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1  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Don't invest your all! on: Today at 05:37:28 PM
There's always a need of alternative plans, putting all your investment in one project means risking everything, like you mentioned what if you are not lucky and your investment failed,  the outcome will ruined you financially and mentally unlike if you have other options and you managed to monitor everything the right way,  if you failed from one of your investment there are other that might still going to work and will allow you to bounce back, more on how you assess and analyze its a self explained opinion I guess.
There must always be two sides that we must consider, not only considering when we can get profit, but also must consider when loss befalls us, because investment is a space full of risk, because the market is not always friendly there will be times when we will experience something bad, maybe not a loss but it will take a very long time to be able to get profit again.
dividing our money into several assets is a choice that we can do, I think I don't need to explain again what benefits we can get when doing that. Don't let us make the wrong decision, because it will determine the future of our investment.
2  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2024/25 Season on: Today at 12:27:07 PM
Xabi Alonso's squad must go beyond their limits to keep up in the Champions League it's pivotal for Leverkusen to bag points in every Champions League clash, aiming to secure a place in the last 16. Looking forward, their showdown in the second round against a top tier club from the Italian League, AC Milan, is undoubtedly a mountain to climb. Although AC Milan boasts a wealth of experience in the Champions League, their recent form leaves room for concern, potentially swaying the odds in Leverkusen's favor it is definitely an advantage that the match will be staged on Leverkusen's home ground, in Germany.
With the new system in UCL, it gives Alonso a greater sense of enthusiasm to compete and try his best. We saw from his performance yesterday when playing against Feyenoord, Alonso looked very confident and continued to encourage the players to stay calm and control the ball until they could score big.
The opportunity for Alonso this season to prove that he must be able to compete with the top teams even though Milan is one of the popular teams from Serie A but currently Leverkusen is also one of the popular teams from the Bundesliga which is ready to make new history in pursuit of the UCL title.
A big task awaits Xabi Alonso in the Champions League, this is the right time for him to prove that he is a great coach. After his success in bringing Leverkusen to become champions last season, now he has to bring Leverkusen to talk a lot in the Champions League. Because there is still a narrative that his success last season was a matter of luck. Although I also agree that one of the factors is luck, the luck he achieved was thanks to the effort and hard work he did. Leverkusen actually has enough capital because in terms of chemistry it should have been created, because there are not many changes in the current squad, there are only a few players who come in and out. In the Bundesliga they did experience a slight decline, but they could improve even more in the future.
3  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Saudi Professional League 2023/2024 on: Today at 08:16:23 AM
Al Ittihad has become the most productive club so far with 10 goals they have managed to create from 3 matches, they are also one of the clubs that have not been defeated and have recorded a perfect victory with Al Hilal. In the 4th week they will visit Al Hilal's headquarters, it will be a very tough match for them because they will face a club that is difficult to beat. They must be prepared to play this tough match. This will also be a match that determines who among them can record 4 perfect wins in the first 4 matches. besides not being easy for Al Ittihad, this is also not easy for Al Hilal, because their opponents come with the target of the best results, I am sure they come with the target of victory or at least they must bring home 1 point from this match.
4  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: Today at 07:23:27 AM
The result of the match between OGC Nice and AS Saint-Etienne is such a huge surprise to me and it is really embarrassing to As Saint-Etienne.
Starting with OG, then Nice humiliated AS Saint-Étienne very badly, and they really appreciated their opponent's failure. Just imagine, 8 - 0 without a single goal from the opponent. AS Saint-Étienne's ball just went around between the players, but was very poor when it was going to advance towards the attacking lines, especially in finishing, very bad. not to mention their defense which was very bad too., complete.


Source: nice 8  vs 0  saint-étienne
Saint Etienne could not avoid the crushing defeat they received in this match, yes they had to endure the shame after 8 goals were scored into their goal without any significant resistance. Nice was very effective in attacking, it was reinforced by the fragile defense built by Saint Etienne.
After their own goal in the 4th minute I thought they would be able to rise and fight back, but in reality they had to concede again 3 minutes later. This destroyed their mentality so that Nice could very comfortably control the situation.
From the beginning I had indeed predicted that Nice could win, but my expectations were not like in this match. Initially I thought maybe they would win by a difference of 2 or 3 goals only.
5  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: Today at 06:55:51 AM
It's very obvious Inter Milan will reject it. They want 100 million for Lautaro's head. They don't wanna swap him for three useless players offered by Chelsea.

The better Chelsea sells Mudryk, Badia, and Disasi, then uses the money to buy out Lautaro from Inter Milan. This method is going to work instead of sending Inter Milan a swap deal.

