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181  Bitcoin / Project Development / Re: Making a Bitcoin calculator app for Windows 8 on: January 11, 2013, 12:47:07 AM

You might want to find a way to link to it that to the US English site as well, right now a search on the store in the US does not show the app, but your direct link does work.
http://windows.microsoft.com/en-US/windows-8/apps

I'd love to do more, but browsing the store is the limit for me until I get a VM running Win8 or take the leap and switch. I've got a LOT of baggage and work stuff to consider, so it's not an easy matrix to solve.

The easy way to find the app in your language is to delete the sv-SE... and the site will redirect to the right language.

http://apps.microsoft.com/windows/app/bitcoin-calculator/f2bc71be-dd4a-4d82-ae98-32db5864a594

much better Wink

I don't have my grandmother around to translate the Swedish (or force me to eat Lutefisk), so I'll have to stick with English for now.
182  Economy / Speculation / Re: Why the sudden $0.30 rise? on: January 10, 2013, 09:08:31 PM
Don't worry, the cycle starts back over in 1-4 months!

Months? I doubt it will be that long.
183  Economy / Speculation / Re: Why the sudden $0.30 rise? on: January 10, 2013, 06:49:53 PM
Wordpress using it warmed them up to the idea and now the techcrunch article on bitpays recent funding finally made a few of my merchant friends start accepting bitcoin Smiley
The idea is spreading ...
for those watching...

You have now entered, "The Profit Taking Zone"
184  Economy / Marketplace / Re: List of honest traders. on: January 10, 2013, 06:45:18 PM
+1 to scrybe as a buyer!  He sent 0.69 BTC first for 2300 FRC.  Great to deal with!

True on both sides, thanks for the great trade ralree.
185  Economy / Speculation / Re: Why the sudden $0.30 rise? on: January 10, 2013, 06:10:42 PM
pausing at the top of the coaster, is it a drop or another hill next?
186  Economy / Speculation / Re: Why the sudden $0.30 rise? on: January 10, 2013, 04:34:04 AM
The bitpay news hit around the same time...could be related.

AND they are at CES, could be a few folks are making a decision to get in the game.
187  Bitcoin / Project Development / Re: Making a Bitcoin calculator app for Windows 8 on: January 10, 2013, 03:37:27 AM

You might want to find a way to link to it that to the US English site as well, right now a search on the store in the US does not show the app, but your direct link does work.
http://windows.microsoft.com/en-US/windows-8/apps

I'd love to do more, but browsing the store is the limit for me until I get a VM running Win8 or take the leap and switch. I've got a LOT of baggage and work stuff to consider, so it's not an easy matrix to solve.
188  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: FRC exchange! on: January 09, 2013, 08:18:14 PM
buying up to 10k FRC for BTC0.3/1000FRC

I can sell you 2300 - that's 0.69BTC by my maths.  PM me.

Thanks to you, and all the other great traders in this thread. it's been a pleasure, without exception.

Here is the list so far for FRC:
maaku: 1 FRC back and forth, yay a transaction!
galambo: Kudos for being willing to overpay based on an earlier commitment
un-named user: agreed to sell part of his 800k+ FRC, discovered he was in an isolated branch with 1 peer and 0 FRC. Sale called off for obvious reasons.
Jutrul: Easy trade
Rubberduckie x2: Good communication
bushstar x2: Straightforward trade
Abandoner: pending (think he is sleeping)
ralree: quick and easy
meebs: Flexible Trade
189  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: Bitcoin Mining Cartel on: January 09, 2013, 03:55:21 PM
If I was going to setup a cartel play on bitcoin I would get a good hunk of the network hashpower together and then start squeezing tx fees.

Hmmm, there's a thought too, although I think the network will have to be a bit more transaction saturated before that will really work unless you have a massive percentage of the hashing power.

You're assuming that freshly mined BTC are the only BTC capable of being sold. There are already close to 11 million BTC in circulation, over 50% of the final number of BTC to be mined. Sitting on coins you mine would have a very small affect on the overall market.

Besides, this whole thread goes against the entire idea behind Bitcoin. It's a currency. It's meant to be traded and bought and sold and used to buy stuff. If everyone just sits on their coins waiting for the price to go up, then nothing even happens, and we all go home broke.

