Making high-stakes business decisions has always been hard. But in recent decades, as the complexities of global commerce have deepened, it’s become tougher than ever. One decision-making tool—human intuition—seems to offer a reliable alternative to painstaking fact gathering and analysis. Encouraged by scientific research on intuition, top managers feel increasingly confident that, when faced with complicated choices, they can just trust their gut. Indeed, a survey that was conducted in May 2002 by executive search firm Christian & Timbers reveals that fully 45% of corporate executives now rely more on instinct than on facts and figures in running their businesses. Decision-making consultant Gary Klein, in his book Intuition at Work, expresses the common wisdom when he says that intuition is “at the center of the decision-making process” and that analysis is, at best, “a supporting tool for making intuitive decisions.” Intuition has its place in decision making—you should not ignore your instincts any more than you should ignore your conscience—but anyone who thinks that intuition is a substitute for reason is indulging in a risky delusion.

Making high-stakes business decisions has always been hard. But in recent decades, as the complexities of global commerce have deepened, it’s become tougher than ever. The choices facing managers and the data requiring analysis have multiplied even as the time for analyzing them has shrunk.

One decision-making tool—human intuition—seems to offer a reliable alternative to painstaking fact gathering and analysis. Encouraged by scientific research on intuition, top managers feel increasingly confident that, when faced with complicated choices, they can just trust their gut. Indeed, a survey that was conducted in May 2002 by executive search firm Christian & Timbers reveals that fully 45% of corporate executives now rely more on instinct than on facts and figures in running their businesses. Decision-making consultant Gary Klein, in his book Intuition at Work, expresses the common wisdom when he says that intuition is “at the center of the decision-making process” and that analysis is, at best, “a supporting tool for making intuitive decisions.”

The trust in intuition is understandable. People have always sought to put their faith in mystical forces when confronted with earthly confusion. But it’s also dangerous. Intuition has its place in decision making—you should not ignore your instincts any more than you should ignore your conscience—but anyone who thinks that intuition is a substitute for reason is indulging in a risky delusion.

There is no group of people that has a more complicated role in the Economy than billionaires. In theory, billionaires generate a positive economic impact through the creation of jobs and services for the public. Of course, the truth is a lot more complicated.The next notable wealthy person was Mansa Musa, a Medieval West African Emperor who became wealthy through the salt and gold trade. He is noted for spending so much money on his travels to the Middle East that every town he visited suffered from hyperinflation. Hence, almost all billionaires are CEOs and business owners. They happen to own the most profitable companies in the world. Billionaires come from all walks of life – some have humble origins, some do not – but they all have ownership of capital. Jeff Bezos is the CEO of Amazon, which in turn owns the factories and capital that the employees operate. By owning capital, the entrepreneurs effectively have a “right” to the profit generated after all expenses are paid. First – a brief discussion of growth. A common misconception is that billionaires “steal” the wealth of the public, treating the company like a zero-sum game. This misconception comes from a misunderstanding of the monetary system. Many people believe that one person getting richer means everyone else becomes poorer. Let’s explore an analogy to understand why this is not true. There is a village of 11 fishermen that are able to catch 110 fish per day. Each fisherman brings home 10 fish at the end of the day. One day, one of them invents a better fishing strategy that enables the village to catch 220 fish per day. In return for the invention, he receives 20% of the extra catches on top of his pre-existing share. Thus, he walks home with 32 fish, while the rest walk home with 18.8 fish. Overall, everyone is significantly better off.

There is no group of people that has a more complicated role in the Economy than billionaires. In theory, billionaires generate a positive economic impact through the creation of jobs and services for the public. Of course, the truth is a lot more complicated.

First – a brief discussion of growth. A common misconception is that billionaires “steal” the wealth of the public, treating the company like a zero-sum game. This misconception comes from a misunderstanding of the monetary system. Many people believe that one person getting richer means everyone else becomes poorer. Let’s explore an analogy to understand why this is not true.

