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1  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: June 06, 2020, 06:58:50 PM

Martin is useless when it comes to trading .
He correctly call the low in march .but missed calling the huge rally .
For gold ,he call the 1755 high correctly .a correction into second half for gold means the stock might see some really crazy action ..

Not really true if you read through his blogposts back then:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1082909.msg54513757#msg54513757

He's kind of suggesting that it could be a temp low, but a real bottom call? He was still looking for lower lows later, and then retests of course. That's not what I would call calling the low.

With Gold he's been wrong ever since 2015; and a correction into the second half of the year is also very, very vague.

Armstrong is still calling this a false rally and a retest of the march low is still in play, the timing may be off but this information is invaluable. most people have jumped back into the market thinking we are off to new highs.


Gold failed to elect its yearly bearish reversal in 2015 at 1044.5 so based on the reversals it worked out quite nicely as there was no sell signal on the yearly level. You should only be following the reversals, not Armstrong's opinion.
2  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: June 05, 2020, 05:04:18 PM
Just for the record AnonymousCoder will always be remembered as the fool who sold gold against Socrates Yearly Bearish Reversal at the end of December 2015 at 1044.5 which was not elected, that’s like selling the Dow at the end of the year just above its yearly bearish at 15480.

not only did u trade against the yearly bearish reversal you also traded against the ECM Major Turning Point date 2015.75 which gold was crashing into only to rally up into the next  ECM Major Turning Point date 2020.05.


the real question is how stupid can you be to actually make this trade?
3  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: May 09, 2020, 08:19:31 PM

@Bumbum @fred9999

 We should see a new high next week which could be as soon Monday with a decline thereafter into the week of the 18th(TP) which should be a panic cycle to the downside. a lot of these moves will be determined by the reversal system, so as long as the Dow does not elect its next bullish reversal at 24765,
the market should decline into the the week of the 18th
.
The 2nd quarter is a turning point so we either have to make new lows or close below the 1st quarterly close. The intraday low may occur in May, with June being the lowest monthly closing.


So should you short the market? Or should you just wait until something happens and then proclaim Martin was right again in hindsight? How does this verbiage even help traders make a definitive trade?

Martin proclaims the ECM is accurate to the date, but yet his forecasts are wishy washy with no definitive action to take and are written in a way to make him look right in hindsight.

If you think the above information is not helpful then you are not a trader. You can short the market against the next daily bullish reversal(24765) the array forecasts turning points and the reversals will determine the direction going into them. The array does not say whether the turning point will be a high or a low, that is why you have to use both the array and reversals together. Armstrong cannot foresee what reversal will be elected or not elected, what you are suggesting is that Armstrong must somehow know the direction before a actual buy/sell signal is given which is absurd.

Do you even read what you write? Why would you short against the next daily bullish? You just said the market will decline if it's not elected.

So if it's not elected then what, do you short? This is so silly, how can any trader make a decision from your statements.

Armstrong's ECM shows directions to the date, why can't his forecast?



why would you short against a daily bullish? because a daily bullish is a key resistance level.
@Caymanjack, when do you short this market?  you short when a bearish reversal is elected which is a sell signal, or you can short against a bullish reversal and exit if elected which of course has more risk. right now it is could,should, maybe because no sell signal(bearish reversal) has been elected.


@bumbum
24765 is a daily bullish reversal as long as that is not elected we can move lower. you can short the market intraday and exit if elected at the close. the weekly's are at the 27000 level. June only has to close below 21917.16 to confirm the quarterly turning point here in the 2nd quarter if no new lows are made

4  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: May 09, 2020, 05:51:00 PM

@Bumbum @fred9999

 We should see a new high next week which could be as soon Monday with a decline thereafter into the week of the 18th(TP) which should be a panic cycle to the downside. a lot of these moves will be determined by the reversal system, so as long as the Dow does not elect its next bullish reversal at 24765,
the market should decline into the the week of the 18th.
The 2nd quarter is a turning point so we either have to make new lows or close below the 1st quarterly close. The intraday low may occur in May, with June being the lowest monthly closing.


