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1361  Economy / Speculation / Re: What will be the possible outcome if bitcoin still continue to depreciate? on: December 17, 2018, 09:47:46 AM
That will be a question if what will happen if bitcoin continue its fall of price? What will be the impact to the investors and traders?

In the next few weeks/months if bitcoin does break the $3k support level, a lot of TA has shown that there is a lack of support below that level until around $1k. I personally don't think that is accurate in terms of bitcoin crashing down that fiercely in such a short period of time, but it could definitely spark a round of panic dumping as people capitulate within the market.

I guess this only affects traders, as panic dumping is really in the context of the short term.

But in the long run, it doesn't really affect how bitcoin technology is being adopted, used, and accepted globally. Price volatility in the short term shouldn't dictate the long term mechanisms and the fundamentals of bitcoin at all. It's the reason why long term holders should not be worried whatsoever, even if BTC continued to depreciate. All they should be worried about is whether accumulating further is within their means or not.
1362  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: The Chinese government could've created Bitcoin on: December 17, 2018, 09:15:56 AM
Anyone could have created bitcoin. An organization could have created it, a single person could have created it, no one knows.

You mentioned that there was an incentive for China to create bitcoin in order to replace or at least compete with the US dollar, but this is just completely false. Firstly, BTC would also be competing against their own fiat currency (the Yuan), so it makes no sense for them to create a decentralized alternative to replace potentially their own legal tender currency. Secondly, China still holds a ton of US dollars, and making it worthless makes no sense. Thirdly, it's just impractical to expect BTC to replace USD completely any time soon. And lastly, China has shown a tendency to be quite restrictive to bitcoin. Why would they do that if they created it?

It's complete, baseless speculation in my opinion. There is virtually no chance that what you argue is true. It could have been the case, but it's most likely not.
1363  Economy / Reputation / Re: Begging merit via PM. Really annoying to me. on: December 17, 2018, 09:12:02 AM
I've received a PM in the past of similar content in the past as well, although at least the sender was a lot more subtle about it, so I just ignored it.

It's definitely deserving of a neg in my opinion, when you combine the blatancy of the begging, as well as the fact that he has essentially started to spam your message inbox with the exact same copy & pasted text.

Any user who does this are essentially showing that they can't merits the legitimate way, and need to be resorting to this. It also definitely makes his "project" seem even more shady than it already is. To any prospective merit-seekers, not only does this not work, it could potentially destroy your reputation as well.
1364  Economy / Speculation / Re: Is it allowed for users to share their opinions on my purchase plan? on: December 17, 2018, 09:04:35 AM
Looks good. Honestly, prices are pretty low right now and the general consensus is that we're close to the floor.

Your strategy seems a lot like dollar cost averaging, whereby you buy a predetermined amount of BTC each period regardless of what the price is. In my opinion, this is quite a good strategy for accumulating coins for the long run especially in a bear market, as you are essentially accepting that it is pretty much impossible to predict what the lowest of lows are going to be, but rather, focus on averaging out the entry points of your long positions so that they are most profitable in the long run.

As for the coins that you purchased for $6k+, I would not worry about it. Again, by buying now, you are able to lower your average entry point. And if you believe in bitcoin in the long run, whether in terms of institutional investors, or adoption over time, as I do, then breaking $6k again is only a matter of time given the potential demand in the future.
1365  Economy / Economics / Re: China says rejecting physical cash is illegal amid e-payments popularity on: December 17, 2018, 08:57:11 AM
Quote
SHANGHAI (Reuters) - China’s central bank on Monday warned that rejecting cash as a form of payment was illegal, saying that such practices could eventually could cause the loss of confidence in physical money and was unfair to those not accustomed to electronic payments.

Its comments, made in a post on its official WeChat account, come as electronic payments via Alibaba Group’s Alipay or Tencent Holdings’s WeChat have become increasingly popular in China where they are accepted on platforms such as public transport and at retailers like coffee shops.