There is a village of 11 fishermen that are able to catch 110 fish per day. Each fisherman brings home 10 fish at the end of the day. One day, one of them invents a better fishing strategy that enables the village to catch 220 fish per day. In return for the invention, he receives 20% of the extra catches on top of his pre-existing share. Thus, he walks home with 32 fish, while the rest walk home with 18.8 fish. Overall, everyone is significantly better off.

Season starts a week after EPL -- it feels like we have to wait longer and longer now for season starts (in my mind it's always July) so maybe it's just my hold on calendar start but apparently this is actually an early start for Italy. Which explains why the new schedule isn't out yet.

Just checking in here to see how we're all doing for new season. I'll probably need to check in La Liga too, to sort of drum up support and remind people to get some money ready for new pools, yeah?

So I like the Idea behind Best Ball, As you all know I pm people that forget to set their lineups or have last minute scratches.

I don't know how injuries are handled though, if your QB gets knocked out for the season your just boned? Or your kicker like butler last year? I had to use a rostor spot last year for 2 kickers most of the year and that sucked. but you need those points each week and those are positions you don't normally draft 2 players in. Come to think of it TE as well if you lose that position its not as bad as QB or K but can ruin your chances.

Best Ball leagues have a fixed roster with a total of 17 players on each team: 8 starters and 9 bench.

Starters:

    1 Quarterback
    2 Running Backs
    3 Wide Receivers
    1 Tight End
    1 Flex (W/R/T)

Thinking about this I guess the drafting strategy would be way different.

You guys that have played it want to chime in on these thoughts?

Also I would have no problem doing 2 leagues this year of differing formats (except ppr) and think it would be fun to do a early draft on one (bestball maybe) and a late one after pre season for our main one.

We are face to face with the gravest economic problems arising out of landed property; and when we turn to economic treatises we find little to help us in their solution. These problems lie at the very foundation of our economic life, and yet we economists, who should see a little farther ahead than others and a little more clearly, seem strangely unconcerned. It has been generally sup- posed by thinkers that private property in land has been a bul- wark of political liberty, because-so the argument runs it has developed a strong class of men who have loved liberty and at the same time it has given them a firm foundation upon which they could stand in successful opposition to tyranny. Land, privately owned, is security for loans in the United States which aggregate billions of dollars and which supply lifeblood to our industries. Private property in land is the foundation of the building and loan associations of this country which probably are furnishing more people with homes of their own than any other single agency. It is generally believed that these homes give their owners a socially precious stake in the community and that they are a powerful force in making their owners good citizens. In other ways land, privately owned, increases the number of home-owners.

We are face to face with the gravest economic problems arising out of landed property ; and when we turn to economic treatises we find little to help us in their solution. These problems lie at the very foundation of our economic life, and yet we economists, who should see a little farther ahead than others and a little more clearly, seem strangely unconcerned. It has been generally supposed by thinkers that private property in land has been a bulwark of political liberty, because— so the argument runs — it has developed a strong class of men who have loved liberty and at the same time it has given them a firm foundation upon which they could stand in successful opposition to tyranny. Land, privately owned, is security for loans in the United States which aggregate billions of dollars and which supply lifeblood to our industries. Private property in land is the foundation of the building and loan associations of this country which probably are furnishing more people with homes of their own than any other single agency. It is generally believed that these homes give their owners a socially precious stake in the community and that they are a powerful force in making their owners good citizens. In other ways land, privately owned, increases the number of home-owners.

