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761  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: E-SPORTS PICKS : CSGO on: March 04, 2015, 04:39:15 PM
I am just going to assume when you bet more it is safer?
I don't have much to bet with and I am trying to not do risky bets.
Is there anyway you can I don't know like highlight the less risky bets.
Betting more =/= safer.

The less risky bets will often be when a pro league team plays a challenger team, but always do your research. It's normally fairly easy to determine which games will be less risky, however you have to be careful. Sometimes the best of the best lose to a challenger team.

If there's a 90-10 betting ratio, check the teams. Check all the stats and recent match histories. Check EVERYTHING. Then, bet wherever you see fit.

(And if you bet on a team that has 90%+, don't expect many returns. That means a lot of people are betting for that team, and not a lot against, meaning there will be fewer items to go around.)

well said, always play the odds to an extent. that being said, icb on penta, game starting in 20 minutes or so.
762  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: E-SPORTS PICKS : CSGO on: March 04, 2015, 09:07:31 AM
763  Economy / Investor-based games / Re: Scam Alert! Latest Ponzi Collapses -- BE AWARE before BLOWING your funds! on: March 04, 2015, 09:01:13 AM
nice to have a list here, very few still paying
764  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: E-SPORTS PICKS : CSGO on: March 04, 2015, 07:22:23 AM
so my crazy conspiracy theory was wrong, but won the other 2 bets, made up for losses. just need to start winning more again
765  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: E-SPORTS PICKS : CSGO on: March 04, 2015, 04:01:21 AM
A51 squeaking out a win vs SKDC, Arya is fucking nuts with that 1v3 clutch.
CLG takes their game vs TL too.
the fuck... looks like ddos or something on Ignite v FF, only 3 rounds into second map in 3 hours.
766  Economy / Gambling / Re: From 650 Bitcoins to one: Why you should never gamble on: March 04, 2015, 02:22:51 AM
holy shit thats a huge loss, why not cash out after you lost some? like at 400 ish?
767  Economy / Investor-based games / Re: EggMiner.com | Free Eggs | Every Second | Affiliate on: March 04, 2015, 12:51:53 AM


you have options to upgrade your level to earn more.


same idea as btc-flow?
768  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: [Primedice.com] 4 Billion Bets Giveaway - 0.01 BTC Each on: March 04, 2015, 12:44:51 AM
one day, ill have enough activity for one of these
one day...
769  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: ▓ ★☆★777Coin★☆★ ▓ ★Full Range of Games★ ▓ ★Provably Fair★ ▓ ★Free mBTC!★ ▓ on: March 04, 2015, 12:42:46 AM
michi

Thanks as always!
770  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: E-SPORTS PICKS : CSGO on: March 04, 2015, 12:10:11 AM

Lounge's policy is that in the case that the tourney organizers, in this case RNG / CEVO announces / bans a cheater during the match, the bets will be cancelled and returned. If the announcement is made after the game, well shit Sad
However, if we see ragehacks 180 no scopes triggerbot faze clan level shit I'd trust lounge to make the right call



I have played CS since year 2000. I have seen CS 1.0, 1.3, 1.5, 1.6, Condition-Zero, Source and now GO. Now I am avid spectator of pro matches. For all these year the worst thing in CS were cheaters. Valve - the biggest gaming company in the world can't do s**t about them even on competitive level? Is is so frustrating that weird shots and badass luck is so visible during the match. I am no longer sure if that is skill or cheat.That is why I am considering sticking to some games without cheats - like DOTA2 and stop betting  on CS games.

some of the detection issues were an issue with how intrusive VAC can be in terms of system memory. If i recall correctly there was a well known cheater, Mekelek, who coded his own cheats and ragehacked to boost players. However, he had some weird overwatch evasion and cheats that utilized the kernel. As VAC reads system memory to see if an external program is reading memory from CS:GO, VAC did not touch the kernel. Recently pro players (KQLY) was banned only because ESEA worked with Valve to detect the cheat he used (ESEA anti cheat >> VAC).

As for Dota 2, I know that LoL has scripts that basically allows a player to perform inhuman actions, I wouldnt put it past coders to have made scripts for Dota 2 yet, especially with how lacking VAC can be.

Will Ignite Throw? (Strawpoll)
771  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: E-SPORTS PICKS : CSGO on: March 03, 2015, 11:54:12 PM

Ignite (suspected cheaters) have 1 bo3 advantage of 3 bo3's, gonna be a long ass match not watching that shit)
SKDC in a huge slump recently and summit is a great individual player, he can go nuts and carry A51.
CLG CLG CLG CLG
CLG are playing well, top NA or second next to C9. Liquid has been slumping as well.

It is funny how I stopped playing CS just because I thought it was plagues bye cheaters. And now I read that even on the professional scene in pro games they are cheating? This is ridiculous. Anyway my question: in case of proven that team was cheating my bet is returned or not?