The ease of use has meant that some vendors, especially in major cities like Beijing and Shanghai, have stopped accepting physical cash.

“Electronic payments has given us a new way to pay, but it must not replace cash payments,” the People’s Bank of China said. “Over time, the practice can become second nature and people could lose confidence in cash.

It added that it was particularly unfair to the elderly and people who lived in underdeveloped parts of the country who would have difficulty in mastering the processes needed for electronic payment.


The central bank also pointed out that some local authorities were promoting their technology advancements with taglines like “cashless city”, but said that this should not mean that they no longer accepted money.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-payment/china-says-rejecting-physical-cash-is-illegal-amid-e-payments-popularity-idUSKBN1O902F

....

China appears to be adopting the inverse polar opposite of a cashless society.

This makes for an interesting contrast with other nations many of whom view a transition to cashless payment systems as being a natural progression.

If someone wanted to cite reasons behind china adopting the opposite of a cashless society, while many other nations of the world embraced the opposite abstract--how would they explain this? What would the main motive behind differences in policy be?



I wouldn't say that they are adopting a non-cashless society per se.

As far as anyone is concerned, cashless payments in China is extremely widespread and is only growing. It doesn't make sense to say that they are moving away from cashlessness while this kind of large scale digital economic activity is still happening.

All this is is probably just an indicator of exactly how much cashlessness has grown in China, to the point where the central bank needs to intervene in order to get people to accept cash. It doesn't mean that the cashless society aspect of China will necessarily diminish in the future, or that the central bank wants to revert back to cash at all. It's just trying to enforce the legality of paper based fiat, imho.
1366  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2018-12-13] ‘Best Opportunity Of The Year’ to Buy Bitcoin, Says Weiss Ratings on: December 17, 2018, 08:37:40 AM
They really are not wrong. I'd say that this is fairly accurate, in fact.

Even though prices may not be at its absolute bottom at this stage of the bear market, it should be fairly close to that figure given the length of time that the bear market has gone on for, as well as the amount of institutions that seem to be interested in investing or at least engaging in crypto based operations during this bear market.

Though, if you are planning on investing at this time, make sure that you have sufficient leverage in terms of time, as a bull market may not emerge until much later on, potentially a few years. Thus, see it as a long term investment as opposed to a short term way to make money.
1367  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin vs. Gold, Fiat and Altcoins (Updated: Traits of Money) on: December 15, 2018, 12:16:21 AM
This is something that everyone that is criticizing bitcoin for not having "intrinsic value" should take a look at.

People don't realize this, but it's the fundamentals that bitcoin is run under that makes it valuable. It is decentralized, just like gold, yet it is much more portable and divisible that gold can ever be. It doesn't have the inflationary traits that fiat does, which means that in the long term prices should act as a hedge against fiat inflation, if demand for bitcoin as a currency/store of value stays the same.

It's these utilities that bitcoin has that gives it value. Unlike what others say, fiat is the complete opposite when it comes to it having intrinsic value. The central bank can print more of it as we speak, and hyperinflation resulting from mismanagement is common. Bitcoin solves the issues of both centralized currencies being untrustworthy for storing wealth in the long run, and gold being too inconvenient to deal with. Those are ultimately the reasons for me to hold bitcoin for the long run.
1368  Bitcoin / Legal / Re: Bitcoin-AML: Who's who with whom? on: December 14, 2018, 11:54:01 PM
Hi all,
there's a lot of companies which conduct Anti-Money-Laundering services regarding Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. However, most of them operate in the dark and work with tax authorities, secret services, police and so on. I don't want to sound paranoid, but a lot of crypto exchanges work with them.
This thread will - hopefully - grow over the time. It is meant to collect information on the AML-providers, who they share their data with as well as who works with them.


It seems obvious enough to me that if a service is collecting AML information from their users, they are going to share it with the police or regulatory entities if something is deemed to be fishy.

