It’s a murder

I dunno what the corvids are going to think of that

This aged well

Why is he wearing flip flops?

People getting restless in the PRC

https://twitter.com/adappav/status/1227124462920904704?s=21

https://twitter.com/adappav/status/1227124543405293568?s=21

My understanding is that China has always required the patient to have both a positive test and pneumonia.  

The original case definition required them have both of those factors, and to have contact with the wet market....

2 new cases but significant decrease in cases under investigation.

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/02/10/coronavirus-latest-updates.html


Wuhan has a population of 11 million.  3% - 5% of 11 million would be 330,000 - 550,000 in intensive care in Wuhan alone if there is a 100% infection rate.  

Stats to watch:



[post edited because I confused total number of cases with number of locally transmitted cases]

The statistics coming out of Hong Kong definitely looks suspicious. The Singaporean case studies are very detailed. They seem to be taking contact tracing quite seriously. So far, they seem to be truthful but hard to tell.

The SEC doesn’t give a fuck about what happens on the Chinese stock markets. It’s laughable that they would investigate.  

And the Trump administration is trying to pump Xi up, not knock him down. That commentator is a joke. 

They are being supercautious because they don’t know what they are dealing with.

Doesn’t prove or disprove anything.  

Am watching the cases in Western jurisdictions closely.  So far no explosions of infection from the French or German cases.  

Given the amount of air travel from Hong Kong and Singapore, cases currently are surprisingly low.

Weeee

Go go go

$10,200

It’s accelerating.  I am going to have to bend my fractal.

Flu comes in thousands of strains.  

Flu vaccines are planned based on projections of what are likely to be the dominant strain(s) that year.  

Projections are based on what is happening in the other hemisphere winter and what is circulating at the time.

The better the projections, the more effective, all other things being equal.  

Sometimes the projections are good and sometimes they are bad.  Even if the vaccine is 100% correctly targeted, it is still far from 100% effective.  Vaccines are more about building herd immunity. 

Anything burning fuel produces SO2, including my truck.  

You got my attention now.  Tell me more. 

Sure it’s possible. Which is why I don’t short bull markets. 

Nah.  No ATHs in 2020 imho.  

Not unless China starts to crack.  And no sign of that yet.  If the power goes out in Wuhan for a few days, then you should start to pay attention.