value? Well  I am sure we are not able totally blow up the Earth. But what will be quality of life on it is my question.

I surely wouldn't hope for war just to make BTC go up..

With Bitcoin you can flee war with your nestegg intact though so in that situation Bitcoin might save a lot of lives and increase the quality of life for all humans that can use the tool of Bitcoin to their advantage..
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January 07, 2020, 10:55:42 PM
 #320

Ok, April is not that far. But externalities are strong, so I guess just 16849 $  Cheesy

Read the OP Ludwig Smiley

moet in box formaat zijn Smiley

XhomerX10 designed my nice avatar HATs!!!!!  Thanks Bro
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