So should you short the market? Or should you just wait until something happens and then proclaim Martin was right again in hindsight? How does this verbiage even help traders make a definitive trade?

Martin proclaims the ECM is accurate to the date, but yet his forecasts are wishy washy with no definitive action to take and are written in a way to make him look right in hindsight.

If you think the above information is not helpful then you are not a trader. You can short the market against the next daily bullish reversal(24765) the array forecasts turning points and the reversals will determine the direction going into them. The array does not say whether the turning point will be a high or a low, that is why you have to use both the array and reversals together. Armstrong cannot foresee what reversal will be elected or not elected, what you are suggesting is that Armstrong must somehow know the direction before a actual buy/sell signal is given which is absurd.
5  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: May 09, 2020, 02:01:05 PM

I can in real time tell you what is going to happen only once key reversals are elected on a closing basis. The unit of 3 rule will apply but I can prove it quite easily that it works.



Can you explain this 3 unit rule? I've seen it mentioned at AE site, but not elaborated.



The unit of 3 rule
 a day is a unit of time, a week is a unit of time, a month is a unit of time etc

The election of  reversal indicates the expected high or low should occur within 1 to 3 units of time, be it daily, weekly, monthly or quarterly. Hence the election of a daily reversal means the expected move should occur within 1 to 3 days.


Lol AnonymousCoder is not even aware of the unit of 3 rule, the very core of the reversal system. He must of forgot to read the user's manual Smiley


@Bumbum @fred9999

 We should see a new high next week which could be as soon Monday with a decline thereafter into the week of the 18th(TP) which should be a panic cycle to the downside. a lot of these moves will be determined by the reversal system, so as long as the Dow does not elect its next bullish reversal at 24765,
the market should decline into the the week of the 18th.
The 2nd quarter is a turning point so we either have to make new lows or close below the 1st quarterly close. The intraday low may occur in May, with June being the lowest monthly closing.
6  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: May 08, 2020, 02:04:53 AM
@gumbi

Maybe you have a better understanding how read MA.  

In April DOW has not exceed the high of week of 13th so there is no Cycle Inversion.  I have his private blog but how do you interpret his "DOW for the week of 4/27?  I believe there's Directional Change and Panic Cycle coming this month, do you see DOW going higher into it before it change direction?

Does Directional Change mean it can go opposite direction or it can also continue on with its current direction?  Thanks.

 The week of the 27th was a low on a closing basis, we should now rally into the week of the 11th which is also a directional change so we can make a intraday high and then turn down.. week of the 18th is a panic cycle. There is no panic cycle this month, but we do have a Turning point in June.

Directional changes usually indicate a change in direction but can also be a fast one way move.
7  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: May 04, 2020, 11:28:25 PM

No answers to the tough questions huh? Just insults? You are only insulting yourself bud by not answering. Showing your true colors.

Everyone can see you for what you really are. Ask a question that does not gel with your agenda, start the insults and diversions. lol.

Thanks for proving our point.

the answer to all those forecasts is that they are simply out of date. Socrates updates the array/reversals every day/week/month and you want to cling to a static blog post. Huh New reversals are generated if new highs/lows are made, which of course are not going to be included. That is the mistake that is being made so there is nothing to address and those blog posts prove nothing at all.

That destroys all so called claims about failed forecasts posted here. The private blog of course would of included updates but that is conveniently never mentioned. They have already come to their conclusion why should they bother looking any deeper into it.




Armstrong claims to be able to forecast long-term trends, years or decades before they happen.  Now, Gumbi says that these forecasts are simply out of date.

If I continue to change my forecasts all the way dynamically, I can get everything right.  I will just stay behind current events by 1 day, and everyday I will come out and say that "see, I predicted the exact things yesterday.  You all need to pay me and subscribe the private blogs."

