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Economy / Economics / Re: Selling Lemonade for Bitcoins?
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on: September 02, 2016, 04:38:19 PM
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I have a small gardening business which offers a 10% discount for paying oin bitcoin, still no one has but im sure they will sooner or later. Offer more discount, > 20%, if you can.
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42
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
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on: September 01, 2016, 03:16:34 PM
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Did you get a wall mount for it?
Just used 3 3M transparent wall mount hooks hack similar like this: That's cool, I did some research beforehand and several people came up with their own wall mount solutions for tablets such as yours. There are some universal wall mounts that look pretty hideous and decent ones that cost over $150 just for the mount, but it is hidden. The tablet I use is made to be mounted on the wall and the power chord is behind it so you can either run power behind (in the wall) it or just paint the line like I did. I check out bensbargains.net very often, you can easily get an OK tablet for about $20-$40 range. I'm sure there is an equivalent deals site in Germany. Since they come in different sizes, a recessed mount is not suitable for the situation that you are going to replace it once a year. $150 would be crazy relative to the price of the tablet. I had to live with the wire exposed in some way. Maybe your solution is more tailored to people with OCD hahaha.
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43
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
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on: September 01, 2016, 02:18:09 PM
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So I'm working on this, figured I'd give folks here a first peek since you're the ones that would appreciate having something like this. The final product will have a better price display that I'm still working on, I just grabbed a zoom in of bitcoinity for this stage of development. Price would probably be around $125 to $150 to make a profit. Is this something you would buy? I went to Walmart bought a cheap Android tablet for about $40. Then put on the weather app so I can check out the latest outside temperature and forecast. The challenge is to hide the charging cable. It's lot cheaper than buying a RaspberryPi and an extra LCD screen. Did you get a wall mount for it? Just used 3 3M transparent wall mount hooks hack similar like this:
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44
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
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on: September 01, 2016, 02:09:59 PM
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So I'm working on this, figured I'd give folks here a first peek since you're the ones that would appreciate having something like this. The final product will have a better price display that I'm still working on, I just grabbed a zoom in of bitcoinity for this stage of development. Price would probably be around $125 to $150 to make a profit. Is this something you would buy? I went to Walmart bought a cheap Android tablet for about $40. Then put on the weather app so I can check out the latest outside temperature and forecast. The challenge is to hide the charging cable. It's lot cheaper than buying a RaspberryPi and an extra LCD screen.
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48
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Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: Ethereum to go up or down?
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on: July 22, 2016, 02:31:17 PM
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For the price performance so far after the hard fork, it seems there are new money coming to absorb the dump.
Some of the big ETH bag holders such as C-level people from Coinbase and Shapeshift dumping bitcoins to sustain the ETH price. It's a good opportunity to buy btc at current level.
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51
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Beijing warns 'cradle of war' in South China Sea, Internet block & bitcoin forks
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on: July 13, 2016, 01:22:21 PM
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No war going to happen in that area.
1. Since when do we see direct conflict between the super powers? 2. Obama is at lame duck state. 3. Geographic distance means nothing. If China cannot claim those island, I don't know how can UK claim Falkland Islands. 4. Can US economy sustain an additional war theatre on top of Iraq and Afghanistan?
Conclusion, just FUDsters at work depressing price.
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52
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Economy / Speculation / Re: 1 Bitcoin = $1,000,000
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on: July 01, 2016, 02:50:29 AM
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I did some calculations and I didn't use the general CPI as it's too much affected by technological advance - I used "Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Fruits and vegetables" ( https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CUSR0000SAF113), as I assume today's vegetable is pretty much the same as it was 50 years ago. My calculations show that average inflation for past 32 years was about 15 % y/y (quite crazy, isn't it?), so in order to keep up with the inflation you must make 15 % extra y/y or your investment needs to do it. Shadowstats.com say that the inflation is between 6-10 % y/y depending on methods used ( http://www.shadowstats.com/alternate_data/inflation-charts). With above in mind I suppose for average person the y/y inflation I suppose is at least 10 %, obviously if in "your" consumer basket is way more iPhones/cars/other consumer goods per year (you're richer) your personal inflation is lower and vice versa. Again looking at the "CPI - Fruits and vegetables (USD)" index, basically every 10-20 years you need to at least double your money to keep up with the inflation.2016-05-01 index: $294.68 2006-05-01 index: $246.80 1996-05-01 index: $182.60 1986-05-01 index: $110.10 1976-05-01 index: $57.50 1966-05-01 index: $33 1956-05-01 index: $26.9 ===>>> So if you say that 1 BTC will be 1M USD in 10-20 years you will probably buy about half of what you can buy with same amount today, in other words, 1 million USD today is same as 2 million USD in about 15 years.
These calculations assume that the trend will be about same and nothing VERY bad will happen. Thank you w00t for coming up with this model. They are making lots sense. To model estimations based on another indicator that I consider is using published M2 numbers. For example, since Chinese exchanges have the highest volume, I use the Chinese M2 http://www.tradingeconomics.com/china/money-supply-m2. From last ATH in late 2013, M2 is about 110000 (CNY in billions), and now the M2 in China is about 145000. The delta between them is 35000, an increase of 35000/110000 = 32.8% between late 2013 and now. Which is very close to your 15% y/y inflation number, especially factor in the compounded rate. From this perspective, the ATH in 2013 factor in the M2 increase should really be 7588.9 * 1.328 = 10078.05(CNY) per coin. Only if we pass this number has a true meaning of ATH which factor in the purchasing power. I'm wondering if we can put w00t's shadow rate or this M2 increase ratio towards BurtW's number as an coefficient. Of cause these numbers fluctuate y/y.
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53
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Economy / Speculation / Re: 1 Bitcoin = $1,000,000
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on: June 30, 2016, 03:04:14 PM
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I agree. It is inevitable that 1 BTC will equal $1,000,000 by design of both systems - assuming both systems last that long.
The real questions are:
1) When will the cross over happen
2) How much will the 1 BTC or the $1,000,000 be able to buy at that point is time? One average house? One average automobile? A nice vacation? One bag of groceries? Or one cup of coffee.
Hi Burt, nice to see your post again. I've followed your mining power based analysis on the price cap for each halving era. Based on your model, the estimation came up by flipperfish's post: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=694401.msg9186092#msg9186092 are all based on today's dollar purchasing power right? I agree that the price estimation could be a lot more accurate on how much bread/milk we can get per coin, however, I have yet to find anyone come up with a solid formula based on this model.
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54
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Price increase to $1000+ again soon. What will you do?
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on: June 30, 2016, 02:34:29 PM
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if bitcoin price reaches $1000 again i will surely sell something to enjoy the huge profit of 5x from my initial investment but i will never sell everything because i like having bitcoin in my wallet and being able to spend it on different stuff that i find on the internet it is so much more convenient.
Your username does not agree with what you just said about ' sell something to enjoy'.
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55
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Economy / Speculation / Re: BBC says Brexit wins
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on: June 24, 2016, 04:04:47 AM
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This is very bad news for Europe and Britain.
From monetary perspective, it's good that Britain never joined the euro zone, otherwise, they will be in the group that is bailing out Greece eventually.
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