I knew Chelsea tried to get rid of their non-impactful players; that's why they sent a swap deal to the Intermilan.
Lautaro Martinez has a long-term contract until 2029 with Inter Milan, from there we should be able to see that they have a long-term plan and will keep Lautaro Martinez with them for that period. Moreover, in the last few seasons, their players have continued to show very good improvements.

These are his statistics with Inter Milan in Serie A.
This season he has scored 3 goals, that's a good start for him. If Chelsea think Inter Milan will want to exchange this player even with 3 of their players, then that's a big mistake. Because of the 3 players offered, I think Lautaro Martinez is still better for his current performance.
6  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: AI and Brain Science on Equilibrium in Gambling Addicition and Sports Betting is on: Today at 04:23:15 AM
Addiction depends on mentality and emotions like you said, there are certain things AI can't solve and this is one of them
It's not possible for an AI to be able to have therapeutic capacities like humans because they can't feel emotions and other human feelings because they are programmed , trying to make a AI process human feelings is a waste of time. Maybe that's why they are trying to make transhumans now.
A transhuman is merge of human DNA and an AI, can this be achieved or is it just fictional.
that's right, and besides that I think addiction also depends on their purpose in gambling too, because if their purpose in gambling is to make money then addiction or addiction is something that is likely to happen to them and make them trapped there with problems that occur that harm them. In addition, with things that Ai cannot solve, I think one of them is that Ai may not feel what is felt by those who experience defeat with the aim of making money, because I think emotions are human nature while Ai is not like humans who have feelings that are difficult to predict.
However, Ai will not be able to compare humans, because Ai is also a human creation, in the explanation that I found Ai is an artificial human intelligence as in the picture below.

source: ibm
7  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Which is easier to rig, point spread or total? on: Today at 04:01:37 AM
This topic can be quite complicated. Newbies might find it hard to grasp, but for seasoned sports bettors, the term "rig" isn’t new. Although it's mostly speculation, especially in major sports, no major cases have been proven, or if there have been, the damage to the sport's reputation has been minimal.

If this kind of rigging does happen, we might be able to use it to our advantage in sports betting to become profitable. A hint: pay attention to line movements. If we interpret these movements correctly, it could give us an edge.

So, to the question of "Which is easier to rig, point spread or total?"[ ... ] which one do you think is more susceptible, and why?
I would say that the spread is easier to manipulate, since a player or referee only needs to make some subtle mistakes here and there to obtain the spread they want without bringing too much attention to themselves compared to the total points scored or who actually wins a match, so not only they get to manipulate those bets as they want, they can also do it in a way that is almost impossible to detect unless they talk too much and they tell others what they are doing.
I think this kind of thing often happens in sports games like football which are very familiar, not only happens to local national teams but also in matches between countries I often get things like this. With one very annoying incident where the referee really showed how cunning he was by watching the entire game, one thing that is interesting to me is where many people are looking for the referee's Instagram account who led the player and attacked him, not many, in fact one country attacked him, this is another unique thing that only happens to countries hahaha. Cheesy
I agree with you, in this case it seems that the spread is easy to manipulate because in my opinion there are quite a few referees who are sometimes annoying by unfairly watching the game.
8  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: What’s your strategy on high volatility slot game? on: Today at 03:41:38 AM
Gamblers playing high volatility slot games should have a fair budget for themselves which will help them quit at the right time. The worst mistake any gambler playing slot would do is playing with the martingale strategy where they get to double their bet after every loss.