Let's see, Dow Jones next major test going to be 40000.  On Jan 24, 2020.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7wJ_BTOLxxo

Hmm.  Isn't that too close to the sharpest stock market crash, and the great forecaster did NOT warn anything about major crash?

"Great" call.



again you continue to make the same mistake and cling to a static forecast which is what it looked like at specific point in time, but the market was unable to get passed key bullish reversals and time was simply up. Armstrong can predict turning points, such as the one in 2022(ECM date) with the Dow Jones yearly array lining up with the ECM.  You can argue whether 2022 will be a high or a low at this time, we will ultimately need to see new highs above that made this year in 2020 and elect key monthly  to yearly bullish reversals to confirm that move with confidence that we will see a temp high in 2022. but mark my words 2022 will be a turning point.



Armstrong and his model can forecast turning points nothing more, nothing less it is your own misunderstanding but time is more important than price.  If you like i can post the yearly array for the Dow Jones, the longer term has the most accuracy when it comes to the array.

A forecast has to be static, otherwise it is useless!

If a business is relying on a forecast, they make decisions in the PRESENT based on FUTURE expectations. What good is a weekly, monthly or yearly forecast if it dynamically changes when the forecast date approaches?


The so called failed calls I saw were weekly/monthly reversals which of course are static until the end of each week/month whereby new reversals can be generated and elected based on the price movement for that period.

 it is exactly that a yearly forecast will remain static until the end of the year and only then will your position will need to be reevaluated if you are trading purely based on the yearly reversal points.
8  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: May 04, 2020, 10:24:36 PM

No answers to the tough questions huh? Just insults? You are only insulting yourself bud by not answering. Showing your true colors.

Everyone can see you for what you really are. Ask a question that does not gel with your agenda, start the insults and diversions. lol.

Thanks for proving our point.

the answer to all those forecasts is that they are simply out of date. Socrates updates the array/reversals every day/week/month and you want to cling to a static blog post. Huh New reversals are generated if new highs/lows are made, which of course are not going to be included. That is the mistake that is being made so there is nothing to address and those blog posts prove nothing at all.

That destroys all so called claims about failed forecasts posted here. The private blog of course would of included updates but that is conveniently never mentioned. They have already come to their conclusion why should they bother looking any deeper into it.


Armstrong claims to be able to forecast long-term trends, years or decades before they happen.  Now, Gumbi says that these forecasts are simply out of date.

If I continue to change my forecasts all the way dynamically, I can get everything right.  I will just stay behind current events by 1 day, and everyday I will come out and say that "see, I predicted the exact things yesterday.  You all need to pay me and subscribe the private blogs."

Let's see, Dow Jones next major test going to be 40000.  On Jan 24, 2020.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7wJ_BTOLxxo

Hmm.  Isn't that too close to the sharpest stock market crash, and the great forecaster did NOT warn anything about major crash?

"Great" call.



again you continue to make the same mistake and cling to a static forecast which is what it looked like at specific point in time, but the market was unable to get passed key bullish reversals and time was simply up. Armstrong can predict turning points, such as the one in 2022(ECM date) with the Dow Jones yearly array lining up with the ECM.  You can argue whether 2022 will be a high or a low at this time, we will ultimately need to see new highs above that made this year in 2020 and elect key monthly  to yearly bullish reversals to confirm that move with confidence that we will see a temp high in 2022. but mark my words 2022 will be a turning point.



Armstrong and his model can forecast turning points nothing more, nothing less it is your own misunderstanding but time is more important than price.  If you like i can post the yearly array for the Dow Jones, the longer term has the most accuracy when it comes to the array.
9  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: May 04, 2020, 09:55:29 PM
The monthly forecasting array on the Dow Jones was showing a panic cycle in March 2020 as far back as SEPTEMBER 2019. it called for February 2020 as a turning point which produced a high, March as the next which produced a low which was also a panic cycle, April was the next turning point which produced a high, now we have May which should produce a low on an intraday/closing basis.