Lounge's policy is that in the case that the tourney organizers, in this case RNG / CEVO announces / bans a cheater during the match, the bets will be cancelled and returned. If the announcement is made after the game, well shit Sad
However, if we see ragehacks 180 no scopes triggerbot faze clan level shit I'd trust lounge to make the right call

3 skinz bet twentythree% odds best of three matches illuminati confirm this match


EDIT: odds keep shifting, maybe Stormberg betting from his 100+ alt accounts?
772  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: E-SPORTS PICKS : CSGO on: March 03, 2015, 11:41:40 PM
RGN, winner gets 500$ total, loser 300 regardless. I feel a throw, especally with how fishy sick was, constantly changing his name (sick -> sick-); I read somewhere at some point tha I do not remember that the anti-cheat is a joke and can be avoided by just changing one's name. With how often he changes his name and the sick headshots sick was making I wouldnt put it past them to throw. I may be wrong but its just a gut feeling, I advise everyone to skip the match if they can, and for those who have just flip a coin rip skinz

Also, odds have shifted from ~15 -> 23% on lounge in a few hours, just seems way too fishy. paul_newman's profile is also private, possible stormberg added to his friendlist. Let me fetch my tinfoil hat for this game and confirm illuminati, of course I could be wrong and end up losing 12$ of skins in 2 aimbot heavy matches. Shouldnt have bet :/
773  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: E-SPORTS PICKS : CSGO on: March 03, 2015, 11:18:42 PM

Ignite (suspected cheaters) have 1 bo3 advantage of 3 bo3's, gonna be a long ass match not watching that shit)
SKDC in a huge slump recently and summit is a great individual player, he can go nuts and carry A51.
CLG CLG CLG CLG
CLG are playing well, top NA or second next to C9. Liquid has been slumping as well.
774  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ♞♞♞ maGic's e-SPORT picks (Dota2&Starcraft2) ►►► 297W-270L (+23.5 units) on: March 03, 2015, 11:11:56 PM
its ok man ive hit a slump too

Its whatever. The only reason i am a little bit pissed off because about 40%-50% of this swing happened due the the DDos and admins forcing matches to continue 5v4, plus teams showing up with 2 standins at the very last moment and stuff.

Upsets, underperforms, and other jazz is just part of the normal variance, but this "extra" e-sport specific variance can be somewhat annoying.

you shouldve seen the ESEA admins' decision on the CLG v Liquid game a week or so back, map glitched, CLG spawned with Liquid's weapons and money or something, causing TL to play broke and giving CLG free guns. ESEA did not remake and TradeNinja drafted the bets after CLG won. So much anger after that. If that didnt happen liquid probably would have taken the match
775  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: E-SPORTS PICKS : CSGO on: March 03, 2015, 11:08:51 PM
There is a decent methrod of "cashing out" that you can do if you have some $ of btc on the side.

Basically you bet on team A(fav) to win with $/btc, and 'hedge' your bet with betting items on team B(underdog)

That makes sense, gotta pay a decent amount of vig but theres no real risk there.

Basically what I'm asking is, if a gun is "worth" $100, are there people who are actually paying $100 for it, or is it just kind of an arbitrary pricing system to facilitate betting?



Prices for skins under 400$ are based off the steam market; and for RMT, skins are usually sold at 60 ~ 80% of the market's price. High tier knives, however, are a goddamn hassle to deal with (omg rare pattern worth 50% more). Some of these knives can be in the thousands of dollars. However, there are markets for trading, such as the /r/GlobalOffensiveTrade subreddit. Just make sure you find a trusted middleman from Steamrep and be wary of scams.

Example case you just won 300$ of asiimovs from a huge bet (5 asiimovs at 60 each). Lets say We selling for bitcoin here, 45- 50 usd each. You would set up a trade with a person who will agree with the price, find a middleman from steamrep, and you would receive the money in exchange for the skins you won.

edit: magic beat me to it
776  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: E-SPORTS PICKS : CSGO on: March 03, 2015, 10:34:27 PM
These skins that you are betting, do people get them (originally) through game play or do they buy them on steam?  How would you cash them out?

Too much to explain about weapon drops and cases, but I started out beting again a week before this thread was made with an ak red laminate (~5 usd) and worked it up to whatever you see me update with. I believe I bought that item around a year ago from the steam market.

In there a wiki or someplace where I can read up on weapon drops and cases?  Watching these games over the past couple days made me interested in buying the game and playing a bit and I'm curious how to best spend my money.  That's also why I was asking about how to cash out...let's say you had $500 in skins and wanted to convert that to actual money.  Are there people who buy at those prices?

a simple gogle search does so much
http://www.reddit.com/r/GlobalOffensiveTrade/comments/2konk1/psa_fluxs_guide_to_csgo_trading_and_how_to_do/
http://www.reddit.com/r/GlobalOffensiveTrade/comments/1t9m2z/psa_cashing_out_advice/
http://forums.steamrep.com/threads/beginners-guide-to-trading-selling.677/

basically if you have paypal / btc to use find a trusted seller and a middleman from steamrep, buy betting skins for money, and use those. If not, you can always resort to the steam market. To cash out, trade people for keys and sell those few at a time to key buyers at a discounted price.
777  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: E-SPORTS PICKS : CSGO on: March 03, 2015, 10:30:19 PM
Sad
778  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: E-SPORTS PICKS : CSGO on: March 03, 2015, 10:21:52 PM
also, there is speculation of Ignite cheating, I just remembered this and realized that I shouldve skipped. also, the prize pool for RGN is small, and with the odds as they are, a throw may be possible (if they really cheat they wont give 2 shits about throwing). If you havent bet yet, skip.
779  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ♞♞♞ maGic's e-SPORT picks (Dota2&Starcraft2) ►►► 297W-270L (+23.5 units) on: March 03, 2015, 10:17:58 PM
its ok man ive hit a slump too
780  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: E-SPORTS PICKS : CSGO on: March 03, 2015, 09:58:53 PM
These skins that you are betting, do people get them (originally) through game play or do they buy them on steam?  How would you cash them out?

Too much to explain about weapon drops and cases, but I started out beting again a week before this thread was made with an ak red laminate (~5 usd) and worked it up to whatever you see me update with. I believe I bought that item around a year ago from the steam market.
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