No, I'm only assuming that SOME of the BTC sold are mined, and reduction in mining output would reduce total supply by some fraction, but I'm not naive enough to think that it will be 1:1. The bandwagon effect would most likely be bigger than the miners restricted supply if it took off.

For example, if the open mining partnership decided that they would hold all but 20% of their coins (assuming that 20% covers electricity and operating costs for members, the numbers would have to be workable, these are just thrown out there), offer 20% of the held coins listed at a published price 10% above market (specific number, not fluctuating all the time, changing daily, weekly or monthly as the group desires), 10% of the coins listed at a published price 20% over market, and the final 50% in cold storage for the future. If this mining group controls 20% of coin production then the impact to the coin supply from mining then over the next period of time only 84% of the potential coins (3600*.84=3024 coins a day) and that would be without anyone else choosing to save their coins.


I am not saying this is the most awesome idea in the world, or that we should do it for sure, but I've seen this topic come up a few times and I'm wondering if we can come up with something that scratches the "cartel itch" that some folks have, but without the secret dealings and mob-like mentality. So, can we find something to scratch the itch without giving the cartel guys a knife to stab us with later?
190  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Merge Mine FRC - Start a bounty? on: January 09, 2013, 04:55:06 AM
Personally I'd like to see it remain independent until the foundation is fully funded and the funds disbursed (or maybe 1 year of disbursing all available funds.) Enabling merged mining will be a virtual guarantee of perpetual operation of the coin, sounds like a good carrot  to dangle until the foundation does their job...

Thinking a bit more about it, keeping it unmerged during the early stage does allow better tracking of interest levels, once it's merged you lose that visibility and independence because you have miners that could care less about FRC right along with the ones that do.

I also think that merged mining should be a bit of a "graduation" or a promotion to the big-leagues. It gets you the best possible security, and you are willing to give up the visibility for that when there is real value being generated. Ideally the coin should have a non-mining-related value that is somewhat self sustaining before subjecting the market to a horde of  bitcoin/profit focused miners that are apathetic about FRC.

If I have any say at all (which is an if, as it's now a community project and what follows is just my opinion), it will be some combination of proof-of-stake and proof-of-work voting (a plurality of both) to enable merged mining if/when that functionality is added to the reference client, and the foundation won't take a position with its coins. I think it likely that most people currently using the currency would be against merged mining while it is in its early growth stage, unless faced with an imminent and credible attack, but in the long run merged mining obviously makes sense.

+1
191  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: Bitcoin Mining Cartel on: January 09, 2013, 01:55:26 AM
Not quite dead, everyone was so busy attacking his newbie mistake that you may have missed another way that a cartel could operate.

You don't have to control mining supply, you only have to control the amount being released. So everybody in the cartel open partnership can agree to only sell a small fraction of their Mined BTC. This would constrain the market supply while allowing members to cover costs, but not cash out completely. To help drive market price even more there could be a second percentage of coins that Members will offer for sale at a premium price on exchanges and private party purchases. This would likely have a bandwagon effect among non-members as well.

Not sure if it is practical or if enough folks are interested to matter, but it might behoove us to design something very open and loose that will fill the gap where the "cartel" mentalityight live later. Even just a web page where folks could make their individual pledges and current thresholds for buy/sell could cover over the gap in an interesting way.

Another aspect I've been thinking about is either private or public sharing of expansion plans among members, with a specific goal to maximize their portion.
192  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Merge Mine FRC - Start a bounty? on: January 08, 2013, 08:10:54 PM
Here's my 2 bits....  I would like to see this merge mined, and an option in bitparking merged mining, BUT I cannot support the system with 80% going to a foundation, that is far too excessive centralization of economic forces, the idea of a funded "foundation" is not foreign and not necessarily a bad thing but 80% needs to drop significantly, something on the order of 10% is much more reasonable to tolerate...  long story short, drop the foundation contributions to 10% (or less) and make it merge minable with doublec onboard with bitparking and then I'll help support the security with hashing.  Get vircurex/cryptostocks on board to trade them and I'll even offer up the same simple investment opportunities I have available on the other coinses that fit these descriptions giving a little avenue for starting the use of this coin base.