See link for monthly array in September 2019:https://ibb.co/YWqR9Yp
That is what real PROOF looks like,  there is tremendous value in Armstrong's work.

Have you ever thought for a single moment that you could be wrong? People with real intelligence doubt and question things but coder is utterly convinced that I am Armstrong based on a PM message, as usual always jumping to conclusions  Cheesy  how stupid and naive do you have to be? The only thing it proves  is that you must have some mental disability.

Every single conclusion by coder requires a massive leap of faith.

Where did you go for the past month or so? Couldn't take the heat on all the wrong calls? Think people already forgot, so you are back again to pump some more before the dump?


Oh wait of course nobody here knows how to read an array. There is no discussion happening here. This is the losers club, I am already gone.   Kiss





No answers to the tough questions huh? Just insults? You are only insulting yourself bud by not answering. Showing your true colors.

Everyone can see you for what you really are. Ask a question that does not gel with your agenda, start the insults and diversions. lol.

Thanks for proving our point.

the answer to all those forecasts is that they are simply out of date. Socrates updates the array/reversals every day/week/month and you want to cling to a static blog post. Huh New reversals are generated if new highs/lows are made, which of course are not going to be included. That is the mistake that is being made so there is nothing to address and those blog posts prove nothing at all.

That destroys all so called claims about failed forecasts posted here. The private blog of course would of included updates but that is conveniently never mentioned. They have already come to their conclusion why should they bother looking any deeper into it.
10  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: May 04, 2020, 09:42:52 PM

Gumbi, why do you want to sue AnonymousCoder for defamation, when you are not Armstrong himself?

Isn't that all glories to you, when someone says that you're Armstrong himself?  Or is such statement adding to your infamy?

Hey, you still owe me the explanation of how both October 7th and October 1st are ECM dates claimed by Armstrong himself, and Armstrong claims ECM is accurate down to the day.

Geez, accurate down to the day to which date?



Hello Ma_talk,
....
 Regarding the ECM dates being different,  Ma_talk that is just a typo buddy, Armstrong has revealed in great detail how the ECM dates are calculated. there is not a single blog post that supports it. There is typos found under his writings but there have been only 2/3 that have been found over the course of decades.



Armstrong's core model of ECM was dated 2015.75 as Oct 7th, 2015
https://web.archive.org/web/20190210014758/https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/writings/1999-2/the-business-cycle-and-the-future/
by the way, he was unable to properly round 3.1416 to 3142, but rather 3144 days between each ECM dates,

and then he changed his date later to Oct 1st, 2015, claiming that his model produces dates accurate down to the day,
https://web.archive.org/web/20170514145217/https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/world-news/did-world-war-iii-start-on-the-precise-day-of-the-ecm/

In fact, his 8.6 has 10 fractional digits to allow him to have accuracy down to the day.  It's really  8.6153846615
http://web.archive.org/web/20141015175106/http:/armstrongeconomics.com/


Obviously Oct 1st, is not the same date as Oct 7th.  And he's got all the future ECM dates to reconcile as TYPO, but of course, they will all be accurate down to the day.

While Gumbi/Armstrong coming in, saying that it's a typo, he does remember to promote Armstrong by throwing in more ambiguous forecasts from Armstrong.  Just keep predicting for another 1000 times.  You bet Armstrong will get at least one of the predictions right.




so you have 1/2 pages in the course of a 50 year career, wow I'm totally convinced that is so damming.

There is not a single blog post going back as far as 2009 that shows a change in the ECM dates. go ahead and try and find one. If you believe one or two pages is evidence that he changes the ECM dates and it is not a simple typo, then you are beyond stupid.

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/blog/page/1224/


You don't understand how forecasting works, you have no understanding about cycles or cyclical analysis and you think your opinion has any worth?
11  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: May 04, 2020, 08:46:28 PM
The monthly forecasting array on the Dow Jones was showing a panic cycle in March 2020 as far back as SEPTEMBER 2019. it called for February 2020 as a turning point which produced a high, March as the next which produced a low which was also a panic cycle, April was the next turning point which produced a high, now we have May which should produce a low on an intraday/closing basis.