If a user signs up to any service that requires ID verification, they should be expecting their account information to be completely transparent to all government entities, as well as the company themselves. If you're not comfortable with that, then it's a good idea to not register or use their services in the first place.

There are services like Changelly, Changenow, HitBTC etc. that I'd not use because they seem to be collecting more information that it is necessary. Not only is this extra information ptoentially going to be shared with parties that are unknown to us, it is also an excuse they can use to hold customer funds and stall.
1369  Economy / Economics / Re: Peter Schiff: Next Round of Quantitative Easing To Send Gold To New Highs on: December 14, 2018, 11:44:22 PM
To be honest, I used to follow gold bugs like Schiff and others, but have since realized that they are rarely right.

Sure, inflation could lead to gold going higher, and that's pretty much something that has been confirmed by history. But even if there was widespread inflation, which doesn't seem likely at this stage, gold is unlikely to generate much profits at all given the stability of the asset even in bull markets.

What Peter Schiff is really doing is trying to get others to buy more gold, preferably from their company, without necessarily having any real analysis into the market.

And I do expect bitcoin to perform better than gold in an inflationary scenario anyways, because it is just so much more practical as a means of transacting due to its virtual nature, and portability that gold simply does not have. Instead of investing in gold only, I'd definitely diversify into other precious metals and also BTC.
1370  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin bottom could be around the corner ! interesting chart ! on: December 14, 2018, 11:40:50 PM
In the short run, we could see further decreases in price due to the fact that investor confidence right now is extremely low, and that fear is quite widespread across the market. As a result, I fully expect prices to dip below $3k at some stage.

But we are definitely close to the bottom. Your analysis is pretty much spot on, in my opinion, as the previous bear market bottomed out at around this level of percentage loss from the ATH as well. Even though that's not a sufficient enough piece of information alone to say that we're close to the floor, it will definitely play a role in this current market, especially as investors see this as a bottom signal.

However, the actual recovery is probably very far away still. Expect lots of sideways movements and further dips in the coming months. I don't expect bullish sentiment to return this year or even in 2019.
1371  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Which services do you expect to die during crypto winter? on: December 14, 2018, 11:36:05 PM
Hopefully at some point relatively soon we'll have scraped the bottom price wise. For exchanges and so on that's good news as a moving price makes money even if it's on its way down.

What's likely to happen afterwards will be month after month of nothingness. Most people will be gone. Price will have a barely detectable pulse. Many fewer will want to spend or trade. Anybody whose income comes from fees will find they ain't getting any.

Which services do you think will weather this and which will croak?

I think that a lot of investment services that denominate their investment packages in bitcoin or other cryptos will struggle during the winter. I wouldn't necessarily say that all of them will die, but there will be a general lack of demand for them due to falling prices and people's sentiments.

An example of this would be Magnr, which apparently already has closed down. Other 'savings' or 'bitcoin banks' could be next, but these were already risky services to use in the first place.

Also, a lot of smaller hosted wallets could die as well. There is generally more caution in bear markets, and I believe that people will move to wallets which they do not need to trust, and can hold their own private keys with (like Electrum), and not use hosted wallets that potentially could go down any second.
1372  Economy / Economics / Re: Can Bitcoin even work in our current system? on: December 09, 2018, 05:25:18 AM
Quote
I'm sure most of you know that most money is actually created by banks through fractional reserve lending.  Our economy is stimulated by people constantly taking out loans to make purchases.  But with bitcoin you can't loan money that doesn't exist.  Maybe we would have to change our consumerism as a society and prices would drop.  Being able to borrow money easily makes everything rise in price.   What are your thoughts?

Is this debt based system necessarily something that is positive for the economy, though?

But to answer your question, even with bitcoin, banks are able to conduct fractional reserves. I don't see why they can't. It's just that there would be no government guarantee if there was to be a bank run, and I'd assume that most people would feel more comfortable just keeping their BTC inside of addresses that only they have exclusive ownership to.

