Seconded.

Without the lag panic, I'm nowhere near as concerned.

I guess that's what a small sell-off likes look with sub-second lag.

Panic! Oh wait.

Points to thread name.

Just, you know, trying to keep us on track

This.

Spass muss sein

That would be nice, but I think that would send the new money to sleep!

Back to the mean of 1.8% daily growth would be sustainable yet 'sexy' enough to keep 'em coming

72 hours? No.

24 hours: it may be that any panic sell-off is mitigated or even negated due to Mt Gox being ready to halt new trades on a lag spike as they've successfully done several times now.

The lower threshold and shorter periods of this allow only a limited amount of reaction to the lag and imminent panic sell-off.

This is the single biggest reason I am bullish for the next few days and am holding coins and no cash.

That would be nice but there's no way I'd say "This news is worth X" as the media love to report.

Let's just say: a positive impact

Today's:
Low $95
High $105
Close $102

Tomorrow's:
Low $97
High $125
Close $120

1% variance in the last hour, steady but low volume, 5K wall at $5 above, 5K wall at $5 below.

Well this is cosy isn't it?

It's a joy to change Bids, Asks and Cancels and they work instantly!

Just like the real world

I think that's a reasonable call.

I'm thinking if we hold around $100 to close today, $120 tomorrow is doable as a bump, not starting a trend of that steepness though.

And I think the only reason I haven't been called a perma-bull yet is because I have that Bear in my name - false flag

It does seem to have found a comfortable point now doesn't it?

I'm thinking: Gox has trading ready to shutdown now on a lag peak - this could make a massive difference to stop any slide. It could have stopped $10 higher had they been ready to this earlier.

To close on $100 today would mean the first green day since the last crash and would be up 8% close-to-close.

I call a close of $120 on Monday.

Free trading's over, little less liquidity in the market now, slower volatile movements too perhaps?

On that basis, I'm back in, all coins, no cash.

Ominous Ask walls developing.

Bull trap ahead of DDoS? Or buy signal and hope Gox shut down as as the lag hits?

Lots of $0.10 orders.

I was bitten in the butt by not selling in the $200s!

Fortunately my butt's healing with all the new coins I'm sitting on :p

This.

Ask walls building at $100 and above, Bids down across the board at $80+ prices.

The previous lag-induced, panic-driven sell-off started just below $115 and hit a low of around $87 (thank you for whoever sold to me at that price).

Once I've had my morning cuppa I might try to predict the next one - are you reading this DDoSers?

Edit: today I'm going to use a spare machine to screen-cap Bitcoinity ALL DAY, we'll have a second-by-second record of the lag then.

No, I don't have a life, nor right now. Not yet :p

I would put more store in your predictions if you didn't have a scammy link in your sig

I'll keep saying it: other factors need to be taken into account other than traditional trend analysis.

You can't compare BTC to established stocks or currencies right now and expect it to behave by the same rules.

This market is more open to manipulation and having more money pumped into the exchanges daily with more serious adopters and investors coming on-board daily.

Short-term: don't guess, just swing trade.
Mid-term: definitely hold some, have some ready in cash for dips.
Long-term: hold them coins, hold them very tight.

But I'll mark your words in case you're still around

Do you believe it's a series of purely market-driven sell-offs and the killer lag on Gox doesn't compound it?