Please recreate your currency and reset the blockchain for me too, I'm sure that's easy right? /sarc

Either you want FRC merge-mined, or your don't. I don't think changing the coin is going to happen, so which is it? You are a year and change late to the party on this one, it's not a new idea, they are looking for help though.

Personally I'd like to see it remain independent until the foundation is fully funded and the funds disbursed (or maybe 1 year of disbursing all available funds.) Enabling merged mining will be a virtual guarantee of perpetual operation of the coin, sounds like a good carrot  to dangle until the foundation does their job...
193  Other / Politics & Society / Re: This should give FirstAscent a stroke... on: January 08, 2013, 07:50:38 PM

My post was clearly addressed to bitcoinbitcoin113, someone I have been interacting with for at least a year, and that was my summary of a year's interaction with him. Thanks for your opinion though.

Apparently I misunderstood your point when you mentioned my name in the subsequent post to the one I quoted. Since he was pointing out a mistake in my logic related to math, I didn't connect that you would be taking him down for some completely different reason.

My apologies, and I hope you can understand the reaction.
194  Other / Politics & Society / Re: This should give FirstAscent a stroke... on: January 08, 2013, 07:33:00 PM

As I said, I am not clear on what relationship this has to the cointigration analysis. I am just saying that the debunking for it you provided doesn't make sense to me.


Me neither at this point, don't feel bad Wink

Thanks for the feedback, I'll come back at this later and see if I can figure out what happened.
195  Other / Politics & Society / Re: This should give FirstAscent a stroke... on: January 08, 2013, 07:20:45 PM

Predicting the direction of something is 50/50 in a random-walk model, when did you prove this earlier? In a model with causation you generally can predict the direction and magnitude with some level of certainty (and you should be able to generate some error bars as well.)


This is confused. The actual direction of a 100% stochastic process is 50/50. The actual direction of a deterministic process is obviously not 50/50. However, when there are various unknown initial parameters and relationships between parameters it is 50/50 from the perspective of the investigator.


OK, but the point was, this method is for analyzing 100% stochastic systems, not deterministic ones, it has been misapplied. I also have some doubts about that second sentence, on the surface it seems unlikely that you can factor in the massive influences we understand on the climate and still be stuck at 50/50. I don't need to know the initial point, exact impact angle, or velocity for a baseball to know that if it is hit it will likely go forward, but there is a small chance it might go backwards or straight up.

Ok, I see the problem. That is just not true. What is your source for this?

Your diligence is semi-admirable, but may I suggest something? As I said earlier, you essentially lack common sense. I don't mean common sense as in you can't fix yourself a sandwich, but as in, you don't understand climate science at the general level. Interested laymen know much more than you. Your nose is stuck in spreadsheets, but you have no general understanding of the forces at work, the dynamic interactions, etc. Sort of like someone who has no real 'feel' for hitting a baseball.

Learn about the following:

- Ice ages and their causes
- Ice albedo feedback loops
- Current fieldwork on glacier melting
- Ice core analysis, tree ring analysis
- Climate change induced species migration
- Sea level rise and its causes
- The changing of precipitation patterns
- Political blockades
- Consensus view
- Prior EPA success stories

And lastly, and perhaps most importantly, I think you discount scientists doing field work out in the real world too much. I sensed this when you tried to make light of the article which summarized the effects of climate change on the migration of species. It's akin to an armchair mountaineer analyzing the decisions of a team pushing a new route on an 8,000 meter peak in the Himalaya. You're not seeing the things that field workers are seeing - years of study allow them to intuit the truth in ways you're not familiar with.

I'm a little insulted that you think you know me so well. I'm not having a misunderstanding in ANY of those areas, and I've been defending YOUR position as well I believe, which causes me to be a bit amazed that you feel I need to go back to basics. Especially after you chimed in with a list of 3 things to add to my list (of which 2 were actually covered in the list at least partially.)

My misunderstanding is in statistical math, specifically econometrics, which I have almost no experience with. I have been following IPCC reports, US govt reports, I followed the ozone hole scare, I followed CFC regulation and it's results, and just this morning I was looking at pictures of ice floe coverage and a couple polar bears on a blog. This is not something that I do every day, or systematically, but it has fascinated me for years and I feed my fascinations as much science as they can stomach.