Since bitcoin's completely independent of the current system, and is completely different if not the opposite to fiat currency, I don't think it's fair to measure its validity or success based on how well it can "replace fiat" per se, but rather, how well it serves as an alternative asset that can store value in the long run, and to facilitate quick transactions globally without intermediaries. That's what bitcoin brings, not how well it integrates to the current fiat system.
1373  Economy / Speculation / Re: What Is Guarantee For Increasing BTC Price? on: December 09, 2018, 05:16:00 AM
I have this question: What Is Guarantee For Increasing BTC Price?
1-If there is No Guarantee, why you buy BTC than?
2- If is there any Guarantee For Increasing BTC Price than tell me what Guarantee  is excatly.
3- If you think BTC price will go up just because people buy it, Than tell me Where is the one Trillion US dollars that just evaporated this year in crypto going to come from, to take BTC back to its last high?
 

There isn't any guarantee on bitcoin's movements. If there was, then it would be a ponzi that would eventually collapse.

Prices are currently tumbling down because of the fact that wte're in a phase of correction after the extraordinarily bullish year of 2017. It's not like adopters are ditching the technology, but rather, speculators are afraid to hold onto bitcoin and panic dumping as bitcoin's growth returns to its long term mean. I'd actually be surprised if there wasn't a correction.

Although there is no guarantee that prices will return to its ATH last year, I think it's safe to say that it's a matter of time before investor sentiment turns bullish again. We're close to the point of capitulation which is near the bottom of this bear market, and with the fact that I expect global adoption (which creates demand for coins) and institutional investors to continue increasing in the next few decades, I believe prices should rise in the long run simply because of that, if you take away the short term noise like what we're in right now.
1374  Economy / Economics / Re: The harmful affect of a continuous downward movement of the Bitcoin price. on: December 08, 2018, 10:31:04 PM
You're right about bitcoin's volatility being an issue still. But I think it's only going to be a short term issue, as once more adoption in terms of real merchants accepting BTC as a currency as well as institutional investors heading into the market happens, prices will naturally stabilize in the short term.

I really do not think that this bear market will have any detrimental effects on bitcoin's development in the long term.

It's also next to impossible to moderate bitcion's growth, given that there is no central entity in charge of controlling the supply of BTC. However, in the long run, bitcoin will still be a store of value given its limited supply and decentralized nature, which makes it perfect as a safe haven asset, even if it doesn't succeed as a currency per se.
1375  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: KeepStake - suspicious team - plagiarized Whitepaper on: December 08, 2018, 10:27:06 PM
Simply nothing adds up about their site.

OP did a great job of analyzing their entire site, and sure enough, they turned out to be a scam.

They were quite creative in the way which they did their scam, which could have led to a ton of damage for anyone that tried to claim the airdrop. Instead of actually conducting a scam ICO, they made a fake airdrop instead which sent emails to participants which included a phishing link to a fake myetherwallet site. Scary stuff if you're not careful.

But all the signs of a typical scam are present, here. A plagiarized whitepaper, most likely fake team, you name it. That's why careful research should always be taken before investing.
1376  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2018-12-04] Bitcoin is a Ponzi Scheme, Says Former Israel Prime Minister Ehud B on: December 08, 2018, 10:20:26 PM
There's probably been hundreds of people that have stated that bitcoin is a ponzi by now.

I don't think that a former president of a particular country saying so again makes any difference. Besides, what real justification has he given to say that bitcoin is a ponzi scheme? There is absolutely no central entity in bitcoin since its goal is for decentralization, and there is utility value for bitcoin as it can be used as a store of value, and a means of transacting.

I don't see any element of bitcoin being a ponzi scheme. If his only argument is that "bitcoin is worth what the next guy pays for it", isn't that everything? Except bitcoin, unlike fiat, has a capped and controlled supply curve.
1377  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: Kloudtoken - PONZI - SCAM on: December 07, 2018, 11:54:56 PM
Lol. Only delusional people would actually believe in these types of returns.

