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Author Topic: Bitcoin betting on the 2020 US Presidential Election | Trump vs Biden  (Read 2827 times)
mirakal
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January 22, 2021, 10:39:18 PM
 #401

the chance of predicting correctly the results of 2024 right now, imo is pure gambling.
a lot changes in 4 years in politics, and some of the candidates we can bet on right now may not even be on the elections when the time comes...
odds may seem attractive but I don't think it's worth it

would love to be proven wrong here.

That's correct, it's gambling because we never know what will come, and actually 4 years is too long, if Trump's satisfaction record has decline in less than a year before of the pandemic, it could also happen to anyone who are in the office now. Politics is also a big game, opposite parties will find a way to take destroy the reputation of their opponent and for a long period of time, that means they have a lot of time to find a way to do that.

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January 22, 2021, 10:46:44 PM
Last edit: January 22, 2021, 11:05:01 PM by Saint-loup
 #402


Right now it looks as if Kamala has the best chances for any candidate in 2024. After the capitol fiasco, I don't think that GOP still has a chance in 2024 POTUS election. And it is almost sure that Biden won't be contesting for re-election after four years. Being the VP, Kamala would be the automatic choice. I would rather say that anything above 1.50 is good for Kamala. Because she is miles ahead of others in the 2024 race. And regarding Tulsi, she has fallen out with the Democrat party. Don't think she has much of a chance, unless the party affiliation is changed.

She can become a good candidate but it's still three years from now so many things can happen before the next election but if she is gearing for that position he needs to perform better while she is in office that will he her biggest resume for the coming election, the other party will also groom their own candidate, she cannot be consider a strong candidate yet.
Biden will not finish his mandate, he just can't do it because of his mental issues, he will get impeached in the next few months IMO. So Kamala won't need to wait 4 years to become the next president of the united states.

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January 23, 2021, 03:04:02 AM
 #403

Biden will not finish his mandate, he just can't do it because of his mental issues, he will get impeached in the next few months IMO. So Kamala won't need to wait 4 years to become the next president of the united states.

LOL.. mental issues? Biden does seems to have some serious health issues. But that doesn't mean that he may get impeached. If his health condition worsens, then he may be forced to resign and as per the protocol Kamala Harris will become the president. So by the time of the 2024 election, there is a strong chance that Kamala will be fighting for her re-election.

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January 25, 2021, 03:28:09 PM
 #404

@Saint-loup knowing if platoforms are solvent and where the interest comes from is a fair question that all reasonable investor should ask Wink

<...>

That's correct, it's gambling because we never know what will come, and actually 4 years is too long, if Trump's satisfaction record has decline in less than a year before of the pandemic, it could also happen to anyone who are in the office now. Politics is also a big game, opposite parties will find a way to take destroy the reputation of their opponent and for a long period of time, that means they have a lot of time to find a way to do that.

indeed, if making a bet out of pure gamble probably better to make one with a shorter time to wait for the results...

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January 26, 2021, 03:10:37 AM
 #405

Biden will not finish his mandate, he just can't do it because of his mental issues, he will get impeached in the next few months IMO. So Kamala won't need to wait 4 years to become the next president of the united states.

LOL.. mental issues? Biden does seems to have some serious health issues. But that doesn't mean that he may get impeached. If his health condition worsens, then he may be forced to resign and as per the protocol Kamala Harris will become the president. So by the time of the 2024 election, there is a strong chance that Kamala will be fighting for her re-election.
Yes you're right he can just resign but since Trump had been impeached 2 times during his mandate by democrats I think Republicans will want to get their revenge against them and they'll do the same thing to Biden.

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January 26, 2021, 08:52:32 PM
 #406

Yes you're right he can just resign but since Trump had been impeached 2 times during his mandate by democrats I think Republicans will want to get their revenge against them and they'll do the same thing to Biden.

not the biggest expert on usa politics here but have you consider that maybe it'll be better for the country if they just let the guy govern instead of calling and impeachment for any president who is elected, over and over and over?

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January 26, 2021, 09:39:56 PM
 #407

Yes you're right he can just resign but since Trump had been impeached 2 times during his mandate by democrats I think Republicans will want to get their revenge against them and they'll do the same thing to Biden.

not the biggest expert on usa politics here but have you consider that maybe it'll be better for the country if they just let the guy govern instead of calling and impeachment for any president who is elected, over and over and over?
LOL  Cheesy yes that would be a better thing for the country IMO but do they really care about their country? That's the question.
Politicians like power not democracy...

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January 28, 2021, 04:04:45 PM
 #408

you're right, it's way more about power than anything else.
so funny (and a bit creepy) how the politics in Brazil followed USA, a bit, with Borsalino (the trump of the tropics like they say...) same same but different.

curious to see how world politics will develop in the next 2 decades with crypto gaining more space and the US becoming less dominant (possibly, but I'd bet on that)

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