See link for monthly array in September 2019:https://ibb.co/YWqR9Yp
That is what real PROOF looks like,  there is tremendous value in Armstrong's work.

Have you ever thought for a single moment that you could be wrong? People with real intelligence doubt and question things but coder is utterly convinced that I am Armstrong based on a PM message, as usual always jumping to conclusions  Cheesy  how stupid and naive do you have to be? The only thing it proves  is that you must have some mental disability.

Every single conclusion by coder requires a massive leap of faith.

Where did you go for the past month or so? Couldn't take the heat on all the wrong calls? Think people already forgot, so you are back again to pump some more before the dump?


Oh wait of course nobody here knows how to read an array. There is no discussion happening here. This is the losers club, I am already gone.   Kiss



Gumbi, why do you want to sue AnonymousCoder for defamation, when you are not Armstrong himself?

Isn't that all glories to you, when someone says that you're Armstrong himself?  Or is such statement adding to your infamy?

Hey, you still owe me the explanation of how both October 7th and October 1st are ECM dates claimed by Armstrong himself, and Armstrong claims ECM is accurate down to the day.

Geez, accurate down to the day to which date?



Hello Ma_talk,

I am simply trolling him, he lives in his own world, its really just funny to me to watch him come to conclusions based on nothing really. I am simply revealing his own prejudice, every single thing he says is a belief there are no real evidence to support it.

 Regarding the ECM dates being different,  Ma_talk that is just a typo buddy, Armstrong has revealed in great detail how the ECM dates are calculated. there is not a single blog post that supports it. There is typos found under his writings but there have been only 2/3 that have been found over the course of decades.

are you aware of Armstrong latest forecast, not really his of course but socrates on the quarterly array, its calling for a 2nd quarter low here so we should see either a new low in May/June below that of March or at the very least a lower quarterly closing(end of June) in the Dow Jones below what was made during the 1st quarter(end of March),


I can in real time tell you what is going to happen only once key reversals are elected on a closing basis. The unit of 3 rule will apply but I can prove it quite easily that it works.

according to Armstrong there is going to be one more move down before we get the slingshot upwards into 2022. the yearly array has a big turning point in 2022 for the Dow Jones
If you are looking to go long US equities you have your shot here in May/June to buy and sell for the high in 2022(ECM date). this is going to happen, I wonder when you will finally see the light... maybe once this forecasts come's true, who knows


Link to monthly array for the Dow:   https://ibb.co/QjjRGqn


 just look at the monthly array posted in November 2019, read the text it quite clearly calls for a turning point in February(high), then March(low), then April(high), and then May( low). June could end up being a turning point on a monthly closing basis but with May as the intraday low.


 How can anyone with a straight face say there is no value to Armstrong's work? how do you explain such accuracy. Truth is really stranger than fiction.

12  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: May 04, 2020, 07:54:19 PM
The monthly forecasting array on the Dow Jones was showing a panic cycle in March 2020 as far back as SEPTEMBER 2019. it called for February 2020 as a turning point which produced a high, March as the next which produced a low which was also a panic cycle, April was the next turning point which produced a high, now we have May which should produce a low on an intraday/closing basis.

See link for monthly array in September 2019:https://ibb.co/YWqR9Yp
That is what real PROOF looks like,  there is tremendous value in Armstrong's work.

Have you ever thought for a single moment that you could be wrong? People with real intelligence doubt and question things but coder is utterly convinced that I am Armstrong based on a PM message, as usual always jumping to conclusions  Cheesy  how stupid and naive do you have to be? The only thing it proves  is that you must have some mental disability.

Every single conclusion by coder requires a massive leap of faith.