You simply can't have 15x-50x ROI, with "speculation-free". If any investment scheme or platform promises risk free investments with high returns, it's as good as admitting that they are running a ponzi scheme. In the real world, all high return securities or assets have high amounts of risk. Furthermore, apparently their platform is "interest free"? That just confused the hell out of me.

Don't hand any money, or personal information to these people. They are asking KYC/AML for ICO registrants, it seems, and it is probable that if you do hand it over, they will either sell it off or perform identity theft with it. This scam is honestly as obvious as they come.
1378  Economy / Exchanges / Re: Beware of the Bitmart KYC trap on: December 07, 2018, 11:40:50 PM
Since a few weeks Dropil is listed in Bitmart. I was happy at first that there was another exchange that I could use to exchange my DROPs. So, I signed up at Birmart and I transferred my DROPs profit from the last Dex period to Bitmart in order to exchange them to ETH. All was fine at first. The sell order I made was filled quickly, so after that I wanted to withdraw my ETH.

Then I was confronted with the fact that I had to identify myself, in order to withdraw just a little over half an ETH.

I am all for KYC, it is a step in the right direction and will help a lot. Bitmart though seem to have a strange idea about how KYC should be enforced. They allow you to make deposits without asking for KYC. They allow you to create sell orders without having identified yourself. They also take the profits from your sell orders when they are filled. All that without asking you to identify yourself.

However, when you have exchanged your crypto and you want to withdraw it, then the ask you to identify yourself! If you do not participate in their KYC, they do not allow you to withdraw it! So you either participate in their KYC, or your crypto remains trapped...

They claim that their:
"KYC regulations are intended to ensure that exchange platforms are aware of the identities of their customers to ensure that unauthorized individuals (such as minors or criminals) don’t have access to certain services. That means without knowing customers' identity, there is no way to proof the source of fund is legitimate or not."

The problems with the way they implement KYC are the following:
1) Bitmart is giving all their customers access to their services without previously enforcing KYC. They only go into enforcing KYC when their customers have already had access to the services they provide.
2) They have already collected fees from the use of the exchanges before enforcing KYC. So they have already worked with and have been in business with potential "unauthorized individuals (such as minors or criminals)" as they call their customers, before asking them to participate in their KYC process. This means that they are already collaborators of potential "unauthorized individuals (such as minors or criminals)", before they try to enforce KYC.
3) The way that they implement KYC leads to most users being surprised by the fact that KYC is required in order to withdraw their crypto. So it is a kind of entrapment.
4) There is also the issue of them not setting different withdrawal limits, with different identification levels, as most exchanges do. Asking for KYC in order to be able to withdraw half an ETH is insane.
5) As I value my privacy very much and I do not wish to participate in their KYC, I also suggested that they manually return my ETH to my MEW wallet and then close my Bitmart account after that. They never responded to this request either...

To make a long story short. I am not sure if Bitmart are just trying to entrap their customers, or if they do not have the ability to understand how wrong the way is they are trying to implement KYC.

I have tried explaining them where they are wrong, but I do not seem to have gotten through. I doubt my points were even passed over to someone with the ability to understand them, even though I have asked for this to happen.

I would hereby like to warn everybody about the KYC trap Bitmart has set for you. Please be aware of it and do not fall for it. Personally I would recommend that everybody stays away from Bitmart, at least until they remove their KYC trap.


I'm sorry to hear that you got essentially selectively scammed.

I don't think that it comes as a surprise to anyone that an exchange would use KYC as an excuse or a tactic to hold the balance of its users for longer than it's supposed to, when conducting withdrawals.

They should in my opinion, at least have everything verified before you even are allowed to deposit. Because I think if you knew this was going to happen, you wouldn't have even deposited at their site.