You might want to reconsider your way of interacting with folks, I'm pretty unimpressed.
196  Other / Politics & Society / Re: This should give FirstAscent a stroke... on: January 08, 2013, 07:01:54 PM

Predicting the direction of something is 50/50 in a random-walk model, when did you prove this earlier? In a model with causation you generally can predict the direction and magnitude with some level of certainty (and you should be able to generate some error bars as well.)


This is confused. The actual direction of a 100% stochastic process is 50/50. The actual direction of a deterministic process is obviously not 50/50. However, when there are various unknown initial parameters and relationships between parameters it is 50/50 from the perspective of the investigator.


OK, but the point was, this method is for analyzing 100% stochastic systems, not deterministic ones, it has been misapplied. I also have some doubts about that second sentence, on the surface it seems unlikely that you can factor in the massive influences we understand on the climate and still be stuck at 50/50. I don't need to know the initial point, exact impact angle, or velocity for a baseball to know that if it is hit it will likely go forward, but there is a small chance it might go backwards or straight up.

Ok, I see the problem. That is just not true. What is your source for this?


Hmm, I must have misunderstood something. This was from that blog post from yesterday, the one explaining how they had invalid tests being performed and they were failing to reject the presence of the unit root. I'll have to look at it again.

maybe it was a stochastic variable, not system or I'm making another semantic error. You obviously know a bit about it, care to share with the class?
197  Other / Politics & Society / Re: This should give FirstAscent a stroke... on: January 08, 2013, 06:58:33 PM

You had your chance.

Show me where you asked me that question. And besides, you're too stubborn and obtuse to digest this information properly. I've been advocating regulations to that effect and more for a year now here. All you do is claim such actions are the government pointing a gun at someone's head.

Please, go back to your fringe, crackpot, quack material self published by the pseudo science philosophers you so admire.

And tell them they are morons, then come on back. You really will be joining the majority, and most of us will welcome you. (although, I'm still not convinced that you are a "denier" in the first place, please correct me if I am wrong.)

I'm a Yankee living in The South (southeastern USA excluding southern FL), and I've learned that slow is not always bad, although EM did have me saying "Bless his Heart."

Myrkul (finally pronounced that in my head, nice) I've enjoyed the spirited debate, let me know if you have questions, that one of the way I learn more too. I'm not an expert by any means, but I have been following this to one degree or another since the 90's (when I was very skeptical of it) and I even check in on the heartland institute and WUWT on occasion, even if they usually do just make me want to laugh or cry, at the naked punditry they are hawking.

FA does have a point about the manipulative tactics that have been getting more and more ridiculous over time to try to limit the impact of the entire climate science community. There is a LOT of money behind the status quo, and you can see it moving the levers that drive a lot of sockpuppetry. Our recent elections were just one example of this.
198  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Giving away TRC! Post your address for free coins! on: January 08, 2013, 06:04:48 PM
1ScrybeSNcjqgpPeYNgvdxANArqoC6i5u

Thank you!


1 more difference for you:
Foundation = their job, you = a volentary magnanimous gesture
199  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: FRC exchange! on: January 08, 2013, 06:01:44 PM
buying up to 10k FRC for BTC0.3/1000FRC
Filled, thanks ralree, bushstar, and rubberduckie

I'm currently restocking BTC, once I get some more in I will be buying FRC again, Please PM me.

I will also sell FRC if you need some, I accept BTC, PPC, LTC, and TRC.
200  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: FreiCoin (FRC) discussion (was FreiCoin (FRC) for TRC, PPC, LTC or BTC) on: January 08, 2013, 05:59:18 PM
And no, there was no pre-mining and it can be demonstrated with genesis block. I'm not sure what we ended up putting for that, maybe several things. maaku generated it so he must know. I was happy putting my little sentence there.

I'm curious. How is the 80% tax any different than a pre-mine? In the end, the "foundation" get a butt-load of coins.

Maybe... this way they will always get more, more, MOAR COINS!

as long as by always you mean the first 3 years...
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