Where did you go for the past month or so? Couldn't take the heat on all the wrong calls? Think people already forgot, so you are back again to pump some more before the dump?


Oh wait of course nobody here knows how to read an array. There is no discussion happening here. This is the losers club, I am already gone.   Kiss



13  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: May 04, 2020, 06:10:09 PM
The monthly forecasting array on the Dow Jones was showing a panic cycle in March 2020 as far back as SEPTEMBER 2019. it called for February 2020 as a turning point which produced a high, March as the next which produced a low which was also a panic cycle, April was the next turning point which produced a high, now we have May which should produce a low on an intraday/closing basis.

See link for monthly array in September 2019:https://ibb.co/YWqR9Yp
That is what real PROOF looks like,  there is tremendous value in Armstrong's work.

Have you ever thought for a single moment that you could be wrong? People with real intelligence doubt and question things but coder is utterly convinced that I am Armstrong based on a PM message, as usual always jumping to conclusions  Cheesy  how stupid and naive do you have to be? The only thing it proves  is that you must have some mental disability.

Every single conclusion by coder requires a massive leap of faith.
14  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: May 04, 2020, 04:25:22 AM
Lol so easily convinced.  Cheesy

15  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: May 03, 2020, 06:31:39 PM
https://vimeo.com/400842901

This was from his conference Oct 19.

I think Anonymous Coder is the real fraud trying to promote his website.  Think, why would someone be so obsessed with hating on another man every day?  If you don't find Socrates useful just don't use it, everything ain't for everyone..

Martin has  been spot on the DOW.  JAN  2018 called a sell to the day.  Then foretasted a likely down to sideways market with, ideally a low in jan 2020.  After the 18 high was exceeded we warned that a high on the 2020 turning point would indicate a severe correction there after.

I have never seen anyone else even remotely more useful as Martin.  The haters here are ether looking sort term or completely do not understand how to use socrates.  I'ts not a magic computer giving you buy and sell signals, more like weather forecasting.  Martins forecasts are very long term and he is often looking at charts where a year or quarter are one candle. 

As far as reversals and arrays, they tend to work great in a trending/volatile market even on the daily.  Not so well in chop but you can trade against them as support/resistance on a range.

As for him spending 11 years in jail, he was held in contempt the entire time without a charge and the people he supposedly defrauded did everything they could to help him and come to his defense...

Anyone who is in the ECM group please send me an invite.

Hi Origin allow newbies to send you a private message under profile, personal message options
16  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: March 20, 2020, 10:01:35 AM
Dibley the offer still stands, are you ready to leave the losers circle? You have nothing to gain by being right here, you should be hoping against hope that I am right and you are wrong.
2022 is the next turning point and we are looking at a slingshot up going into that time period for the US share market.

The reason coder lost his shirt is because he short gold against the ECM and yearly bearish reversals in late 2015 and of course would like to blame everyone other than himself. The ECM has worked perfectly and it will always be here, there is nothing you can do about it. You literally have to be blind in order not to see what just happened, the US market peaked in January on a monthly closing basis which is in line with the ECM(2020.05). The only trade coder can talk about is the gold play in 2015 he knows that discussing any other trade and he is finished such as his hilarious wheat trade he claimed socrates got wrong.

Traxo you are a disgrace, all AnonymousCoder does is spam the same post over and over again and you have no problem with that at all. If you think Armstrong public blog and his opinion is trading advice you are a complete fool. you only trade the numbers which you never had and are constantly being updated on a daily/weekly/monthly basis. 

17  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: March 18, 2020, 01:53:34 AM
Time for your nap AC.   When you decide to show us the proof of your accusations that we are paid bashers -- or that I am actually Martin Armstrong himself - you might gain a shred of credibility.  

There are more holes in your posts and theories than swiss cheese.  