You've definitely learned a valuable lesson, though. Never, ever blindly trust in exchanges. They've always got the ultimate say in things, and especially when regulation is unclear, you'll likely have no power in terms of legal actions if things do go wrong.
1379  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2018-12-04] Japan to Force Crypto Exchanges ‘Tell on’ Suspected Tax Evaders on: December 07, 2018, 11:19:50 PM


The Japanese government is seeking to impose measures aimed at preventing cryptocurrency traders and investors from evading taxes on the income generated from trading these assets.

According to The Mainichi, the measures would see the country’s tax body, the National Tax Agency (NTA), empowered to demand that cryptocurrency exchanges provide information concerning clients who are suspected of tax evasion.

It is understood that the government will introduce the measures as part of the tax reforms that are set to be published in the fiscal year 2019. The measures could be implemented sometime in 2020 after the publication period has elapsed.

Income Tax Act
Currently, the Income Tax Act places profits generated from trading or investing in cryptocurrencies under the miscellaneous income category. The law requires that salaried workers who earn a minimum of 200,000 yen from cryptocurrency trading and investing annually to declare such earnings as income.

It is understood that a high number of individuals in the country made huge profits from trading and investing in cryptocurrencies following the historic bull run of digital assets towards the end of 2017. Last year, more than 300 individuals declared that they had earned a minimum of 100 million yen from trading and investing in cryptocurrencies. But the NTA is of the view that cases of tax evasion in the sector are increasing and that the number reported was too low as CCN has previously reported.

At the moment, cryptocurrency exchanges are only required to provide information on their clients to the NTA voluntarily. But the reforms that the government is seeking to carry out will give the tax body authority to demand such information from the exchanges. This information includes individual identification numbers, addresses and names.

Information Protection Concerns
However, to prevent abuse of the new measures the government will only allow the NTA to demand information on those believed to have made at least ten million yen from trading in cryptocurrencies. Additionally, the information will only be demanded if the NTA has evidence that a particular individual failed to disclose at least 50% of that income.

This comes less than two months since a committee of tax experts in Japan called for the country’s tax filing process to be simplified.

    Japanese Government to Simplify Cryptocurrency Taxation Process https://t.co/3wWcE6cUQV

    — CCN (@CryptoCoinsNews) October 20, 2018

At the time, the committee claimed that the process was complicated and this served to discourage cryptocurrency traders and investors from declaring their digital assets when filing tax returns. But by simplifying the process, the committee argued, tax compliance would be enhanced.


Reference: https://www.ccn.com/japan-to-force-crypto-exchanges-tell-on-suspected-tax-evaders/

Not surprising. As gentlemand said, this will be the future of pretty much all regulated exchanges.

Exchange regulation has really tightened up just over the last year or so, probably due to the crazy bull market that was happening. Governments worldwide obviously don't want to miss out on any taxes that are generated through the profits made through cryptos, which is exactly why KYC, AML and reporting are so stringent now.

And this trend of mass regulation should continue well into the future, and don't expect it to slow down. As far as we can tell, you could well be handing over your income tax return in a few years time when you're getting verified for an exchange because of regulations. Reporting for tax evasion itself isn't harmful, but what constitutes as suspected tax evasion? Does that mean that all personal details can be reported?
1380  Economy / Speculation / Re: Yet another worse scenario a head of BTC on: December 07, 2018, 11:06:24 PM


Looking at BTC-USD on the weekly chart i came to see yet another potentially worse scenario ahead !






However there is some GOOD news here!

the 2900-3600 is rather a very strong support zone as seems to be on the weekly chart.

So there is a good chance that this may be the end of the bear trend,even though the 2900$ seems to be the most reliable bottom within this green support zone but anything from TOP to BOTTOM of this zone is actually a good support on the weekly trend. but the good news are unlikely to play out ! sadly !

The bad news is !, there is almost no sort of any support beneath this 2900$-3600$.