Post-cold war hopes of a world without wars, where conflicts between and within nations are peacefully resolved through negotiations, have not been fully realized. Recent data on armed conflicts indicate that during the period 1989-1997, there were 103 such conflicts in 69 locations around the world, 33 of which were active in 1997.1 Over the decade, roughly one third of all United Nations Member States were directly involved in at least one armed conflict. The number of conflicts increased after the end of the cold war, peaking in 1992. Most were contained by the end of 1997. There were 27 conflicts in 1998 and 36 in 1999. Armed conflicts within States are political conflicts involving citizens fighting for internal change. Some are secessionist movements, generally spearheaded by a group of people, more often than not a minority within a community, who take up arms to fight for the establishment of either an autonomous entity within an existing state or an entirely new and independent state of their own. Such struggles have taken place recently in Asia and Europe. Such conflicts have been relatively uncommon in Africa, although issues related to ethnic identity are an important factor in African politics. However, Eritrea declared independence from Ethiopia and several military actions on a large scale followed. In Europe, between 1991 and 1992 Slovenia, Croatia and Bosnia and Herzegovina seceded from Yugoslavia after short or prolonged war, while the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia did so peacefully. Barring these and East Timor, the break-up of States as a result of secessionist movements has been rare.
Historically, children participated in wars as drummer boys, foot soldiers or ship’s boys, but not all of them fought or risk their lives. The alarming trend today is that children are widely used as soldiers during prolonged periods of civil war. As of 1995, conflicts have dragged on in Angola for 30 years, in Afghanistan for 17 years, in Sri Lanka for 11 years and in Somalia for seven years. Moreover, children are no longer recruited as a last resort when adult fighters run short – they are sometimes recruited first.

Post-cold war hopes of a world without wars, where conflicts between and within nations are peacefully resolved through negotiations, have not been fully realized. Recent data on armed conflicts indicate that during the period 1989-1997, there were 103 such conflicts in 69 locations around the world, 33 of which were active in 1997.1 Over the decade, roughly one third of all United Nations Member States were directly involved in at least one armed conflict. The number of conflicts increased after the end of the cold war, peaking in 1992. Most were contained by the end of 1997. There were 27 conflicts in 1998 and 36 in 1999. Armed conflicts within States are political conflicts involving citizens fighting for internal change. Some are secessionist movements, generally spearheaded by a group of people, more often than not a minority within a community, who take up arms to fight for the establishment of either an autonomous entity within an existing state or an entirely new and independent state of their own. Such struggles have taken place recently in Asia and Europe. Such conflicts have been relatively uncommon in Africa, although issues related to ethnic identity are an important factor in African politics. However, Eritrea declared independence from Ethiopia and several military actions on a large scale followed. In Europe, between 1991 and 1992 Slovenia, Croatia and Bosnia and Herzegovina seceded from Yugoslavia after short or prolonged war, while the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia did so peacefully. Barring these and East Timor, the break-up of States as a result of secessionist movements has been rare.
Historically, children participated in wars as drummer boys, foot soldiers or ship’s boys, but not all of them fought or risk their lives. The alarming trend today is that children are widely used as soldiers during prolonged periods of civil war. As of 1995, conflicts have dragged on in Angola for 30 years, in Afghanistan for 17 years, in Sri Lanka for 11 years and in Somalia for seven years. Moreover, children are no longer recruited as a last resort when adult fighters run short – they are sometimes recruited first.

I wonder why the Wizards agreed with this trade.

With this trade, the Suns just became better, but what I would want to see is to improve their depth. Yes their starters are one of the best right now, but their depth is for me one of the worst. <...>

Does anyone think there will be a special bet available towards the NBA draft for this coming Thursday?
What I recall there was a competition for 6-3 Free last year or a type of multimaster competition on the site under Sportsbet Specials.
Been through so many sporting events since then and they have had so many competitions it is hard to remember actually.

Looking for a game that allows you to complete a draft that you can track throughout the whole Fantasy Football season without having to manage a roster? Best Ball offers just that! Each week, the top scoring players at each position on your roster will automatically count towards your weekly score. Once you draft your team, you won't make any roster moves all season long - no adds, drops, trades, sits, starts, etc. The team with the most points at the end of Week 17 wins.

Alot of markets to choose from in the Sportsbet.io Specials as I counted 3 yesterday but now there are a bunch more!
https://sportsbet.io/sports/sportsbet-specials/matches/today

I like the 17.00x odds Manchester City FC - Inter Milano: Inter To Lift The Trophy On Penalties near the bottom of the around 17 to choose from.