Usually, the high volatile games are supposed to be taken gradually, and players are meant to wager what they can lose. Knowing that a game is likely to consume all your funds, they'll be no need to roll high amounts. In addition, since the wins come up randomly, and rarely would a gambler forecast the right moment to put a high amount, playing safe is quite a better technique, despite the fact that high volatile games offer higher rewards.
Whether this happens to all casinos in the world or not, in my country online casinos that have spread widely have become one of the games that are widely visited by the public for quite a long time there has been a change in an online casino that has spread where in the slot game which initially had a minimum bet of 0.01 it changed to 0.053. In my opinion, this is something that makes everyone have different thoughts, where some people think they are reluctant to bet again because the minimum bet value has changed to high and some take advantage of this by thinking that it will be faster to win.
For those who still like to bet, they may not consider this a problem but will still do it because when they are lucky, the winnings that occur may be greater than the previous bet amount which is relatively small. But what is clear is that in any case we can play with a safe technique like you said, because that is the key to everything to stay under control.
9  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Where is the fun when you lose your money? on: Today at 03:21:34 AM
I think it's ridiculous that there are people who are happy when they lose money just like that, even with those who are rich I think when experiencing losing money it's not happiness that is felt but more towards responding to it in a good way like not making a problem of it not with a happy expression jumping up and down or laughing with satisfaction. Everyone doesn't want to experience losing money, I'm sure of that. But with gambling it's different where losing money is something that can actually be predicted and we should be able to accept it. Losing money in gambling has become something that cannot be avoided because this is a game where there are wins and losses, although what happens often is losing it has become a natural thing, because this is a business that is developed in the form of a game where players can get a sensation and for other things it depends on the players themselves.
10  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Was it a Gut's feeling a Mathematical calculation or a Coincident? on: Today at 02:54:31 AM
People do things for all sorts of reasons. That doesn’t always mean their outcome is tied to their feelings. I doubt this guy will be able to get another winning lottery ticket based on his gut feeling and maybe that feeling is why he bought the ticket. That doesn’t mean it is responsible for him winning though. That I believe is just a coincidence.
Yes, I also doubt that he will be able to have a winning ticket again just because of his gut feelings, but no matter what, he had won $2 Million worth of lottery and that's more than enough for someone to enjoy his/her life without caring about financial things.

If he's also a smart person then he would most probably build many businesses with that amount so he can earn passive income for long term. However, I also believe that the win was just coincidence and it was his own luck that made him won the lottery not his gut feelings.
No one knows for sure what will happen after that if he still wants to continue it even though it is with a hunch that he might still be able to win again, what must be remembered is that there is no certainty in all gambling is absolute so after all a hunch is just a thought or feeling that is not yet certain. Besides that I think everyone has or has experienced where they have a positive hunch whether it is in gambling or outside of gambling, but that does not make them completely right in determining their choices that depend on their hunches.
I agree with you, indeed the victory that has occurred is only limited to luck and coincidence that has made his hunch right. Because we know that gambling is something that greatly involves luck in determining its victory.
11  Economy / Gambling / Re: What do you want to see in casino reviews? on: September 20, 2024, 05:19:33 PM
Reviews are mostly checked to verify the genuinity of a site.
For someone who is going to try the site for the first time, it will be mandatory for him to check the reviews as nobody likes to use a site which has negative reviews.
People also check for reviews if they are already scammed by a scam site.
In some cases, there are people who pay others to post positive/negative review about a site.
So we have to be aware and verify if the reviews are genuine or not.
You are right, it is actually quite easy to create many positive or negative reviews, and this does not only happen on gambling sites but almost everything related to online reviews.
However, it is quite easy to distinguish them, because if they are paid, usually their comments or reviews will be templated in terms of word choice. There may be some differences but overall when compared they are exactly the same. So we just need to be a little more careful in reading their reviews.
Apart from that, we can also see the influencers they pay, because usually they usually work with someone who is already famous and we usually call them brand ambassadors or the same thing. It is unlikely that someone who is already famous will promote a fraudulent site in my opinion.
12  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Is trading checklist is very important? on: September 20, 2024, 05:04:33 PM
definitely, from your list all the point are spot on, I think any experienced trader always do exactly what mentioned, analyzing the market first and checking all those list before making decision.
you just never stop doing all those thing in every market movement to find out some opportunity even more so at such shaky market like right now.

determining risk to reward ratio is also one thing that prevent most of people from losing too much and make reckless trade, the people that ignored this list usually are newbie that just open position without any knowledge backing it up or in other word, they don't know what they should do in the first place.