Tell you what:  I will go to court with you formally and argue this case before a judge.  You have falsely accused Armstrong on multiple levels and need to be held accountable.  Your charge of fraud is serious and damages his reputation.  I will get standing from the Armstrong organization to do this.  Since you are so sure of yourself - you shouldn't have a problem with this.  We will handle this the English way - where the loser pays the others attorneys fees.  So if you win - I'll pay your atty fees.  But if you lose - you pay mine.  You can hire any atty you want and I'll hire any atty I want.  Put your money where your mouth is and lets have at it.  

Post your real contact info or send it to me in a private message.  

While I'm at it I might suggest Armstrong go after this website for allowing copyrighted material be posted.  



Ive reported marty to the feds so they are probably reviewing his website at the moment collecting data for all the misrepresentations and lies that he spouts on videos. There is a lot of data to collect so please bear with them, marty has provided them with lots of ammunition. See you in court over45, you cant just post something like that and not follow up like you do with your trading and then show no results lol.

You are a muppet of the highest order.

Dibley there is no need to be upset. If you would like I will let you know when a reversal Is elected in real time and demonstrate that price movement is far from random.

This will be pm only. we will always need fools like coder to sell to and I intend to keep it that way.  I hope he keeps posting and wasting his time here. He either has no life and lives in his parents basement or is being paid to post here, you decide.

Remember everything Armstrong says is for educational purposes only so there can be no lawsuit.
18  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: January 03, 2020, 01:22:33 AM
@AnonymousCoder

"The election of the first reversal point indicates that a move to the second reversal is likely. An election of the second reversal point signifies a move to the third point is probable and so on."
https://ask-socrates.com/How-To-Use-Reversal-System

 The Dow had already MOVED to test the 21600 level(3rd monthly bearish) the same month it elected 2 others.  What you are implying does not make any sense. You are suggesting the market must retest 21600 again for a second time…




19  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: December 30, 2019, 05:23:48 PM
See armstrongecmscam.blogspot.com for a more compact view of major findings posted in this blog
No I have not read, will read it.  

Yeah don’t read the original source of the material, read the interpretations made by
AnonymousCoder and others in this blog. The self proclaimed expert on Socrates.

AnonymousCoder is clearly biased against Armstrong because he ended up on the wrong side of the gold trade in 2015 and spend a lot of money on the gold report so has an obvious prejudice against him.
He is an absolute fanatic about all this and holds a very extreme viewpoint.  but the reality is the truth lies somewhere in the middle. He feels like he has been cheated and has a deep hatred for Armstrong and that is his motivation for doing all of this. He is not looking at this objectively and in this emotional state he will never look at the other side.

On his propaganda website
Symbol   Reversal   Close   Next Close   P/L%
$DJI   2399720   2332746   2499967   7.2% loss
            
The 3rd  monthly bearish at  21600 was not elected at the end of December in 2018  but elected 2 others including 23997.2.  The market made an intraday low at the 21700 area in December holding the 3rd monthly bearish which cannot be  argued against… I wonder how many other mistakes there are.. This is a false representation of performance. He is guilty of the very thing he accuses Armstrong of doing. Lol

Regarding the gold play in 2015

The superposition occurred at the end of the year it could not of been included in the report. It was a long term sell signal short term buy signal.  Just because a MINOR quarterly bullish was elected does not necessarily mean the market will immediately go up, because we simultaneously elected a quarterly bearish as well, this play can only be confirmed by electing ONLY the bullish reversals. This is where your argument falls apart.

It is hindsight bias which "refers to the common tendency for people to perceive events that have already occurred as having been more predictable than they actually were before the events took place."

Posted Feb 12, 2016
"Gold has performed in a typical manner. When it closed ABOVE our year-end number of 1044, I stated it was not as weak as it appeared. It then started to elect ONLY the Bullish Reversals, not Bearish."
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/markets-by-sector/precious-metals/gold/gold-here-we-go-again/
20  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: December 29, 2019, 11:00:15 PM
Lol AnonymousCoder saying Armstrong committed a crime.  you entered a trade based on materials which are exclusively for educational and informational purposes only.


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