The nearest support area that we can count on would be 950$ to 1350$ .  WTF  Huh

There is however a minor support at 1900$ but that support was only tested once as a part of a small correction during the last bull run in July 2017.

now some might argue and say I am crazy to even think that we can actually go to prices this low, but really this is the disadvantage of a bull run that did not stop to make mark any support on it's way. easy come easy go !

in this topic https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5071613.msg48030883#msg48030883

i mentioned about the importance of breaking the 5800-6000 levels , and to most traders it was a clear sign of going short as there was no sign of support for at least 30% down the way. and BTC did actually drop 36% from there.

again breaking the 2900$ support could easily do another -35% or in fact well over -50% should the weak support at 1900$ fail to hold ( very likely ) and take us straight to 950$-1350$.


so long story short, the bulls need to defend this green support area as this will be their last resort before another collapse in price, which indeed won't be over night, and could take months to actually get there.

the bright side however from a TA point of view, that the easier it comes the easier it goes.,with these fast dips, we are creating less resistance points on the way back up ( in the future). the sharp fall from 5800 to 3600 created no serious resistance, so it won't be much of a surprise to see a single candle shoot from 4k to 5.5k which is unlikely of course giving the nature of the current bear trend.

now this is from a technical point of view.

Taking the fundamental part of it, it does not look less miserable.

if you have to name a working business that uses bitcoin and is generating any sort of considerable income, then i could be wrong. aside from Exchanges and Mining Hardware manufacturers the use case of Bitcoin is still very limited and way far from deserving a market of 800 billion $. taking the whole crypto market in the picture, what has any crypto currency done to the world yet ? 99% of it is either a scam coin or nothing but a copy-paste token with a better looking whitepaper.

to me , the fundamental aspect is less important, because what took btc to 20k was not the fundamentals but rather the technical, it was the greed, people look at the chart to see an insanely rising trend, kept jumping on to make money , rising the price and that's all about it.

now the way I look at the bigger picture of any new market is that, the rich / the whales or whatever you name them have to make the most of it. there is noway they will let all the geeks who out of passion bought thousands of BTCs for almost no price to become millionaires just like that. despite the vision of bitcoin, it will never set people free the way many people think. you need to suffer to be set free, it won't be as easy as you think it is. the whales need to take every single BTC they can from you before they can approve the market and allow it grow into a trillion $ market.

as long as we still call 3k to be bottom then it most likely won't be, since we are physiologically prepared for this point, so many of us are not panicking and still holding to our coins, they will still try to make it look worse, put you in a position where you really start to think BTC is going to 0, once that happen then moon comes.

now again this all could be wrong, maybe at this price the majority of the holders are not willing to sell anymore and the whales do not have a magic stick to force it , and if that's the case then we could moon up from here. but really what are the odds?

to me i take TA very seriously,its been working just fine for me, i do not sit there desperately waiting for moon when the price is collapsing , I do not cash out any profit from trading unless i need to , the plan is to get more BTCs  by selling every possible chance and buying at a lower price. so this is no FUD what so ever. if you are a trader, then you might need to start thinking of the possible scenarios ahead, be ready to act accordingly , try to get as much BTC as you can, so that in 5 years time you can quite your boring job and live free.

this bear scenario only ends with a daily candle closing above at least 7500$ , anything aside from that will be nothing but bull traps for the poor to fall in. remember there will always be good chances to go low. if you think the price is still going down and you are afraid to miss the bottom entry then you will be rekt. however if you are accumulating bitcoin only to sell it 5-10 years from now then you should not worry about 50% decline because it is only minor for long term.

This is not a financial advice what so ever, do whatever the fudge you want to do with your own money.
 


and , Good luck !




Interesting take on the current market conditions.

Personally, I would disagree that the only support that is below the $3k level is at the three figure mark. There would just be too much demand to accumulate and swoop up bitcoins at such cheap prices at that stage for prices to continue dropping below that. There will also be institutional demand, which we haven't seen in the past bear markets.

But I do think that prices are going to go further down from this point, although I also believe that we're fairly close to what the price floor should be at. Dollar cost averaging is the way to go at this point.
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