in my book, the list that get mentioned in your post, is called technical analysis.
Indeed, the points mentioned by the op are important points that we must do before we enter the market and make an entry. We cannot miss these points, that's why we always say that we must analyze thoroughly before actually entering the market. If we miss just one thing, it might result in a big loss for us. This is one way for us to make our chances greater to take advantage, not only doing technical analysis but fundamental analysis is also very much needed. Even if we talk further, then we must see our mental readiness before trading. Because usually there are times when we are not fully ready, that is the wrong time to trade, because it will affect us, either being afraid or being greedy.
13  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: New trader's must remember it. on: September 20, 2024, 04:41:14 PM
We know that the crypto market is very volatile due to which the price of a coin fluctuates constantly.  So when a new trader makes a few dollars with a risk and after selling his invested coins, if he sees that the price of that coin has increased more than his sell rate, he gets emotional and panics. Due to which he buys that coin again at a price higher than his sell rate and loses. Emotion is one thing that will never let you understand satisfaction. And that is why you will always make wrong decisions. And this happens mostly with new traders. So everyone should learn to control their emotions first
This kind of thing is not something we rarely find, in fact we will see it every time. When traders take advantage, the price will increase and can provide greater profits, and when they try to hold it, the previous profit becomes a loss. Therefore, we must apply a profit target and we must be able to commit to the target that we have set at the beginning.
Because some people will become greedy and finally what they targeted at the beginning they just ignore, this is what can actually cause problems in the end. We must be prepared for the risk, not only in the risk of loss but the risk when we can get big profits but we are faster in selling, that is also a risk that we must take.
Well, apart from that, the point I mentioned earlier was the commitment to something we plan. Everything will be in vain when we can't hold what we plan, so that's also a very important point to do.
14  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2024/25 Season on: September 20, 2024, 04:33:46 PM
MU's performance is still up and down, we will never know when they play very well and when they will play badly. in fact, they can win against Man City in the FA Cup final. but they were also destroyed by Crystal Palace last season.
betting on MU is very difficult with their unstable performance. it would be good if they could go further in the Europa League, but don't expect much and I won't bet on MU.
Honestly, I personally would avoid betting on Manchester United, because as you said we never know when they will play very well and when they will play badly. Their consistency is still very questionable in the last few seasons. Even when facing clubs that are considered weak, they will struggle and experience defeat. I have repeatedly lost when betting on Manchester United, and what is more painful is when they thwart the victory in the multi bets that I made. From there, I started to avoid betting on them and it is better for me to bet on other clubs that are more promising even though they are clubs that are not bigger than Manchester United. I don't know how long I will avoid them, but what is clear is that I am avoiding them right now.
15  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: September 20, 2024, 04:21:36 PM
Increasing rumors about Milan and Fonseca.
If Milan will lose the derby with Inter, Fonseca will be likely replaced.

According to some media they already have on their radar 2 important coaches actually jobless.

Allegri or Sarri could be the coach of Milan next week, bigger chances for Sarri.
Yes, this is the news that has been circulating in the last few days, reportedly the position of the AC Milan coach is very threatened to be fired following the negative results they received at the beginning of this season. I don't know whether this is a warning so that Fonsesca can keep his position safe or AC Milan is serious in giving threats, because with the news that there is a figure who is close to AC Milan, it will make Fonsesca uncomfortable. Currently they are still giving their coach a chance, but if in 1 or 2 more matches they still show something that is not good or even have to get negative results again, then I will not be surprised by the official announcement that will be made by AC Milan.
16  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: September 20, 2024, 04:03:49 PM
Nuri Sahin has managed to overcome their first challenge in the Champions League and let's see if he will be able to lead Dortmund better than the previous coach Edin Terzic?  
Managed to make improvements or not, we will see when Dortmund manages to finish this season better than last season. many doubted Nuri Sahin when he was appointed as Dortmund's coach. this is still early and we still haven't seen anything wrong with his coaching. if Dortmund can still maintain the consistency of their game in the long term, surely the views of people who doubt and criticize him will change. not thinking much for the Champions League. at least they can finish this season in a better position than last season.

Club Brugge is a top club in their domestic league, but when compared to Borussia Dortmund in terms of popularity they are not like Borussia Dortmund, one of the reasons is the popularity of the league in my opinion.

Let's look at the statistics in this match.
Statistically, Club Brugge is actually not bad, it's just that they are not more effective in taking advantage of every opportunity they have. While Borussia Dortmund can be better in taking advantage of opportunities so that they can create 3 goals in this match. They were successful in the first challenge, but they must be able to show that they can be consistent in the next matches.
17  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2024/2025 on: September 20, 2024, 07:41:06 AM
No doubt Man City is the favorite to win against Arsenal but it seems you are being too certain about it as though Arsenal is one small team. The Arsenal team this season can really give Guardiola serious headache because they also come to win this season and are doing everything to make that a reality. If not that Brighton stopped them, they would have had similar clean record that Man City currently holds. I will not be surprise if Arsenal win that match or at worst hold Man City to a draw. They just have to mark Haaland very well and the job is done.

The two teams are in the best performance now and if you underestimate Arsenal, it seems we are not a fan of the English League.
The last two seasons Arsenal have always failed to dominate Manchester City and I am sure that Arteta has learned a lot about it and concerns the match I think the possibility that will happen is a draw.
Manchester City is indeed in the best condition but if you pay attention when facing Inter Milan they are so difficult to score because of the Inter Milan defense that is solid.

Arteta can adopt Inter Milan's strategy if he wants to reduce the Manchester City attack but he also has to think about how to carry out attacks.
Three points are important in the match but ended in a draw that was also quite appropriate to get by both.
Every team has its own best performance, it is true that Man City could not score a goal against Inter Milan because their solid defense made it difficult for Man City to score a goal. I agree with what you said with Arteta who must have learned from the previous ones, this allows them to compete well with Man City, the final result will probably be a draw. Unless maybe luck is on one of them.
What needs to be known is that Inter Milan's good defense is their goalkeeper who is able to catch the ball launched by Man City players, while for Arsenal's goalkeeper it is impossible to be the same, so they have to be able to build their own strategy to be able to attack and score goals. Besides that, I think this match is quite a tough match because both of them have very good performances so it cannot be compared which one will definitely win, we'll just have to see later.
18  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2024/25 on: September 20, 2024, 07:08:38 AM
Barcelona was lucky because of hiring Flick. Flick didn't spend money like the other coach and he had a much better performance so far in this team. However, there is still a long way ahead for Barcelona and their coach to see if they can have a good performance or not but still Barcelona is currently in the first place in the La Liga table while Real Madrid spent much more money and hired players like Mbappe for their team.
The other good thing about Barcelona is they use many players from the academy and this can make these new players to play for Barcelona for years and Barcelona will have these players for a small amount of money.
Barcelona's improved performance is one of the proofs that Flick is the right coach for them, because it is true what you said, he did not spend a lot of money to improve the performance of this team and maybe because of the strategy he has that makes them better than before, even though their journey is still long I think they can get through it well. In addition, Flick will definitely do his best for his team because it is a must for a coach to bring his team to a profitable point.
Barcelona must be able to maintain this performance, but to be unbeaten is unlikely because they also have a tough task later which will face other strong teams that might make them lose.
19  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Was it a Gut's feeling a Mathematical calculation or a Coincident? on: September 20, 2024, 06:43:00 AM
Gamble wins depends on luck and especially when it comes to lottery there is nothing like strategy, no mathematical calculations needed. People who attributes their wins to guts is what they tell themselves to feel good because that same guts can fail them the next time that they gamble. Lottery wins are usually once in a lifetime experience so why will somebody say that it's by their intelligence or guts feeling that made them to win, that is just bragging. Many people buy lottery tickets with the same firm believes that they'll win but in the end they'll lose, so it's luck that determines the winners.
that's right, indeed in gambling luck will determine the win or lose of the bet we make, mathematical calculations are not a benchmark for winning even though sometimes I hear my friend who plays one of the games that requires good calculations but that will not guarantee it either because my friend is also an expert in mathematics but there has been no big win obtained so that's why luck does play a big role in all types of gambling.
Including in games that require skills, I think it's the same, although the other side must have skills but that only increases the chances of winning but for the results of winning or not depends on luck too. apart from that some people have strategies that they believe can make them win, but in my opinion it only leads to self-confidence so when they have a strategy then they will be confident to place bets but what is clear is that no one knows the results, except that defeat is clear.
20  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Martingale strategy is a failure if you are consistent with it on: September 20, 2024, 05:50:57 AM
I love roulettes because it is very easy to play and I see it relaxing. I bet with $3.5 yesterday using martingale strategy as I want to see what the outcome would be, I was able to win $6. $6 to $9 but it will go down to $3 until I won $10.  From $10 back to $6 until I won $13. Later I won $18. I played 5 consecutive times without winning at all and I lost the whole money. If won any among the 5 times selection, I would have increased it to back $18 or to $25. It was a boring day for me, I enjoyed the game, I wish to play more but I do not want to lose more money.

Calling martingale a strategy is like calling burning money a strategy. Most people gamble because they want to get rich, which suggests that they are starting with a comparatively small pool of money, and most big casinos will have quite large reserves which are many times bigger than the average player. If we are considering that every play is equivalent to a 50/50 chance of winning (it's not - the house always has at least a slight advantage), then you are guaranteed to run out of money long before the casino runs out of money, it's a simple numbers game. It also relies on greed, which is where the casino always makes it's money back - a player simply doesn't know when to take the money and run.
I agree with what you said, if you say every game opportunity is equal to 50/50 it is not true because in any case in all existing games there is a dealer who certainly has a greater advantage than the player, therefore the chances of winning for the player tend to be smaller, even with them using any strategy I think it cannot exceed the chances of winning owned by the dealer. So in essence the dealer will still win even though the player has a strategy that is considered accurate. The victory or profit that can be obtained by the player is not certain, therefore they will not know when they will be able to withdraw with their victory, besides gambling is basically an entertainment so do not expect too much that we can always get profit from every gambling that is done, because that is possible it will only make things worse.
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